Optimization for performance-based design under seismic demands,including social costs

Performance-based design in earthquake engineering is a structural optimization problem that has, as the objective, the determination of design parameters for the minimization of total costs, while at the same time satisfying minimum reliability levels for the specifi ed performance criteria. Total costs include those for construction and structural damage repairs, those associated with non-structural components and the social costs of economic losses, injuries and fatalities. This paper presents a general framework to approach this problem, using a numerical optimization strategy and incorporating the use of neural networks for the evaluation of dynamic responses and the reliability levels achieved for a given set of design parameters. The strategy is applied to an example of a three-story offi ce building. The results show the importance of considering the social costs, and the optimum failure probabilities when minimum reliability constraints are not taken into account.     

塔克拉玛干沙漠湍流尺度

利用塔克拉玛干沙漠腹地塔中地区近地层32 m高度涡动相关系统2009年1、4、7、10月的湍流观测数据,对流动沙漠地区不同稳定度下的湍流特征进行了分析。结果表明:(1)流动沙漠区在不同季节、不同稳定度条件下的近地层湍流欧拉时间自相关系数R_u(t)、R_v(t)、R_w(t)衰减存在明显的时间差异。春季R_w(t)的衰减最快,夏季3个方向的欧拉时间自相关系数衰减时间相近;(2)欧拉时间自相关系数主要表现出强衰减、逐渐衰减和缓慢衰减3种类型,沙尘天气的欧拉时间自相关系数衰减总体上要强于晴天;(3)湍流的时间积分尺度L_t(z)最小,L_t(x)和L_t(y)大小相近,在沙尘暴发生时,水平风速占主导,而垂直气流很难发展;(4)湍流的空间尺度在不同季节和不同稳定度条件下明显不同:L(x)平均值6.02 m,L(y)平均值6.90 m,L(z)平均值0.73 m;湍流水平空间尺度大多数情况下呈扁平的椭球体,且水平方向呈明显的椭圆形状。     

2003—2012年新疆陆地水储量时空变化

利用2003年1月至2012年12月120个月的GRACE数据,基于高斯平滑和平滑滤波手段,辅以TRMM降水量、河网分布、蒸散发、径流等数据,反演了新疆陆地水储量,分析了10年间陆地水储量的时空变化情况.结果表明:2003—2012年新疆地区陆地水储量持续减少,但后半期水储量的减幅有所减缓;陆地水储量具有明显降低趋势的地区范围逐步向新疆东部迁移,水储量具有上升趋势的面积有逐渐增加的倾向,但是这种显著上升趋势所涵盖的面积没有占据研究区的主导地位;GRACE的年周期值和陆地水储量深度值的波动趋势一致;TRMM降水变化趋势与GRACE反演的陆地水变化趋势相辅相成,相互验证.该项研究可为新疆合理用水及缺水地区水资源合理的开发等提供理论依据.     

人工智能计算技术在新疆干旱区典型绿洲土壤盐分预测中的应用

针对新疆渭干河-库车河三角洲绿洲土壤盐分动态监测中存在的方法问题,首先用灰色关联度模型分析影响形成土壤盐渍化的各因子,并确定其与土壤盐分之间的关联度,然后将人工智能计算技术引入土壤盐分的预测中,经过多次调整网络结构和参数,建立了预测表层土壤盐分的BP神经网络模型和RBF神经网络模型。结果表明：以潜在蒸散量、地下水埋深、地下水矿化度、土壤电导率、总溶解固体、pH值、坡度和土地利用类型8个因素为输入因子,以土壤含盐量为输出因子的BP网络模型和RBF网络模型可有效模拟土壤盐分与其影响因子之间的内在复杂关系,并且有较高的精度。BP网络模型预测误差略低于RBF神经网络。本研究可为分析和预测土壤盐渍化动态规律提供一种有效可行的新途径,是对传统土壤盐分动态研究的补充。     

巴丹吉林沙漠夏季大气边界层结构

利用国家自然科学基金项目“巴丹吉林沙漠陆-气相互作用观测试验和研究”于2009年7—9月在巴丹吉林沙漠取得的系留气球、GPS探空等加强观测资料,分析了沙漠夏季大气边界层位温、比湿及风等的日变化特征。研究表明：（1）巴丹吉林沙漠近地面气温日较差较大,比湿的变化与气温相反,白天风速变化大。（2）昼（夜）不平衡能量差额R_d>0（R_d<0）,莫宁-奥布霍夫长度L<0（L>0）,大气层结趋于不稳定（稳定）;白天大部分净辐射能量转换为感热通量,为深厚大气边界层的发展提供热力条件。（3）午前稳定边界层经历了从重建到消退的过程,其上残留层较厚;午后混合层打通残留层发展迅速,近地面层出现明显的超绝热递减层;夜间稳定边界层迅速发展,最大厚度达900 m;（4）从整个边界层来看,午前出现的5层结构在午后变为3层,稳定边界层消失,混合层迅速发展,厚度达到3 000 m。夹卷层厚度最大值为1 500 m,近地面的超绝热层最大达200 m。     

Latitudinal and climatic distributions of 3D craniofacial features among Holocene populations

The geographical and climatic patterning in craniofacial morphology among recent hominids has been regarded as relatively reliable evidence of environmental adaptation and natural selection,which is largely attributed to thermoregulation.However,the relative influence of genetic and environmental factors on craniofacial features is unclear.Our study employed 3D laser scanning techniques to evaluate the association between geographical(latitude),climatic(annual temperature)factors,and 3D craniofacial measurements in 18 recent populations through bivariate correlation analysis.Significant correlations were found among braincase surface area,zygomatic bone surface area,cranial-facial index(facial surface area relative to braincase surface area)and local temperature,and a clear latitudinal gradient was also found in variation of braincase surface area.No significant correlations were found between zygomatic bone surface area,cranial-facial index and latitude.Our analysis supports the idea that the braincase functions as a radiator and is closely related to direct sunlight.We also suggest that absolute/relative craniofacial surface area varies consistently with predictions derived from Bergmann’s Rule.The mosaic craniofacial traits of American Indians may reflect retention of cold-derived,ancestral features,as well as a response to a slightly warmer climate.Because different craniofacial regions preserve environmental/genetic signatures differentially,caution is suggested when craniofacial anatomy is used for phylogenetic reconstruction and functional-morphological analysis.     

1970-2013年南疆渭干河-库车河流域绿洲冰雹时空变化特征和棉花受灾分析

渭干河-库车河绿洲是南疆地区主要棉花生产基地之一, 随着气候变化和棉花种植面积的日益扩大, 雹灾对棉花生产的危害日趋严重. 利用该地区4个气象站44 a逐一地面降雹过程资料和33 a灾情信息, 对冰雹时空变化特征、活动规律、强度、受灾面积和影响因素等进行研究. 结果表明: 降雹空间分布为北部靠山地带多于南部平原地带, 受灾面积的空间分布则相反; 降雹以周期短、强季节性特征为主, 各县中等以上降雹天气占80%以上, 降雹趋于高发和强发的态势. 降雹频次与气温和降水呈较好的相关性, 冰雹多发年气温偏低、降水偏多, 冰雹少发年气温偏高、降水偏少. 位于南部靠近沙漠的沙雅县受灾最为严重, 雹灾与降雹强度、地域、季节和作物面积及类型等有关, 该地区棉花受灾机率大.     

Extensional Structures in the Ophiolites from Cuba and China: New Constraints to Slowly‐Spreading Ancient Oceanic Lithosphere

A group of low‐angle normal faults developed in banded gabbro of Moa Ophiolite, Cuba. The dark gabbro was cut into puddings by several normal faults, while light gabbro was just swelling in layer thickness. In Hongliuhe ophiolite at eastern segment of South Tien Shan Suture Zone in China, the extensional deformation concentrates on fine cumulus gabbro which is typically mylonitized. Abundant structural features were discovered in HLH ophiolite such as S‐C foliation, C’ foliation, extensional crenulation cleavage, small toughness normal fault, low‐angle normal faults and high‐angle normal faults. According to the above tectonic phenomenon from the ophiolite belts in Cuba and China, we will get the conclusion: the maximum principal compressive stress (b1) is vertical to cumulus bedding, and the maximum tensile stress (b3) is paralleling to cumulus bedding. Considering of the above evidence, the extensional tectonic event should developed at mid‐ocean ridge. Due to seafloor spreading, the maximum tensile stress is paralleling to cumulus layer, and extensional tectonic is kept in cumulus gabbro. In this way, normal faults developed in dark gabbro, while brittle‐ductile extensional developed in light gabbro. A large number of domes, folds paralleling to ocean ridge and detachment faults represented by low angle normal fault were discovered near ocean ridge in Indian Ocean and Atlantic Ocean. In this way, materials from deep oceanic lithosphere (e.g. gabbro, mantle peridotite) outcrop at the crust surface of ocean basin. The above evidences from China and Cuba are consistent with extensional tectonic and metamorphic core complex from slowly and super‐slowly spreading Indian Ocean and Atlantic Oceanic lithosphere based on ODP. Therefore, extensional deformation in the ophiolite belt is of significant meaning for clarifying the formation process and mechanism of ancient oceanic basin.