Evaluation of Trends and Changes in the Gulf of Gdańsk Ecosystem—an Integrated Approach

An integrated trend assessment was conducted for the Gulf of Gdańsk (GoG), Baltic Sea for the period 1994–2010 to describe changes and potentially important drivers of the ecosystem. We found changes in the biota, including an increase in open sea taxa (flatfish, sprat and cod), a decrease in typical coastal species such as eelpout and lumpfish and an increase in primary production. The analyses further suggest that changes in the food web were driven by a combination of anthropogenic pressures (e.g., nutrient loadings and fisheries) and possible interactions with climatic disturbance. Our analyses show that significant changes occurred in the GoG ecosystem between 1994 and 2010. The primary drivers and mechanisms of these changes are discussed. We describe this alteration of the GoG within the context of similar temporal patterns identified in adjacent areas.     

Water level changes in Polish lakes during 1976–2010

The paper presents the analysis of tendencies in water level changes in 32 lakes in Poland during 1976–2010. Series of monthly, seasonal, and annual precipitation and air temperature for 9 meteorological stations were also studied. The trend analysis for all of the studied series of water levels in lakes showed high spatial and temporal variability. Series of annual water levels in the case of 6 lakes showed statistically significant increasing tendencies, and in 7 lakes, significant decreasing trends. Series of annual amplitudes in the majority of lakes (22) showed a decreasing trend, but they were statistically significant only in three cases. The tendencies for air temperature fluctuations are more statistically significant than precipitation. The key role in determining water level changes is played by local factors, particularly including human economic activity, obscuring the effect of natural factors on water level changes. The paper describes cases of changes in water levels in lakes under anthropopressure related to among others: agricultural irrigations, hydropower infrastructure, water transfers, navigation, or mining.     

Peralkaline felsic magmatism at the Nemrut volcano,Turkey: impact of volcanism on the evolution of Lake Van (Anatolia) IV

Nemrut volcano, adjacent to Lake Van (Turkey), is one of the most important peralkaline silicic centres in the world, where magmatism for ~570,000 years has been dominated by peralkaline trachytes and rhyolites. Using onshore and Lake Van drill site tephra samples, we document the phenocryst and glass matrix compositions, confirming a complete spectrum from very rare mafic to dominantly silicic magmas. Magma mixing has been common and, along with the multi-lineage nature of the magmas, indicates that Nemrut has been a very open system where, nevertheless, compositionally zoned caps developed during periods of relative eruptive quiescence. Geothermometry suggests that the intermediate-silicic magmas evolved in an upper crustal magma reservoir at temperatures between 1100 and 750 °C, at fO₂ close to the FMQ buffer. The silicic magmas either were halogen poor or exsolved a halogen-rich phase prior to or during eruption. An unusual Pb-rich phase, with up to 98.78 wt% PbO, is interpreted as having exsolved from the intermediate-rhyolitic magmas.     

Chemistry of Neutral and Alkaline Waters with Low Al<Superscript>3+</Superscript> Activity Against Hydroxyaluminosilicate HAS<Subscript>B</Subscript> Solubility. The Evidence from Ground and Surface Waters of the Sudetes Mts. (SW Poland)

A wide set of aqueous chemistry data (574 water analyses) from natural environments has been used to testify and validate of the solubility of synthetic hydroxyaluminosilicate (HAS_B)_, Al₂Si₂O₅(OH)₄. The ground and surface waters represent regolith and/or fissure aquifers in various (magmatic, sedimentary and metamorphic) bedrocks in the Sudetes Mts. (SW Poland). The solubility of HAS_B in natural waters was calculated using the method proposed by Schneider et al. (Polyhedron 23:3185–3191, 2004). Results confirm usefulness and validity of this method. The HAS_B solubility obtained from the field data (logK_sp = −44.7 ± 0.58) is lower than it was estimated (logK_sp = −40.6 ± 0.15) experimentally (Schneider et al. Polyhedron 23:3185–3191, 2004). In the waters studied the equilibrium with HAS_B is maintained at pH above 6.7 and at [Al³⁺] ≤ 10⁻¹⁰. Silicon activity (log[H₄SiO₄]) ranges between −4.2 and −3.4. Due to the calculation method used, the K_sp mentioned above cannot be considered as a classical solubility constant. However, it can be used in the interpretation of aluminium solubility in natural waters. The HAS_B has solubility lower than amorphous Al(OH)₃, and higher than proto-imogolite. From water samples that are in equilibrium with respect to HAS_B, the solubility product described by the reaction, is calculated to be logK_sp = 14.0 (±0.7) at 7°C.     

Urban flood vulnerability assessment in a densely urbanized city using multi-factor analysis and machine learning algorithms

Theoretical and Applied Climatology - Flood is considered as the most devastating natural hazards that cause the death of many lives worldwide. The present study aimed to predict flood...     

Analytic tools for investigating the structure of network reliability measures with regard to observation correlations

A global measure of observation correlations in a network is proposed, together with the auxiliary indices related to non-diagonal elements of the correlation matrix. Based on the above global measure, a specific representation of the correlation matrix is presented, being the result of rigorously proven theorem formulated within the present research. According to the theorem, each positive definite correlation matrix can be expressed by a scale factor and a so-called internal weight matrix. Such a representation made it possible to investigate the structure of the basic reliability measures with regard to observation correlations. Numerical examples carried out for two test networks illustrate the structure of those measures that proved to be dependent on global correlation index. Also, the levels of global correlation are proposed. It is shown that one can readily find an approximate value of the global correlation index, and hence the correlation level, for the expected values of auxiliary indices being the only knowledge about a correlation matrix of interest. The paper is an extended continuation of the previous study of authors that was confined to the elementary case termed uniform correlation. The extension covers arbitrary correlation matrices and a structure of correlation effect.     

Deep Electrical Resistivity Structure of the European Lithosphere in Poland Derived from 3-D Inversion of Magnetotelluric Data

Surveys in Geophysics - This paper presents a three-dimensional (3-D) model of the resistivity distribution in the European lithosphere at the junction between the East European Craton, the...     

Holocene relative shore-level changes and development of the Ģipka lagoon in the western Gulf of Riga

Holocene relative shore-level changes and development of the Ģipka palaeolagoon in the western Gulf of Riga are reconstructed using multiproxy analyses by combining litho-, biostratigraphical and chronological data with remote sensing and geophysical data. The results show the development of the Ģipka basin from the Ancylus Lake/Initial Litorina Sea coastal zone (before c. 9.1 cal. ka BP) to coastal fen (c. 9.1 to 8.4 cal. ka BP) and gradual development of the Litorina Sea lagoon (c. 8.4 to 4.8 cal. ka BP) and its transition to a freshwater coastal lake (c. 4.8 to 4.6 cal. ka BP), fen (c. 4.6 to 4.2 cal. ka BP), and river floodplain (since c. 4.2 cal. ka BP). The highest shorelines of the Ancylus Lake and Litorina Sea were mapped at an elevation of 12–11 and 9 m a.s.l., respectively. A new relative shore level (RSL) curve for the western Gulf of Riga was constructed based on RSL data from the Ģipka area and from nearby Ruhnu Island studied earlier. The reconstruction shows that the beginning of the last marine transgression in the western Gulf of Riga started at c. 8.4 cal. ka BP, and concurred with the 1.9 m RSL rise event recorded from the North Sea basin. Diatom analysis results indicate the existence of the Ģipka lagoon between c. 7.7 and 4.8 cal. ka BP, with the highest salinity c. 6.1 cal. ka BP. During the existence of the brackish lagoon, settlement sites of the Neolithic hunter–gatherer groups existed on the shores of the lagoon in the period c. 6.0 to 5.0 cal. ka BP.     

Effectiveness of Random Field Approach in Serviceability Limit State Analysis of Strip Foundation

Geotechnical and Geological Engineering - This work conducts a probabilistic inquiry on how the variability of the parameter defining soil deformability affects the settlement of the foundation...     

Cosmology beyond the standard model: Multi-component dark matter model

We show that both the mass and composition of dark matter (DM) particles strongly influence the formation of low mass DM halos. Comparison of theoretical predictions with observations allows us to select the more promising DM models. More details can be found in our paper arXiv:1404.3362.