河南省气象服务短信平台

介绍了河南省气象短信运营平台的特点、结构和各模块的功能。     

西宁曹家堡机场雷暴统计特征分析

基于2006—2015年西宁曹家堡机场的雷暴观测资料,从雷暴日（次）数、持续时间、初现方位、伴随天气现象和雷暴初终日特征方面对该高原机场的雷暴特征进行统计分析。结果表明,曹家堡机场年平均雷暴日数为34.7 d,主要发生在5—9月,夏季是该机场雷暴的集中爆发期;雷暴具有明显的日变化特征,集中发生在午后至夜间（16—22时）,持续时间在2 h以内;雷暴初现方位以偏西、偏北为主,偏西、偏北的对流云团发展是该机场飞行保障的关注重点;雷暴伴随天气现象以干雷暴和小阵雨为主,而少数伴有中、大阵雨的强雷暴主要发生在夏季;雷暴初终日平均间隔为173.2 d,并且初雷能充分体现该机场的典型雷暴特征。     

测站降雹和区域降雹气候特征对比分析

应用1960～2001年测站降雹和区域降雹(包括非测站资料)两种资料,对山东省降雹气候特征进行了对比分析,计算分析了山东省两种降雹资料气候图的相似离度。分析结果表明,区域降雹比测站降雹明显偏多,但时间和空间分布趋势基本一致,相似度在86％%以上,应用测站降雹资料制作的气候图具有86％的代表性。     

2004年陕西春季沙尘天气环流特征分析

应用我们已经建立的《阳泉市短期冰雹预报系统》分析预报阳泉市2004年6月份出现的连续冰雹天气,特别是该系统中的指标叠加方法,效果较好。     

中国东北地区近百年气温序列的小波分析

 利用1905-2005年中国东北地区哈尔滨、长春、沈阳和大连的气温时间序列资料,在分析气温变化结构的基础上进行小波分析,以揭示气温变化的多时间尺度的复杂结构。同时,分析了不同时间尺度下气温序列变化的周期性变化规律和突变点。结果表明：近100 a来中国东北地区的平均气温呈升高趋势,尤其在20世纪80年代以后升高趋势更加显著,升温率达到0.165 ℃/10 a。气温存在2～3 a、8～12 a、20～25 a和45 a左右时间尺度的多重时间尺度结构的变化特征。     

边界层风廓线雷达资料在北京夏季强降水天气分析中的应用

利用北京城区及周围3个站的Airda 3000边界层风廓线雷达提供的风廓线资料,详细分析了北京2005年8月3日的一次强降水天气过程.分析表明,降水前十几小时出现双层低空急流,急流层内结构复杂,呈现多中心结构.风廓线观测揭示,南高空槽和弱冷空气共同诱发产生的切变线低涡是产生此次暴雨天气的主要中尺度系统,暴雨系统有很复杂的垂直结构.强降水开始前数小时(夜间)城区地面风场辐合,在临近降水和降水开始时辐合(或切变)层向上发展,这一过程有利于降水的发展.     

以黑体为目标的能见度参考标准试验研究

黑体为目标的能见度测量是从科西米德定律出发,通过工业相机对黑体目标物进行拍摄,建立黑体和背景天空的数学模型,求得能见度。分析表明:当能见度小于30 km,黑体黑度和CCD(change-coupled device)工业相机的面非均匀性对该方法测得的能见度造成的误差约为3.7%。该方法与前向散射能见度仪测量进行对比,能见度变化趋势上具有一致性;但在高能见度时,黑体能见度测量值大于前向散射能见度测量值,低能见度时,黑体测量值小于前向散射能见度测量值。     

分布式气象内容管理系统设计

提出了一套分布式气象内容管理系统的设计思路及其技术方法。以中国气象组织体系（包括中央及各省市的气象信息网络和服务器设备）为建设基础,采用LDM通信传输、存储/内容管理、图形化服务产品生成、本体化气象服务、行政区变尺度客观分析等构成组件,构建了覆盖中央及各省市气象业务和服务的分布式气象内容管理系统。实践运行表明,这种采用了统一定义、接口及信息表达方式的内容管理系统可有效提高气象数据的访问、分享及处理效率,加快了各种气象服务产品的开发速度,拓宽了气象信息的服务范围。     

Changes in pick beginning date and frost damage risk of tea tree in Longjing tea-producing area

We analyze the pick beginning date and frost damage risk trends of Jiukeng, Longjing-43, and Wuniuzao tea trees with time, using meteorological data from 12 station pairs over the period 1971–2010 in the Longjing tea-producing area. The pick beginning date of Jiukeng, Longjing-43, and Wuniuzao varieties had no statistically significant trends before 1990. The pick beginning date of Jiukeng variety had statistically significant decreasing trends after 1990, and there were no statistically significant trends in the start date after 1990 for Longjing-43 and Wuniuzao varieties. The average pick beginning dates of Longjing-43 and Wuniuzao varieties before 1990 are later than those after 1990 by 3.8–4.8 and 2.0–3.1 days, respectively. We used the trend of difference between beginning date of tea plucking (BDTP) and 0 °C terminal date to analyze frost damage risk trends. Eleven counties had no statistically significant frost damage risk trends for Jiukeng, Longjing-43, and Wuniuzao varieties, leaving only one county with statistically significant trends.     

Simulated impacts of afforestation in East China monsoon region as modulated by ocean variability

Using the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Climate System Model Version 3.5, this paper examines the climatic effects of afforestation in the East China monsoon region with a focus on land–atmosphere interactions and the modulating influence of ocean variability. In response to afforestation, the local surface air temperature significantly decreases in summer and increases in winter. The summer cooling is attributed to enhanced evapotranspiration from increased tree cover. During winter, afforestation induces greater roughness and weaker winds over the adjacent coastal ocean, leading to diminished latent heat flux and increased sea-surface temperature (SST). The enhanced SST supports greater atmospheric water vapor, which is accompanied by anomalous wind, and transported into the East China monsoon region. The increase in atmospheric water vapor favors more cloud cover and precipitation, especially in the eastern afforestation region. Furthermore, the increase in atmospheric water vapor and cloud cover produce a greenhouse effect, raising the wintertime surface air temperature. By comparing simulations in which ocean temperature are either fixed or variable, we demonstrate that a significant hydrologic response in East China to afforestation only occurs if ocean temperatures are allowed to vary and the oceanic source of moisture to the continent is enhanced.