重庆市巴南区地热资源可采量的评价——两种不同方法的对比

本文以重庆市巴南区地热资源为研究对象,先对区内地热资源的开发利用现状进行简述,并分别用开采率法及开采试验法对其可开采资源量进行计算,得出区内年可开采量分别为3,427.5×104m3、3,523.75×104m3,其中开采试验法有理论依据可循,本文将开采试验法所计算的结果3,523.7×104m3作为区内地热资源年可开采量。而年开发利用量仅占可开采资源量的13.91%,说明了区内地热资源开发潜力较大。     

Numeric modelling and risk assessment of pollutions in the Chinese Bohai Sea

To simulate the dynamic process of total nitrogen (TN) in seas, numerical modelling combined with the adjoint method is implemented in this study. Because nonpoint source terms (ST) and initial values (IV) of TN are essential but difficult to determine, the adjoint method was applied to a numerical model, and the ST and IV terms of TN were inverted via routine monitoring data in the Bohai Sea. In twin experiments, the adjoint method was capable of inverting the prescribed spatio-temporally distributed ST and the spatial distributed IV. In practical experiments, the results demonstrated that the simulation precision with ST inversion was higher than that with IV inversion and was accurate with joint initial values and source term (IST) inversion. This result indicates that nonpoint source TN is essential for the simulation of TN concentration. Furthermore, the simulated results indicate that the pollution in three bays of the Bohai Sea is rather severe. The model in this study is not specific to the Bohai Sea and can be generalized to other areas, such as the Beibu Gulf. These findings may assist in the development of cost-effective controls for accidental or planned industrial pollutant releases into coastal waters.     

地基曙暮光光谱观测反演平流层O3和NO2柱含量

用差分光学吸收光谱(DOAS)方法,从曙暮光天顶散射可见光光谱资料反演了北京上空的O3和NO2柱含量,并对反演结果进行了验证和误差分析.斜柱含量的反演采用了线性和非线性最小二乘拟合方法,拟合时考虑了O3、NO2和H2O的吸收、Ring效应和散射的影响;斜柱含量除以空气质量因子转换成垂直柱含量.空气质量因子的计算使用伪球面DISORT辐射传输模式.O3和NO2总量的检验分别用北京的Dobson O3资料和卫星SAGE Ⅱ的NO2廓线资料.反演的O3总量与Dobson O3总量相比偏差小于10%;NO2总量与SAGE Ⅱ的偏差约20%.     

科尔沁沙地沙漠化风险评价

基于气象、土地利用类型与植被覆盖指数等数据,采用层次分析法与加权综合评分法评价了科尔沁沙地沙漠化风险。结果表明：1995、2000、2010年科尔沁沙地沙漠化风险指数平均值分别为0.420、0.428、0.437,16年来科尔沁沙地沙漠化处于高度风险水平。科尔沁沙地沙漠化风险等级在空间分布上表现为北部与西部沙漠化风险等级低,南部与东部为沙漠化高风险区。1995-2010年科尔沁沙地各旗县沙漠化风险等级存在差异,开鲁县的沙漠化风险由高度风险转变为极高度风险等级,扎鲁特旗的沙漠化风险由中度风险转变为低度风险等级,敖汉旗、巴林右旗、科尔沁区与科尔沁左翼中旗的沙漠化风险等级波动变化,其余旗县的沙漠化风险等级未变化。1995-2010年科尔沁沙地沙漠化中度,高度风险等级的面积分别减少了16 544.76、4 223.25 km²,低度,极高度风险等级的面积分别增加了16 544.76、4 223.25 km²。区域沙漠化风险的主要影响因素为年降水量、年均风速、植被覆盖指数、沙漠化土地面积与载畜量,植被覆盖指数增加有助于区域沙漠化风险的降低。     

兴蒙造山带东段大陆弧后A型花岗岩特征与成因

提要：兴蒙造山带贺根山－黑河一线产出有大量晚古生代Ａ型花岗岩,其成因及形成环境一直存在争议。贺根山-黑河A型花岗岩带形成于晚石炭世-二叠纪（325～260Ma）,二叠纪进入岩浆作用高峰期。该花岗岩带主要表现为准铝质-弱过铝质（A/CNK=0.89～1.13）高钾钙碱性系列;高度富集LREE,Eu负异常明显;微量元素表现为富集Th、Pb和La元素,亏损Ba、Sr、Ce、P和Ti元素。研究表明晚石炭世—二叠纪古亚洲洋正处于向西伯利亚板块俯冲阶段,贺根山-黑河Ａ型花岗岩带应该形成于该俯冲带的弧后伸展环境。俯冲导致的软流圈上涌形成弧后的伸展环境,同时为大规模高温岩浆形成提供了热源,以及部分物源,这种壳－幔混合岩浆在深部结晶分异后沿弧后伸展断裂体系快速侵位是该花岗岩带形成的原因。     

固沙植被区土壤质地与土壤微生物数量的关系

土壤微生物是荒漠生态系统的重要组分,参与成土过程与生物地球化学循环,其数量反映土壤质量,是判别退化生态系统恢复程度的重要指标。选取沙坡头固沙植被区土壤中的真菌、细菌、放线菌数量进行研究,分析了其时空分布、恢复特征及影响因子。结果表明：土壤微生物数量随固沙年限增加而增加,随土层深度增加而减少,夏秋季显著大于冬春季。三大类群微生物数量恢复曲线均呈现S型,在固沙植被建立18~24 a后恢复速率达到峰值,24~36 a后数量能够达到天然植被区的31.6%~83.7%。土壤微生物数量恢复过程主要受土壤细物质含量的影响,土壤pH是限制因子。土壤微生物对土壤状况与覆被变化敏感,能较早且敏感地指示生态系统功能的变化。     

Assimilating snow observations to snow interception process simulations

Snow interception is a crucial hydrological process in cold regions needleleaf forests, but is rarely measured directly. Indirect estimates of snow interception can be made by measuring the difference in the increase in snow accumulation between the forest floor and a nearby clearing over the course of a storm. Pairs of automatic weather stations with acoustic snow depth sensors provide an opportunity to estimate this, if snow density can be estimated reliably. Three approaches for estimating fresh snow density were investigated: weighted post-storm density increments from the physically based Snobal model, fresh snow density estimated empirically from air temperature (Hedstrom, N. R., et al. [1998]. Hydrological Processes, 12, 1611–1625), and fresh snow density estimated empirically from air temperature and wind speed (Jordan, R. E., et al. [1999]. Journal of Geophysical Research, 104, 7785–7806). Automated snow depth observations from adjacent forest and clearing sites and estimated snow densities were used to determine snowstorm snow interception in a subalpine forest in the Canadian Rockies, Alberta, Canada. Then the estimated snow interception and measured interception information from a weighed, suspended tree and a time-lapse camera were assimilated into a model, which was created using the Cold Regions Hydrological Modelling platform (CRHM), using Ensemble Kalman Filter or a simple rule-based direct insertion method. Interception determined using density estimates from the Hedstrom-Pomeroy fresh snow density equation agreed best with observations. Assimilating snow interception information from automatic snow depth measurements improved modelled snow interception timing by 7% and magnitude by 13%, compared to an open loop simulation driven by a numerical weather model; its accuracy was close to that simulated using locally observed meteorological data. Assimilation of tree-measured snow interception improved the snow interception simulation timing and magnitude by 18 and 19%, respectively. Time-lapse camera snow interception information assimilation improved the snow interception simulation timing by 32% and magnitude by 7%. The benefits of assimilation were greatly influenced by assimilation frequency and quality of the forcing data.     

东北地震区小震资料完整性分析及其对地震活动性参数的影响研究

以东北地震区为例,基于G-R关系的震级·频度分布原理,研究了东北地震区最小完整性震级MC的时间分布特征和各时段的空间分布特征,统计了研究区内的地震活动性参数,探讨了小震资料完整性分析对地震活动性参数和地震危险性计算结果的影响.研究表明,对区域小震资料进行完整性分析,可以在低水平地震活动地区获得较准确的地震活动性参数,更好地反映了该区未来的地震活动趋势.本文的研究方法和结论可供地震资料完整性分析和地震活动性分析时参考.     

布尔莎七参数转换模型在矿业权核查中的应用

利用布尔莎七参数转换模型对全国矿业权实地核查中的北京54坐标系和西安80坐标系间坐标的转换进行了实例演算。介绍了布尔莎七参数转换函数模型、坐标转换方法及公共点的选取和精度评定。     

北京平原区南部PGZ01孔第四纪地层划分及其环境意义*

对北京平原区南部大兴榆垡镇420m 深的PGZ01孔岩心进行了岩石地层、磁性地层、¹⁴C测年、介形类组合和孢粉组合研究。结果表明:(1)Matuyama(松山)/Gauss(高斯)和Brunhes(布容)/Matuyama(松山)极性界线分别位于280m和78.35m处,钻孔底部已经进入Gauss正极性带;取280m处Matuyama/Gauss极性界线作为第四系下限,显示可能的永定河泥石流-冲积扇在第四纪之前即到达了北京平原南部,但是华北平原上新统标志岩石地层单元--厚层棕红色黏土在Olduvai(奥尔都维)极性亚带之上即已出现。(2)结合AMS¹⁴C测年,尝试将约60m以上地层的氧化-还原状况,与对古季风影响反映灵敏的沿海平原钻孔同样深度地层进行对比,继而确定上更新统和全新统的底界深度分别位于56.60m和18.95m。(3)MIS5(海洋同位素阶段)以来的特征沉积物,与沿海平原钻孔地层有很好的可比性,同时也有8~4ka期间史前大洪水的影响。本研究为廊(坊)固(安)凹陷西北边缘区第四纪地层划分对比、古地理环境演化、活动断裂以及区域差异构造沉降研究,提供了重要的年代地层格架,对理解晚更新世以来古季风变化的环境效应有重要的启迪。