共享住宿价格的多尺度空间特征及影响因素

以江苏省苏南地区为案例地,获取Airbnb网站房源数据,运用泰尔指数、DBSCAN聚类算法等分析方法,从多尺度视角对共享住宿价格的空间分异进行探讨,采用OLS回归模型和分位数回归模型从房源内部和房源外部相结合的角度对比分析共享住宿价格的影响因素。结果表明：（1）从苏南整体和各地市来看,共享住宿房源价格在城市内部和区县内部的差异较为明显,在城市之间和区县之间的差异较小;（2）不同价格水平共享住宿的空间聚类中心存在显著差异,高、中、低档次共享住宿对于水域的依赖逐渐降低,整体上,空间聚类中心呈现“东多西少,南多北少”分布;（3）共享住宿房源价格是内部属性和外部属性共同耦合驱动作用的结果,对比来看,房源价格受到内部属性如房源卫生间个数等指标的影响较大,受到外部属性的影响较小,同时不同影响因素对于同等价格水平共享住宿房源的作用方向和影响程度存在明显差异性和分层性。     

China's role in attaining the global 2°C target

In the recent climate change negotiations it was declared that the increase in global temperature should be kept below 2°C by 2100, relative to pre-industrial levels. China's CO₂ emissions from energy and cement processes already account for nearly 24% of global emissions, a trend that is expected to keep increasing. Thus the role of China in global GHG mitigation is crucial. A scenario analysis of China's CO₂ emissions is presented here and the feasibility of China reaching a low-carbon scenario is discussed. The results suggest that recent and continued technological progress will make it possible for China to limit its CO₂ emissions and for these emissions to peak before 2025 and therefore that the global 2°C target can be achieved.

Policy relevance

In signing the Copenhagen Accord, China agreed to the global 2°C target. Results from this article could be used to justify low-carbon development policies and negotiations. While many still doubt the feasibility of a low-carbon pathway to support the global 2°C target, the results suggest that such a pathway can be realistically achieved. This conclusion should increase confidence and guide the policy framework further to make possible China's low-carbon development. Related policies and measures, such as renewable energy development, energy efficiency, economic structure optimization, technology innovation, low-carbon investment, and carbon capture and storage (CCS) development, should be further enhanced. Furthermore, China can play a larger role in the international negotiations process. In the global context, the 2°C target could be reaffirmed and a global regime on an emissions mitigation protocol could be framed with countries’ emissions target up to 2050.     

钦州对虾养殖灾害性天气分析和气象服务要领

利用钦江农场养虾基地提供的养殖数据,结合钦州的天气气候资料,从气象角度分析得到,影响钦州对虾养殖主要有五个气象要素和三大灾害性天气,并提出防灾措施和进行虾业气象服务所应掌握的要点和要领。     

三种再分析资料的高空温度与中国探空温度资料的季节平均特征对比分析

利用中国105个测站的探空资料以及NCEP/NCAR、ERA和JRA三种再分析资料,采用线性趋势和EOF分析等多种统计分析方法,对再分析资料的季节平均高空温度在中国区域的可信度进行了分析.结果表明,在数值上,春、夏、秋季的分布形势较为相似,大多表现出NCEP资料在对流层上层与探空资料更为接近,ERA和JRA资料在对流层中下层与探空资料更为接近,而冬季与其他季节差别较大;在描述长期变化趋势方面,不同季节不同资料的情况不一致,特别是夏季我国南部地区的对流层中层存在较大范围的降温趋势;在不同区域上,相比于探空资料,三种再分析资料在我国北方的描述能力比南方好,东部比西部好;在时空变化特征方面,三种再分析资料第一模态的分布在不同季节差异较大,而第二模态的分布在各季节则较为一致,大多表现出整层温度南北反位相变化的特征.     

Estimating groundwater recharge beneath irrigated farmland using environmental tracers fluoride, chloride and sulfate

Accurate recharge estimation is essential for effective groundwater management, especially in the North China Plain, where irrigation return flow is significant to vertical recharge but brings difficulty for recharge estimation. Three environmental tracers (F^?, Cl^? and SO₄ ^2?) were used to estimate vertical recharge based on the mass balance and cumulative methods. Four boreholes were dry-drilled to 5–25 m depth beneath irrigated farmland and one was drilled to 5 m beneath non-irrigated woodland; soil samples were collected in all boreholes at set depths. The results indicated that F^?, Cl^? and SO₄ ^2?were suitable tracers beneath the non-irrigated woodland, yielding recharge rates of 16.9, 18.8 and 19.4 mm/year, respectively. Recharge estimation was not straightforward when taking account of crop type, irrigation and/or fertilizer use. After comparing with previous research, conclusions were drawn: Cl^? was an appropriate tracer for irrigated farmland when taking account of Cl^? input from irrigation and absorption by crops; recharge rates were 65.9–126.8 mm/year. However, F^? was a more suitable tracer for irrigated regions where account is made of the proportion of precipitation to irrigation return flow, provided low F^? concentrations can be measured reliably.     

Probabilistic slope stability analysis by a copula-based sampling method

In probabilistic slope stability analysis, the influence of cross correlation of the soil strength parameters, cohesion and internal friction angle, on the reliability index has not been investigated fully. In this paper, an expedient technique is presented for probabilistic slope stability analysis that involves sampling a series of combinations of soil strength parameters through a copula as input to an existing conventional deterministic slope stability program. The approach organises the individual marginal probability density distributions of componential shear strength as a bivariate joint distribution by the copula function to characterise the dependence between shear strengths. The technique can be used to generate an arbitrarily large sample of soil strength parameters. Examples are provided to illustrate the use of the copula-based sampling method to estimate the reliability index of given slopes, and the computed results are compared with the first-order reliability method, considering the correlated random variables. A sensitivity study was conducted to assess the influence of correlational measurements on the reliability index. The approach is simple and can be applied in practice with little effort beyond what is necessary in a conventional analysis.     

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987113000303

The Xinjie layered intrusion in the Panxi region,SW China,hosts both Fe-Ti oxide and platinum-group element（PGE） sulfide mineralization.The intrusion can be divided,from the base upward,into UnitsⅠ,ⅡandⅢ,in terms of mineral assemblages.UnitsⅠandⅡare mainly composed of wehrlite and clino-pyroxenite, whereas UnitⅢis mainly composed of gabbro.PGE sulfide-rich layers mainly occur in Unit I, whereas thick Fe-Ti oxide-rich layers mainly occur in UnitⅢ.An ilmenite-rich layer occurs at the top of UnitⅠ.Fe-Ti oxides include magnetite and ilmenite.Small amounts of cumulus and intercumulus magnetite occur in UnitsⅠandⅡ.Cumulus magnetite grains are commonly euhedral and enclosed within olivine and clinopyroxene.They have high Cr₂O₃ contents ranging from 6.02 to 22.5 wt.%,indicating that they are likely an early crystallized phase from magmas.Intercumulus magnetite that usually displays ilmenite exsolution occupies the interstices between cumulus olivine crystals and coexists with interstitial clinopyroxene and plagioclase.Intercumulus magnetite has Cr₂O₃ ranging from 1.65 to 6.18 wt.%, lower than cumulus magnetite.The intercumulus magnetite may have crystallized from the trapped liquid.Large amounts of magnetite in UnitⅢcontains Cr₂O₃（<0.28 wt.%） much lower than magnetite in UnitsⅠandⅡ.The magnetite in UnitⅢis proposed to be accumulated from a Fe-Ti-rich melt.The Fe-Ti-rich melt is estimated to contain 35.9 wt.%of SiO₂,26.9 wt.%of FeO^t,8.2 wt.%of TiO₂,13.2 wt.%of CaO, 8.3 wt.%of MgO,5.5 wt.%of Al₂O₃ and 1.0 wt.%of P₂O₅.The composition is comparable with the Fe-rich melts in the Skaergaard and Sept Iles intrusions.Paired non-reactive microstructures,granophyre pockets and ilmenite-rich intergrowths,are representative of Si-rich melt and Fe-Ti-rich melt,and are the direct evidence for the existence of an immiscible Fe-Ti-rich melt that formed from an evolved ferro-basaltic magma.     

风云三号气象卫星掩星大气产品精度的初步检验

风云三号气象卫星C星于北京时间2013年9月23日成功发射,其上搭载了中国第一个以掩星方式探测中性大气和电离层大气的民用新型有效载荷——全球导航卫星掩星探测仪(Global Navigation Satellite System Occultation Sounder, GNOS)。GNOS可以接收GPS(Global Positioning System)导航卫星和中国北斗导航卫星信号,进而得到全球范围内的中性大气和电离层大气的探测结果。利用常规无线电探空资料,对GNOS接收GPS信号的掩星探测大气产品(包括折射率、密度、温度以及湿度廓线)进行检验,结果表明:在近地面至25 km垂直范围内,GNOS掩星大气产品折射率廓线和干大气密度廓线的平均偏差在0.5%左右,标准偏差在2%左右;温度廓线的平均偏差约为0.5 K,标准偏差约为2 K;水汽廓线的标准偏差在6 km 以下为0.25—1.0 g/kg。对于风云卫星首次尝试的掩星观测技术,GNOS掩星产品的精度基本达到预定目标,在未来还有改进的空间。     

基于深度学习的个性化新闻推荐

由于网络上每天有海量的新闻报道产生,新闻推荐已经成为减轻用户信息负载、实现个性化新闻信息获取的重要途径,并被广泛用于新闻网站和新闻APP中以提升用户体验.不同于传统的商品推荐,在新闻推荐中新的新闻文章产生速度很快,而且新闻的语义信息需要结合整体新闻文本去理解,给传统的基于ID和基于特征的推荐算法带来了很大的挑战.此外,用户的新闻阅读兴趣存在高度多样性和动态性的特点,使得准确的用户建模变得非常困难.本文介绍了一些基于深度学习的个性化新闻推荐算法,并探讨了新闻推荐未来的一些可行的方向.     

Lithium abundances of 21 solar-type stars near the Sun

We present high-resolution spectroscopic observations for a sample of 21 young, solar-type stars near the Sun recently discovered in the X-ray wavelength range during the ROSAT all-sky survey. Based on these observations, we derive the lithium (Li) abundances of these 21 sample stars. Using the lithium abundances and the X-ray luminosity, we investigated the relationship between the Li abundances and the X-ray activity. We found a clear correlation between the lithium abundances and the X-ray luminosity: as the X-ray luminosity became stronger, the lithium abundance decreases in our sample stars. Our sample results provide further evidence that a correlation appears to exist between Li abundances, X-ray activity and age for a large number of solar-type stars. The results also confirm the presence of very active young stars close to the Sun, in agreement with recent findings from UV and X-ray surveys.