降水系统的概念模式

雷达和卫星图象的解释是临近预报的主要内容之一。在做提前几小时的降水详细预报时,需要借助于天气尺度、中尺度现象和它们的机制对图象进行仔细的解释。本文综述了一些概念模式,这些模式描绘了热带和中纬地区的中纬度气旋、中尺度对流系统的各种表现。特别讨论了下述现象: (ⅰ)暖输送带,包括在上滑和下滑冷锋形势中具有后倾上升和前倾上升的输送带;(ⅱ)暖锋前的冷输送带;(ⅲ)出现在冷锋前低空急流边界层的与线对流相联系的窄雨带;(ⅳ)与对流层中层对流有关的中尺度宽雨带;(ⅴ)热带和中纬度飑线;(ⅵ)热带和中纬度非飑线中尺度对流系统;(ⅶ)与冷旋涡相联的次天气尺度逗点云;(ⅷ)极槽输送带和即刻锢囚(instant occlusion)。     

正压大气中根据天气和同化资料制作统计-动力预报

1.前言从一些离散的观测站采样而得某一气象变量的主观分析多半会和它的真实情况不同。如果这种不确定的分析用作数值预报的初始状态,那么所作预报也将会有误差。格利森1961年发展的一种统计-动力理论对这种初始状态的误差及其随时间增长作了定量处理。在这种理论模式中用调整物理模式的动力项将初始误差的正态分布转为预报误差的正态分布。从最终的分布求得预报量处于其真实数值的某一允许偏差范围内的理论概率。实际上这样也就作出了对预报     

Numerical study on dry deposition processes in canopy layer

A coupling model between the canopy layer (CL) and atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) for the study of dry deposition velocity is developed. The model consists of six parts: chemical species conservation equation including absorptive factor; the species uptake action including detailed vertical variation of absorptive element in CL; momen-tum exchange in CL which is represented by a first-order closure momentum equation with an additional larger-scale diffusive term; momentum exchange in ABL which is described by a complete set of the ABL turbulent statistic parameters; absorptivity (or solubility or reflection) at the surface including effects of the physical and chemi-cal characters of the species, land type, seasonal and diurnal variations of the meteorological variables; and deposition velocity derived by distributions of the species with height in CL. Variational rules of the concentration and deposi-tion velocity with both height and time are simulated with the model for both corn and forest canopies. Results pre-dicted with the bulk deposition velocity derived in the paper consist well with experimental data.     

CHARACTERIZATION OF THE EFFECT OF PEAK SHIFTS ON THE PERFORMANCE OF THE KALMAN FILTER IN MULTICOMPONENT ANALYSES

The effect of peak shifts on the performance of a Kalman filter multicomponent analysis algorithm hasbeen investigated.A series of Gaussian test systems were employed to characterize the concentrationestimation errors and the morphology of the on-line residuals(the innovations sequence).Both forwardand reverse filters were used in the generation of the innovations sequences.It was found that thedifference between the forward and reverse innovations sequences gave an accurate indication of thedirection and magnitude of the peak shift.A series of overlapped two-component systems were alsoinvestigated.Again,a correlation between the difference innovations and the degree of the responseshift was observed.The behavior of the Katman filter in fitting the shifted fluorescence emissionspectrum of benzo[a]pyrene was also examined.The response for henzo[a]pyrene in cyclohexanesolution was compared to that obtained on the surface of a reversed phase thin layer chromatographyplate.A red shift of 4 nm was detected for the surface spectrum by observing the difference innovationssequence.This approach holds promise for correction of response shifts in multicomponent systems.     

老龄化地理学专辑序言

<正>进入21世纪以来,老龄化问题越来越突出,全球范围内基于地理学视角的老龄化研究成果也日益丰富。老龄化对中国的现代化进程影响深远,未来一二十年间快速老龄化将对城镇化和经济发展带来很大不确定性。为了顺利跨越"中等收入"陷阱,有序过渡到一个更加健康、成熟的社会,实现"老有所终,壮有所用,幼有所长,鳏寡孤独废疾者,皆有所养",必须深化对相关概念、理论和实际问题的研究。我们特邀请国内外专家撰稿,组织刊发了本期专辑,以期引起国内地理学界     

COMMENTS ON THE NIPALS ALGORITHM

The Non-linear lterative Partial Least Squares(NIPALS)algorithm is used in principal componentanalysis to decompose a data matrix into score vectors and eigenvectors(loading vectors)plus a residualmatrix.N1PALS starts with some guessed starting vector.The principal components obtained by NIPALSdepends on the starting vector;the first principal component could not always be computed.Wold hassuggested a starting vector for NIPALS,but we have found that even if this starting vector is used,thefirst principal component cannot be obtained in all cases.The reason why such a situation occurs isexplained by the power method.A simple modification of the original NIPALS procedure to avoid gettingsmaller eigenvalues is presented.     

SHORT COMMUNICATION COMMENTS ON THE RESIDUAL BILINEARIZATION METHOD

Through theoretical analysis and computer simulation,this short communication comments on theresidual bilinearization(RBL)method and compares it with non-bilinear rank annihilation(NBRA)forthe treatment of second-order calibration with non-bilinear data.It is found that these two methods aremathematically equivalent but have different noise propagation properties.The second-order advantage,namely quantitation in the presence of unknown interferences,can be carried over to non-bilinear dataonly if there exists a net analyte rank(NAR)for the analyte of interest.