芦山MS7.0地震前远、 近场形变 时空演化特征研究

应用芦山M_S7.0地震震中附近跨断层及连续形变观测资料, 分析了芦山地震前不同阶段地形变变化的特点, 讨论了震中附近区域异常时空演化过程. 结果表明: ① 自2013年1月起, 沿鲜水河断裂带一些跨断层基线观测到显著的加速转折变化, 沿安宁河、 则木河断裂带个别场地的跨断层水准基线, 2010年以来出现的巨幅异常等是突出的场兆变化; 沿龙门山断裂带一些水准观测在汶川M_S8.0地震后持续的调整变化具有近震源区变形特征. ② 鲜水河、 龙门山和安宁河3条主要断裂围成的三叉口地区, 地倾斜、 应变、 重力及断层水准和蠕变观测临震前均未有显著的异常变化, GPS水平、 垂直位移年速率最小, 该地区是形变变化或形变异常分布的“空区”. ③ 在对近场与远场多种连续形变数据通过傅里叶变换提取年周期成分后发现, 临震前2—3年近震源区域的地倾斜、 重力年变化幅度不是增大, 而是减小. 芦山M_S7.0地震前观测到的形变前兆现象特征与汶川M_S8.0地震等震前的前兆现象较为接近. 因此, 芦山地震前近震源区及外围形变异常分布特征不是个别的现象.      

An assessment of three satellite-based precipitation data sets as applied to the Thailand region

The study examines three satellite-based data sets to estimate long-term precipitation for the Thailand region: the Tropical Rainfall Mapping Mission (TRMM) 3B43, the Climate Prediction Centre morphing technique (CMORPH), and a locally developed regression model using the geostationary meteorological satellite (GMS) covering the Thailand region. Data for the first two sets were available at a spatial resolution of 0.25° × 0.25°, while the local regression model used data from the GMS at a resolution of 5 km × 5 km. The statistical regression model was developed by relating long-term monthly average precipitation from 27 rain gauge stations with concurrent satellite data in the visible and thermal infrared bands. The model was then tested against independent data from 27 rain gauge stations. Satellite/rain gauge ratios were estimated, and a smooth spline surface was used to correct the error from the model. Data from the three approaches were compared with a rain gauge network. The TRMM relation performed better than CMORPH, and the performance for GMS was comparable to TRMM with root mean square different and mean bias difference of 33.6 and 4.2%, respectively. The locally developed regression model was used to produce monthly and yearly total rainfall maps from the GMS data for the entire country.     

Environmental magnetic studies of sediment cores from Gonghai Lake: implications for monsoon evolution in North China during the late glacial and Holocene

Environmental magnetic studies were conducted on a 9.42-m-long sediment core from Gonghai Lake, North China. Radiocarbon dating indicates that the record spans the last 15,000 cal year BP. The principal magnetic mineral in the sediments is pseudo-single domain magnetite of detrital origin with minimal post-depositional alteration. Although the variations in the concentration of detrital magnetic minerals and their grain size throughout the core reflect inputs from both soil erosion and eolian dust, it is shown that their climatic and environmental significance changes with time. In the lowermost part of the core, ~15,000–11,500 cal year BP, the magnetic minerals were supplied mainly by bedrock erosion, soil erosion and dust input when climate ameliorated after the cold and dusty last glacial maximum. The increasing magnetic susceptibility (χ) in this interval may indicate a combination of changes in the lake environment together with catchment-surface stabilization and a decreasing proportion of dust input. In the central part of the core, ~11,500–1,000 cal year BP, the detrital magnetic minerals mainly originated from dust inputs from outside the catchment when the lake catchment was covered by forest, and catchment-derived sediment supply (and thus the lake sediment accumulation rate) were minimal. The generally low concentration of magnetic minerals in this part of the core reflects the highest degree of soil stability and the strongest summer monsoon during the Holocene. In the uppermost part of the core, the last ~1,000 years, detrital magnetic minerals mainly originated from erosion of catchment soils when the vegetation cover was sparse and the sediment accumulation rates were high. Within this part of the core the high magnetic susceptibility reflects strong pedogenesis in the lake catchment, and thus a strong summer monsoon. This scenario is similar to that recorded in loess profiles. Overall, the results document three main stages of summer monsoon history with abrupt shifts from one stage to another: an increasing and variable summer monsoon during the last deglacial, a generally strong summer monsoon in the early and middle Holocene and a weak summer monsoon in the late Holocene. The results also suggest that different interpretational models may need to be applied to lake sediment magnetic mineral assemblages corresponding to different stages of environmental evolution.     

舟曲县南峪沟松散固体物源及其对泥石流的补给特征

南峪沟地处特殊的构造部位,特定的地层经长期的内外营力共同作用,形成泥石流松散固体物源。物源类型有重力堆积物和沟床中下游段松散堆积物,其分布相对较集中,对泥石流补给方式表现为坡面冲刷、崩塌、滑坍和流体冲刷;沟域面积和沟道长度与物源量没有明显的对应关系,决定泥石流补给量的主要因素是沟谷形态和山体岩石类型。     

中天山巴仑台地区变形花岗岩类LA-ICP-MS-U-Pb年代学及其构造意义

本文对巴仑台地区中天山南北边缘的变形花岗岩体进行了详细的锆石LA-ICP-MS-U-Pb年代学研究。中天山北缘花岗质片麻岩中岩浆锆石结晶年龄为630.0±5.0 Ma,代表了中天山微陆基底的新元古代岩浆事件年龄;其变质增生锆石边的年龄为440.9±3.3 Ma,精确限定了中天山北缘洋盆闭合与碰撞造山作用的时代为早志留世。中天山南缘糜棱岩化花岗闪长岩中岩浆锆石结晶年龄为389.5±3.2 Ma,指示出中天山南缘洋壳在中泥盆世向北俯冲形成陆缘岩浆弧;其变质增生锆石边的年龄为362.1±4.3 Ma,精确限定了中天山南缘洋盆闭合与碰撞造山作用的时代为晚泥盆世末期。研究结果还表明中天山微陆块具有年龄为2.5Ga和1.8Ga的古老结晶基底。     

贵州平坝榜上煤矿矿山环境影响分区研究

为准确划定矿山环境影响范围,有效地开展矿山环境保护与综合治理,促进矿山可持续发展,本文在详细分析贵州平坝榜上煤矿矿山环境现状存在问题的基础上,运用采掘活动过程中的安全开采深度、移动角、边界角和地下水均衡原理等理论．系统地分析和计算了榜上煤矿矿山环境影响的几类不同范围：利用上山移动角确定地质灾害危险性大区,采用边界角确定井下开采影响范围,运用“大井法”圈出疏排水影响范围。依据矿山环境问题类型影响程度．相应地划分为严重区、较严重区和较轻区等3类,并给出具体量化指标。     

不同流体性质储集层的混沌特性提取及测井解释

从非线性混沌理论的角度对储层测井信号进行分析以及特征提取,避开以往测井信号分类特征基于线性理论的传统做法。目的是寻求不同流体性质储集层(油层、水层和干层)与其测井信号的混沌特征之间联系,希望为不同流体储集层提供一种新颖的测井解释方法。首先分析测井信号的混沌机理,之后对测井信号分别进行预处理和非平稳分析。在此基础上,对实际测井数据进行混沌特征的提取,如关联维数、最大Lyapunov指数和近似熵的提取及分析。研究结果表明,不同流体储集层的混沌特征参量数值大小存在明显差异。因此,在对测井信号提取混沌特征参量值之后,可根据参量值所处区间范围对储集层的不同流体性质进行解释。     

层序古地理背景下河南省二_1煤聚集规律研究

对河南省晚石炭世-早二叠世含煤岩系(太原组中部碎屑岩段、上部灰岩段和山西组二1煤层段、大占砂岩段)进行层序分析,共识别出以胡石砂岩底面、二1煤底面、大占砂岩底面和香炭砂岩底面为代表的4个层序界面,将该层段含煤岩系划分为3个三级层序。通过对层序S1和层序S3岩相古地理图和二1煤厚度等值线图耦合分析发现,障壁岛-潟湖沉积环境为二1煤的聚集提供一个较好的前期环境,分流间湾沉积环境为二1煤的保存提供一个较好的后期环境,而分流河道对二1煤的保存起到了破坏性的作用。     

Short-term Earthquake Prediction in the Sichuan-Yunnan Region Using the Method of Modulated Earthquakes

By scanning modulated or un-modulated earthquakes spatio-temporally in the region of Sichuan-Yunnan,short-term non-stationary seismic precursory patterns were extracted with significant difference and the characteristic of non-stationary short-term seismic anomalies were analyzed as well as prediction efficiency of modulated small earthquakes before a strong earthquake. Besides,small earthquake modulation ratios near the region of the epicenter were calculated and sorted by time. The results indicated that there were significant effects using the modulated earthquake method to predict earthquakes greater than MS6. 0 in a short time. Before the MS8. 0 Wenchuan earthquake,there were obvious short-term precursory seismicity gap patterns of modulated small earthquakes.     

Geological Structure and Quaternary Activity of the Zhangjiakou Fault, Northern China

Based on detailed field investigations,this paper describes the geometrical characteristics and tectonic activities of the Zhangjiakou fault at the northwest of Beijing. This fault strikes mainly northwest to west,short parts of which strike near east to west,dipping north,and extends over a length of 70km. It is a major geological and geomorphological margin,controlling the neotectonic movement in this region. On the south side of the Zhangjiakou fault are the Late Quaternary unconsolidated deposits,forming basins; while on the other side are Mesozoic volcano debris and Pre-Mesozoic metamorphic rocks, forming lower mountains and hills. The Zhangjiakou fault consists mainly of high-angle inverse strike-slip fault and partially of normal strike-slip fault. Among these,the north-dipping NW-NWW-trending secondary faults,constituting the main fracture of the fault,have inverse characteristics; those near the EW-trending secondary faults are links of the former faults,with a smaller length and normal faulting characteristics. Thus,the Zhangjiakou fault is a north-dipping inverse and partially south-dipping normal strike-slip fault. The Zhangjiakou fault has been continuously active since the Quaternary. With the exception of the western end extension,which has been active since the late Pleistocene, the main part of the fault has been active since the Holocene. The central main segment of the Zhangjiakou fault is more active. Since the mid-late period of the late Pleistocene,the average vertical slip rate of a single fault has been over 0. 07mm /a ～ 0. 30mm /a. The Zhangjiakou fault has multi-slip surfaces,and the total vertical slip rate reaches 1. 33mm /a,estimated from the Qingshuihe river terraces and the relevant drilling data.