多普勒雷达风场资料在临近预报中的应用

为了研究对流单体移动的运动学和动力学特征,本文综合应用多普勒雷达反射率因子资料和径向速度资料进行雷达回波的外推预报.采用速度方位显示方法(Velocity Azimuth Display,VAD)和交叉相关法(Tracking Radar Echoes by Correlation,TREC),分别得到设定的8个高度的水平风场,并作为回波的引导风,对相应高度的等高平面位置显示(Constant Altitude Plan Position Indicating,CAPPI)反射率因子进行外推.通过两次降水过程分析比较两种方法的外推结果,表明用这两种方法获得的未来60 min内的回波位置与回波实况较吻合;二者在某些高度上预报的评分接近.从两个个例的外推试验发现,预报效果最好的高度层与实际天气过程有关,关键是与降水回波中水平风的垂直分布有关,而不仅仅限于2.5～3.0 km高度.     

偏东气流诱发川西高原东侧两次对流暴雨过程的对比分析

利用区域自动站加密观测资料、NCEP/CFSR 0.5°×0.5°再分析资料以及0.01°×0.01°全球地形资料等,对2013年夏季发生在川西高原东侧两次对流暴雨天气过程中偏东气流的作用和特征进行了对比分析,重点研究两次过程中中低层偏东气流的活动特征、风场的垂直结构和温湿特征及其在对流暴雨中的作用等。结果表明：（1）7月3日过程高原东侧偏东风活动在850 hPa以下,持续时间约20 h,风速平均为2 m·s-1;8月6日过程偏东风活动在700 hPa以下,持续时间也能达到20 h,风速约为4 m·s-1;两次过程均是在天气尺度的西风槽东移与地形的共同作用下,诱生了高原东侧对流层中低层偏东气流,偏东气流形成时间比对流降水发生时间早约12 h。（2）两次过程偏东气流具有高相当位温属性,在其上方存在干冷空气活动,形成了有利的对流不稳定层结。相比较而言,后一次过程偏东气流出现的高度和风速明显增强后,与偏西风形成了更大的低层垂直风切变,暖湿能量局地集中特征更为显著,对于水汽和能量持续输送能力更强,因而引发的对流降水强度明显更大。（3）前一次过程盆地内起伏波动的偏东风与辐合中心及气旋性涡度中心配置关系较差,只是当偏东风受强迫抬升后,在地形附近激发出对流,并使降水主要位于地形附近;后一次过程盆地内平直的偏东风与辐合中心及涡度中心配置关系较好,尺度相当,因此激发出的对流强度和范围有明显增大,强降水沿地形向盆地西部发展。     

利用毫米波测云雷达反演层状云中过冷水

毫米波测云雷达已成为研究云内微物理参数的有效工具,利用其从混合相云中识别出过冷水,对人工影响天气及预防飞机积冰具有重要意义,对我国毫米波雷达的数据处理也具有借鉴作用。本文利用英国的35 GHz、94 GHz测云雷达,结合激光雷达和探空资料,采用阈值法,反演分析了层状云中的过冷水。结果表明:(1)毫米波雷达联合激光雷达可以识别层状云中的过冷水,其结果与微波辐射计测量的液态水路径或毫米波雷达的双峰谱相符合;(2)利用多普勒速度的双峰谱可以反演混合相云中的过冷水含量、冰晶含水量。混合相云的雷达反射率因子主要取决于冰晶,根据雷达反射率因子反演会低估云内液态水含量;(3)本次层状云降水的亮带以上含有较多过冷水,此处35 GHz的雷达回波强度随冰晶的增大而减弱,且冰晶的含水量主导了总液态水含量。     

CORRELATION ANALYSIS OF THE WESTERN PACIFIC SUBTROPICAL HIGH AND EASTERN ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON SYSTEM BASED ON FUZZY SYSTEMS AND DYNAMICAL MODEL INVERSION FORECAST

Based on the adaptive network fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), methods to filter out the noise of impact factors from the main signal are discussed. Focusing on the abnormal weather conditions in 2010, we use the delay-relevant method to analyze the five members of the summer monsoon system that had the largest effect on the subtropical high anomalies from the observational data. ANFIS is suitable for research and simulation of subtropical highs that are difficult to describe accurately with dynamics, allowing the effect of five factors on the subtropical high anomalies to be examined. Our results show that the Mascarene cold high, the Indian monsoon latent heat flux, and the South China Sea monsoon trough had the largest effect on the subtropical high anomalies. Diagnostic analysis, with genetic algorithms (GA) and dynamical reconstruction theory, reconstructed the nonlinear dynamical model of the subtropical high and its main factors objectively and accurately from the sequence of observations in 2010. Furthermore, a dynamically extended forecast experiment is performed. The forecasts for the subtropical high area index, the Mascarene cold high index, the Indian monsoon latent heat flux, and the South China Sea monsoon trough index all show a strong short-term effect over less than 25 days. The forecasting trend is accurate, and the error rate is no more than 7%. Our results provide new insight and methods for research on the association between the western Pacific subtropical high and the East Asian summer monsoon system, and for the prediction of the western Pacific subtropical high index.     

IMPACT OF SSTA OF SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE ON FLOOD SEASON PRECIPITATION ANOMALIES IN YUNNAN

Based on the reanalysis data of monthly mean global SST and wind from the NCEP/NCAR and the observation data of rain seasons in 124 stations of Yunnan province from 1961 to 2006, we applied the analytical methods of correlation analysis and composite analysis and a significance testing method to two sets of samples of average differences. The goal is to investigate into the influence of the Southern Hemispheric (SH) SST on the summer precipitation in Yunnan from January to May so as to identify the key time and marine regions. Physical mechanisms are obtained by analyzing the influence of sea level wind and the key marine regions on the precipitation during Yunnan’s rain season. Results show that there is indeed significant relationship between the SST in SH and summer precipitation in Yunnan. The key areas for influencing the summer precipitation are mainly distributed in a region called “West Wind Drift” in the SH, including the Southeast Indian, southern Australia, west coast of eastern Pacific off Chile, Peru and the southwest Atlantic Magellan. Besides, the most significant marine region is the west coast of Chile and Peru (cold-current areas of the eastern Pacific). Diagnostic analysis results also showed that monsoons in the Bay of Bengal, a cross-equatorial flow in the Indian Ocean near the equator and southwest monsoon in India weaken during the warm phase of the Peruvian cold current in the eastern Pacific. Otherwise, they strengthen.     

Planar deformation features in quartz from impact‐produced polymict breccia of the Xiuyan crater,China

Abstract– The 1.8 km‐diameter Xiuyan crater is an impact structure in northeastern China, exposed in a Proterozoic metamorphic rock complex. The major rocks of the crater are composed of granulite, hornblendite, gneiss, tremolite marble, and marble. The bottom at the center of the crater covers about 100 m thick lacustrine sediments underlain by 188 m thick crater‐fill breccia. A layer of polymict breccia composed of clasts of granulite, gneiss, hornblendite, and fragments of glass as well as clastic matrix, occurs near the base, in the depth interval from 260 to 295 m. An investigation in quartz from the polymict breccia in the crater‐fill units reveals abundant planar deformation features (PDFs). Quartz with multiple sets of PDFs is found in clasts of granulite that consist of mainly quartz and feldspar, and in fine‐grained matrix of the impact‐produced polymict breccia. A universal stage was used to measure the orientation of PDFs in 70 grains of quartz from five thin sections made from the clasts of granulite of polymict breccia recovered at the depth of 290 m. Forty‐four percent of the quartz grains contain three sets of PDFs, and another 40% contain two sets of PDFs. The most abundant PDFs are rhombohedron forms of , , and with frequency of 33.5, 22.3, and 9.6%, respectively. A predominant PDF form of in quartz suggests a shock pressure >20 GPa. The occurrence of PDFs in quartz from the polymict breccia provides crucial evidence for shock metamorphism of target rocks and confirms the impact origin of this crater, which thus appears to be the first confirmed impact crater in China.     

分离式靶标摄影测量在LAMOST中的应用

为了获取LAMOST焦面板上光纤的零位位置,提出了一种基于分离式标准靶标的高精度摄影测量方法。首先,根据Tsai摄像机标定参数模型介绍了CCD相机的标定原理。然后介绍了用光重心算法求取靶标发光点像面坐标及通过球面三角公式计算靶标发光点物面坐标。接着,利用最小二乘法导出了含标定参数的方程组。最后,介绍了标准靶标的放置方法以及提高光纤位置测量精度的靶标取法。实验结果表明:CCD相机的标定残差平均值为8.8μm;标定残差的标准差为5.3μm。测量方法简单易行,通过仔细分析,找出了残差偏大的原因,对后续进一步测量实验有重要指导意义。     

耀变体3C 273在2～10keV的光变特性研究

从RXTE(Rossi X-ray timing explorer)观测原始数据出发,分析了耀变体3C 273在X射线波段2～10 keV从1996年2月2日(MJD 50115)到2007年8月27日(MJD 54339)的数据.一共得到了1 010次观测数据的光子谱指数和相应的流量,平均每次观测时间为1 666.76 s.通过分析3C 273在观测期间2～10 keV硬X射线的能谱变化及光变行为,发现在2000年2月,2003年3、4月,2004年2、3、7月,2006年及2007年,其光子谱指数Γ与流量lgF_(2～10 keV)存在显著反相关.在1999年和2000～2007年观测期间,Γ与lgF_(2～10 keV)月平均行为也同样存在显著反相关.对整个观测期间的光变行为作定量的分析,发现几次较大的光变,并在部分光谱拟合中发现Fe发射线存在的证据,其平均宽度为93.85±21.49 eV.通过分析光变强度与Fe发射线特性,发现3C 273同时具有耀变体与Seyfert星系的一些性质.     

南太湖入湖口蓝藻生物量与CODMn和DO的相关性研究

采用水质监测方法对2008—2010年南太湖水域三个入湖口(小梅港、新塘港、大钱港)水体中蓝藻生物量、CODMn和DO的时空变化特征进行了监测和调查,并通过SPSS10.0软件对蓝藻生物量与CODMn和DO的相关性进行了分析。结果表明:(1)3年内南太湖入湖口蓝藻颗粒数在1.0×106个/L以上范围的频率每年超过50%,最高在3.0×107个/L左右;(2)南太湖入湖口CODMn指标大部分处于较高的污染水平,最高有6.5mg/L,最低约3.0mg/L;(3)蓝藻生物量与CODMn的相关性系数r介于0.3—0.7之间,呈现中低度正相关;(4)3年内蓝藻生物量与DO的相关性系数r介于0.30—0.50,呈现低度正相关,DO浓度有70%以上的频率大于6.0mg/L。结果表明,3个入湖口溶解氧指标能达Ⅱ—Ⅲ类地表水水质标准,但有机物污染已经不容忽视,并且与蓝藻暴发呈一定的相关性。     

棘皮动物线粒体基因组的基因重排、分子标记及系统发生分析

棘皮动物(echinoderms)是海洋生境中所特有的无脊椎动物重要类群,本文全面比较分析了棘皮动物29个物种的线粒体全基因组。线粒体基因组主编码基因的分析结果显示,海胆纲Echinoidea和海参纲Holothuroidea物种的基因排列完全相同;海星纲Asteroidea物种之间的基因排列也完全相同,然而与海胆纲、海参纲相比,存在一个长片段的倒位。海百合纲Crinoidea的栉羽星Phanogenia gracilis和花形羽枝Florometra serratissima主编码基因的基因排列完全相同,地中海海羊齿和海百合Neogymnocrinus richeri与此相比,均存在一个蛋白质编码基因(nad4L)的易位。蛇尾纲Ophiuroidea真蛇尾目Ophiurida的3个科(阳遂足科Amphiuridae、辐蛇尾科Ophiactidae和栉蛇尾科Ophiocomidae)主编码基因的基因排列完全相同,而同属于真蛇尾目,另外一个科(真蛇尾科Ophiuridae)的白色真蛇尾Ophiura albida和灰色真蛇尾Ophiura lutkeni,与同目的前3个科相比,存在3个蛋白质编码基因(nad1、nad2和cob)的倒位。蛇尾纲蔓蛇尾目Euryalida的海盘Astrospartus mediterraneus,与真蛇尾目5个线粒体基因组相比,存在主编码基因的重排。棘皮动物线粒体单基因的变异位点特征显示,nad5、nad4和nad2基因是理想的分子标记基因。基于29个线粒体基因组的氨基酸序列,通过两种方法(邻接法和最大似然法)所构建系统发生树的拓扑结构完全一致。支持其下分的5个纲(蛇尾纲、海参纲、海胆纲、海星纲和海百合纲)均为单系群。线粒体基因组的数据支持棘皮动物动物在纲层次的亲缘关系为:(((海胆纲+海星纲)+海参纲)+蛇尾纲)+海百合纲,海百合纲作为棘皮动物中最为古老的类群,位于系统发生树的根部。基于线粒体基因组构建的系统发生树,支持所有的科均为单系群;综合系统发生树及主编码基因的基因重排分析,均支持真蛇尾目并非单系发生,真蛇尾目的有效性还值得今后深入研究。