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941.
Sensitivity of sea ice to wind-stress and radiative forcing since 1500: a model study of the Little Ice Age and beyond 总被引:3,自引:2,他引:1
Three different reconstructed wind-stress fields which take into account variations of the North Atlantic Oscillation, one
general circulation model wind-stress field, and three radiative forcings (volcanic activity, insolation changes and greenhouse
gas changes) are used with the UVic Earth System Climate Model to simulate the surface air temperature, the sea-ice cover,
and the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) since 1500, a period which includes the Little Ice Age (LIA). The
simulated Northern Hemisphere surface air temperature, used for model validation, agrees well with several temperature reconstructions.
The simulated sea-ice cover in each hemisphere responds quite differently to the forcings. In the Northern Hemisphere, the
simulated sea-ice area and volume during the LIA are larger than the present-day area and volume. The wind-driven changes
in sea-ice area are about twice as large as those due to thermodynamic (i.e., radiative) forcing. For the sea-ice volume,
changes due to wind forcing and thermodynamics are of similar magnitude. Before 1850, the simulations suggest that volcanic
activity was mainly responsible for the thermodynamically produced area and volume changes, while after 1900 the slow greenhouse
gas increase was the main driver of the sea-ice changes. Changes in insolation have a small effect on the sea ice throughout
the integration period. The export of the thicker sea ice during the LIA has no significant effect on the maximum strength
of the AMOC. A more important process in altering the maximum strength of the AMOC and the sea-ice thickness is the wind-driven
northward ocean heat transport. In the Southern Hemisphere, there are no visible long-term trends in the simulated sea-ice
area or volume since 1500. The wind-driven changes are roughly four times larger than those due to radiative forcing. Prior
to 1800, all the radiative forcings could have contributed to the thermodynamically driven changes in area and volume. In
the 1800s the volcanic forcing was dominant, and during the first part of the 1900s both the insolation changes and the greenhouse
gas forcing are responsible for thermodynamically produced changes. Finally, in the latter part of the 1900s the greenhouse
gas forcing is the dominant factor in determining the sea-ice changes in the Southern Hemisphere.
相似文献
Jan SedláčekEmail: |
942.
The first 1,000 year long Carpathian tree-ring width chronology was established based on living and subfossil stone pine (Pinus cembra L.) samples from an upper timberline forest located in Calimani Mts. (Romania). Tree-ring data were standardized using the regional curve standardization method in order to preserve the low and medium frequency climate signals. The de-trended index strongly correlates with summer mean temperature both at annual and decadal scales. The Calimani summer mean temperature anomalies were reconstructed for the period ad 1163-2005 applying the rescaling method. This new climate proxy from the Carpathians shows similar fluctuations to other North Hemispheric temperature reconstructions, but with periods of distinct differences. The fingerprint of Little Ice Age in the Calimani area is visible between ad 1370 and 1630 followed by lagged cold decades in ad 1820 and 1840. The recent warming is evident only after the 1980s in our reconstruction. 相似文献
943.
944.
European floods during the winter 1783/1784: scenarios of an extreme event during the ‘Little Ice Age’ 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Rudolf Brázdil Gaston R. Demarée Mathias Deutsch Emmanuel Garnier Andrea Kiss Jürg Luterbacher Neil Macdonald Christian Rohr Petr Dobrovolný Petr Kolář Kateřina Chromá 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2010,100(1-2):163-189
The Lakagígar eruption in Iceland during 1783 was followed by the severe winter of 1783/1784, which was characterised by low temperatures, frozen soils, ice-bound watercourses and high rates of snow accumulation across much of Europe. Sudden warming coupled with rainfall led to rapid snowmelt, resulting in a series of flooding phases across much of Europe. The first phase of flooding occurred in late December 1783–early January 1784 in England, France, the Low Countries and historical Hungary. The second phase at the turn of February–March 1784 was of greater extent, generated by the melting of an unusually large accumulation of snow and river ice, affecting catchments across France and Central Europe (where it is still considered as one of the most disastrous known floods), throughout the Danube catchment and in southeast Central Europe. The third and final phase of flooding occurred mainly in historical Hungary during late March and early April 1784. The different impacts and consequences of the above floods on both local and regional scales were reflected in the economic and societal responses, material damage and human losses. The winter of 1783/1784 can be considered as typical, if severe, for the Little Ice Age period across much of Europe. 相似文献
945.
Nonlinear dynamics of meteorological variables: multifractality and chaotic invariants in daily records from Pastaza, Ecuador 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Humberto Millán Aleksandar Kalauzi Milena Cukic Riccardo Biondi 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2010,102(1-2):75-85
Weather represents the daily state of the atmosphere. It is usually considered as a chaotic nonlinear dynamical system. The objectives of the present study were (1) to investigate multifractal meteorological trends and rhythms at the Amazonian area of Ecuador and (2) to estimate some nonlinear invariants for describing the meteorological dynamics. Six meteorological variables were considered in the study. Datasets were collected on a daily basis from January 1st 2001 to January 1st 2005 (1,460 observations). Based on a new multifractal method, we found interesting fractal rhythms and trends of antipersistence patterns (Fractal Dimension >1.5). Nonlinear time series analyses rendered Lyapunov exponent spectra containing more than one positive Lyapunov exponent in some cases. This sort of hyperchaotic structures could explain, to some extent, larger fractal dimension values as the Kaplan–Yorke dimension was also in most cases larger than two. The maximum prediction time ranged from ξ?=?1.69 days (approximately 41 h) for E/P ratio to ξ?=?14.71 days for evaporation. Nonlinear dynamics analyses could be combined with multifractal studies for describing the time evolution of meteorological variables. 相似文献
946.
R. Carbonell-Bojollo R. Ordóñez-Fernández A. Rodríguez-Lizana 《Climatic change》2010,102(3-4):625-640
Organic matter (OM) is involved in the enhancement of soil quality since it acts on soil structure, nutrient storage and biological activity. Organic carbon (OC), the dominant element constituent of OM, and related soil properties are probably the most widely acknowledged indicator of soil quality. The typically Mediterranean climate of the South of Spain promotes low yields on crops and low organic carbon in soil. The present work was carried out to evaluate the effect of the application of alperujo, olive oil waste difficult to eliminate, on the fixation or emission of carbon on soil in an olive grove situated in Montoro (Córdoba, Spain). In the study three treatments were considered: 15 kg (A), 7.5 kg (B), 0 kg (C) of alperujo per tree and the implementation of the amendment has been made for three consecutive years. The results confirm the benefits of the amendment on the carbon content organic soil with a fixation with respect to control of 4.8 and 6.1 t ha???1 for the first year and 8.7 and 6.8 t ha???1 for the second in treatments A and B, respectively. Of the different climatic agents considered in the study, it was the temperature which had a major influence on the emissions of CO2 into the atmosphere and the flow of gas presented the highest values in soils treated with the highest dose. 相似文献
947.
The vertical mesoscale flux in the nocturnal boundary layer is generally considered to be difficult to estimate because of the small mesoscale vertical velocities and the large random variation of the mesoscale fluxes. However, the mesoscale vertical flux of heat, computed from FLOSSII data, varies quasi-systematically with height, stability and time scale. Such systematic variation requires correction for sonic misalignment and averaging over a large quantity of data. The relation of the mesoscale heat flux to the vertical structure of the nocturnal boundary layer is examined. For the most common conditions, the vertical convergence of the mesoscale heat flux acts to reduce the nocturnal cooling rate. Important uncertainties are discussed as well as the need for improved observations. 相似文献
948.
Milton Rojas Gamarra Mônica Baptista Pereira Estrázulas Steven R. Gullberg César A. Zen Vasconcellos 《Astronomische Nachrichten》2024,345(2-3):e230181
Inferences are made about the relationship that existed between the Ushnus, pyramid-shaped, terraced structures used by the Incas in the most important ceremonies of the Tawantinsuyo, and Inka Astronomy. We draw attention to Ayni, Kawsaypacha, Duality, and Tinkuy principles, multidimensional codes of conduct and wisdom that are at the root of the Andean cosmovision and on their perception of the world and the Cosmos. These principles, examined as postulates, allow to elaborate axiomatic propositions to identify the Ushnus with ancient Astronomy practices. In a complementary statement, starting from a bi-conditional proposition, we may infer through reciprocal corollaries that the Inka earliest roots to a holistic learning and educational ambient in the Tawantinsuyo was not elitist, instead it was based on a epistemological construct that differs from the corresponding Western educational ambients. An epistemological and cognitive approach allows to identify an ancient elaborate process of knowledge construction, based on the four fundamental principles, corresponding to different levels of assimilation and comprehension. As a complementary aspect, we identify some of the most preserved Ushnus of the Inka “Empire.” Then we complement this contribution with a broader interpretation for the Ushnus. 相似文献
949.
L. González-Miqueo D. Elustondo E. Lasheras R. Bermejo J. M. Santamaría 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》2009,62(1):59-72
A biomonitoring survey using the moss species Hypnum cupressiforme Hedw. was performed in the North of Navarra (Spain) in 2006. The levels of V, Cr, Mn, Ni, Cu, Zn, As, Zr, Cd, Hg and Pb,
and the total nitrogen content were determined in the samples by means of ICP-MS, CV-AA, and the Kjeldahl method. PCA analysis
showed a differentiation between lithogenic (V, Cr, Mn, Ni, As and Zr) and anthropogenic elements (Mn, Cu, Zn, Cd, Hg and
Pb). Spatial distribution maps were drawn using the kriging method, in order to identify the most affected areas and the main
pollution sources. A similar spatial distribution was observed for the elements belonging to each group separated by the PCA,
showing an important contribution from metal industries located in the Basque Country, as well as influence of long-range
transboundary pollution processes. Background levels were also determined for the study area, along with the contamination
factor for the different elements analysed. Mosses seemed to be good biomonitors of N deposition in areas of accumulation. 相似文献
950.
J. Angel Fernández Angela Ares Ana Rey-Asensio Alejo Carballeira Jesus R. Aboal 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》2009,63(1):1-11
The effects of growth of autoirrigated, shaded transplants of Pseudoscleropodium purum on the quantification of tissue concentrations of Cd, Cu, Hg, V and Zn, were investigated in 4 exposure periods, each of
56 days, at 7 sampling sites (contaminated and uncontaminated). Concentrations of the elements in the basal portions of the
moss shoots were compared with the concentrations in the portions of the shoots that grew during the exposure period. Mercury
and V were present at lower concentrations in the new portions of the shoots than in the basal portions, whereas the opposite
was true for Cd, Cu and Zn. The magnitude of error introduced by growth was not negligible, and in some cases was higher than
40%, relative to the results obtained by analysis of the whole shoot. Devitalization of moss prior to its use as transplant
material is recommended to avoid growth of the plant during the exposure period. 相似文献