三江县油茶生产的气候适应性分析

三江侗族自治县位于广西壮族自治区北部，总面积2454平方公里。境内峰峦迭障，山岭连绵起伏，呈现大丘陵地形地貌，山高达800-1000m。三江属人多地少县份之一，全县总面积2454平方公里，山地面积占总面积达77．2％，素有“九山半水半分田”之称。这样的地理环境决定了当地以林业生产为主。油茶种植也是当的主要林业生产之一。下面就三江气候资源及地理资源对油茶生产的影响进行分析。     

闪电定位仪在人影作业中的应用研究

利用闪电定位仪系统所提供的多站综合定位资料和单站定位实况资料,结合9210系统所提供的卫星云图、雷达回波图以及T 213和日本的数值预报等资料,在做出24h降水预报的基础上,用闪电数据、云图等资料可制作未来3h降水预报。根据3h预报对作业点的作业条件进行指示,从而可为人影作业服务。经过试用验证表明,研究结果对人影作业有较好的指示意义。     

副热带高压自身变化周期和形态结构对入梅的影响

针对2010年江淮入梅预报出现偏差情况,利用2008、2010、2011年降水实况资料和6-7月NCEP再分析资料,分析了预报出现偏差的原因,讨论了副热带高压水平移动和垂直结构对降水落区的影响,分析了局地入梅的预报方法和参考指标.研究发现:副热带高压(以下简称“副高”)和南亚高压的自身双周振荡规律在预报中不可忽略,在对大尺度系统和较长时间系统的变化判断时,高层系统的预报可信度可能更高.另外,在对梅雨预报时,副高垂直结构的变化对降水落区有一定影响,当500 hPa副高脊线越过20°N,副高脊线自上而下向南倾斜时,底层脊线在20°N以南,不利于江淮地区降水发生.副高上下结构垂直度较大时,利于降水落区北移.副高西脊点自高空到低空呈自西向东倾斜,500 hPa西脊点偏西也不利于江淮梅雨期的开始.     

基于网页技术的决策气象服务信息系统

介绍柳州气象局决策气象服务系统的作用及构成．该系统围绕新一代预报业务系统，充分利用交互式动态网页和ACCESS数据库技术，工作流程规范，服务全面，交互性强．可使本地决策气象服务跃上一个新的台阶。     

基于CSA-PLS算法的养殖水体水质快速高光谱预测反演模型研究

养殖水体水质的优劣直接影响养殖对象的成长,准确、快速、全面地掌控养殖水环境的水质参数变化情况具有重要意义。传统的水质指标监测方法都通过人工采样的方式,不仅耗费时间长,且只能体现局部水体情况。针对这些问题,提出了一种乌鸦搜索算法(CSA)结合偏最小二乘回归(PLSR)的高光谱特征波段筛选方法,快速构建回归模型,实现光谱数据的精准预测反演。以连片的养殖小区为研究对象,采集养殖水体样本并拍摄同时期的高光谱影像数据。首先对提取的采样点光谱数据利用多种数据变换方法分别预处理;其次利用这些数据,对水质指标总氮(TN)、氨氮(NH₄⁺-N)、总磷(TP)和化学需氧量(COD)分别构建全波段的SVR和AdaBoost回归模型,同时与提出的CSA-PLS自动筛选波段方法和传统的连续投影算法(SPA)筛选波段后构建的模型进行比较分析;最后根据决定系数(R²)和均方根误差(REMS)选出适合各水质指标的最优模型。从实验结果可以看出,所提波段筛选方法的AdaBoost模型预测结果优于SVR和传统SPA方法提取特征波段后构建的模型,与全波段最优模...     

Peptidomic analysis of Chinese shrimp (Fenneropenaeus chinensis) hemolymph by magnetic bead-based MALDI-TOF MS

Peptides in shrimp hemolymph play an important role in the innate immune response.Analysis of hemolymph will help to detect and identify potential novel biomarkers of microbial infection.We used magnetic bead-based purification(ClinProt system) and matrix-assisted laser desorption/ionization time of flight mass spectrometry(MALDI-TOF MS) to characterize shrimp hemolymph peptides.Shrimp serum and plasma were used as the source of samples for comparative analysis,and it was found that serum was more suitable for shrimp hemolymph peptidomic analysis.To screen potential specific biomarkers in serum of immune-challenged shrimps,we applied magnetic bead-based MALDI-TOF MS to serum samples from 10 immune-challenged and 10 healthy shrimps.The spectra were analyzed using FlexAnalysis 3.0 and ClinProTools 2.1 software.Thirteen peptide peaks significantly different between the two groups were selected as candidate biomarkers of lipopolysaccharide(LPS)-infection.The diagnostic model established by genetic algorithm using five of these peaks was able to discriminate LPS-challenged shrimps from healthy control shrimps with a sensitivity of 90% and a specificity of 100%.Our approach in MALDITOF MS-based peptidomics is a powerful tool for screening bioactive peptides or biomarkers derived from hemolymph,and will help to enable a better understanding of the innate immune response of shrimps.     

Analysis of the Trends of Thunderstorms in 1951–2007 in Jiangsu Province

Based on the 1951–2007 thunderstorms in Jiangsu, a study is conducted for their climate trends, periodicity, spatiotemporal patterns, and the distributions of the first and last days of the thunderstorms at different guarantee rates (GRs) using climate tendency rate, wavelet analysis, and GR for diagnosis. Results suggest that the inter-annual number of thunderstorm days (TSDs) exhibits a decreasing trend in this province. The trend is displayed mainly in the decreasing TSD number in summer and autumn except in spring, when the variation is not significant in the study period. In this province, the TSD number declines by ~2 days per 10 years. On an inter-annual basis, the pronounced positive departures of the number take place chiefly in the early 1960s, the late 1960s to the early-mid-1970s, the late 1980s, and the late 1990s compared with the negative anomalies dominant in the late 1970s to the mid-1980s, the mid-to-late-1990s, and the late 1990s to 2007. There are vast differences in the initial and ending days at diverse GRs in different areas of the province. At 50% GR, the earliest (last) days occur from mid-March to early April (early to late September) while at 80% GR, the initial (last) days are from late March to early May (early to late October). For the distribution of periods, the periods >8–10 years are relatively stable for the entire province. Based on 1951–2007 period analysis, the region north (south) of the Huaihe River experiences TSDs less (more) than normal days in recent years.     

江淮入梅前后气象因子变化特征及预报着眼点探析

针对2010年江淮地区入梅日预报偏差情况,利用2010年6—7月高低空实况资料和NCEP再分析资料,分析了入梅前后湿度、经向风、地转西风急流的变化特征,并结合1985—2005年21 a历史平均状况和近几年的变化特征,分析了江淮地区入梅前后气象因子变化的规律性、普遍性,丰富了江淮地区入梅预报着眼点。研究发现:有些年份地转西风急流从30°N以南北跳到30~37.5°N区域,对江淮地区进入梅雨期有很好的预示作用,且其稳定维持,有利于江淮梅雨期降水的持续。70%湿度区北跳到30°N的时间及持续时间对江淮地区入梅日的预报和梅雨期长度有着较好的指示作用。在30~35°N区域内v850 hPa-v200 hPa风速差值的突然增大和江淮地区入梅有着较好对应关系。这为梅雨的预报提供了新的思路和方法。     

过硫酸氢钾复合物对对虾养殖底泥硝化作用、氨氧化微生物丰度和群落结构的影响

采用在模拟池塘中投放过硫酸氢钾复合物（KMPS）进行对比实验的方法,探究KMPS对养殖底质硝化作用的影响。通过对氨氮和亚硝态氮含量的检测,探究对不同时期氮素转化的影响,低频率高剂量投放组中的氨氮和亚硝态氮含量显著降低,而高频率低剂量组中氨氮和亚硝态氮的含量显著上升。高频率低剂量KMPS的投放使氨氧化古菌（AOA）和氨氧化细菌（AOB）丰度降低,而低频率高剂量KMPS的投放不会造成丰度降低,而且还表现出部分时期AOB丰度的上升。进一步对群落结构进行分析发现KMPS的投放使AOA群落中Nitrosopumilu属相对丰度降低,Nitrososphaera属的相对丰度上升,这种相对丰度的变化与KMPS的投放方式无关;但AOB群落受到KMPS投放方式的影响,低频率高剂量的KMPS投放下AOB群落优势属相对丰度显著提高。以上结果均说明低频率高剂量KMPS的投放起到了促进底质硝化作用的效果。同时,可为KMPS用于对虾养殖池塘底质改良开辟一个新的途径。     

太空莲的引种试验及生长的气象条件分析

对太空莲1号、3号、36号的平行观测及各示范点的对比观测结果进行分析，得出了太空莲在当地引种的有利和不利气象条件。