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71.
72.
Groundwater recharge in irrigated semi-arid areas: quantitative hydrological modelling and sensitivity analysis 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
Joaquín Jiménez-Martínez Lucila Candela Jorge Molinero Karim Tamoh 《Hydrogeology Journal》2010,18(8):1811-1824
For semi-arid regions, methods of assessing aquifer recharge usually consider the potential evapotranspiration. Actual evapotranspiration rates can be below potential rates for long periods of time, even in irrigated systems. Accurate estimations of aquifer recharge in semi-arid areas under irrigated agriculture are essential for sustainable water-resources management. A method to estimate aquifer recharge from irrigated farmland has been tested. The water-balance-modelling approach was based on VisualBALAN v. 2.0, a computer code that simulates water balance in the soil, vadose zone and aquifer. The study was carried out in the Campo de Cartagena (SE Spain) in the period 1999–2008 for three different groups of crops: annual row crops (lettuce and melon), perennial vegetables (artichoke) and fruit trees (citrus). Computed mean-annual-recharge values (from irrigation+precipitation) during the study period were 397 mm for annual row crops, 201 mm for perennial vegetables and 194 mm for fruit trees: 31.4, 20.7 and 20.5% of the total applied water, respectively. The effects of rainfall events on the final recharge were clearly observed, due to the continuously high water content in soil which facilitated the infiltration process. A sensitivity analysis to assess the reliability and uncertainty of recharge estimations was carried out. 相似文献
73.
Modelling shallow landslide susceptibility: a new approach in logistic regression by using favourability assessment 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
María José Domínguez-Cuesta Montserrat Jiménez-Sánchez Ana Colubi Gil González-Rodríguez 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》2010,99(3):661-674
A new method for estimating shallow landslide susceptibility by combining Geographical Information System (GIS), nonparametric
kernel density estimation and logistic regression is described. Specifically, a logistic regression is applied to predict
the spatial distribution by estimating the probability of occurrence of a landslide in a 16 km2 area. For this purpose, a GIS is employed to gather the relevant sample information connected with the landslides. The advantages
of pre-processing the explanatory variables by nonparametric density estimation (for continuous variables) and a reclassification
(for categorical/discrete ones) are discussed. The pre-processing leads to new explanatory variables, namely, some functions
which measure the favourability of occurrence of a landslide. The resulting model correctly classifies 98.55% of the inventaried
landslides and 89.80% of the landscape surface without instabilities. New data about recent shallow landslides were collected
in order to validate the model, and 92.20% of them are also correctly classified. The results support the methodology and
the extrapolation of the model to the whole study area (278 km2) in order to obtain susceptibility maps. 相似文献
74.
Hilary McMillan Jim Freer Florian Pappenberger Tobias Krueger Martyn Clark 《水文研究》2010,24(10):1270-1284
In order to quantify total error affecting hydrological models and predictions, we must explicitly recognize errors in input data, model structure, model parameters and validation data. This paper tackles the last of these: errors in discharge measurements used to calibrate a rainfall‐runoff model, caused by stage–discharge rating‐curve uncertainty. This uncertainty may be due to several combined sources, including errors in stage and velocity measurements during individual gaugings, assumptions regarding a particular form of stage–discharge relationship, extrapolation of the stage–discharge relationship beyond the maximum gauging, and cross‐section change due to vegetation growth and/or bed movement. A methodology is presented to systematically assess and quantify the uncertainty in discharge measurements due to all of these sources. For a given stage measurement, a complete PDF of true discharge is estimated. Consequently, new model calibration techniques can be introduced to explicitly account for the discharge error distribution. The method is demonstrated for a gravel‐bed river in New Zealand, where all the above uncertainty sources can be identified, including significant uncertainty in cross‐section form due to scour and re‐deposition of sediment. Results show that rigorous consideration of uncertainty in flow data results in significant improvement of the model's ability to predict the observed flow. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
75.
The solar p-mode spectrum of very low I is measured with high accuracy for a long enough period of time so as to allow the search for solar cycle variations. In this paper solar cycle variations of the frequency and energy of the modes are confirmed. Moreover, a slight variation,within errors, of its rotational splitting with the solar cycle, is suggested. 相似文献
76.
Yu-Li Wang Liang-Cheng Chang Fei Liu Yen-Te Ho Tzu Bin Wang Tian-Chyi Jim Yeh Jui-Pin Tsai 《Ground water》2022,60(4):518-529
Groundwater responses measured from multiple wells at different depths are essential for delineating the aquifer heterogeneity using hydraulic tomography (HT). In general, conducting HT requires many wells because traditional well monitoring is usually partially open at a specific depth interval or is fully penetrating. Accordingly, conducting an HT survey is typically costly and time-consuming. To tackle these issues, a new multi-level monitoring system (MLMS) for the HT survey was developed using the fiber Bragg grating (FBG) technique. This FBG MLMS could collect the depth-discrete groundwater observations from a fully penetrated 2-inch well. Three field campaigns were conducted to validate the capability of the FBG MLMS for HT surveys. The results show that the accuracy and stability of this MLMS are reliable and that FBG MLMS is beneficial for conducting an HT survey. Specifically, compared to the traditional monitoring well in an injection event, this FBG MLMS can concurrently cause an increase in the number of cross-hole tests several times and collect many more head observations than the standard methods, resulting in the observed flow fields efficiently reaching ergodic conditions and effectively improving the accuracy of the estimated hydraulic heterogeneity. Therefore, the FBG MLMS could be an alternative MLMS for efficiently and economically conducting an HT survey. 相似文献
77.
Surveys in Geophysics - Deception Island is an active volcano located in the South Shetland Islands, Antarctica. Although the last eruptions occurred in 1967-1970, the volcano has undergone periods... 相似文献
78.
Tsering Karma Shrestha Manish Shakya Kiran Bajracharya Birendra Matin Mir Lozano Jorge Luis Sanchez Nelson Jim Wangchuk Tandin Parajuli Binod Bhuyan Md Arifuzzaman 《Natural Hazards》2022,110(3):1821-1845
Natural Hazards - The Hindu Kush Himalayan region is extremely susceptible to periodic monsoon floods. Early warning systems with the ability to predict floods in advance can benefit tens of... 相似文献
79.
Jim Rawling 《The Australian geographer》1987,18(1):23-32
Large capital interests have a long history of ownership of rural land in Australia. There have been many changes in this kind of ownership in recent decades. The rationale for various forms of ownership of large leasehold areas in the Northern Territory is presented. New financial structures operating in local and international capital markets and the opportunities presented by the state are important parts of this rationale. 相似文献
80.
Jim Cohen 《Astrophysics and Space Science》2005,295(1-2):27-36
Magnetic field strengths and directions can be estimated using many different observational techniques that span a wide range of wavelengths. Each observational method favours different regimes of scale size, density and other physical conditions. The available techniques and their ranges of applicability are briefly described and the current status of observations is reviewed, with particular emphasis on high-resolution observations of star-forming regions. 相似文献