一种基于TMI观测结果的海表温度反演算法

基于星载微波仪器观测结果反演海表温度,能很好地克服云对反演结果的干扰,实现对海表温度全天候的监测.文中利用热带测雨卫星所搭载的微波成像仪的观测结果,建立了一种新的适用于非降水条件下的海表温度反演算法.作为一种半经验统计算法,它以辐射传输方程为基础,通过理论模拟计算,建立海表温度与微波成像仪多通道亮温之间的关系,较好地反...     

INVESTIGATION ON EFFECTS OF INITIAL SCHEMES FOR BINARY TYPHOONS ROKE AND SONCA IN 2011

Based on the Tropical Region Atmospheric Modeling System for South China Sea (TRAMS), Typhoon Roke (1115) and Sonca (1116) in 2011 which have large forecast errors in numerical operation prediction, have been selected for research focusing on the initial scheme and its influence on forecast. The purpose is to find a clue for model improvement and enhance the performance of the typhoon model. Several initialization schemes have been designed and the corresponding experiments have been done for Typhoon Roke and Sonca. The results show that the forecast error of both typhoons’ track and intensity are less using the initial scheme of relocation and bogus just for the weak Typhoon Sonca, compared with using the scheme for both typhoons. By analysis the influence of the scheme on weak typhoon vortex circulation may be the reason that leads to the improvement. All weak typhoons in 2011 to 2012 are selected for tests. It comes to the conclusion that the initial scheme of relocation and bogus can reduce the error of track and intensity forecast. Besides, the height of cloud top in typhoon vortex constructed by bogus is too high according to weak typhoon. It is feasible to develop a bogus which is suitable for weak typhoon.     

雷达反演水汽在华南前汛期短时临近降水预报应用试验

为了改善数值预报模式短时临近降水预报能力,采用雷达水汽反演同化方案来提高模式初始水汽场质量。以华南精细预报模式对2013年5月进行了冷启动、热启动和热启动加雷达水汽同化等3个对比试验,并进一步详细分析2013年5月8—9日广东西南部到珠三角地区强降雨过程,探讨雷达反演水汽对短时临近降水预报的影响作用。分析结果显示3个试验结果反映精细模式冷启动不利于1~6 h的降水预报,模式热启动能较好预报前6 h的降水,但对随后预报效果不佳。在热启动的基础上,考虑同化雷达反演的水汽后,不仅较好模拟前6 h的降水,也可以预报出6~12 h的降雨带变化趋势。     

散射计海面风场块状模糊的识别与去除

由于归一化后向散射截面积与相对风向的双调和关系及测量误差的存在, 散射计风场反演算法一般只能得到几个模糊解, 需要采用圆中数滤波法进行模糊去除以确定唯一的风矢量. 但是对于局部风场中伪解集中分布的情况, 圆中数滤波法往往失效而在滤波后风场中产生块状模糊, 从而降低反演精度. 针对此问题, 提出一种块状模糊的识别与去除方法, 用于反演滤波后风场的进一步优化处理, 实验证明该方法对大部分块状模糊能够有效识别与去除.     

冲击荷载下土体位移特征研究

建立了冲击荷载作用下土体动力压密有限元方程及其数值计算方法。用Ansys-Ls-dyna软件包对山西化肥厂地基冲击荷载作用后土体的动力响应进行了分析,得出了冲击荷载作用下分层土体中的位移分布特征及其它们的变化过程,计算结果与实测结果吻合较好。研究结果表明：冲击荷载作用下土体位移的影响范围为一椭球体。侧向加固半径距荷载作用中心接近2D(D为夯锤直径),荷载作用中心下加固深度能达到2D甚至更大。     

大巴山国家地质公园喀斯特地质遗迹特征及成因

大巴山国家地质公园以喀斯特地貌、生物礁滩碳酸盐岩沉积相、推覆褶皱构造等典型的地质遗迹为主。公园内良好的二叠系、三叠系碳酸盐岩沉积,加上后期的流水侵蚀、溶蚀作用及崩塌等作用,形成了类型丰富,瑰丽梦幻喀斯特地貌景观,如绝壁、孤峰、溶洞、石芽等,具有极高的观赏价值和科研价值。     

THE LIMITATION OF CLOUD-BASE MASS FLUX IN CUMULUS PARAMETERIZATION AND ITS APPLICATION IN A HIGH-RESOLUTION MODEL

A large area of unrealized precipitation is produced with the standard convective parameterization scheme in a high-resolution model, while subgrid-scale convection that cannot be explicitly resolved is omitted without convective parameterization. A modified version of the convection scheme with limited mass flux at cloud base is introduced into a south-China regional high-resolution model to alleviate these problems. A strong convection case and a weak convection case are selected to analyze the influence of limited cloud-base mass flux on precipitation forecast. The sensitivity of different limitation on mass flux at cloud base is also discussed. It is found that using instability energy closure for Simplified Arakawa- Schubert Scheme will produce better precipitation forecast than the primary closure based on quasi-equilibrium assumption. The influence of the convection scheme is dependent on the upper limit of mass flux at cloud base. The total rain amount is not so sensitive to the limitation of mass flux in the strong convection case as in the weak one. From the comparison of two different methods for limiting the cloud-base mass flux, it is found that shutting down the cumulus parameterization scheme completely when the cloud-base mass flux exceeds a given limitation is more suitable for the forecast of precipitation.     

切槽对TBM刀具破岩机制的影响研究

高压水射流与机械滚刀相联合破岩技术的出现,改变了传统隧道掘进机（tunnel boring machine,简称TBM）的作业方式。以高压水射流在滚刀两侧岩体切槽的破岩模式为研究对象,开展常截面滚刀压头贯入不同预切槽深度白砂岩板状试样的试验和数值模拟计算分析,对破裂后图像进行DIC分析,研究发现：切槽的存在,阻断了刀具贯入裂纹的拓展,使能量能够更加集中于压头下方的局部岩石块体,有利于形成“八”字形贯通裂纹,促进岩石的破碎;随着槽深增加,压头下方岩石内部的应力状态和力学响应分区逐渐过渡改变。槽深较大时,压头下方的力学响应区域在原有裂纹扩展区、弹性区之间增加了破坏过渡区,该区域内微裂纹被压密,区域内岩石存在较大变形,但未出现明显破坏;切槽后,滚刀压头下方的岩体破坏机制由无切槽试样挤压剪切为主导的径向裂纹拓展,演变为由刀具和切槽共同控制作用—拉伸剪切为主导的主裂纹扩展。     

四川九寨沟地区泥盆—三叠系多重地层划分对比及沉积环境

位于青藏高原东缘四川盆地接壤处的四川九寨沟地区发育了总厚6000m以上的碳酸盐岩,通过1:5万区域地质调查和一系列专项调查,将该区内岩石地层划分为9个岩组。生物地层划分了3个珊瑚组合带,3个腕足组合带,1个腕足顶峰带,2个双壳顶峰带以及有孔虫组合带和顶峰带各1个。生态地层研究划分了两个生态群落。根据地球化学元素特征划分了11个地球化学段。研究了地层的常量元素和碳同位素特征。对碳酸盐岩进行了微相分析。综合各项沉积标志进行了沉积环境判别,其中岷河组沉积环境最为特殊,属于碳酸盐岩和陆源碎屑的混合沉积体系。     

有云环境下MODIS亮温资料的变分同化Ⅱ——对暴雨预报的影响

卫星资料提供了大量关于云和雨的观测信息,在暴雨预报中可发挥巨大的作用,然而在数值模式资料同化中的应用水平仍然不高,特别是红外辐射资料的应用。由于有云环境下辐射传输过程的模拟难度很大,因此通常只同化晴空环境下的红外辐射资料。基于GRAPES-3DVAR(Global and Regional Assimilation and Prediction Enhanced System,全球/区域同化预报系统),根据RTTOV辐射传输模式(fast radiative transfer model for TOVS,快速辐射传输模式)的特点,增加云水含量、云冰水含量和云量作为同化系统控制变量,在改进辐射传输模式对红外资料模拟的同时,利用红外资料调整初始云参数和大气参数。针对2007年5月26日南海季风爆发后广东地区的一次暴雨过程,选取MODIS(Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer,中分辨成像光谱仪)传感器水汽(第27)和云顶观测(第36)通道进行了同化试验,利用WRF(Weather Research and Forecasting Model,天气研究和预报模式)进行了数值模拟,结果表明同化MODIS资料,可以改进初始场水汽和温度分布,间接调整高空风场,调整趋势符合卫星观测,对短时降水预报有正面影响。