Identification of active seismicity by fractal analysis for understanding the recent geodynamics of Central Himalaya

Seismicity along the Himalayan front is mostly attributed to the processes of collision between the Indian and the Eurasian plates resulting in the under-thrusting of the Indian Peninsula underneath the Himalaya. The dynamics of the region bears very complex components which require in-depth understanding. Here the overall rate of crustal shortening since ∼ 11 Ma is ∼ 21mm/yr, which is comparable to modern rate of under-thrusting of the northern Indian plate beneath the Himalaya. The region experienced a large number of great earthquakes for the last 100–120 years causing massive destruction. Here an attempt has been made to understand the seismicity pattern of the region using fractal correlation dimension and hence used for the detection of active seismicity. Some clusters of seismicity were found to be indicative of seismically very active zones. Such clusters may enlighten the understanding of recent complex dynamics of Himalayan zone.     

Earthquake forerunner as probable precursor — an example from north burma subduction zone

The Burmese Arc seismic activity is not uniform for its ∼ 1100 km length; only the Northern Burmese Arc (NBA) is intensely active. Six large earthquakes in the magnitude range 6.1–7.4 have originated from the NBA Benioff zone between 1954–2011, within an area of 200 × 300 km² where the Indian plate subducts eastward to depths beyond 200 km below the Burma plate. An analysis on seismogenesis of this interplate region suggests that while the subducting lithosphere is characterized by profuse seismicity, seismicity in the overriding plate is rather few. Large earthquakes occurring in the overriding plate are associated with the backarc Shan-Sagaing Fault (SSF) further east. The forecasting performance of the Benioff zone earthquakes in NBA as forerunner is analysed here by: (i) spatial earthquake clustering, (ii) seismic cycles and their temporal quiescence and (iii) the characteristic temporal b-value changes. Three such clusters (C1–C3) are identified from NBA Benioff Zones I & II that are capable of generating earthquakes in the magnitude ranges of 7.38 to 7.93. Seismic cycles evidenced for the Zone I displayed distinct quiescence (Q₁, Q₂ and Q₃) prior to the 6^th August 1988 (M 6.6) earthquake. Similar cycles were used to forecast an earthquake (Dasgupta et al. 2010) to come from the Zone I (cluster C1); which, actually struck on 4 February 2011 (M 6.3). The preparatory activity for an event has already been set in the Zone II and we speculate its occurrence as a large event (M > 6.0) possibly within the year 2012, somewhere close to cluster C3. Temporal analysis of b-value indicates a rise before an ensuing large earthquake.     

Rain height in relation to 0°C isotherm height for satellite communication over the Indian Subcontinent

Summary ¶The 0°C isotherm height, a parameter needed for the estimation of attenuation of microwave and millimetre wave for earth-space communication, has been estimated for different stations spread over India. The variations of 0°C isotherm height for different seasons over these stations are presented. Attenuations of radio wave due to rain at frequencies 10GHz and above have also been estimated for few stations using the 0°C isotherm height so derived. The results are useful for radio systems designers.     

Use of hydrochemical parameters for the identification of fresh groundwater resources,Potharlanka Island,India

A hydrochemical study has been carried out on the fresh groundwater resources of Potharlanka, Krishna Delta, India. Groundwater samples were collected at 58 sites and analyzed in June and December 2001. The groundwater is mildly alkaline with a pH of 7.2–8.2, electrical conductivity (EC) varies from 645–4,700 µS/cm in June 2001 (pre-monsoon) and from 605–5,770 µS/cm in December 2001 (post-monsoon). More than 75% of the samples have >1000 mg/l TDS which is higher than the maximum permissible limit for potable water. Na and Cl are the dominating cations and these are directly proportional to TDS. Extremely low HCO ₃/Cl and variable high Mg/Ca (molar ratios) indicated the transformation of the fresh groundwater aquifer systems to saline. Groundwater of this island is classified as Na–Cl, Na–Ca–Cl–HCO ₃, Na–Mg–Cl–SO ₄ and mixed types. A high percentage of mixed water types indicates the possibility of simultaneous fresh groundwater dilution activity along with a seawater ingression/intrusion process. Low rainfall and excessive withdrawal of groundwater has caused the increase of saline water intrusion.     

Birkhoff’S Theorem In The Einstein–Cartan–Kalb–Ramond Theory Of Gravity

It is shown that an analog of Birkhoff’s theorem of general relativity exists in the Einstein–Cartan–Kalb–Ramond (ECKR) theory of gravity when Kalb–Ramond (KR) field strength, which occurs in the theory is independent of time.     

The geometry of the Burmese-Andaman subducting lithosphere

The gross seismotectonic features for the Burmese-Andaman arc system which defines the northeast margin of the Indian plate are rather well known but variations in the subduction zone geometry along and across the arc and fault pattern within the subducting Indian plate have not been studied. Present workaims to study these by using seismicity data whose results are presented in the form of: (a) Lithospheric across-the-arc sections at about every 100–120 km (approximately one degree latitude apart) covering the 3500 km longBurmese-Andaman arc system, (b) a structure contour map showing the depth tothe top surface of the seismically active lithosphere and (c) interpretationof focal mechanism solutions for 148 Benioff zone earthquakes. Both penetrationdepth and the dip of the Benioff zone vary considerably along the arc in correspondence to the curvature of the fold-thrust belt which varies from concave to convex in different sectors of the arc. Several extensive `Hinge faults' that abut at high angles to the arc orientation, are inferred from aninterpretation of the structure contour map. Active nature of the hinge faultsis established in several areas by their association with earthquakes andcorroborated through fault plane solutions. At shallow level of the Benioffzone along these faults, focal mechanism solutions display left lateral strikeslip movement while at deeper levels reverse fault solutions are common.     

Auto-correlation analysis of ocean surface wind vectors

The nature of the inherent temporal variability of surface winds is analyzed by comparison of winds obtained through different measurement methods. In this work, an auto-correlation analysis of a time series data of surface winds measuredin situ by a deep water buoy in the Indian Ocean has been carried out. Hourly time series data available for 240 hours in the month of May, 1999 were subjected to an auto-correlation analysis. The analysis indicates an exponential fall of the autocorrelation in the first few hours with a decorrelation time scale of about 6 hours. For a meaningful comparison between satellite derived products andin situ data, satellite data acquired at different time intervals should be used with appropriate ‘weights’, rather than treating the data as concurrent in time. This paper presents a scheme for temporal weighting using the auto-correlation analysis. These temporal ‘weights’ can potentially improve the root mean square (rms) deviation between satellite andin situ measurements. A case study using the TRMM Microwave Imager (TMI) and Indian Ocean buoy wind speed data resulted in an improvement of about 10%.     

Some rain rate and rain attenuation statistics at millimeter wavelengths in the tropics

Summary A study of rain rate and rain induced attenuation characteristics over two tropical stations in India has been made. The observed rain rate distributions differ significantly when compared with the CCIR report. The refractive indices have been calculated for certain frequencies at a tropical rain temperature of 20°C showing the variational pattern at different millimeter wavelengths. The present analysis also reveals that in the range 0.05 cm–0.3 cm drop diameter the variations of scattering amplitudes are systematic while in the range 0.4 cm–0.6 cm they are irregular.With 6 Figures     

A comparison of two techniques for calculating groundwater arsenic-related lung,bladder and liver cancer disease burden using data from Chakdha block,West Bengal

Calculation of excess disease burden for As exposed populations is becoming increasingly important to enable quantitative estimation of the impacts of various As mitigation options. There are several methods by which such calculations may be carried out. In this study, two methods, recently applied to estimating groundwater As-related health risks in southern Asia, to estimate disease burden arising from lung, bladder and liver cancer from As exposure for an As-effected area of West Bengal have been compared. Both utilized calculated distributions of exposure of the studied population to As from groundwater. Method (I) then entailed calculating disease burden by combining published background rates for death and disability adjusted life years (DALYs) and standard mortality ratios (SMRs) for excess health impacts related to As exposure, whilst for Method (II), disease burden from As exposure was estimated using the basic DALY formula, combined with incidence rates based on the NRC multistage Weibull model. Dose–response data for both methods were based on studies in Taiwan.