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221.
Probability maps of landslide reactivation derived from tree-ring records: Pra Bellon landslide, southern French Alps 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Jérôme Lopez Saez Christophe CoronaMarkus Stoffel Philippe SchoeneichFrédéric Berger 《Geomorphology》2012,138(1):189-202
Probability maps of landslide reactivation are presented for the Pra Bellon landslide located in the southern French Alps based on results obtained with dendrogeomorphic analysis. Spatiotemporal patterns of past landslide activity was derived from tree-ring series of 403 disturbed mountain pine trees growing in the landslide body. In total, 704 growth disturbances were identified in the samples indicating 22 reactivation phases of the landslide body between 1910 and 2011. The mean return period was 4.5 years. Given the spatiotemporal completeness of the reconstruction, probabilities of landslide reactivation were computed and illustrated using a Poisson distribution model and for 5, 20, 50, and 100 years. Probability of landslide reactivation is highest in the central part of the landslide body and increases from 0.13 for a 5-year period to 0.94 for a 100-year period. Conversely, probabilities of reactivation are lower at its margins. The proposed method differs from conventional approaches based on statistical analyses or physical modeling that have demonstrated to have limitations in the prediction of spatiotemporal reactivation of landslides. Our approach is, in contrast, based on extensive data on past landslides and therefore allowed determination of quantitative probability maps of reactivation derived directly from the frequency of past events. This approach is considered a valuable tool for land managers in charge of protecting and forecasting people and their assets from the negative effects of landslides as well as for those responsible for land use planning and management. It demonstrates the reliability of dendrogeomorphic mapping that should be used systematically in forested shallow landslides. 相似文献
222.
Sandra Owens Philippe De Wals Grace Egeland Christopher Furgal Yang Mao Gerald Y. Minuk Paul A. Peters Manon Simard éric Dewailly 《Climatic change》2012,115(1):259-281
The contributions of several IPY health projects are highlighted in the context of population health indicators for Inuit Nunangat. Food and housing are two critical social determinants of health contributing to health issues on many levels. The nutritional deficit associated with food insecurity and the transition away from traditional and towards market foods represents a dual risk with profound consequences. Knowledge of the physiological benefits associated with traditional food consumption is increasing, including for mental health and chronic disease. Ensuring the safety of traditional foods in terms of zoonotic diseases is thus highly valuable and efforts to institute adequate monitoring and address knowledge gaps are underway. Acute respiratory disease among the young remains a significant public health issue with potential long term effects. The human papilloma virus is manifesting itself among women across northern Canada with high risk types that are more similar to profiles observed in Europe than in North America with possible implications for immunization programs. Despite a high prevalence of Hepatitis B virus infections among residents of Inuit Nunangat, the outcomes appear to be relatively benign. Communication of new knowledge on the manifestation of this virus among northern populations is provided to health care providers in the North through modern technology. 相似文献
223.
Anne-Marie Aucour Pierre Faure Bernard Gomez Yann Hautevelle Raymond Michels Frédéric Thévenard 《Organic Geochemistry》2009,40(7):784-794
The chemical composition of Cretaceous leaf remains showing exceptionally well preserved cuticles was investigated using pyrolysis gas chromatography–mass spectrometry (Py-GC–MS) and thermally assisted hydrolysis methylation (THM)-GC–MS. Samples of Coniferales (Frenelopsis) and Ginkgoales (Nehvizdya penalveri) leaf remains were collected from freshwater and coastal marine depositional environments. Material for pyrolysis included (i) untreated leaves and cuticles obtained after extraction from mineral rock matrix and bleaching, (ii) kerogen fraction from both materials, (iii) non-hydrolysable fraction from kerogen. The THM-GC–MS data from untreated leaves and bleached cuticles show that the fossil cuticle geopolymer essentially released aliphatic components upon thermal treatment, with a dominance of fatty acids (FAs) and n-alkanes/n-alkenes. The FAs are essentially resistant to bleaching and remain after solvent extraction. They occur mainly as short chain compounds ranging from C6 to C16 and with maximum abundance at C8–C9. The n-alkanes/n-alkenes from kerogen and the non-hydrolysable residue occur mainly as short chain compounds in the range C10–C16, with the highest abundance at C9–C12. The THM-GC–MS pyrograms of the fossil cuticles differ from those of cutan from fresh living plants. They support the preservation model via polymerization of monomers derived from cutin or from unsaturated cell FAs. 相似文献
224.
Amaelle Landais Mathieu Casado Frédéric Prié Olivier Magand Laurent Arnaud Alexey Ekaykin Jean-Robert Petit Ghislain Picard Michel Fily Bénédicte Minster Alexandra Touzeau Sentia Goursaud Valérie Masson-Delmotte Jean Jouzel Anaïs Orsi 《Comptes Rendus Geoscience》2017,349(4):139-150
Polar ice cores are unique climate archives. Indeed, most of them have a continuous stratigraphy and present high temporal resolution of many climate variables in a single archive. While water isotopic records (δD or δ18O) in ice cores are often taken as references for past atmospheric temperature variations, their relationship to temperature is associated with a large uncertainty. Several reasons are invoked to explain the limitation of such an approach; in particular, post-deposition effects are important in East Antarctica because of the low accumulation rates. The strong influence of post-deposition processes highlights the need for surface polar research programs in addition to deep drilling programs. We present here new results on water isotopes from several recent surface programs, mostly over East Antarctica. Together with previously published data, the new data presented in this study have several implications for the climatic reconstructions based on ice core isotopic data: (1) The spatial relationship between surface mean temperature and mean snow isotopic composition over the first meters in depth can be explained quite straightforwardly using simple isotopic models tuned to d-excess vs. δ18O evolution in transects on the East Antarctic sector. The observed spatial slopes are significantly higher (~ 0.7–0.8‰·°C?1 for δ18O vs. temperature) than seasonal slopes inferred from precipitation data at Vostok and Dome C (0.35 to 0.46‰·°C?1). We explain these differences by changes in condensation versus surface temperature between summer and winter in the central East Antarctic plateau, where the inversion layer vanishes in summer. (2) Post-deposition effects linked to exchanges between the snow surface and the atmospheric water vapor lead to an evolution of δ18O in the surface snow, even in the absence of any precipitation event. This evolution preserves the positive correlation between the δ18O of snow and surface temperature, but is associated with a much slower δ18O-vs-temperature slope than the slope observed in the seasonal precipitation. (3) Post-deposition effects clearly limit the archiving of high-resolution (seasonal) climatic variability in the polar snow, but we suggest that sites with an accumulation rate of the order of 40 kg.m?2.yr?1 may record a seasonal cycle at shallow depths. 相似文献
225.
Auchère Frédéric Hassler Donald M. Slater David C. Woods Thomas N. 《Solar physics》2001,202(2):269-280
Two successful sounding rocket flights were launched on 15 May 1997 and 2 November 1998 with an objective of providing inter-calibration with several of the instruments on board SOHO and TRACE. We will discuss here the results of the inter-calibration between the SwRI/LASP rocket imaging instruments and the Extreme-ultraviolet Imaging Telescope (EIT) on SOHO. The Multiple XUV Imager (MXUVI) sounding rocket instrument is a multi-layer mirror telescope equipped with an internal occulter and light trap to provide full-disk images of Feix/x 17.1 nm and off-limb observations of Heii 30.4 nm. The SOHO/EIT instrument is also a full-disk multi-layer imager with four channels, Fe ix/x 17.1 nm, Fexii 19.5 nm, Fexv 28.4 nm and Heii 30.4 nm. By comparison with the EIT observations taken at the same time, we provide new flat-field determinations for EIT which help quantify the sensitivity degradation of the EIT detector, as well as provide a measure of the off-limb stray-light characteristics of the two instruments. We find that the EIT stray-light function is strongly asymmetric, with greater stray light in the 17.1 and 19.5 nm quadrants than the 30.4 and 28.4 nm quadrants. Two possible causes of this asymmetry are the polishing processes of the EIT mirrors and the asymmetric support grid pattern in the foil mesh at the EIT pupil. 相似文献
226.
Bougrain Laurent Gonzalez Maria Bouchot Vincent Cassard Daniel Lips Andor L. W. Alexandre Frédéric Stein Gilbert 《Natural Resources Research》2003,12(3):173-181
This study is concerned with understanding of the formation of ore deposits (precious and base metals) and contributes to the exploration and discovery of new occurrences using artificial neural networks. From the different digital data sets available in BRGM's GIS Andes (a comprehensive metallogenic continental-scale Geographic Information System) 25 attributes are identified as known factors or potential factors controlling the formation of gold deposits in the Andes Cordillera. Various multilayer perceptrons were applied to discriminate possible ore deposits from barren sites. Subsequently, because artificial neural networks can be used to construct a revised model for knowledge extraction, the optimal brain damage algorithm by LeCun was applied to order the 25 attributes by their relevance to the classification. The approach demonstrates how neural networks can be used efficiently in a practical problem of mineral exploration, where general domain knowledge alone is insufficient to satisfactorily model the potential controls on deposit formation using the available information in continent-scale information systems. 相似文献
227.
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229.
Catherine Crouzeix Jean-Louis Le Mouël Frédéric Perrier Patrick Richon Pierre Morat 《Comptes Rendus Geoscience》2003,335(4):345-354
Vertical profiles of temperature have been monitored in the atmosphere of an underground quarry since June 2001. A long-term temperature increase of the order of 0.1 °C per year is observed. Three heating experiments with 100-W sources, performed to study plume dynamics, can also be used to investigate the effect of visits on this increase. Ten days after the 24-h heatings, the initial state is not restored. Artificial contributions to the observed long-term temperature trend, triggered by internal heat release, thus cannot be ruled out. This experiment defines strict criteria for the underground monitoring of global warming or the preservation of painted caves. To cite this article: C. Crouzeix et al., C. R. Geoscience 335 (2003). 相似文献
230.
Jacques Yvon Jean-Maurice Cases Frédéric Villiéras Laurent Michot Fabien Thomas 《Comptes Rendus Geoscience》2002,334(9):717-730
By nature minerals are heterogeneous materials for many of their properties. These properties also vary according to composition and structure fluctuations, compared to definitions. Technical minerals are used in applications where their performances depend on intrinsic properties and processing conditions. It is possible to base rankings on simple criteria, allowing estimating the abilities of minerals for each utilisation. The research of the corresponding mechanisms concerns the molecular level. These questions are discussed for kaolins, raw materials for baked clays, talqueous materials and montmorillonites. To cite this article: J. Yvon et al., C. R. Geoscience 334 (2002) 717–730. 相似文献