The response of summer precipitation in the western United States to climate variability remains a subject of uncertainty. For example, palaeoclimate records indicate the North American Monsoon (NAM) was stronger and spatially more extensive during the Holocene, whereas recent modelling suggests a weakened NAM response to increasing temperatures. These illustrate diverging pictures of the NAM response to warming. Here, we examine summer precipitation in the southwestern US related to Last Interglacial insolation forcing. Using a high-resolution climate model, we find that Eemian insolation forcing results in overall wetter conditions throughout most of the southwestern US, but significantly drier than present conditions over Arizona. The overall wetter conditions are associated with a northward shift of the anticyclonic circulation aloft and increased moisture in the lower and mid-troposphere during the Eemian. Increased advection of Gulf of Mexico moisture is responsible for increasing precipitation in New Mexico and the northern edges of the NAM region. Drier conditions over Arizona are likely related to reduced local convection associated with reduced vertical moisture transport. These results highlight the spatial complexity of the NAM response to increasing radiative forcing and allow a better understanding of monsoon dynamics and variability in response to a warming climate. 相似文献
An evacuation trigger is a point on the landscape that, once crossed by a wildfire, triggers an evacuation for a community.
The Wildland-Urban Interface Evacuation (WUIVAC) model can be used to create evacuation trigger buffers around a community
using fuels, weather, and topographic inputs. A strategic, community-scale application of WUIVAC for the town of Julian, California
was investigated. Eight years of wind measurements were used to determine the worst-case (strongest) winds in 16 directions.
Surface fire rate of spread was used to calculate evacuation trigger buffers for the communities of Julian and nearby Whispering
Pines, and for three potential evacuation routes. Multiple trigger buffers were combined to create fire planning areas, and
trigger buffers that predict the closure of all evacuation routes were explored. WUIVAC trigger buffers offer several potential
benefits for strategic evacuation planning, including determination of when to evacuate and locating potential evacuation
routes. 相似文献
Many studies have documented hydrous fractionation of calc-alkaline basalts producing tonalitic, granodioritic, and granitic melts, but the origin of more alkaline arc sequences dominated by high-K monzonitic suites has not been thoroughly investigated. This study presents results from a combined field, petrologic, and whole-rock geochemical study of a paleo-arc alkaline fractionation sequence from the Dariv Range of the Mongolian Altaids. The Dariv Igneous Complex of Western Mongolia is composed of a complete, moderately hydrous, alkaline fractionation sequence ranging from phlogopite-bearing ultramafic and mafic cumulates to quartz–monzonites to late-stage felsic (63–75 wt% SiO2) dikes. A volumetrically subordinate more hydrous, amphibole-dominated fractionation sequence is also present and comprises amphibole (±phlogopite) clinopyroxenites, gabbros, and diorites. We present 168 whole-rock analyses for the biotite- and amphibole-dominated series. First, we constrain the liquid line of descent (LLD) of a primitive, alkaline arc melt characterized by biotite as the dominant hydrous phase through a fractionation model that incorporates the stepwise subtraction of cumulates of a fixed composition. The modeled LLD reproduces the geochemical trends observed in the “liquid-like” intrusives of the biotite series (quartz–monzonites and felsic dikes) and follows the water-undersaturated albite–orthoclase cotectic (at 0.2–0.5 GPa). Second, as distinct biotite- and amphibole-dominated fractionation series are observed, we investigate the controls on high-temperature biotite versus amphibole crystallization from hydrous arc melts. Analysis of a compilation of hydrous experimental starting materials and high-Mg basalts saturated in biotite and/or amphibole suggests that the degree of K enrichment controls whether biotite will crystallize as an early high-T phase, whereas the degree of water saturation is the dominant control of amphibole crystallization. Therefore, if a melt has the appropriate major-element composition for early biotite and amphibole crystallization, as is true of the high-Mg basalts from the Dariv Igneous Complex, the relative proximity of these two phases to the liquidus depends on the H2O concentration in the melt. Third, we compare the modeled high-K LLD and whole-rock geochemistry of the Dariv Igneous Complex to the more common calc-alkaline trend. Biotite and K-feldspar fractionation in the alkaline arc series results in the moderation of K2O/Na2O values and LILE concentrations with increasing SiO2 as compared to the more common calc-alkaline series characterized by amphibole and plagioclase crystallization and strong increases in K2O/Na2O values. Lastly, we suggest that common calc-alkaline parental melts involve addition of a moderate pressure, sodic, fluid-dominated slab component while more alkaline primitive melts characterized by early biotite saturation involve the addition of a high-pressure potassic sediment melt. 相似文献
At its southern margin along the Hoher Bogen mountain, the Teplá-Barrandian (Bohemian massif, Central Europe) is made up of a 1- to 4-km wide belt of amphibolites. An upper amphibolite/lower granulite facies Variscan metamorphism has brought forth coarse-grained, weakly foliated rocks with hbl+pl±cpx±opx±grt parageneses. Since the beginning of this century, these rocks, together with fine-grained or mylonitized amphibolites, have been regarded as metamorphic gabbros (gabbro amphibolites) of the Neukirchen-Kdyne igneous complex. Relics of magmatic textures, however, cannot be found anywhere. The amphibolites are therefore reinterpreted as metamorphic basalts. The Hoher Bogen amphibolites (HBA) derive from N-type MORB. The most primitive samples have Mg#s between 60 and 65. Locally occurring (garnet-)hornblendites and leucodioritic mobilisates are the products of partial melting of amphibolites during the Variscan metamorphism and do not belong to the primary magmatic rock association. Ultramafic rocks are tectonically emplaced between the HBA belt and the metapelitic rocks of the Moldanubian. At the very least, the metapyroxenites among them seem to have a cumulus origin. Together with the ultramafic rocks, the HBA belt may be regarded as a metaophiolite, comparable to the Mariánské Lazne complex. The reinterpretation of the former "gabbro amphibolites" as a metaophiolite has consequences for the geology of the Teplá-Barrandian: the size of the Neukirchen-Kdyne igneous complex is reduced. The HBA belt is a piece of oceanic crust which is possibly younger than the Precambrian metasedimentary/metavolcanic country rock of the Neukirchen-Kdyne igneous complex. 相似文献
Zusammenfassung Es wird dargelegt wie man eine beliebig gekrümmte Schichtgrenze aus seismischen Reflexionsmessungen längs einer beliebig gekrümmten Messfläche berechnen kann. Dazu wird vorausgesetzt, dass die Flächez=f(x,y), die die Schichtgrenze darstellt und die Messflächez=(x,y) zusammen eine glatte geschlossene Fläche bilden und, dass das eingeschlossene Material homogen und isotrop ist.
Summary Under the assumption that the measuring surfacez=(x,y) and the reflection horizon of a structurez=f(x,y) have an arbitrary curvature a simple method is developed for calculating the surfacef from seismic reflection data measured along the surface . In addition the general solution is discussed and some special cases are treated.
Zusammenfassung Es wird die Laufzeitfunktion (Reflexionsseismik) für einen quasi einachsig inhomogenen Körper berechnet und zwei einfache Beispiele und ihre Anwendungen behandelt.
Summary The travel-time function (reflection seismic) for a quasi uniaxial inhomogeneous medium is calculated and two simple examples are given.
This study presents an innovative technique of executing soil nails called sectorized post grouting (SPG). The most utilized technique of soil nail grouting is gravity grouting, with the literature reporting advances in pressurized grouting. Although obtaining higher pullout resistance of soil nails, pressurized grouting, mostly done in single-stage grouting, does not compensate for exudation and its use in higher nail lengths is difficult. Thus, a technique has been developed that compensates for exudation, with easier application in lengthier nails. The technique was qualitatively assessed to evaluate its surface roughness and later applied in seven real soil nailing works, where it could be quantitatively assessed. The results show that sectorized post-grouted nails obtained greater pullout resistances than gravity grouted and single-stage grouted nails. Although similar improvement was found in tube-à-manchette (TAM) grouted nails, this method presents lower economic efficiency than sectorized post grouting. The pullout resistance results obtained in this study can be utilized in future soil nailing works executed utilizing SPG.
Résumé Les cumulus de beau temps et les cumulonibus locaux ont leur base comprise entre 1500 et 4500 m. dans les Alpes valaisannes (Suisse); l'altitude moyenne s'établit à 3160 m. Variation diurne et saisonnière du niveau de condensation et spectre de fréquence.
Summary In the Alps of the Valais (Switzerland) the base of the height of the fine weather cumuli and of the cumulo-nimbi of local character is situated between 1500 and 4500 m. above sea level; the average height is 3160 m. The diurnal and the annual variation of the condensation height and the frequency distribution are discussed.
Zusammenfassung Die Basishöhe der Schönwettercumuli und der Cumulonimben lokalen Charakters liegt in den Walliser Alpen (Schweiz) zwischen 1500 und 4500 m über Meer; die mittlere Höhe beträgt 3160 m. Es werden die Tages- und die Jahresschwankung der Kondensationshöhe und Frequenzverteilung untersucht.
We have proposed that points of future initiation of rupture may be mapped, based on minima in local recurrence times, which are equivalent to local maxima in the probability for main shocks to occur. These minima are often controlled by anomalously low b-values (logN = a − bM). Of the Kanto-Tokai area, approximately 12% showed anomalously short recurrence times and was proposed as asperities, based on seismicity up to 1999. During the period 1999–2003.5, about 75% of the earthquakes with M ≥ 3.5 fell into the asperities, earlier defined (for example 19 out of 23 M ≥ 3.8 events). The probability for this to occur by chance is approximately 2 10− 14. This supports our idea that the most likely volumes to produce main shocks may be mapped by minima in local recurrence times. 相似文献