孟加拉湾超级风暴费林对西藏强降水的影响分析

利用NCEP/NCAR(2.5°×2.5°)再分析资料和常规、非常规观测资料,通过环境场和中尺度特征较全面细致地分析了孟加拉湾风暴费林（Phailin）对西藏特大暴雪的影响。研究表明：“费林”对强降水的影响主要是登陆减弱为低压后,低压云系分两个阶段形成三个中尺度对流云团,对流云团在南支槽的作用下上高原。而强降水的发生和南风风速的大小有直接的对应关系,西南低空急流建立后西藏南部才出现强降水,而低空急流的建立是靠南支槽的贡献。南风风速和强降水的这一重要关系为此类天气提供了预报着眼点。     

地震孕育体源流变模型(三)--前兆场

在三维流变介质体源孕震模型的粘弹性位移场与应变场理论基础上,建立了流变介质体源孕震模型的前兆场理论解,导出了流变介质中任意一点（x,y,z）的地倾斜、地下水位、电阻率的粘弹性解析解,并对地电阻率的应用作了初步分析,为地震孕育过程中前兆分析提供了一定的理论基础.      

闽,浙,赣晚前寒武纪构造格局探讨

华南前寒武纪构造格架在长期中不断取得进展。通过闽、浙、赣地区前寒武纪建造、构造综合分析研究：浙西－赣东北地区中元古代晚期为华夏古陆的活动陆缘;武陵运动是华南是重要的造山运动,华夏古陆与扬子板块在赣东北断裂带一线碰撞,形成了统一的“华南古大陆”;新元古代由于区域地质条件不同,各地块碰撞后的构造演化存有明显的差异;新元古代本区主要由华南新元古代早期大陆碰撞带和闽西南－赣南裂陷槽组成。     

Correlation analysis and partial least square modeling to quantify typical minerals with Chang＇E-3 visible and near-infrared imaging spectrometer＇s ground validation data

In 2013, Chang＇E-3 program will develop lunar mineral resources in-situ detection. A Visible and Near-infrared Imaging Spectrometer （VNIS） has been selected as one payload of CE-3 lunar rover to achieve this goal. It is critical and urgent to evaluate VNIS＇ spectrum data quality and validate quantification methods for mineral composition before its launch. Ground validation experiment of VNIS was carried out to complete the two goals, by simulating CE-3 lunar rover＇s detection environment on lunar surface in the laboratory. Based on the hyperspectral reflectance data derived, Correlation Analysis and Partial Least Square （CA-PLS） algorithm is applied to predict abundance of four lunar typical minerals （pyroxene, plagioclase, ilmenite and olivine） in their mixture. We firstly selected a set of VNIS＇ spectral parameters which highly correlated with minerals＇ abundance by correlation analysis （CA）, and then stepwise regression method was used to find out spectral parameters which make the largest contri- butions to the mineral contents. At last, functions were derived to link minerals＇ abundance and spectral parameters by partial least square （PLS） algorithm. Not considering the effect of maturity, agglutinate and Fe~, we found that there are wonderful correlations between these four minerals and VNIS＇ spectral parameters, e.g. the abundance of pyroxene correlates positively with the mixture＇s absorption depth, the value of absorption depth added as the in- creasing of pyroxene＇s abundance. But the abundance of plagioclase correlates negatively with the spectral parame- ters of band ratio, the value of band ratio would decrease when the abundance of plagioclase increased. Similar to plagioclase, the abundance of ilmenite and olivine has a negative correlation with the mixture＇s reflectance data, if the abundance of ilmenite or olivine increase, the reflectance values of the mixture will decrease. Through model validation, better estimates of pyroxene, plagioclase and ilmenite＇s abundances are given. It is concluded that VNIS has the capability to be applied on lunar minerals＇ identification, and CA-PLS algorithm has the potential to be used on lunar surface＇s in-situ detection for minerals＇ abundance prediction.     

青海省兴海县索拉沟铜多金属矿成矿地质特征与矿床成

通过对索拉沟铜多金属矿床的矿体特征、矿石组成、围岩蚀变特征分析和论述,以及对矿石的硫、铅同位素和包裹体均一温度的测试,结果显示矿石硫同位素834S值变化于-3.91‰-4.42‰,具有深源特征;铅同位素投影在造山带铅附近,模式年龄与区域中酸性岩体基本一致;矿物包裹体爆裂法测温范围在270℃-365℃间,反映成矿过程是一...     

GPS在地震仪器地理北方位定向中的应用

介绍了用GPS对台站数字化地震仪地理北方向的定位方法。试验表明,定向精度优于2′,完全满足地震仪器定向精度小于6′的要求。     

天顶对流层产品发布时间分辨率的确定

IGS分析中心发布的天顶对流层产品（zenith tropospheric delay,ZTD）的时间分辨率为5 min、1 h和2 h,高时间分辨率ZTD产品能有效提高相关应用精度并拓展应用领域,但ZTD产品发布的时间分辨率作为数据资源属性缺乏规范化研究。鉴于此,首先利用历元差分和区间拟合研究ZTD产品的时变统计特征,其次利用L-S频谱分析法分析ZTD短周期特性,同时结合奇异值分解法研究不同时间分辨率ZTD数据矩阵的奇异值比特征。通过多种方法计算结果的比较,ZTD产品发布的合理时间分辨率建议为30 min。     

Latest update of the climatology and changes in the seasonal distribution of precipitation over China

Based on daily precipitation data from 524 meteorological stations in China during the period 1960–2009, the climatology and the temporal changes (trends, interannual, and decadal variations) in the proportion of seasonal precipitation to the total annual precipitation were analyzed on both national and regional scales. Results indicated that (1) for the whole country, the climatology in the seasonal distribution of precipitation showed that the proportion accounted for 55 % in summer (June–August), for around 20 % in both spring (March–May) and autumn (September–November), and around 5 % in winter (December–February). But the spatial features were region-dependent. The primary precipitation regime, “summer–autumn–spring–winter”, was located in central and eastern regions which were north of the Huaihe River, in eastern Tibet, and in western Southwest China. The secondary regime, “summer–spring–autumn–winter”, appeared in the regions south of the Huaihe River, except Jiangnan where spring precipitation dominated, and the southeastern Hainan Island where autumn precipitation prevailed. (2) For the temporal changes on the national scale, first, where the trends were concerned, the proportion of winter precipitation showed a significantly increasing trend, while that of the other three seasons did not show any significant trends. Second, for the interannual variation, the variability in summer was the largest among the four seasons and that in winter was the smallest. Then, on the decadal scale, China experienced a sharp decrease only in the proportion of summer precipitation in 2000. (3) For the temporal changes on the regional scale, all the concerned 11 geographic regions of China underwent increasing trends in the proportion of winter precipitation. For spring, it decreased over the regions south of the Yellow River but increased elsewhere. The trend in the proportion of summer precipitation was generally opposite to that of spring. For autumn, it decreased over the other ten regions except Inner Mongolia with no trend. It is noted that the interannual variability of precipitation seasonality is large over North China, Huanghuai, and Jianghuai; its decadal variability is large over the other regions, especially over those regions south of the Yangtze River.     

顾及三维方向的GNSS坐标时间序列粗差探测方法

针对GNSS坐标时间序列中粗差为三维位置粗差的特点,提出综合三维坐标的迭代最小二乘粗差探测方法。通过实验模拟数据,分别利用3倍中误差（3σ）准则和四分位距（interquartile range, IQR）准则对单方向和综合N、E、U三方向的粗差进行探测。结果表明,2种判别准则中,综合考虑3个方向的探测效果远好于单方向的探测效果,且探测效率均超过95%;3σ准则的探测效率稍高于IQR准则,但误判率也较高。在实测数据中的应用表明,SOPAC(Scrips Orbit and Permanent Array Center)提供的部分raw类型全球IGS站时间序列中粗差占0.1%~4.7%;运用IQR准则综合3个方向的粗差探测得到的时间序列要比cleaned trend类型更加干净。     

Characteristics of seismic activity before the MS8.0 Wenchuan earthquake

The characteristics of spatio-temporal seismicity evolution before the Wenchuan earthquake are studied. The results mainly involve in the trend abnormal features and its relation to the Wenchuan earthquake. The western Chinese mainland and its adjacent area has been in the seismically active period since 2001, while the seismic activity shows the obvious quiescence of M≥?7.0, M≥?6.0 and M?≥5.0 earthquakes in Chinese mainland. A quiescence area with M?≥7.0 has been formed in the middle of the North-South seismic zone since 1988, and the Wenchuan earthquake occurred just within this area. There are a background seismicity gap of M?≥5.0 earthquakes and a seismogenic gap of M_L?≥4.0 earthquakes in the area of Longmenshan fault zone and its vicinity prior to the Wenchuan earthquake. The seismic activity obviously strengthened and a doughnut-shape pattern of M?≥4.6 earthquakes is formed in the middle and southern part of the North-South seismic zone after the 2003 Dayao, Yunnan, earthquake. Sichuan and its vicinity in the middle of the doughnut-shape pattern show abnormal quiescence. At the same time, the seismicity of earthquake swarms is significant and shows heterogeneity in the temporal and spatial process. A swarm gap appears in the M4.6 seismically quiet area, and the Wenchuan earthquake occurred just on the margin of the gap. In addition, in the short term before the Wenchuan earthquake, the quiescence of earthquake with M_L≥?4.0 appears in Qinghai-Tibet block and a seismic belt of M_L?≥3.0 earthquakes, with NW striking and oblique with Longmenshan fault zone, is formed.