南四湖消落带底泥磷形态分布特征、影响因素及释放风险

南四湖是南水北调东线最大的调蓄湖泊,周期性水位涨落会形成大面积消落带,认知消落带底泥磷形态赋存特征、影响因素及释放潜能,对于保障东线调水水质具有重要的科学意义.本研究分析了南四湖消落带底泥磷形态分布特征,探讨了各形态磷与土地利用、母质类型及底泥理化因素之间的关系,评价了南四湖消落带底泥磷的污染程度并分析了其释放风险.结果发现,消落带底泥中总磷(TP)、无机磷(IP)、NaOH提取态磷(NaOH-P)、HCl提取态磷(HCl-P)和有机磷(OP)含量的平均值分别为745.37、510.51、50.42、460.09和234.86 mg/kg,以HCl-P为主的IP占比较高.南四湖消落带底泥各形态磷含量具有较高的空间异质性,TP、IP、OP、HCl-P和NaOH-P含量的变异系数分别为30.7%、36.9%、29.6%、37.6%和51.2%.自然湿地、乔木林地和水浇地等土地利用方式下的底泥NaOH-P、HCl-P、IP、OP和TP含量差异不显著.土壤类型对消落带底泥OP含量影响明显,但对TP、IP、NaOH-P和HCl-P含量则影响不大.NaOH-P含量与HCl-P含量具有显著正相关,与...     

渤海海冰的年际和年代际变化特征与机理

根据1951-2013年间的渤海冰情等级资料,利用最大熵谱分析、相关分析和合成分析等方法,研究了渤海冰情等级的年际和年代际变化特征,探讨了局地气候、大气环流、ENSO(El Nio-Southern Oscillation)和太平洋年代际振荡(PDO)对海冰的影响。结果表明,渤海海冰具有明显的年际和年代际变化特征,并在1972年前后发生了一次由重到轻的气候跃变,在跃变后冰情较跃变前平均降低了0.7级。相关分析与合成分析结果显示,渤海冰情的年际变化除受局地气候的影响外,还受西太平洋副热带高压(副高)、极涡和欧亚环流的共同调控,特别在1972年以后,秋季副高、冬季欧亚和亚洲纬向环流对渤海冰情的年际变化均有重要影响,可作为渤海海冰预报的重要因子,而春季PDO、ENSO、冬季副高及欧亚和亚洲经向环流则是渤海冰情年代际变化的影响因素。     

藏北查桑上三叠统复理石沉积大地构造背景的初步探讨

藏北羌塘地块的构造性质和构造局是中国地学界长期争论的重要问题。这里人迹罕至,研究程度很低,基础地质资料缺乏。这是有关地质问题得不到解决的根本原因之一。本项研究的首要目的也是为该地区的地质研究提供一份基础资料,羌塘地块腹地查桑地区的上三叠统肖茶上涨且,下部为细碧岩、中基性火山岩、玄武质角砾岩来灰岩和大理岩,上部主要为碎屑岩（复理石）和灰岩,我们在肖茶卡组上部的复理石中采集砂岩、粉砂岩样品,进行主量元     

北京地区未来1～3天昼夜气温预报模型

采用T2 1 3数值天气预报产品资料和北京市观象台 ( 5451 1 )实时地面气象观测资料 ,运用神经网络方法 ,建立了北京市观象台 (东郊 )未来 1～ 3天 ( 0～ 72h)夜间、白天、全天平均气温及夜间最低、白天最高气温共 5项气温的预报模式 ,经检验 ,预报的均方根误差 <2℃ ,可满足供热调度节能工作的迫切需要。     

Soil moisture temporal stability and spatio-temporal variability about a typical subalpine ecosystem in northwestern China

Knowledge of the spatial–temporal variability of soil water content is critical for water management and restoration of vegetation in semi-arid areas. Using the temporal stability method, we investigated soil water relations and spatial–temporal variability of volumetric soil water content (VSWC) in the grassland–shrubland–forest transect at a typical semi-arid subalpine ecosystem in the Qilian Mountains, northwestern China. The VSWC was measured on 48 occasions to a depth of 70 cm at 50 locations along a 240-m transect during the 2016–2017 growing seasons. Results revealed that temporal variability in VSWC in the same soil layer in the three vegetation types and averaged across vegetation types tended to exhibit similar patterns of a decrease with increasing soil depth. Temporal stability in each vegetation type was stronger with an increase in soil depth. However, the results of temporal stability determined with standard deviation of relative difference (SDRD) disagreed with those based on the Spearman's rank correlation coefficient; the forest site had the highest Spearman rank correlation coefficient while the shrubland—the smallest SDRD in the 0–20 cm soil layer. Correlation analyses of VSWCs between two vegetation types indicated that soil water was related among all three vegetation types at the 0–20, and 0–70 cm soil layer, but in the 20–40 and 40–70 cm soil layers, significant correlation (p < .01) occurred only between adjacent vegetation types. In the upper soil layer (0–20 cm), soil water relations were mainly affected by surface runoff. In the lower soil layer (20–40 and 40–70 cm), soil water relations among the three vegetation types were highly complex, and probably resulting from a combination of root distribution and activity, interflow, and the impact of deep soil freeze–thaw dynamics. These results suggest that the factors affecting soil water are complex, and further research should address the relative importance of and interactions among different determining factors.     

顾及海底地形非线性项的最小二乘配置反演方法

针对目前常用的反演海底地形方法主要考虑海底地形和卫星测高重力数据线性趋势项而忽略非线性项影响现状,提出了顾及海底地形非线性项的最小二乘配置反演方法.选择日本海某海域作为目标海区,利用卫星测高重力异常和重力异常垂直梯度数据作为输入源进行了方法试算并构建了相应的海深模型,然后以实际船测海深作为外部检核参考,评估了反演模型效能,同时分析了反演模型频谱特征.目标海区试验结果表明:相较于本文仅仅考虑海底地形和重力数据线性趋势项采用最小二乘方法建立的海深模型,基于最小二乘配置方法,利用相同重力异常和重力异常垂直梯度数据获得的目标海区反演海深模型检核精度最低分别提高了大约2.5倍和3.5倍,相对精度最高分别提升了9.76％ 和13.07％,极大地提升了海底地形建模质量;采用本文方法建立的海底地形模型在研究海域表现良好,反演模型与S&S V18.1、ETOPO1、GEBCO和BAT_VGG模型在研究海域相关系数均达到了0.95以上;在研究海区本文模型检核精度与S&S V18.1相当,远远优于ETOPO1等海深模型;本文模型可有效改善船测海深相关波段信息(本文反演波段范围为15～160 km),其中重力异常垂直梯度构建的海深模型相比重力异常为输入源建立的海深模型改善船测海深相关波段信息更为明显,验证了本文方法的可行性和有效性.     

一个长生命期准静止中尺度对流系统的观测特征及其持续的环境条件

2010年5月31日至6月1日华南特大暴雨过程经历了三次集中降水期,共有4次MCS（Mesoscale Convective Systems）演变过程,其中一个TL/AS MCS（Training Line/Adjoining Stratiform Mesoscale Convective System,邻接层状单向发展的中尺度对流系统）在广西壮族自治区中部准静止地维持了10多个小时,导致了多个观测站出现极端强降水。用观测资料和数值模拟结果重点探讨了该TL/AS MCS的观测特征及其发展持续的环境条件。结果表明,准静止TL/AS MCS发展在一个高空强辐散、低空气旋性汇合环流的天气尺度环境中,TL/AS MCS维持期间热力环境特征表现为对流层中低层持续高湿近饱和态、偏中性层结、合适的对流有效位能和极小的对流抑制能量。在对流层中低层,低空急流的加强发展维持与对流层中层相对弱的环境风形成了风垂直切变随高度呈现强逆转,近地层风垂直切变垂直于对流线的分量大,而在中层风垂直切变平行于对流线的分量占绝对优势,风切变特征可能是TL/AS MCS 准静止的原因;低空急流和中层环流的相互作用、对流层动力和热力条件有利于强上升运动的长时间维持与发展,不断触发新对流从而组织成一个长生命期准静止的TL/AS MCS     

星敏感器/GNSS定姿系统的联合非线性预测滤波算法

提出一种联合式非线性预测滤波算法,解决该系统在姿态动力学模型误差非高斯分布条件下的多敏感器信息融合问题。从算法结构和估计准则两个方面证明非线性预测滤波(NPF)与Kalman滤波的等效性,分析联合式NPF的算法流程,讨论模型误差方差矩阵的计算方法,给出加权系数矩阵的设计准则;介绍星敏感器和全球卫星导航系统(GNSS)的定姿原理,推导星敏感器/GNSS组合姿态确定系统的联合式NPF滤波模型,分析系统的算法实现流程;进行数值仿真试验,结果表明联合式NPF算法融合NPF与联邦滤波的优良品质,可有效解决姿态动力学模型误差非高斯分布条件下无陀螺姿态确定系统的多敏感器信息融合问题。     

Proto-solid bitumen in petroleum altered by thermochemical sulfate reduction

Thermochemical sulfate reduction (TSR) involves a complex series of redox reactions whereby petroleum is oxidized by sulfate forming H₂S and CO_2. A highly aromatic, sulfur rich carbonaceous residue, which we define as TSR-solid bitumen, is commonly seen in reservoir rocks where TSR has occurred. Using atmospheric pressure photoionization (APPI) Fourier transform ion cyclotron resonance (FTICR) mass spectrometry, we find that TSR altered oils and condensates contain highly condensed polynuclear aromatic and naphthenoaromatic species with 0–3 S atoms. These chemical species are not present in petroleum fluids of equivalent maturity that have not experienced TSR and must have been formed by the TSR process. We call these species proto-solid bitumen as they represent the type of organic compounds that could easily precipitate from the TSR altered oils with slight chemical alteration or changes in reservoir conditions.