Sensitivity of medium-range weather forecasts to the use of reference atmosphere

In this paper, the authors develop the earlier work of Chen Jiabin et al. (1986). In order to reduce spectral truncation errors, the reference atmosphere has been introduced in ECMWF model, and the spectrally-represented variables, temperature, geopotential height and orography, are replaced by their deviations from the reference atmos-phere. Two modified semi- implicit schemes have been proposed to alleviate the computational instability due to the introduction of reference atmosphere. Concerning the deviation of surface geopotential height from reference atmos-phere, an exact computational formulation has been used instead of the approximate one in the earlier work. To re-duce aliasing errors in the computations of the deviation of the surface geopotential height, a spectral fit has been used slightly to modify the original Gaussian grid-point values of orography.A series of experiments has been performed in order to assess the impact of the reference atmosphere on ECMWF medium- range forecasts at the resolution T21, T42 and T63, The results we have obtained reveal that the reference atmosphere introduced in ECMWF spectral model is generally beneficial to the mean statistical scores of 1000-200 hPa height 10-day forecasts over the globe. In the Southern Hemisphere, it is a clear improvement for T21, T42 and T63 throughout the 10-day forecast period, In the Northern Hemisphere, the impact of the reference atmos-phere on anomaly correlation is positive for resolution T21, a very slightly damaging at T42 and almost neutral at T63 in the range of day 1 to day 4. Beyond the day 4 there is a clear improvement at all resolutions.     

用全球大气混合层海洋环流模式模拟二氧化碳增加对土壤湿度季节变化的影响

本文利用全球三维大气耦合混合层海洋环流模式模拟大气中二氧化碳浓度增加对土壤湿度的影响。敏感试验(2×CO_2)与控制试验(1×CO_2)对照表明,当大气中二氧化碳浓度增加时,全球土壤湿度在各季发生明显变化。其中两半球低纬度地区在冬季土壤温度变温,两半球中纬度地区则在各季土壤湿度变干,北半球高纬度地区土壤湿度在夏季变干,其余各季变温。分析大气中二氧化碳浓度增加造成土壤温度全球变化的可能物理机制表明,地面水循环和热量循环是重要的因素。     

锋面学说简评:理论及观测事实

本文是英国气象局气象学院研究中尺度气象学一系列技术报告之一——锋面气象学.本文介绍锋带形成及其结构的动力学重要内容.中文介绍了简单的概念模式,它有助于预报员们理解锋带,从而更好地了解正在投入业务使用的、并日益增多的中尺度观测系统所获得的资料.本文不打算作全面综合评论.     

数字天气雷达监测暴雨洪水研究

从加强水资源管理和减少洪水危害来看.应用数字天气雷达定量测定大范围区域降水量,并建立降雨量对水文参量的预报方程是有应用价值的方案.统计表明,在建立预报方程时应区分不同类型降水.经过仔细标定的数字化天气雷达,在探测区内少数地面雨量计的校准下,可以30%(层状云降水)和60%(混合型降水)的精度实时监测降雨风暴并做出外推形势预报.与洪水关系密切的过程降雨总量之测量误差对不同类型降水均在±40%之内.用双线偏振等特种天气雷达系统,并考虑截流地表特性和地面蒸发等因子,则可进一步提高测量预报精度.     

利用FM-CW雷达研究对流层降水过程

由于FM-CW雷达硬件、信号处理以及多普勒偏振FM-CW雷达DARR可用性方面的进步,FM-CW对流层雷达领域可能出现新的突破。DARR具有很高的距离、多普勒速度和偏振分辨率。该雷达能获得每秒几厘米的多普勒分辨率,及每秒±9米的最大多普勒范围。使用两个直接安装在发射和接收天线中心馈电器后面的机械偏振器,工作时偏振角的范围在±90度之间。本文给出了实测的多普勒速度和测偏振反射率廓线。根据这些廓线对层状云降雨融化过程和雨滴谱进行了模拟和验证。     

人工引发雷电试验及其特征的初步分析

1989年夏季，我们在甘肃永登黑林子地区进行了用拖带接地金属细丝的火箭引发雷电的试验，获得了3次成功。本文分析了这3次引发雷电的放电特征。结果表明，放电是在雷暴云下部正电荷的作用下上行负流光的激发和传播过程，雷电人工引发时的地面电场为6－8kV/m。由一简单物理模式粗略地定量估算出了放电参数：中和电荷量约为12－5．3C,电荷 中心离地高度1．3－2．5km，和甘肃地区雷暴云下部正电荷中心高度范围一致。     

供平面变形观测用的弦线光机系统

工程建筑中经常需要布设能保证以足够精发对工艺设备的轴线进行放样的测量控制网。平面控制网的测量标志可能会埋没在将会产生变形的接础上。     

Spectroscopic Study of Natural Diamonds in China

It has become clear in recent years that the important substitutional impurities in diamond are nitrogen,hydrogen and boron(Bibby,D.M.,1982).The physical and chemical properties of diamond are determined by the content and form of occurence of nitrogen based on which diamonds are generally classified.The well-known experiments concerning the mutual transformation of the forms the origin of diamond.by Evans.T.Et al.(1982) have provided a theoretic basis for the origin of diamond.Since 1979,spectroscopic investigation of natural diamonds from different areas in china has been carried out using UV-visible and IR spectrophotometer,EPR and cathodoluminescence techniques.We have conducted the classification of natural cathodoluminescence techniques.We have conducted the classification of natural diamonds in China and studies on the forms of nitrogen and hydrogen,the radiation damage and their geological implications.Spectroscopic characteristics of natural diamonds in china and their geological implications are discussed in this paper.     

自贡地区深部卤层水文地质参数确定及卤水资源计算与评价

本文在分析、论证自贡地区主要储卤构造的地质及水文地质条件的基础上，运用非稳定流理论，采用短形开采强度法，集中开采圆形面积井解析法、集中井群干扰解析法，对有着千余年采卤历史的老矿区的卤层水文地质参数和剩余可采储量进行了计算，为盐、化工业生产规划提供了可靠的理论依据。