A New Probability of Detection Model for Updating Crack Distribution of Offshore Structures

1 .IntroductionNondestructiveinspection (NDI)isveryimportantforensuringthereliabilityofoffshorestructuresintheirservicelives (Lauraetal.,1 996 ) .Itiswellknownthatdetectionofflawsinvolvesconsider ablestatisticaluncertainties.Asaresult,theprobabilityofdetection (POD)forallflawsofagivensizehasbeenusedintheliteraturetodefinethecapabilityofaparticularNDItechniqueinagivenen vironment.SincethedataofPODusuallyscatterlargely ,itisdifficulttodeterminewhichmodelfitstheavailabledatabest.Thismodelun…     

受损结构余度评估的半概率方法

本文给出了一种结构系统余度的度量定义，基于结构系统机构化失效概念和相当可靠性指数。本文提出了对受损结构安全评做的半概率方法。所示算例表明了本方法的有效性。     

深水半潜式生产平台耦合动力特性对比研究

应用数值模拟与模型试验相结合的方法研究半潜式生产平台系泊状态下的耦合动力特性。建立耦合分析模型,时域内计算求解平台的动力响应,选取缩尺比为1∶60,采用等效截断模型方法对数值模拟结果进行验证。通过对比模型试验与数值模拟结果发现:等效截断系泊系统可以较好地模拟平台的位移响应,但在系泊张力方面却差异较大,此外极端海况下平台的甲板上浪问题也必须得到充分重视。     

海洋工程风险评估的现状和发展

复杂工程风险评估是近年来得到迅速发展的新的系统化的方法,本文讨论了适合于海洋工程风险评估的理论框架,涉及了动态系统风险评估和人因可靠性分析技术,为其进一步发展提出方向,文中给出了ＴＬＰ风险评估的实例。该框架同样适用于其它复杂的工程系统。     

考虑节点柔度的海洋平台结构总体分析

本文提出了一种改进的空间梁单元,可以考虑单元两端节点的柔性,用来模拟海洋平台等工程结构的柔性接头特性,用此改进梁单元作海洋平台结构总体分析,不仅简单可行、通用性强,而且有足够的精度,算例结果表明了它的有效性和可靠性。     

34万吨级FPSO的中横剖面优化设计

以中横剖面的面积最小为目标函数，应用自适应步长随机搜索法，对34万吨级FPSO中横剖面进行了优化设计，并将规范设计结果和优化设计结果进行了比较，优化效果较好。     

Risk Based Optimal Inspection and Repair Planning for Ship Structures Subjected to Corrosion Deterioration

A framework of risk based inspection and repair planning was presented to optimize for the ship structures subjected to corrosion deterioration. The planning problem was formulated as an optimization problem where the expected lifetime costs were minimized with a eonstraint on the minimum aceeptable rehability index. The safety margins were established for the inspection events, the repair events and the failure events for ship struetures. Moreover, the formulae were derived to calculate failure probabihties and repair probabilities. Based on them, a component subjected to corrosion is investigated for illustration of the process of selecting the optimal inspection and repair strategy. Furthermore, some sensitivity studies were provided. The results show that the optimal inspection instants should take place before the reliability index reaches the minimum acceptable reliability index. The optimal target failure probability is 10^-3. In addition, a balance can be achieved between the risk cost and total expected inspection and repair costs by means of the risk-based optimal inspection and repair method, which is very effective in selecting the optimal inspection and repair strategy.     

考虑焊缝影响的管接头有限元分析

本文提出了一种用罚单元方法及虚梁法处理海洋平台管状接头分析中弱连接问题的方法。有效地用来考虑焊缝影响的管状接头应力分析。应用本方法对T型管接头进行了数值计算,计算的结果与实验结果相当符合。由于计入了焊缝对结点处应力分布的影响,本法较一般已有的算法更合理。本文还探讨了焊缝形状及尺寸对‘热点’位置及应力集中系数的影响。     

惠州25-8 DPP组块动力定位浮托安装研究

从动力定位船舶浮托安装研究出发,归纳了动力定位船舶浮托安装的优势,并以"海洋石油278"驳船进行组块浮托安装为例,提出了南中国海大型组块采用动力定位船舶浮托安装的气候窗及动力定位能力分析方法,给出了惠州25-8 DPP组块动力定位浮托安装的关键设计结果。本研究对环境恶劣海况下的大型组块浮托安装具有一定借鉴意义。     

渤海油田浅水软刚臂系泊FPSO触底分析

在线性三维势流理论的基础上,采用时域计算方法对BZ25—1油田16万吨级FPSO不同吃水条件下的碰底情况作了分析研究。数值计算结果与模型试验进行了比较,两者吻合较好,说明应用时域计算方法可以从理论上预报FPSO在浅水中的触底情况。这对我国渤海等浅水海域油田应用FPSO系统进行开发具有一定的意义。