Study of statistically correcting model CMAQ-MOS for forecasting regional air quality

Based on analysis of the air pollution observational data at 8 observation sites in Beijing including outer suburbs during the period from September 2004 to March 2005, this paper reveals synchronal and in-phase characteristics in the spatial and temporal variation of air pollutants on a city-proper scale at deferent sites; describes seasonal differences of the pollutant emission influence between the heating and non-heating periods, also significantly local differences of the pollutant emission influence between the urban district and outer suburbs, i.e. the spatial and temporal distribution of air pollutant is closely related with that of the pollutant emission intensity. This study shows that due to complexity of the spatial and temporal distribution of pollution emission sources, the new generation Community Multi-scale Air Quality (CMAQ) model developed by the EPA of USA produced forecasts, as other models did, with a systematic error of significantly lower than observations, albeit the model has better capability than previous models had in predicting the spatial distribution and variation tendency of multi-sort pollutants. The reason might be that the CMAQ adopts average amount of pollutant emission inventory, so that the model is difficult to objectively and finely describe the distribution and variation of pollution emission sources intensity on different spatial and temporal scales in the areas, in which the pollution is to be forecast. In order to correct the systematic prediction error resulting from the average pollutant emission inventory in CMAQ, this study proposes a new way of combining dynamics and statistics and establishes a statistically correcting model CMAQ-MOS for forecasts of regional air quality by utilizing the relationship of CMAQ outputs with corresponding observations, and tests the forecast capability. The investigation of experiments presents that CMAQ-MOS reduces the systematic errors of CMAQ because of the uncertainty of pollution emission inventory and improves the forecast level of air quality. Also this work employed a way of combining point and area forecasting, i.e. taking the products of CMAQ for a center site to forecast air pollution for other sites in vicinity with the scheme of model products "reanalysis" and average over the "area".     

Chemical forms of heavy metal contaminants in sediments of Miyun reservoir

The chemical forms, spatial distribution and sources of As, Hg, Cd, Pb and Zn in sediments of the Miyun reservoir were studied. The results of sequential extraction demonstrate that most of As, Pb and Zn were bound to the residual fraction, Hg was associated with the sulfide fraction while Cd was associated with the carbonate fraction and the residual fraction. On the vertical profiles the concentrations of the heavy metals in total and each fractions mostly decreased with increasing depths in sediments, suggesting that the heavy metals input from the upstream watershed increases yearly. Summation of the residual fraction, the sulfide fraction and the carbonate fraction accounts for 60.03%―85.60% of the total heavy metal contents in the sediments, which represent the geochemical background values of the elements and relate closely to soil erosion. Results of the main factor analysis show that most sediments of the reservoir come from the upstream soil erosion, the point source pollution and domestic waste. Moreover, the microbial activities taking place on the sediment-water interface are also one of the major factors to cause the increasing content of the organic matter fraction and the iron-manganese oxide fraction. Environmental change of the reservoir water could make the removability of the heavy metals increase, leading to the increase of their concentrations in pore water in sediments, and imperiling water quality of the reservoir.     

广州流溪河河水主要化学组成时空分布特征及控制因素

本次研究报道了位于广州市典型热带-亚热带河流流溪河上游、中游和下游3个站点(东星、乌石和江高)河水的主要化学成分在近1年的持续变化时间序列。结果显示,3个站点河水的阳离子均主要来自硅酸盐的化学风化输出,但贡献率略有差异,其中在上游的东星站贡献率最大,下游的江高站次之,中游的乌石站相对较少。相较之下,阴离子的来源更为多样,其中F-主要来自于岩石风化, Cl^-、SO₄^2-和NO₃^-更多地受到海洋源降雨或咸潮作用的影响。流域内主要化学风化反应以钾长石、钠长石和钙长石的溶解为主。从上游到下游, Si/TZ+*比值和Si/(Na^*+K)比值逐渐降低,说明上游硅酸盐岩风化较下游更为强烈。从上游到下游,随工农业生产活动的增加,人类活动对河流水化学组成的贡献逐渐增大,岩石风化输出的相对贡献逐渐减小。     

共线条件方程在建筑物比高求解中的应用

高度信息作为人工地物的重要属性信息,在军事和民用上都具有很高的利用价值。针对人工地物高度提取的发展现状及存在的主要问题,对单张航片利用共线条件方程确定人工地物比高方法的原理和技术进行了研究,并进行了实验,验证了方法的可行性。     

基于环境DNA技术的舟山南部海域鱼类资源状况和多样性分析

为完善舟山南部海域鱼类种类组成及结构特征,文章使用环境DNA技术对该海域鱼类多样性进行检测。通过采集水样、过滤、提取环境DNA、PCR扩增、测序,在该海域6个站位中获得8个环境DNA样品,共检测到9种舟山海域常见鱼类。其中,软骨鱼纲1种,辐鳍鱼纲8种,龙头鱼(Harpadon nehereus)为优势种。研究结果表明,虽然环境DNA技术无法完全替代传统的鱼类资源调查方法,但是可以作为鱼类资源调查和空间分布的补充手段,与底拖网数据结合,为舟山南部海域鱼类组成和群落结构季节性变化提供依据。     

基于FY-3C微波辐射成像仪海表温度产品的偏差订正方法研究

提出一种针对FY-3C搭载的微波辐射成像仪(MWRI)海表温度产品的分段回归偏差订正方法,该方法通过引进气候态海表温度数据,建立与关联实测海表温度相匹配的回归模型,并通过对模型中关联变量的误差分析,选择最优样本进行分段回归,以实现对海表温度数据的重新估计。通过对MWRI海表温度数据的偏差订正试验表明,采用分段回归方法获得的订正结果无论在误差指标的空间分布还是时间序列上,都要明显优于采用传统概率密度函数偏差订正方法的结果。其中,采用概率密度函数方法订正后的海表温度产品误差标准差和均方根误差从订正前的0.9—1.0℃,减小到0.8℃左右,而采用分段回归方法获得相应的订正误差仅为0.6℃左右,订正效果有明显改善。     

CORS系统的差分定位终端设计与实现

当前广泛使用的实时GNSS定位应用可分为两种:一种是低成本定位应用,其采用廉价的芯片和天线,广泛应用于手机、共享单车和公交车定位等方面;另一种是高精度GNSS定位应用,采用网络RTK技术并结合测量型天线和接收机,为高精度测量用户提供实时厘米级测量服务。随着物联网、5G等技术的发展,实时分米到亚米级的定位需求逐渐增多。原有的低成本GNSS定位技术无法达到这一精度要求,高精度定位的设备成本高昂,无法用于大众导航领域。因此,本文实现了一种基于CORS系统的低成本差分定位终端。该终端包括两个部分:外接设备和手机。试验表明,在接入CORS系统后,该设备水平方向的定位精度可以达到亚米级,对推进CORS系统的大范围应用具有一定的意义。     

云南个旧卡房铜多金属矿床流体包裹体特征及其地质意义

卡房铜多金属矿床位于云南省个旧锡多金属矿集区, 作为该区南段典型的铜多金属矿床, 其深入的成矿流体性质及成矿物质来源研究尚为薄弱, 限制了对该矿床成因的深入认识。本文对产于玄武岩中的似层状铜多金属矿体(主要成矿类型)开展了精细的野外岩相学、矿物学、C-H-O同位素及流体包裹体原位成分分析。结果显示, 流体包裹体主要为气液两相水溶液包裹体, 石英流体包裹体均一温度为 264.5~330.5 ℃、盐度w(NaCleq)为16.24%~18.20%、密度为0.853~0.924 g/cm3; 萤石流体包裹体均一温度为199.8~339.1 ℃、盐度w(NaCleq)为8.81%~18.88%、密度为0.822~0.955 g/cm3; 方解石流体包裹体均一温度为112.1~199.4 ℃、盐度w(NaCleq)为4.96%~10.86%、密度为0.910~1.011 g/cm3, 表明卡房铜多金属矿床成矿流体具有中低温、中低盐度、低密度特征, 且早阶段到晚阶段, 成矿温度和流体盐度明显降低。与Cu矿共生的石英δDV-SMOW值为–83.9‰ ~ –78.9‰, δ18OH2O值为4.63‰~12.14‰, 方解石δ13CV-PDB值为–7.11‰~ 0.64‰; 同时, 石英单个流体包裹体原位分析结果显示流体包裹体富集大离子亲石元素, 如Na、K、Rb、Cs、Sr等。这些特征暗示了流体可能来源于与花岗质岩浆有关的热液流体, 热液流体上升过程中与围岩碳酸盐岩发生强烈的水-岩反应; 该过程可能萃取了玄武岩层中的Cu物质, 诱发了Cu的富集并最终成矿。     

云南金沙厂铅锌矿床地球化学特征及其指示意义

位于扬子地块西南缘的“川滇黔铅锌矿集区”是我国西南大面积低温成矿域的重要组成部分, 金沙厂铅锌矿床是其中典型矿床之一, 前人针对金沙厂矿床的成矿物质来源和成矿流体特征开展了大量研究, 但围岩对成矿的贡献和矿床成因仍不明确。针对这一问题, 本文系统分析了金沙厂闪锌矿及围岩的微量元素组成, 结合围岩和萤石的稀土元素特征, 探讨了围岩对成矿的贡献, 厘定了矿床成因。研究表明, 闪锌矿以富集Cd、Ge、Cu、Ga, 贫Fe、Mn、In、Co、Ni为特征, 这些元素多以类质同象的形式赋存在闪锌矿中, 个别元素如Cu、Ge等含量变化范围较大, 可能与低温流体有关。矿床中闪锌矿存在多种颜色的原因可能是Cu、Ge等多种元素共同作用的结果。近矿端的围岩明显富集Zn、Pb、As、Cd等元素, 而闪锌矿中同样富集这些元素, 说明围岩为成矿提供了部分金属元素。萤石继承了围岩的Eu、Ce负异常, 并受到了具有较高Ce负异常的成矿流体影响。萤石较围岩具有较高的Y/Ho比值, 说明萤石中的部分Y来源于围岩, 从而导致萤石具有较高的Y/Ho值。总体上, 该矿床中闪锌矿微量元素组成与MVT矿床基本一致, 明显有别于喷流沉积型、岩浆热液型和远端夕卡岩型矿床, 其成矿温度属于低温范围, 结合其矿床地质地球化学特征, 本文认为金沙厂铅锌矿床属于MVT铅锌矿床。     

吉林省辉南地区含金韧性剪切带的构造地质特征

吉林省辉南地区韧性剪切带岩石变形特征复杂多样。通过对剪切带内岩石的有限应变测量和变形环境的分析,认为本区韧性剪切带发育在地壳浅层次的低温低压环境,为逆冲推覆韧性变形,其变形变质作用相当于低绿片岩相,具有独特的构造组合和岩石变形特征,差异应力值为４５－５４ＭＰａ,剪切位移量约为１２．５ｋｍ,形成时间为中元古宙。