基于质量守恒的示踪测速模型及实证

示踪测井技术能准确测定地下水渗透流速,传统方法适用于没有垂向流的测井。总结了前人的研究,结合工程实际引入函数vv(z)和vh(z),并根据示踪剂质量守恒的原理建立了基于质量守恒的示踪测速模型,考虑了测井中水流垂向运动的影响。最后利用模型计算了存在较强垂向流的小浪底反调节水库6#井的渗透流速,计算结果与水库渗漏勘探结果一致,说明模型的计算结果是正确的,能排除垂向流的干扰,模型有较强的实际应用价值。     

Simulation of extreme precipitation over the Yangtze River Basin using Wakeby distribution

Based on the daily observational precipitation data at 147 stations in the Yangtze River Basin during 1960–2005 and projected daily data of 79 grid cells from the ECHAM5/ MPI-OM model in the 20th and 21st century, time series of precipitation extremes which contain AM (Annual Maximum) and MI (Munger Index) are constructed. The distribution feature of precipitation extremes is analyzed based on the two index series. Three principal results were obtained, as stated in the sequel. (i) In the past half century, the intensity of extreme heavy precipitation and drought events was higher in the mid-lower Yangtze than in the upper Yangtze reaches. Although the ECHAM5 model still can’t capture the precipitation extremes over the Yangtze River Basin satisfactorily, spatial pattern of the observed and the simulated precipitation extremes are much similar to each other. (ii) For quantifying the characteristics of extremely high and extremely low precipitation over the Yangtze River Basin, four probability distributions are used, namely: General Extreme Value (GEV), General Pareto (GPA), General Logistic (GLO), and Wakeby (WAK). It was found that WAK can adequately describe the probability distribution of precipitation extremes calculated from both observational and projected data. (iii) Return period of precipitation extremes show spatially different changes under three greenhouse gas emission scenarios. The 50-year heavy precipitation and drought events from simulated data during 1951–2000 will become more frequent, with return period below 25 years, for the most mid-lower Yangtze region in 2001–2050. The changing character of return periods of precipitation extremes should be taken into account for the hydrological design and future water resources management.     

山东省沂南县东部土壤重金属地球化学特征及源解析

为查明山东省沂南县东部地区土壤重金属污染现状和污染源,系统采集了4 779件表层土壤样品,测试分析Cd、Hg、Pb、As、Cr、Ni、Cu、Zn元素含量及pH值,用地统计学、多元统计、空间分析等方法,探讨土壤重金属元素地球化学特征及其可能来源。结果表明,研究区土壤Hg含量均值略高于临沂市表层土壤背景值,另外7种元素含量均值与临沂市土壤背景值相当。与GB 15618—2018土壤环境质量农用地土壤污染风险管控标准筛选值相比,研究区土壤8种重金属元素浓度超标率低,但极大值的超标倍数较大,反映局部点式和小片污染较重。研究区8种元素含量水平总体表现出由西到东三级台阶下降的特征。研究区土壤中Cd、Pb、Zn、As高含量主要受控于自然源母岩,叠加了程度不同的工矿交通和农业活动因素;Cr、Ni几乎完全受控于成土母岩;Hg、Cu主要受控于沂南金场、铜井金矿采冶活动,其次受工业和交通排放以及农业粪肥、农药施用影响。     

定福庄地热试验井成井工艺研究

JR-121井位于北京市定福庄南里,开采蓟县系雾迷山组1600m以深热储层的岩溶裂隙水。该试验井施工使用GZ-2000型水源钻机,TBW-850/50型泥浆泵,钻探深度2202.98m。成井过程中,根据不同层段,采用不同成井工艺,在目的含水层的上覆非取水层段,采用分级下套管及水泥封闭的方法进行止水,泥浆与回旋方法钻进;在取水段,采用裸眼孔底钻铤加压、泥浆护壁与回旋钻进。洗井工艺上,采用酸化、液态CO2和空压机引喷相结合的联合洗井方法。使用此成井工艺,止水效果良好,达到了开发岩溶裂隙地热水的目的。     

Assessment of the impact of climate change on flow regime at multiple temporal scales and potential ecological implications in an alpine river

The source region of Yellow river is an alpine river sensitive to climate changes, but the potential effects of climate change on hydrological regime characteristics and ecological implications are less understood. This study aims to assess the response of the alterations in the flow regimes over the source region of Yellow river to climate change using Soil and Water Integrated Model driven by different Global Circulation Models (GFDL-ESM2M, IPSL-CM5A-LR and MIROC-ESM-CHEM) under three Representative Concentration Pathway emission scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5). Indicators of hydrological alteration and River impact index are employed to evaluate streamflow regime alterations at multiple temporal scales. Results show that the magnitude of monthly and annual streamflow except May, the magnitude and duration of the annual extreme, and the number of reversals are projected to increase in the near future period (2020–2049) and far future period (2070–2099) compared to the baseline period (1971–2000). The timing of annual maximum flows is expected to shift backwards. The source region of Yellow river is expected to undergo low change degree as per the scenarios RCP2.6 for both two future periods and under the scenarios RCP4.5 for the near future period, whereas high change degree under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 in the far period on the daily scale. On the monthly scale, climate changes mainly have effects on river flow magnitude and timing. The basin would suffer an incipient impact alteration in the far period under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, while low impact in other scenarios. These changes in flow regimes could have several positive impacts on aquatic ecosystems in the near period but more detrimental effects in the far period.

     

Characterization of landscape pattern based on land economic niche change: A case study in Ganzhou,Gansu Province,China

Land use change has a profound impact on biodiversity and ecological processes, and is closely related to changes in landscape patterns. This paper introduces the theory and method of land economic niche into landscape ecology, which provides a new method for spatial characterization of urban and rural spatial landscape patterns. Based on this theory, this paper analyzes the landscape pattern of Ganzhou District by using Landsat images as data source in 1995, 2000, 2005,2010 and 2015. We calculated the land economic niche by applying the niche potential theory. Combined with the theory of landscape ecology, we explored the effects of the land economic niche change on the landscape pattern at a county scale.The results show that economic niche of construction land, watershed and farmland increased during 1995–2015, and grassland declined significantly. The economic niche of farmland, construction land, watershed and grassland show a negative correlation with the number of patches(NP), fragmentation index(FN) and the fractal dimension index(FD), and had a positive correlation with the aggregation index(AI). There was no significant correlation between the forest land economic niche and landscape metrics. The change of land economic niche has a driving effect on the landscape pattern of the county, which can represent the economic development direction of Ganzhou District. The land economic niche is closely related to the landscape type which can directly obtain an economic benefit.     

长江三角洲地区全新世以来海面变化与古洪水发生关系探讨

通过对长江三角洲地区埋藏古树、泥炭、以及海相贝壳测年资料以及地方志、历史文献当中关于研究区洪灾事件记录的搜集、整理,研究结果表明,由于长江三角洲地区地势低平这一地貌特点,使得海面变化对于研究区洪灾的发生有着重要的影响.在长江中下游地区,海面的上升是导致冰后期长江河谷泥沙加积的主要原因,随着海面的上升和河床的抬高,长江中下游的水位也随之上升,从而导致长江洪水期排泄不畅,加重了洪灾的影响,加上长江三角洲地势低平,使海面变化成为长江三角洲地区洪灾发生的一个重要影响因子.同时,海面上升对长江水流的顶托作用也是加剧洪灾危害的一个重要原因.本文对于未来研究区洪水发生的预测,加强海岸带地区自然灾害的预防工作,减少生命财产的损失,具有一定的理论与实践意义.     

GPS高程拟合中剔除粗差的方法

在GPS高程拟合中,粗差影响着整个拟合的精度,粗差剔除是GPS高程拟合中重要一步。文中提出一种循环泰勒多项式拟合法和F-T法的组合,通过与部分最小二乘平差法比较,发现这种方法不但有严谨的理论,有可行的应用价值,而且可以有效地剔除粗差。     

内蒙古科右前旗文牛屯地区铅及多金属矿成矿地质特征

内蒙古自治区科右前旗文牛屯地区位于大兴安岭多金属成矿带中段,属太平洋构造岩浆岩带的一部分。地处古生代古亚洲构造-成矿域与中生代环太平洋构造-成矿域强烈叠加的地段,多期成矿的复合、叠加和转换使其成矿地质条件更优越,资源前景良好,尤其是有色金属资源十分丰富。建议加强基础工作,有望发现大型铅及多金属矿床。     

基于Hilbert变换的全波场分离逆时偏移成像

逆时偏移方法利用双程波算子模拟波场的正向和反向传播,通常采用互相关成像条件获得偏移剖面,是一种高精度的成像方法.但是传统的互相关成像条件会在偏移结果中产生低频噪声;此外,如果偏移速度中存在剧烈速度变化还可能进一步产生偏移假象.为了提高逆时偏移的成像质量,可在成像过程中先对震源波场和检波点波场分别进行波场分离,然后选择合适的波场成分进行互相关成像.本文基于Hilbert变换,推导了可在偏移过程中进行上下行和左右行波场分离的高效波场分离公式以及相应的成像条件,结合Sigsbee 2B合成数据,给出了不同波场成分的互相关成像结果.数值算例结果表明,采用本文提出的高效波场分离算法以及合理的波场成分互相关成像条件可以获得高信噪比的成像结果.