Stochastic modelling of soil moisture dynamics in a grassland of Qilian Mountain at point scale

Stochastic modeling of soil moisture dynamics is crucial to the quantitative understanding of plant responses to water stresses,hydrological control of nutrient cycling processes,water competition among plants,and some other ecological dynamics,and thus has become a hotspot in ecohydrology at present.In this paper,we based on the continuously monitored data of soil moisture during 2002―2005 and daily precipitation date of 1992―2006,and tried to make a probabilistic analysis of soil moisture dynamics at point scale in a grassland of Qilian Mountain by integrating the stochastic model improved by Laio and the Monte Carlo method.The results show that the inter-annual variations for the soil moisture patterns at different depths are very significant,and that the coefficient of variance(CV) of surface soil moisture(20 cm) is almost continually kept at about 0.23 whether in the rich or poor rainy years.Interestingly,it has been found that the maximal CV of soil moisture has not always appeared at the surface layer.Comparison of the analytically derived soil moisture probability density function(PDF) with the statistical distribution of the observed soil moisture data suggests that the stochastic model can reasonably describe and predict the soil moisture dynamics of the grassland in Qilian Mountain at point scale.By extracting the statistical information of the historical precipitation data in 1994―2006,and inputting them into the stochastic model,we analytically derived the long-term soil moisture PDF without considering the inter-annual climate fluctuations,and then numerically derived the one when considering the inter-annual fluctuation effects in combination with a Monte-Carlo procedure.It was found that,though the peak position of the probability density distribution significantly moved towards drought when considering the disturbance forces,and its width was narrowed,accordingly its peak value was increased,no significant bimodality was observed in the soil moisture dynamics under the given intensity of random fluctuation disturbance.     

“9.18”川西北暴雨过程的数值预报与试验

利用成都区域中心ETA坐标模式，对2001年9月18－21日发生在四川盆地西北部的暴雨过程作数值预报试验，显示出对大暴雨过程的预报能力。模式预报对此降水过程雨区的移动、稳定、减弱趋势有较好的反应，但降水强度预报偏弱，且落区有偏差。数值试验揭示了降水前期对流层中、低层的西南、东南气流对降水的重要作用，而北方冷空气的强弱对此影响不明显。     

LD2000 System with 3S and Multi—sensor

This paper introduces a car-borne road information collecting and updating system (LD2000) developed by Wuhan Technical University of Surveying and Mapping.This system is capable of collecting road network information and creating digital road network effectively by means of GPS,GIS and multi-sensor integration.The design and development of LD 2000 system are also presented in this paper.     

基于Internet的地理信息系统的设计与实现

介绍了WebGIS的概念和特点，详细论述了实现WebGIS的一些关键技术；提出了解决基于网络的海量数据的数据结构组织的传输方案，以及如何在WebGIS的开发中引入ODBC技术，ASP技术来实现数据的管理，另外，提出了几点建立WebGIS应考虑的问题。     

利用拓普康全站仪内存结合瑞得软件进行地籍测绘成图

本文简要从地籍测绘施工实际出发，介绍了开发全站仪内存空间进行外业数据采集，将数据传输到微机中，结合瑞得软件进行成图编辑的技术方法。实践证明此方法大大提高了工作效率。     

回溯时间积分格式的有效性研究

采月正压准地转模式作为动力核,用Rossby-Haurwitz波函数作为理想场,同时使用回溯时间积分格式和普通中央差格式进行数值试验.结果表明,在短时积分的情况下,回溯格式能减小数值解误差1～2个量级,而且它对时间步长的增大不敏感.因此使用回溯格式可以减少积分计算量,延长积分时效.     

大气环流的变化与南海夏季风活动的关系

通过对近20年观测资料的计算分析表明，在南海夏季风活跃与中断期，南北半球副热带西风急流和热带东风急流以及青藏高压和墨西哥高压有明显的差异。从南半球向北传播的散度场低频振荡以及从北半球高纬向南传播的西风场低频振荡等的有利位相同时传入南海并共同作用可引起南海夏季风的活跃或中断。各种低频振荡的有利位相传播到南海并发生锁相的时间决定着南海夏季风明显的活跃或中断发生的时间。     

路面基层压实度现场测试中的非理想因素分析--以广东西部沿海高速公路新会段为例

通过对广东西部沿海高速公路路面基层现场压实度检测过程的详细观察，并在不同的条件下反复进行试验、分析比较，找出了影响压实度现场检测精度的主要非理想因素，即标准砂密度、试样含水量和路面基层平整度，并提出了解决方法。     

关于地球磁场极性反转机制的思索

地球磁场极性在地质历史中发生过相当频繁的倒转。作者将地球内部划分为岩石圈－软流圈－中圈－液圈－固核等5个动力学圈层，认为中圈与固核间可异步旋转；地球偶极磁场由中圈与固核异步旋转时所驱动的液圈中的封闭涡流与系磁场作用产生；该偶极子场极性由地球所通过的银道面上侧或下侧磁场方向及液圈涡流的方向共同决定，二者之一反向，极性发生倒转。     

包络地形和重力波拖曳对区域气候模拟效果的影响

用NCAR区域气候模式(RegCM2)的数值试验，研究了包络地形和地形重力波拖曳作用对1991年5、6月份中国区域内气候模拟效果的影响。通过试验结果的对比分析发现，在模式中引入地形重力波拖曳作用可在一定程度上改善模式对气候系统和要素的模拟效果，使模拟结果更符合气候实况。包络地形对模拟结果也有一定的改善，但对于细网格的区域气候模式(RCM)来说，其效果不如重力波拖曳明显。不论是地形重力波拖曳还是包络地形，在模式积分的初期，它们的作用并不明显，随着积分时间的增长，它们对模拟结果的影响程度增大。