Comparison between satellite and in situ sea surface temperature data in the Western Mediterranean Sea

A comparison between in situ and satellite sea surface temperature (SST) is presented for the Western Mediterranean Sea during 1999. Several international databases are used to extract in situ data (World Ocean Database, MEDAR/Medatlas, Coriolis Data Center, International Council for the Exploration of the Sea and International Comprehensive Ocean-Atmosphere Data Set). The in situ data are classified into different platforms or sensors (conductivity–temperature–depth, expendable bathythermographs, drifters, bottles, and ships), in order to assess the relative accuracy of these type of data with respect to Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer SST satellite data. It is shown that the results of the error assessment vary with the sensor type, the depth of the in situ measurements, and the database used. Ship data are the most heterogeneous data set, and therefore present the largest differences with respect to in situ data. A cold bias is detected in drifter data. The differences between satellite and in situ data are not normally distributed. However, several analysis techniques, as merging and data assimilation, usually require Gaussian-distributed errors. The statistics obtained during this study will be used in future work to merge the in situ and satellite data sets into one unique estimation of the SST.     

Climate targets under uncertainty: challenges and remedies

We start from the observation that climate targets under uncertainty should be interpreted as safety constraints on the probability of crossing a certain threshold, such as 2??C global warming. We then highlight, by ways of a simple example, that cost-effectiveness analysis for such probabilistic targets leads to major conceptual problems if learning about uncertainty is taken into account and the target is fixed. Current target proposals presumably imply that targets should be revised in the light of new information. Taking this into account amounts to formalizing how targets should be chosen, a question that was avoided by cost-effectiveness analysis. One way is to perform a full-fledged cost-benefit analysis including some kind of monetary damage function. We propose multi-criteria decision analysis including a target-based risk metric as an alternative that is more explicite in its assumptions and more closely based on given targets.     

Chalcopyrite formation through the metathesis of pyrrhotite with aqueous copper

The heterogeneous chemical environment which develops in the heap leaching of some pyrrhotite-containing copper ores can promote covellite and chalcopyrite formation particularly in acid-depleted regions of a heap. In such circumstances, copper recovery will be delayed until the acid and oxidation fronts move through the bed of ore and these secondary copper sulfides are re-leached. The transition from pyrrhotite to chalcopyrite most probably follows the sequence, pyrrhotite to copper-pyrrhotite to unnamed mineral CuFe₃S₄ to isocubanite to chalcopyrite, with a major structural expansion occurring prior to CuFe₃S₄. The mechanism is one in which copper is incorporated into pyrrhotite, which maintains its NiAs-type structure up to a stability limit, above which the structure rearranges to a chalcopyrite-like structure followed by isomorphic substitution of copper for iron. The structural rearrangement proceeds with significant expansion in one of the hexagonal axis directions and contractions in the other directions. Depending on the orientation, this expansion induces different levels of strain in the product chalcopyrite. The level of strain subsequently impacts on the rate of chalcopyrite metathesis to covellite. The depth of chalcopyrite formation into the pyrrhotite varies with pyrrhotite orientation.     

Compositional diversity in insoluble organic matter in type 1, 2 and 3 chondrites as detected by infrared spectroscopy

Insoluble organic matter (IOM) isolated from 22 carbonaceous and ordinary chondrites spanning a wide range of groups and petrologic types were analyzed using Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR). Based on common IR spectral features, it is observed that IOM falls into 4 molecularly distinct groups (designated here as A through D). Spectral group A includes type 1 and 2 chondrites and exhibits intense aliphatic C-H and carboxyl vibrational peaks. Spectral group B includes the least metamorphosed type 3 chondrites and Tagish Lake, and exhibits weaker aliphatic and carboxyl vibrational intensity. Spectral groups C and D include metamorphosed type ?3.1 chondrites and a heated CM chondrite. The carbonyl stretching features in spectral groups C and D differ from that in spectral groups A and B and from each other. In spectral group C, the carbonyl stretching is assigned to cyclic unsaturated lactones; in spectral group D carbonyl exists predominantly in the form of unsaturated ketone moieties. Both spectral groups C and D have a relatively narrow band structure around 1210 cm⁻¹ (assigned to aromatic skeletal modes) as compared with spectral groups A and B, which is consistent with the formation of more condensed aromatics by extensive thermal metamorphism. The differences in carbonyl structures in spectral groups C and D are not the result of different effective metamorphic temperatures, rather these differences likely result from variation in the activity of water and oxygen at different stages of parent body metamorphism. Such environmental variations must be local phenomena in the parent bodies as there is no correlation between spectral grouping and chondrite class or group.     

New genus and species of Cerophytidae (Insecta: Coleoptera) from the Lower Cretaceous of Baissa (Siberia)

One new genus and two new species of fossil Cerophytidae, Baissophytum convexus gen. et. sp. nov. and Baissophytum amplus sp. nov. are described and illustrated from Zaza Formation (Lower Cretaceous), Eravnensky (Bauntovsky) District, Buriatskay Autonomous Republic (Transbaikalia), Russia.     

Elasticity and equation of state of Li<Subscript>2</Subscript>B<Subscript>4</Subscript>O<Subscript>7</Subscript>

A single crystal X-ray diffraction study on lithium tetraborate Li₂B₄O₇ (diomignite, space group I4₁ cd) has been performed under pressure up to 8.3 GPa. No phase transitions were found in the pressure range investigated, and hence the pressure evolution of the unit-cell volume of the I4₁ cd structure has been described using a third-order Birch–Murnaghan equation of state (BM-EoS) with the following parameters: V ₀  = 923.21(6) ų, K ₀  = 45.6(6) GPa, and K′ = 7.3(3). A linearized BM-EoS was fitted to the axial compressibilities resulting in the following parameters a ₀  = 9.4747(3) Å, K _0a  = 73.3(9) GPa, K′ _a  = 5.1(3) and c ₀  = 10.2838(4) Å, K _0c  = 24.6(3) GPa, K′ _c  = 7.5(2) for the a and c axes, respectively. The elastic anisotropy of Li₂B₄O₇ is very large with the zero-pressure compressibility ratio β _0c /β _0a  = 3.0(1). The large elastic anisotropy is consistent with the crystal structure: A three-dimensional arrangement of relatively rigid tetraborate groups [B₄O₇]²⁻ forms channels occupied by lithium along the polar c–axis, and hence compression along the c axis requires the shrinkage of the lithium channels, whereas compression in the a direction depends mainly on the contraction of the most rigid [B₄O₇]²⁻ units. Finally, the isothermal bulk modulus obtained in this work is in general agreement with that derived from ultrasonic (Adachi et al. in Proceedings-IEEE Ultrasonic Symposium, 228–232, 1985; Shorrocks et al. in Proceedings-IEEE Ultrasonic Symposium, 337–340, 1981) and Brillouin scattering measurements (Takagi et al. in Ferroelectrics, 137:337–342, 1992).     

Rethinking geopolitics in an era of climate change

This article examines the disconnect between predictions about climate change and dominant geopolitical framings of the future. To begin, we introduce four popular geopolitical models of the world. We then show how climate change is a critical variable when considering the future of international politics. Focusing on the specific issues of water availability, agricultural productivity, coastal impacts, and shipping routes, we discuss the implications of predicted changes in the wake of climate change for the assumptions on which these scenarios are built. We show that work linking climate change and geopolitics has clear implications for the ways in which the future geopolitical (dis)order is conceptualized, and we argue that the failure to incorporate this work into geopolitical scenario-planning represents a significant limitation to their utility. We offer some direction for a re-conceptualization of the future based on a more dynamic and flexible approach to geopolitics that recognizes the disruptions posed by climatic and other environmental changes.     

Hydrothermal synthesis of pyrochlores and their characterization

Pyrochlores, microlites, and U-betafites of pyrochlore group minerals were obtained from mixing experiments of the corresponding oxides and fluorides by hydrothermal synthesis at T = 800 °C and P = 200 MPa in the solution of 1.0 M NaF. The presence of U⁴⁺ in pyrochlore does not affect the cell parameter, which for the phases of pyrochlore–microlite series is 10.42 ± 0.01 Å. In a system with an excess of UO₂, pyrochlores and microlites, containing uranium up to 0.2–0.3 atoms per formula unit (apfu), are formed. In the uranium-free system of betafites composition, perovskites and Ti-bearing pyrochlores are formed. U-pyrochlores of betafite series, containing 2Ti = Nb + Ta in moles, have cubic cell parameters of 10.26 ± 0.02 Å and U⁴⁺ isomorphic capacity of 0.4–0.5 apfu. In the pyrochlore structure, U⁴⁺ may substitute for Ca²⁺ and Na⁺ cations in the eightfold site. In pyrochlores of pyrochlore–microlite series, Ca²⁺ is replaced by U⁴⁺, while in pyrochlores of betafite series, U⁴⁺ replaces Na⁺. Phases with pyrochlore structure, containing U⁵⁺ and U⁶⁺ in the sixfold site, usually occupied by Nb⁵⁺, Ta⁵⁺, and Ti⁴⁺, are formed under oxidizing conditions (Cu–Cu₂O buffer). They are characterized by low content of Nb⁵⁺, Ta⁵⁺ (<0.1 apfu), and anomalous behavior of the crystal lattice (compression, instead of expansion). Under natural conditions, the formation of pyrochlores containing a significant amount of U⁵⁺ and U⁶⁺ is unlikely.     

Hydraulic routing of extreme floods in a large ungauged river and the estimation of associated uncertainties: a case study of the Damodar River, India

Many developing countries are very vulnerable to flood risk since they are located in climatic zones characterised by extreme precipitation events, such as cyclones and heavy monsoon rainfall. Adequate flood mitigation requires a routing mechanism that can predict the dynamics of flood waves as they travel from source to flood-prone areas, and thus allow for early warning and adequate flood defences. A number of cutting edge hydrodynamic models have been developed in industrialised countries that can predict the advance of flood waves efficiently. These models are not readily applicable to flood prediction in developing countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America, however, due to lack of data, particularly terrain and hydrological data. This paper explores the adaptations and adjustments that are essential to employ hydrodynamic models like LISFLOOD-FP to route very high-magnitude floods by utilising freely available Shuttle Radar Topographic Mission digital elevation model, available topographical maps and sparse network of river gauging stations. A 110 km reach of the lower Damodar River in eastern India was taken as the study area since it suffers from chronic floods caused by water release from upstream dams during intense monsoon storm events. The uncertainty in model outputs, which is likely to increase with coarse data inputs, was quantified in a generalised likelihood uncertainty estimation framework to demonstrate the level of confidence that one can have on such flood routing approaches. Validation results with an extreme flood event of 2009 reveal an encouraging index of agreement of 0.77 with observed records, while most of the observed time series records of a 2007 major flood were found to be within 95 % upper and lower uncertainty bounds of the modelled outcomes.