旋转流场中的格子波耳兹曼模型

在大尺度的旋转流场中,由于存在哥氏力,使流体的流动出现了一系列复杂的动力学现象.在原格子Boltzmann模型研究的基础上,引入了哥氏力效应,发展了一个旋转流场中的格子Boltzmann模型.从该模型出发可导出地球流体力学方程,用这一模型对理想边界条件下的北半球大气环流进行了数值计算.数值结果很好地再现了大尺度地转流的流动特征.从理论和数值实验上验证了该模型的适用性.     

伽师强震群震源破裂特征的初步分析

为深入研究1997年新疆伽师地区连续发生的强震群的震源破裂特征,利用全球数字地震台网(GDSN)宽频带数字资料及区域台网资料,较详细地研究了伽师强震群的震源机制及震源破裂特征.结果表明:伽师强震群的震源机制解主要有走滑和正倾两种破裂类型,其共同特点是主压应力轴方向沿北北东向,主张应力轴沿北西向,与区域构造应力场方向存在差异,具有明显局部特征;从震源破裂特征来看,伽师强震的滑动尺度、上升时间和持续时间均较小,震源破裂面积不大,是由一点向四周快速扩散的脆性破裂,无明显伸展方向;伽师强震群的破裂断层面为北东向,与震源深度梯度变化带、地壳接触变形梯度变化带、等烈度线以及地震扩展方向吻合;伽师强震群是在近南北向挤压环境下,在震源区附近剪切和张扭应力作用下发生的多次沿北东向的脆性快速破裂,从而造成了伽师强震群以张性破裂和左旋走滑为主的震源特征.     

断裂地震地表断错危险性评价

引入地震断错危险性概念 ,用概率表示发生断错的可能性大小 ,断错危险性涉及到地震危险性和断错发生与分布特点。断错危险性的表达式为 :P =P1×P2 ×P3,式中 ,P表示断错危险性 ;P1表示地震发生的危险性 ;P2 指不同震级条件下地表断错出现的概率 ;P3为断错量值分布概率。以中国和世界地表地震断错资料为基础 ,建立震级 -断错概率指数P2 和断错幅度及其分布概率指数 ,包括幅值及其分布、宽度和覆盖层厚度影响等指数P3,为地表断错危险性量化评估奠定了基础     

NUMERICAL SIMULATION EXPERIMENTS BY NESTING HYDROLOGY MODEL DHSVM WITH REGIONAL CLIMATE MODEL RegCM2/CHINA

Based on improvement of a distributed hydrology-soil-vegetation model (DHSVM for short)and its application to North China,a nested regional climatic-hydrologic model system is developedby connecting DHSVM with RegCM2/China.The simulated climate scenarios,including controland 2×CO_2 outputs,are downscaled to 8 stations in Luanhe River and Sanggan River Basins todrive the hydrology model.According to simulation results,under double CO_2 scenarios,annualmean temperature and evapotranspiration will increase 2.8C and 29 mm,respectively;precipitation also increase but with different value for each basin,6 mm for Luanhe River Basinwhile 46 mm for Sanggan River Basin;runoff change for the two basins is different too,27 mmdecrease for Luanhe River Basin while 26 mm increase for Sanggan River Basin.As a result,therunoff in future for Luanhe River Basin and Sanggan River Basin will be 74 mm and 71 mm,respectively,which is approximately a quarter of annual mean runoff(284 mm)of the wholecountry.Total streamflow for the two basins will decrease about 2.5×10~8m~3.All these indicatethat the warm and dry trend will continue in the two river basins under double CO_2 scenarios.Thenested model system,with both climatic and hydrologic prediction ability,could also be applied toother basins in China by parameter adjustment.     

EXTRA-SEASONAL PREDICTIONS OF SUMMER RAINFALL IN CHINA AND ENSO IN 2001 BY CLIMATE MODELS

China is a monsoon country.The most rainfalls in China concentrate on the summer seasons.More frequent floods or droughts occur in some parts of China.Therefore,the prediction ofsummer rainfall in China is a significant issue.As we know,the obvious impacts of the sea surfacetemperature anomalies(SSTA)on the summer rainfall over China have been noticed.Thepredictions of the SSTA have been involved in the research.The key project on short-term climate modeling prediction system has been finished in 2000.The system included an atmospheric general circulation model named AGCM95,a coupledatmospheric-oceanic general circulation model named AOGCM95,a regional climate model overChina named RegCM95,a high-resolution Indian-Pacific OGCM named IPOGCM95,and asimplified atmosphere-ocean dynamic model system named SAOMS95.They became theoperational prediction models of National Climate Center(NCC).Extra-seasonal predictions in 2001 have been conducted by several climate models,which werethe AGCM95,AOGCM95,RegCM95,IPOGCM95,AIPOGCM95,OSU/NCC,SAOMS95,IAPAPOGCM and CAMS/ZS.All of those models predicted the summer precipitation over China and/or the annual SSTA over the tropical Pacific Ocean in the Modeling Prediction Workshop held inMarch 2001.The assessments have shown that the most models predicted the distributions of main rain beltover Huanan and parts of Jiangnan and droughts over Huabei-Hetao and Huaihe River Valleyreasonably.The most models predicted successfully that a weaker cold phase of the SSTA over thecentral and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean would continue in 2001.The evaluations of extra-seasonal predictions have also indicated that the models had a certaincapability of predicting the SSTA over the tropical Pacific Ocean and the summer rainfall overChina.The assessment also showed that multi-model ensemble(super ensembles)predictionsprovided the better forecasts for both SSTA and summer rainfall in 2001,compared with the singlemodel.It is a preliminary assessment for the extra-seasonal predictions by the climate models.Thefurther investigations will be carried out.The model system should be developed and improved.     

明确目标 找准定位整体设计和部署国土资源信息化工作

针对当前国土资源信息化存在的突出问题和困难,在金土工程二期即将规划和设计之际,迫切需要按照信息化顶层设计的理论和方法,基于国土资源管理实际,形成国土资源信息化顶层设计。本文通过对建部10年以来国土资源信息化工作的全面总结,结合当前国内外信息化发展趋势,以及国土资源管理工作的客观需要,围绕国土资源信息化规划目标,整体设计国土资源信息化业务架构、数据架构、应用架构和技术架构,指导今后一个时期国土资源信息化建设。     

黑龙江省国土资源遥感影像数据库系统相关技术研究

本文介绍了黑龙江省国土资源遥感影像数据管理系统的相关功能,并对实现这些功能所采用的空间数据引擎技术、遥感影像金字塔技术进行了分析与探讨。     

高分辨率SAR数据在土地利用监测中的应用研究

随着高分辨率SAR卫星的陆续发射,其全天时、全天候、高效、准确获取地表数据的能力日益展现出明显的优势。在当前土地资源管理不断要求加快监测周期、扩大应用领域、提高监测成效的紧迫形式下,对SAR数据的深入研究与工程化应用已成为当务之急。本文以土地利用的监测实践为依据,系统分析了SAR传感器的数据基础、影像特征和基于实际应用而需要继续拓展的研究领域。     

土地遥感监测数据管理模式与应用策略分析

本文归纳了当前遥感监测数据的几种管理模式:基于文件的管理方式、完全数据库管理方式、扩展的数据库管理方式以及目前出现的其他特殊管理方式,并分析了这几种管理方式的特点和对遥感监测数据应用策略的影响,最后根据土地资源遥感监测数据的应用特点,得出遥感数据的管理需适应不同的专题应用,选择和确定具体的管理和组织方式。     

四川盆地威远气田碳酸盐岩中有机包裹体研究

本文通过对威远、资阳地区上震旦统碳酸盐岩储集层中有机包裹体的研究,提出有机包裹体多分布于储层孔洞缝中所充填的三期矿物中,研究区油气运移的主要通道是溶蚀孔洞和裂缝。并根据不同期次充填矿物中有机包裹体特征、均一温度及单个有机包裹体成分,追索了研究区油气热演化程度、油气运移期次、油气运移的深度和温度。研究结果表明,研究区存在三次主要的油气运移和聚集,其各自演化的程度及油气运移的深度和温度皆不同。