阿拉善高原古湖岸堤释光测年与晚第四纪湖面变化

阿拉善高原位于现代西风环流与东亚季风环流过渡带,该地区分布的湖泊对全球性气候变化响应极为敏感,阿拉善高原广泛分布的古湖岸堤为较准确地重建晚第四纪湖泊水位变化提供了良好载体。近年对黑河、石羊河尾闾湖泊以及吉兰泰盐池、雅布赖盆地等地的古湖岸堤的沉积地层以及石英和钾长石释光测年研究,重建了不同区域较高分辨率的末次间冰期以来湖泊时空演化过程。发现早在300 ka以前阿拉善高原就已经形成了高水位湖泊,黑河尾闾额济纳盆地在MIS 11或更早、MIS 9、MIS 7、MIS 5和MIS 1形成了高湖面湖泊,高湖面湖泊形成存在100 ka的周期。阿拉善高原在末次间冰期及全新世形成了稳定高湖面湖泊,但间冰期内部湖面波动具有空间差异性,东部区域湖泊高湖面出现在MIS 5e~5c和中全新世,西部湖泊高湖面出现在MIS 5a~5c和晚全新世。湖面变化的空间差异性很可能与冰期-间冰期旋回尺度及间冰期内部东亚夏季风与西风气候系统在阿拉善高原的相互作用密切相关。

     

Wrench tectonics of Abu Gharadig Basin,Western Desert,Egypt: a structural analysis for hydrocarbon prospects

Mapping based on the interpreted seismic data covering the Abu Gharadig Basin in the northern Western Desert has revealed that the deposition of the Upper Cretaceous succession was controlled by dextral wrench tectonics. This dextral shear accompanied NW movement of the African Plate relative to Laurasian Plate. Structural depth maps of the Cenomanian Bahariya Formation and the Turonian-Coniacian D and A members of Abu Roash Formation display a clear NE-SW anticline dissected by NW-SE normal faults. This anticline represents one of the en echelon folds characterizing the wrench compressional component. The interpreted normal faults reflect the extensional T-fractures associated with the wrenching tectonics. The interaction between the aforementioned NE-SW anticline with the NW-SE extensional faults further confirms the effect of the Upper Cretaceous dextral wrench tectonic. However, the influence of this wrench tectonics was gradually diminishing from the Cenomanian up to the Coniacian times. The NW-SE compressional stress of the dextral wrench compressional component during the Cenomanian up to Coniacian age was greater in NW direction than the SE direction. Three mapped structural closures which are predicted to be potential hydrocarbon traps belonging to the Bahariya Formation and Abu Roash D Member, and are recommended to be drilled in the study area, with potential reservoirs. The regularity of the en echelon array of both anticlines and normal faults within the wrench zones suggests additional closures may be located elsewhere beside the study area.     

测井技术在灰岩地区隧道深孔勘探中的应用

鄂西地区完整灰岩地层的视电阻率、密度、声波、自然伽马等曲线形态受灰岩胶结物质成份和泥质含量影响并具有一定的规律性，当灰岩地层受到构造、溶蚀作用产生破碎带、岩溶、裂隙等不良地质体或存在地下含水体时，各测井物理参数发生变化并在曲线形态上呈现异常反映，据此可以对不良地质体的位置、规模、类型进行准确判断。测井技术在鄂西地区灰岩地区隧道深孔勘探中的应用，补充、验证了钻探资料，为隧道设计、施工提供了可靠的依据。     

Analysis of the contribution of multiple factors to the recent decrease in discharge and sediment yield in the Yellow River Basin,China

The Yellow River basin is well known for its high sediment yield. However, this sediment yield has clearly decreased since the 1980s, especially after the year 2000. The annual average sediment yield was 1.2 billion tons before 2000, but has significantly decreased to 0.3 billion tons over the last 10 years. Changes in discharge and sediment yield for the Yellow River have attracted the attention of both the Central Government and local communities. This study aimed to identify the individual contributions of changes in precipitation and human activities (e.g. water conservancy projects, terracing, silt dams, socio-economic and needs, and soil and water conservation measures) to the decrease in discharge and sediment yield of the Yellow River. The study used both improved the hydrological method and the soil and water conservation method. The study focused on discharge analysis for the upper reaches and the investigation of sediments for the middle reaches of the river. The results showed that discharge and sediment yield have both presented significant decreasing trends over the past 50 years. Precipitation showed an insignificant decreasing trend over the same period. The annual average discharge decreased by 5.68 billion m³ above Lanzhou reach of the Yellow River from 2000 to 2012; human activities (e.g. socio-economic water use) contributed 43.4% of the total reduction, whereas natural factors (e.g. evaporation from lakes, wetlands and reservoirs) accounted for 56.6%. The decrease in annual discharge and sediment yield of the section between Hekouzhen station and Tongguan station were 12.4 billion m³ and 1.24 billion tons, respectively. Human activities contributed 76.5% and 72.2% of the total reduction in discharge and sediment yield, respectively, and were therefore the dominant factors in the changes in discharge and sediment yield of the Yellow River.     

夏季青藏高原东部降水变化与副热带高压带活动的研究

用青藏高原上常规的台站资料和NCEP/NCAR的再分析资料,分析和研究了1993/1994年夏季5—8月青藏高原东部降水变化与西太平洋副热带高压南北移动的关系。结果表明:1993年夏季的副热带高压异常偏南,5—8月副高脊线北移过程中,还伴有准双周南北移动过程;而1994年夏季的副热带高压异常偏北,5—8月副高脊线北移过程中,则主要伴有30—60d的低频变化的南北移动过程。同时,在分析青藏高原上的天气变化特征时,发现这两年高原东部的降水变化特征也有明显的不同,夏季高原上降水的活跃和中断与副高脊线南北移动变化有类似的特征。因此,夏季西太平洋副热带高压南北移动可能与高原东部降水的中断/活跃有一定的关系。     

基于动力统计模型重构的副热带高压中长期预报

基于T106数值预报产品500 hPa位势高度场序列,用EOF方法对位势场序列进行时、空分解,在考虑相邻时段位势场空间模态基本稳定的前提下,引入动力系统重构的思想,以EOF分解的空间模态时间系数序列作为动力统计模型变量,用遗传算法全局搜索和并行计算优势,进行了模型参数的优化反演,建立了EOF分解的时间系数的非线性预报模型.通过模型积分和EOF的时、空重构,实现了副热带高压活动场的中长期预报.试验结果表明,在短期预报(1-5 d)该模型与T106模式的预报效果大致相当;但对于中长期预报(≥5 d),其预报效果优于T106预报产品;特别是10 d以上的预报结果对副热带高压的形态和范围仍然能较为准确地描述.该研究方法对副热带高压等复杂天气系统和要素场预报提供了一种新的思路.     

多视处理对SAR船只探测的影响

合成孔径雷达(Synthetic Aperture Radar, SAR)成像过程中会出现斑点噪声,一般用多视处理减少图像的斑点噪声,这对合成孔径雷达船只探测造成了一定的影响.本文对不同视数SAR图像的等效视数、空间分辨率和船只海面对比度进行了分析,结果表明:一方面,多视处理增加了等效视数,改善了图像质量,更有利于船只探测;但另一方面,多视处理又降低了图像空间分辨率和船只海面对比度,对船只探测产生不利影响.最后本文选取了窗口滤波法和K分布法两种典型的SAR船只探测方法对多视处理的SIR-C SAR图像进行了船只探测试验,得到了最适合船只探测的多视处理的视数.     

积雨云中微物理过程的数值模拟——(二)阵雨、冰雹、暴雨的个例研究

用文(一)的微物理模式在一维时变动力学框架里模拟了江西阵雨云,75·8暴雨和张家口冰雹云。用实测探空作为输入,计算结果同实测的云降水和雷达回波特征相比,在很多方面相当一致。它展示了暴雨云的持续性和冰雹云的低降水效率等,表明了在这些云底较暖的积雨云中贝吉隆过程对降水作用不大,而暖雨过程则是启动降水的主要环节。