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11.
2005年AREM模式汛期试验结果评估分析   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
公颖  张兵  廖移山  李俊 《气象》2007,33(1):87-93
AREM2.3模式2005年在中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所汛期试验过程中计算稳定,计算了该模式降水预报的分区域(长江中下游、华南、华北、东北、西南、湖北省)汛期(6、7、8三个月)TS评分,全国范围汛期漏报率、空报率、预报偏差,及各区域年内重要降水过程预报和实况的对比及TS评分,计算该模式形势场预报的平均误差、均方根误差、倾向相关系数、误差标准差,并与持续性预报(将前一天的分析场当作前一天对当天的预报场,以此类推)对比,以此对模式预报效果进行分析、评估,并做出总结,为模式的进一步开发和应用提供参考。分析结果表明:AREM2.3模式在2005年汛期试验期问48小时内预报稳定;对于长江中下游、华北、华南、东北、西南、湖北省以至全国范围均有较好的预报水平,但总体上对于强降水中心位置的预报情况不是很好;模式对于高空形势场也具有较好的预报能力,对500hPa位势高度的预报好于对500hPa温度的预报。  相似文献   
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寒武纪高滩组广泛分布于赣南武功山-雩山地区,主体为一套浅变质砂岩夹板岩的复理石建造。为分析其物源,并对源区地壳生长和构造演化提供约束,本文对采自高滩组的变长石石英杂砂岩进行了LA-ICP-MS碎屑锆石U-Pb年代学和Hf同位素研究。锆石U-Pb年龄数据显示2 500 Ma、1 100~900 Ma和900~700 Ma 3个主要年龄峰值。2 500 Ma的年龄峰值代表了新太古代末期—古元古代的古陆核生长事件。1 100~900 Ma和900~700 Ma两个峰最显著,表明Rodinia超大陆聚合裂解在华南地区的响应,为该区寒武纪地层提供了主要物源。此外,3 003 Ma锆石年龄的捕获说明,华夏地块可能存在太古宙地壳基底。Hf同位素数据表明,源区锆石结晶多为古老地壳组分部分熔融产生的岩浆。结合锆石年龄数据分析认为,华南地区存在强烈的新元古代岩浆活动,该时期岩浆活动主要是古老地壳物质的再循环。  相似文献   
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In the present study the links between spring Arctic Oscillation (AO) and East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) was investigated with focus on the importance of the North Pacific atmospheric circulation and sea surface temperature (SST). To reduce the statistical uncertainty, we analyzed high-pass filtered data with the inter-annual time scales, and excluded the El Ni?o/Southern Oscillation signals in the climate fields using a linear fitting method. The significant relationship between spring AO and EASM are supported by the changes of multi-monsoon components, including monsoon indices, precipitation, and three-dimensional atmospheric circulations. Following a stronger positive spring AO, an anomalous cyclonic circulation at 850?hPa appears in southeastern Asia and the western North Pacific in summer, with the easterly anomalies spanning from the Pacific to Asian continent along 25°N?C30°N and the westerly anomalies south of 15°N. At the same time, the summer western North Pacific subtropical high becomes weaker. Consistently, the positive precipitation anomalies are developed over a broad region south of 30°N stretching from southern China to the western Pacific and the negative precipitation anomalies appear in the lower valley of the Yangtze River and southern Japan. The anomalous cyclone in the western North Pacific persisting from spring to summer plays a key role in modulating EASM and monsoon precipitation by a positive air-sea feedback mechanism. During spring the AO-associated atmospheric circulation change produces warmer SSTs between 150°E?C180° near the equator. The anomalous sensible and latent heating, in turn, intensifies the cyclone through a Gill-type response of the atmosphere. Through this positive feedback, the tropical atmosphere and SST patterns sustain their strength from spring to summer, that consequently modifies the monsoon trough and the western North Pacific subtropical high and eventually the EASM precipitation. Moreover, the SST response to AO-circulation is supported by the numerical simulations of an ocean model, and the anomalous atmospheric circulation over the western North Pacific is also reproduced by the dedicated numerical simulations using the coupled atmosphere?Cocean model. The observation evidence and numerical simulations suggest the spring AO can impact the EASM via triggering tropical air-sea feedback over the western North Pacific.  相似文献   
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从激波管内水汽瞬态相变实验研究的角度出发,探讨利用激波管理论及实验技术应用于人工影响降雨、消雹所涉及的云雾瞬态相变问题。首先介绍利用激波管研究水汽瞬态相变的概况,并介绍一些特殊激波管及实验状态的控制。然后介绍激波管内水汽相变过程研究的测试原理及方法。最后讨论在研究爆炸方法进行人工降雨、消雹和自然闪电、雷击等问题时,应用激波管理论及实验技术进行实验研究爆炸作用于云雾等微物理过程的方法和内容  相似文献   
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Fine characterization of pore systems and heterogeneity of shale reservoirs are significant contents of shale gas reservoir physical property research.The research on micro-control factors of low productivity in the Qiongzhusi Formation(Fm.)is still controversial.The lower Cambrian Qiongzhusi Fm.in the Qujing,Yunnan was taken as the object to investigate the influence of mineral compositions on the phys-ical properties of the reservoir and the heterogeneity of shale,using the algorithm to improve the char-acterization ability of Atomic Force Microscopy(AFM).The results showed that:(1)The pores are mainly wedge-shaped pores and V-shaped pores.The pore diameter of the main pore segment ranges from 5 to 10 nm.Mesopores are mainly developed in the Qiongzhusi Fm.shale in Well QD1,with the average pore diameter of 6.08 nm.(2)Microscopic pore structure and shale surface properties show strong hetero-geneity,which complicates the micro-migration of shale gas and increases the difficulty of identifying high-quality reservoirs.(3)The increase of clay mineral content intensifies the compaction and then destroys the pores.Conversely,brittle minerals can protect pores.The support and protection of brittle minerals to pores space depend on their content,mechanical properties and diagenesis.(4)Compression damage to pores,large microscopic roughness and surface fluctuations and strong pore structure heterogeneity are the reasons for the poor gas storage capacity of the Qiongzhusi Fm.,which will lead to poor productivity in the Qiongzhusi Fm.  相似文献   
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Wang  Zhen  Zheng  Yi  Mao  Yu-feng  He  Chuan-lin  Gong  Jin-long  Hao  Zong-rui 《中国海洋工程》2020,34(5):718-729
China Ocean Engineering - In order to reduce the hydrodynamic and structural influences on the detection accuracy especially in the very-low-frequency range, some vibration restraint methods are...  相似文献   
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Liao  Xiaoyong  Tao  Huan  Gong  Xuegang  Li  You 《地理学报(英文版)》2019,29(10):1610-1624

A model integrating geo-information and self-organizing map (SOM) for exploring the database of soil environmental surveys was established. The dataset of 5 heavy metals (As, Cd, Cr, Hg, and Pb) was built by the regular grid sampling in Hechi, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region in southern China. Auxiliary datasets were collected throughout the study area to help interpret the potential causes of pollution. The main findings are as follows: (1) Soil samples of 5 elements exhibited strong variation and high skewness. High pollution risk existed in the case study area, especially Hg and Cd. (2) As and Pb had a similar topo-logical distribution pattern, meaning they behaved similarly in the soil environment. Cr had behaviours in soil different from those of the other 4 elements. (3) From the U-matrix of SOM networks, 3 levels of SEQ were identified, and 11 high risk areas of soil heavy metal-contaminated were found throughout the study area, which were basically near rivers, factories, and ore zones. (4) The variations of contamination index (CI) followed the trend of construction land (1.353) > forestland (1.267) > cropland (1.175) > grassland (1.056), which suggest that decision makers should focus more on the problem of soil pollution surrounding industrial and mining enterprises and farmland.

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