Analysis of the Trends of Thunderstorms in 1951–2007 in Jiangsu Province

Based on the 1951–2007 thunderstorms in Jiangsu, a study is conducted for their climate trends, periodicity, spatiotemporal patterns, and the distributions of the first and last days of the thunderstorms at different guarantee rates (GRs) using climate tendency rate, wavelet analysis, and GR for diagnosis. Results suggest that the inter-annual number of thunderstorm days (TSDs) exhibits a decreasing trend in this province. The trend is displayed mainly in the decreasing TSD number in summer and autumn except in spring, when the variation is not significant in the study period. In this province, the TSD number declines by ~2 days per 10 years. On an inter-annual basis, the pronounced positive departures of the number take place chiefly in the early 1960s, the late 1960s to the early-mid-1970s, the late 1980s, and the late 1990s compared with the negative anomalies dominant in the late 1970s to the mid-1980s, the mid-to-late-1990s, and the late 1990s to 2007. There are vast differences in the initial and ending days at diverse GRs in different areas of the province. At 50% GR, the earliest (last) days occur from mid-March to early April (early to late September) while at 80% GR, the initial (last) days are from late March to early May (early to late October). For the distribution of periods, the periods >8–10 years are relatively stable for the entire province. Based on 1951–2007 period analysis, the region north (south) of the Huaihe River experiences TSDs less (more) than normal days in recent years.     

气象灾害应急管理能力评价

建立气象灾害应急能力评价指标体系对增强应对气象灾害管理能力和提高灾害的应急响应能力有重要的意义。从系统理论的角度出发,基于气象灾害应急管理的特征和结构的分析,运用层次分析法原理,构建了由气象灾害预警防御能力、政府组织能力、支撑保障能力3个1级指标和15个2级指标组成的气象灾害应急管理能力的评价指标体系,可为提高气象灾害应急管理能力和防灾减灾提供科学依据。     

中尺度灾害天气分析与预报系统综合显示平台

中尺度灾害天气分析与预报系统(Meso-Weather Analysis and Forecasting System,简称MWAFS)是集成了国家重大科研项目产出的有关中尺度灾害天气研究成果以及气象行业关键的业务产品,综合应用计算机网络、地理信息系统、数据库以及气象专业分析模型等信息处理技术建立的一个能快速、有效地监...     

深圳大鹏半岛国家地质公园中生代火山地层的时代讨论

深圳地区中生代火山地层分布区是我国东南沿海浙闽粤港火山活动带的一个重要组成部分,是我国沿海地区侏罗纪—白垩纪火山地层较有代表性地段,也是研究我国东南沿海侏罗纪—白垩纪火山活动的天然博物馆。近期通过野外观察,测制火山地层剖面,进行锆石同位素激光定年测试,对大鹏半岛国家地质公园中生代火山地层的时代提出新的认识,将原划分为上侏罗统高基坪群划分为早—中侏罗世塘厦组(181.8 Ma?)、中侏罗世吉岭湾组(165.8 Ma)、晚侏罗世梧桐山组(156.9~145.6 Ma)、晚侏罗世—早白垩世七娘山组(146.3~131.0 Ma)、早白垩世官草湖群等。     

10个土壤有效态成分分析标准物质研制

首批6个土壤有效态成分分析标准物质(GBW07412～GBW07417),在土壤地力评价和生态农业环境地球化学评价中发挥了重要作用,经十年广泛应用,现已用尽。为满足我国覆盖区多目标地球化学调查与评价及农业土壤地力调查与评价有效态化学成分测试质量监控的需求,2009年中国地质科学院地球物理地球化学勘查研究所研制了新系列土壤有效态成分分析标准物质(GBW07412a～GBW07417a,GBW07458～GBW07461)。该系列10个标准物质在原有6个样品采集地重新采集的基础上,新增的4个样品侧重于西部地区和石灰性土壤,使得新研制的有效态成分分析标准物质地域和土壤类型代表性更为广泛。有效态成分的浸提方法和浸提条件由农业部、国土资源部和中国科学院相关部门13家单位共同研讨,消除农林行业间个别项目分析方法的细微差异,与首批6个标准物质相比浸提方法、浸提条件与测试方法统一,定值成分全面,包括植物营养元素和重金属污染元素,定值项目达50项。     

地球化学块体理论在青海沱沱河地区铅锌资源潜力预测中的应用

以地球化学块体理论为基础的方法和技术确定了沱沱河铅锌地球化学块体的下限和含量级次,对沱沱河地区铅锌元素的地球化学块体进行了划分,总结了地球化学块体在空间上的分布规律,通过研究地球化学块体内部结构,追踪大型至特大型矿床可能存在的地点。根据已知地区的矿产探明储量与地球化学块体的关系,计算了该地区成矿率,预测了区内铅锌矿资源潜力,同时指出在块体内还存在巨大的寻找铅锌矿产资源的潜力。     

塔河油气田AT1区块凝析气藏三维地质建模研究

以随机函数理论为基础,采用相控-多参数协同的随机建模方法,建立塔河油气田AT1区块凝析气藏三维地质模型,实现气藏精细三维表征。首先,以钻井和岩芯资料为基础构建储层构造模型;然后,以小层界面为控制条件建立储层结构模型;接着,在沉积相、地质条件的约束下,采用序贯指示模拟法来建立砂体骨架模型;随后,在砂体骨架模型内进行优势相计算,形成最终有效砂体骨架模型;最后,以有效砂体骨架模型为约束,采用序贯高斯模拟法建立储层物性参数模型。结果表明：将物性参数变量与微相分布结合的序贯高斯模拟法建立孔隙度等物性参数的分布模型,以及采用地质分析类比、地质统计分析等方法优选最佳模型是有效的地质建模方法;所建地质模型精确细致地表征了塔河油气田AT1区块凝析气藏构造格架及储层、流体三维分布,反映了辫状水道复合连片,东北向展布,储层物性受相控较明显,非均质性较强。     

ArcGIS三维分析技术在潜在滑坡体预测中的应用

以贵州省六盘水市水城县大河镇一个潜在滑坡体为例,利用遥感影像（RS）、地理信息系统（GIS）、遥感图像处理（ENVI）和三维分析（ArcGIS）等技术,完成了对该地质体的高分辨率遥感影像和DEM信息数据的生成处理。并采用ArcGIS三维分析方法技术,实现了对所预测的潜在滑坡体三维的立体可视化成图及其表面积、体积的概略计...     

时间域拉东变换的实现及其改进

介绍了时间域拉东正反变换的基本原理及该项技术在地震数据处理中的应用。以Ng和Perz的算法为基础,以开发地震勘探处理与解释系统为实例,解决了实验中遇到的拉东正变换时收敛精度、反变换数据无损还原和截断信号引起的能量扩散、低信噪比情况下的滤波等问题,进一步研究了改进算法在其他地形下应用问题。     

Human Health Risk Assessment Model of Organic Pollution in Groundwater: Shijiazhuang Industrial Zone

In this study, a risk-based management model is developed and applied to an industrial zone. The models proposed by the United States Environmental Protection Agency and Han Bing have been improved by adding a residual ratio of volatile organic compounds (VOC) after boiling and deleting the related parameters in half-life. Using this improved model, an integrated process was used to assess human health risk level in the study area. Compared with water quality analysis, the results highlight the importance of applying an integrated approach for decision making on risk levels and water protection. The results of this study demonstrated that: (1) Compared with these permissible level standards in China (GB 3838-2002) and National Primary Drinking Water Regulations of the United States, the residents’ daily life had not been affected by the groundwater in this area (except for relative bad water quality of HB3-4 and HB3-6); (2) The typical detected organic contaminants of all groundwater samples were chloroform, carbon tetrachloride, trichloroethylene and tetrachloroethene, and the pollution sources were mainly industrial sources by preliminary investigations; (3) As for groundwater, the non-carcinogenic risk values of all samples do not exceed the permissible level of 1.0 and the carcinogenic risk values are relatively lower than the permissible level of 1.00E-06 to 1.00E-04; (4) Drinking water pathway of trichloroethylene and tetrachloroethylene mainly contribute to increasing the health risk of residents’ in study areas; (5) In terms of non-carcinogenic risk and carcinogenic risk, the health risk order for drinking water pathway and dermal contact pathway was: drinking water pathway > dermal contact pathway.