遗传算法优化的BP神经网络在地面温度多模式集成预报的应用研究

基于TIGGE资料集中的ECMWF、CMA和JMA的数值预报产品,利用加权集成、回归集成和消除偏差集成等线性集成方式与遗传算法优化的BP神经网络(GABP)集成,对我国大部开展地面2 m温度在24 h、48 h和72 h预报时效的多模式集成预报试验。通过对2013年1—6月的预报检验,结果表明:GABP集成预报效果有较大提升,均方误差明显小于各单一模式预报。GABP集成的误差分布在新疆和华北均方误差较大,但是在预报效果改进上GABP集成在西部地区相对单一模式的误差减小更加明显。在进行几种多模式集成方式时,GABP集成相比线性方法预报结果更加精准。对于天气过程个例的预报,GABP集成预报出预报量的变化趋势,预报效果优于单一模式和线性集成预报。无论是较长时间段还是短时间的天气过程,在改进预报效果上GABP集成都起到了最佳的作用。     

The Network-Max-P-Regions model

This paper introduces a new p-regions model called the Network-Max-P-Regions (NMPR) model. The NMPR is a regionalization model that aims to aggregate n areas into the maximum number of regions (max-p) that satisfy a threshold constraint and to minimize the heterogeneity while taking into account the influence of a street network. The exact formulation of the NMPR is presented, and a heuristic solution is proposed to effectively compute the near-optimized partitions in several simulation datasets and a case study in Wuhan, China.     

Separation method for multi-source blended seismic data

Multi-source seismic technology is an efficient seismic acquisition method that requires a group of blended seismic data to be separated into single-source seismic data for subsequent processing. The separation of blended seismic data is a linear inverse problem. According to the relationship between the shooting number and the simultaneous source number of the acquisition system, this separation of blended seismic data is divided into an easily determined or overdetermined linear inverse problem and an underdetermined linear inverse problem that is difficult to solve. For the latter, this paper presents an optimization method that imposes the sparsity constraint on wavefields to construct the object function of inversion, and the problem is solved by using the iterative thresholding method. For the most extremely underdetermined separation problem with single-shooting and multiple sources, this paper presents a method of pseudo-deblending with random noise filtering. In this method, approximate common shot gathers are received through the pseudo-deblending process, and the random noises that appear when the approximate common shot gathers are sorted into common receiver gathers are eliminated through filtering methods. The separation methods proposed in this paper are applied to three types of numerical simulation data, including pure data without noise, data with random noise, and data with linear regular noise to obtain satisfactory results. The noise suppression effects of these methods are sufficient, particularly with single-shooting blended seismic data, which verifies the effectiveness of the proposed methods.     

米仓山坪河新元古代二长花岗岩成因及其地质意义

扬子板块西北缘新元古代岩浆作用成因的研究对于研究Rodinia超大陆在该区的构造演化具有重要意义。本文对扬子板块西北缘米仓山地区二长花岗岩进行了LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb定年和同位素、全岩主量和微量元素分析。结果表明二长花岗岩锆石U-Pb年龄为742.1±5.9 Ma,属于新元古代花岗岩。岩石具有高Si O_2(76.84%~80.08%),高碱(Na_2O+K_2O=7.64%~8.99%),相对富钾(K_2O/Na_2O=0.91~1.36),低P_2O_5含量等特征,铝饱和指数(A/CNK)介于0.77~0.89之间。岩石具有稀土元素含量较高、相对富集轻稀土元素的特征,具有明显负Eu异常,Eu*=0.05~0.13,Rb、U、Th、K、Pb等元素相对富集,Ba、Nb、Sr、P、Zr、Ti和Eu等元素明显亏损。岩石n(~(87)Sr)/n(~(86)Sr)=0.747067~0.795283,n(~(143)Nd)/n(~(144)Nd)=0.512472~0.512661,ε_(Nd)(t)=+3.6~+5.2,二阶段模式年龄T_(2DM)值介于0.96~1.07Ga之间。综合地球化学、同位素特征及米仓山区域构造资料,我们认为坪河二长花岗岩为高钾钙碱性高分异I型花岗岩,该岩浆起源于新生玄武质下地壳岩石的局部熔融,在上升阶段可能经历了地壳的混染作用,形成于伸展的构造环境中,是新元古代晚期Rodinia超大陆裂解作用的岩浆响应。     

Geology and mineralization of the Tiegelongnan supergiant porphyry-epithermal Cu (Au,Ag) deposit (10 Mt) in western Tibet,China: A review

The Tiegelongnan Cu(Au,Ag)deposit in central Tibet contains more than 10 Mt of copper ranking 29 th in the world.It is characterized by typical porphyry-epithermal alteration and mineralization.In order to improve the understanding of porphyry-epithermal copper deposit in Tibet,new zircon U-Pb age and sulfur isotope data along with published data in the Tiegelongnan are presented to investigate the formation and preservation mechanism.Ore-related intrusive rocks in the Tiegelongnan including Early Cretaceous(about 120 Ma)granodiorite porphyry and diorite porphyry are closely related to the northward subduction of Bangongco-Nujiang ocean.Sulfur mainly comes from deep magma,and ore-forming fluid is affected by both magmatic and meteoric water.The metallogenic setting of Tiegelongnan is consistent with those of Andean porphyry copper deposits in South America.The cover of the Meiriqiecuo Formation volcanic rocks,Lhasa-Qiangtang collision and India-Eurasian collision have significance in the preservation and uplift of the deposit.The formation,preservation and discovery of Tiegelongnan play an important role in exploration of ancient porphyry-epithermal deposits in Tibet.     

Dynamic response to fluid extraction from a poroelastic half‐space

In this study, the dynamic response of a poroelastic half‐space to a point fluid sink is investigated using Biot's dynamic theory of poroelasticity. Based on Biot's theory, the governing field equations are re‐formulated in frequency domain with solid displacement and pore pressure. In a cylindrical coordinate system, a method of displacement potentials for axisymmetric displacement field is proposed to decouple the Biot's field equations to three scalar Helmholtz equations, and then the general solution to axisymmetric problems are obtained. The full‐space fundamental singular solution for a point sink is also derived using potential methods. The mirror‐image method is finally applied to construct the fundamental solution for a point sink buried in a poroelastic half‐space. Furthermore, a numerical study is conducted for a rock, that is, Berea sandstone, as a representative example. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Error assessment of grid‐based terrain shading algorithms for solar radiation modeling over complex terrain

In mountainous regions, solar radiation exhibits a strong spatial heterogeneity due to terrain shading effects. Terrain shading algorithms based on digital elevation models can be categorized into two types: area‐based and point‐specific. In this article, we evaluated two shading algorithms using designed mathematic surfaces. Theoretical shading effects over four Gauss synthetic surfaces were calculated and used to evaluate the terrain shading algorithms. We evaluated the area‐based terrain shading algorithm, Hillshade tool of ArcGIS, and the point‐specific shading algorithm from Solar Analyst (SA) in ArcGIS. Both algorithms showed shading overestimation, and Hillshade showed more accuracy with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 1.20%, as compared to the MAE of 1.66% of SA. The MAE of Hillshade increases exponentially as the spatial extent of the study area increases because the solar position for all locations on the surface is the same in Hillshade. Consequently, we suggest that the surface should be divided into more tiles in Hillshade when the discrepancy in the latitude of the whole surface is greater than 4°. Skyshed, which represents the horizon angle distribution in SA, is error‐prone over more complex terrain because horizon angle interpolation is problematic for such areas. We also propose a new terrain shading algorithm, with solar positions calculated using local latitude for each cell and the horizon angle calculated for every specific time interval, but without projections. The new model performs better than Hillshade and SA with an MAE of 0.55%.     

基于DNA条形码研究中国枪乌贼和鸢乌贼的食物种类组成*

中国枪乌贼(Uroteuthis chinensis)和鸢乌贼(Sthenoteuthis oualaniensis)作为中国南海头足类的关键种, 对海洋生态系统的物质流动与能量循环具有重要影响, 其摄食生态的研究将对海洋食物网的构建具有重要意义。由于传统胃含物分析法难以准确鉴定糜状饵料生物的组成, 本研究利用DNA条码技术, 针对中国枪乌贼和鸢乌贼不可辨认的食物糜提取组织DNA, 选用线粒体基因细胞色素C氧化酶亚基I(Mitochondrial cytochrome oxidase subunit I, COI)作为分子标记, 获得的序列在Genbank中进行比对分析, 并使用GMYC(Generalized Mixed Yule Coalescent)模型进行物种界定和构建系统进化关系。结果成功鉴定出中国枪乌贼饵料物种有13种, 鸢乌贼饵料物种有8种, 共20种(其中1种为共有饵料)。比较发现, 汕头-台湾浅滩渔场的中国枪乌贼主要摄食鱼类、甲壳类和头足类, 而南海中部海域鸢乌贼则主要摄食鱼类和头足类。两物种均存在同类相食现象, 但鸢乌贼表现更明显。     

岩土力学文献情报工作的回顾与展望

岩土力学文献情报工作是科研工作的不可分割的一部分。本文简要回顾我所岩土力学文献情报工作及其发展,并提出了今后岩土力学文献情报工作的几点设想。