Interrelation between QBO and 11-year solar cycle effects in total column ozone over Europe

On the basis of total column ozone (TO) data obtained in the period of 1957–2007 at 10 ground-based European stations, characterized by long and highly reliable measurements, the effects of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and 11-year solar cycle (11-year SC), manifesting in TO are investigated. The results of comparative analysis of seasonal differences between different QBO/solar extremes convincingly demonstrate interrelation between the QBO and 11-year SC effects. It is shown that solar activity modulates the phase of the QBO effect so that the quasi-biennial TO signals during solar maximum and solar minimum are nearly in opposite phase. It is also demonstrated that isolated under permanent conditions of solar minimum or solar maximum the QBO effects in TO have the time scale of about 20 months. Solar modulation of the QBO effect makes the QBO a conductor of the solar cycle impact on TO over Europe. The mechanism of influence of the 11-year SC on the QBO and probably includes its impact on the QBO amplitude in the equatorial lower stratosphere, mainly through weakening of the equatorial easterlies during solar maximum.     

北半球冬季平流层温度和Brewer-Dobson环流对11 a太阳循环的响应

采用北京气候中心大气辐射模式(BCC-RAD)、日本气象厅JRA-55月平均再分析资料,研究了北半球冬季低纬度平流层上、下两个温度异常区对太阳周期的响应及其机制。结果表明,太阳活动偏强年,低纬度的上平流层温度暖异常是由臭氧短波加热异常引起的,它在中纬度的上平流层激发出异常强西风,阻碍行星波正常上传,由波破碎驱动的Brewer-Dobson环流也减弱,该环流上升支减弱的动力加热作用导致了低纬度的下平流层暖异常。     

CMIP5模式对太阳活动准11年周期激发类拉尼娜型海温的评估

利用24个第五次耦合模式比较计划(Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5,CMIP5)历史试验资料,本文评估了在太阳年代际尺度准11 a周期变化下能否激发出热带太平洋显著的类拉尼娜型海表温度异常的模拟能力。再分析资料分析结果表明,“自下而上”机制解释了在太阳强迫偏强的年份,热带太平洋更容易呈现出显著的类拉尼娜型海温异常。CMIP5模式的评估结果显示,有2/5的模式可以基本再现再分析资料中太阳强迫影响下的热带东太平洋海温负异常,这些模式分为类拉尼娜组;而另有3/5的模式模拟出了相反的信号,分为类厄尔尼诺组。为了进一步探讨CMIP5模式模拟能力不同的原因,本文分析了“自下而上”机制在模式中的表现。“自下而上”机制可分为蒸发过程和海洋恒温(thermostat)过程。结果表明,模式能否模拟出类拉尼娜型海温响应取决于thermostat过程的强弱,其中类拉尼娜组的thermostat过程更强;而蒸发过程没有起到关键作用。     

Modulation of the Arctic Oscillation and the East Asian winter climate relationships by the 11-year solar cycle

The modulation of the relationship between the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the East Asian winter climate by the 11-year solar cycle was investigated.During winters with high solar activity (HS),robust ...     

The 11-yr ozone modulation of extreme surface air temperatures

Summary The opposite effect of the total ozone on daily maximum and minimum air temperatures is one of the reasons for the failure of the correlation between solar activity and surface air temperature by means of mean daily values. The solar-related fluctuations in the atmospheric total ozone are found to be responsible for the observed correlations between solar activity and separately daily maximum and minimum air temperatures. The present evidence indicates that ozone serves as a stratospheric shutter modulating both the incoming daytime visible solar energy flux and the Earth's night-time upward infrared radiation transferred downward.

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Zusammenfassung Der umgekehrte Effekt des gesamten Ozons auf die Tagesmaxima und -minima der Lufttemperatur ist einer der Gründe für die mißglückte Korrelation zwischen Sonnenaktivität und Oberflächenlufttemperatur, wie sie bis jetzt aus Tagesmittelwerten ermittelt wurde. Die sonnenabhängige Fluktuation im atmosphärischen Gesamtozon erwies sich als Ursache der genannten Korrelation zwischen Sonnenaktivität und täglichen Maxima und Minima der Lufttemperaturen andererseits. Damit wird darauf hingewiesen, daß Ozon als stratosphärischer Absorber sowohl für die tagsüber einfallende sichtbare Sonnenstrahlung als auch für die nächtliche, rücktransferrierte Erdinfrarotabstrahlung wirkt.

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Influence of the 11-year solar cycle on the effects of the equatorial quasi-biennial oscillation, manifesting in the extratropical northern atmosphere

Using the longest and most reliable ozonesonde data sets grouped for four regions (Japan, Europe, as well as temperate and polar latitudes of Canada) the comparative analysis of regional responses of ozone, temperature, horizontal wind, tropopause and surface pressure on the equatorial quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO effects), manifesting in opposite phases of the 11-year solar cycle (11-yr SC) was carried out. The impact of solar cycle is found to be the strongest at the Canadian Arctic, near one of two climatological centres of polar vortex, where in solar maximum conditions the QBO signals in ozone and temperature have much larger amplitudes, embrace greater range of heights, and are maximized much higher than those in solar minimum conditions. The strengthening of the temperature QBO effect during solar maxima can explain why correlation between the 11-yr SC and polar winter stratospheric temperature is reversed in the opposite QBO phases. At the border of polar vortex the 11-yr SC also modulates the QBO effect in zonal wind, strengthening the quasi-biennial modulation of polar vortex during solar maxima that is associated with strong negative correlation between stratospheric QBO signals in zonal wind and temperature. Above Japan the QBO effects of ozone, temperature, and zonal wind, manifesting in solar maxima reveal the downward phase dynamics, reminding similar feature of the zonal wind in the equatorial stratosphere. Above Europe, the QBO effects in solar maxima reveal more similarity with those above Japan, while in solar minima with the effects obtained at the Canadian middle-latitude stations. It is revealed that the 11-yr SC influences regional QBO effects in tropopause height, tropopause temperature and surface pressure. The influence most distinctly manifest itself in tropopause characteristics above Japan. The results of the accompanying analysis of the QBO reference time series testify that in the period of 1965–2006 above 50-hPa level the duration of the QBO cycle in solar maxima is 1–3 months longer than in solar minima. The differences are more distinct at higher levels, but they are diminished with lengthening of the period.     

Influence of solar activity on winter temperatures: New climatological evidence

Winter temperatures in the Netherlands for the period 1634–1977 (344 years) have been analysed for the years in odd and even solar cycles separately. It is found that on average the odd-cycle years have lower and more variable winter temperatures than the even-cycle years. The indicated differences are statistically significant and show up in the 17th and 18th as well as in the more recent centuries. Most probably the effect is caused by an observed slight difference in the preferred location (Iceland or Scandinavia) of North Atlantic pressure systems in alternate solar cycles.     

中层大气臭氧的全日盘掩日测量

本文研究了日盘张角对掩日测量的影响,引进了日盘光辐射空间变化特性这一先验信息,提出了从全日盘掩日测量反演中层大气臭氧含量的新方法.数值模拟试验指出,这一方法可以满意地给出25—65km高度范围内大气臭氧的垂直分布。当测量吸收比的均方根噪声为0.01时,其反演误差小于10％.利用这一方法,可以大大简化探测系统、降低测量对遥感平台的要求.     

The solar cycle and Indian rainfall

Summary The objective of this study is to examine critically the relationship between solar cycles and Indian monsoon rainfall, for the period 1871–1984, and to search for significant periodicities, by utilizing the maximum entropy spectral technique (MEST). The results of this study using MEST show clearly a significant 11-year cycle in solar activity and rainfall. Also present is a significant 7.33-year cycle in rainfall. The double (Hale) sunspot cycle is not discernible here either in sunspot number or in rainfall. The cross-spectral analysis between the sunspot number and rainfall confirms the existence of a reasonable correlation over an 11-year cycle with a relative phase lag of 0.16 year (sun lead).

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Zusammenfassung Zweck dieser Studie ist die kritische Überprüfung des Zusammenhangs zwischen Sonnenzyklus und dem indischen Monsunregen im Zeitraum 1871–1984 und die Festlegung spezifischer Periodizitäten mittels der Maximal-Entropie-Analyse (MEST). Die Resultate zeigen einen signifikanten 7,33-jährigen Niederschlagszyklus. Der doppelte (Hale) Sonnenfleckenzyklus ist hierbei nicht ausnehmbar, weder bei der Anzahl der Sonnenflecken, noch beim Niederschlag. Die Kreuz-Spektralanalyse zwischen Sonnenfleckenzyklus und Niederschlag bestätigt die Existenz einer Korrelation über einen 11jährigen Zyklus mit einer relativen Phasenverzögerung von 0,16 Jahren.

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On leave from the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India.

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Further notes on a feature of leaf and air temperatures

Summary This is a sequel to an earlier paper, in which it was pointed out that there is a tendency for the temperature of leaves of many well-watered plants, exposed to midday sunshine, to exceed the ambient temperature only when the latter is below a so-called equality temperature. Further evidence is presented here, again indicating that equality temperatures are often in the vicinity of 30°C.

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Zusammenfassung Der vorliegende Artikel stellt die Fortsetzung einer früheren Arbeit dar, in der dargelegt wurde, da? eine Tendenz dazu besteht, da\ die Temperature der Bl?tter vieler Pflanzen, denen hinreichend Wasser zur Verfügung steht und die der Mittagssonne ausgesetzt sind, nur dann h?her ist als die Umgebungstemperatur, wenn die letztere niedriger ist als die sogenannte „Gleichheitstemperatur”; das ist die Temperatur, bei der kein Flu? fühlbarer W?rme zwischen Blatt und Umgebung auftritt. Es werden Beispiele angeführt, die zeigen, da? die Gleichheitstemperatur nahe bei 30°C liegt.

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Résumé Le présent mémoire est la suite d'un précédent dans lequel on avait émis l'avis que la température des feuilles de bien des plantes exposées au soleil de midi ne dépassait la température ambiante que si cette dernière était inférieure à une certaine “température d'égalité” (Gleichheitstemperatur). Cette tendance ne se manifeste cependant que si les dites plantes disposent de suffisamment d'eau. La “température d'égalité” est celle à laquelle on ne constate pas de flux de chaleur sensible entre la feuille et le milieu ambiant. On donne ici des exemples supplémentaires qui montrent que cette “température d'égalité” est souvent proche de 30°C.

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Stratospheric ozone reduction,solar UV-B radiation and terrestrial ecosystems

Stratospheric ozone reduction is occurring and will continue to increase in magnitude into the next century. Yet, the consequences for terrestrial ecosystems of the increased solar UV-B (280–320 nm) radiation resulting from total column ozone reduction are not understood. Based on studies of higher plant response to UV-B, several possible consequences for ecosystems include decreased primary production, altered plant species composition, and altered secondary chemistry with implications for herbivory, litter decomposition and biogeochemical cycles. However, like the assessment of increased atmospheric CO₂, extrapolation from studies with isolated plants to ecosystem function is very tenuous at best. Very few UV-B studies have dealt with multispecies systems. Most of the UV-B research in the past two decades (since the first suggestions of ozone reduction) has been conducted as short-term experiments in growth chambers and greenhouses where the unnatural spectral balance of radiation can lead to unrealistic conclusions. Technical difficulties in suitable measurement and manipulation of UV-B radiation also complicate the conduct of reliable experiments. This essay surveys and categorizes some 300 papers from the past 20 years on this subject, draws general conclusions from the research and offers some recommendations with respect to ecosystem consequences.     

平流层与中间层大气动力学的研究

平流层与中间层位于对流层顶之上到80公里左右的高度,它占据着大气总量的20%左右。它的变化直接影响着对流层大气的运动,因此,要搞清楚对流层的气候形成及中、长期天气过程的物理机制,就必须研究平流层与中间层大气环流及其形成的物理机制。 由于平流层含有臭氧,它吸收着太阳辐射中的紫外线,形成了以平流层顶为中心的高温层;并且,平流层及中层大气与对流层大气不同,它没有水蒸汽的凝结,不与海洋及地表     

Central antarctic climate response to the solar cycle

Antarctic “Vostok” station works most closely to the center of the ice cap among permanent year-around stations. Climate conditions are exclusively stable: low precipitation level, cloudiness and wind velocity. These conditions can be considered as an ideal model laboratory to study the surface temperature response on solar irradiance variability during 11-year cycle of solar activity. Here we solve an inverse heat conductivity problem: calculate the boundary heat flux density (HFD) from known evolution of temperature. Using meteorological temperature record during (1958–2011) we calculated the HFD variation about 0.2–0.3 W/m² in phase with solar activity cycle. This HFD variation is derived from 0.5 to 1 °C temperature variation and shows relatively high climate sensitivity per 0.1 % of solar radiation change. This effect can be due to the polar amplification phenomenon, which predicts a similar response 0.3–0.8 °C/0.1 % (Gal-Chen and Schneider in Tellus 28:108–121, 1975). The solar forcing (TSI) is disturbed by volcanic forcing (VF), so that their linear combination TSI + 0.5VF empirically provides higher correlation with HFD (r = 0.63 ± 0.22) than TSI (r = 0.50 ± 0.24) and VF (r = 0.41 ± 0.25) separately. TSI shows higher wavelet coherence and phase agreement with HFD than VF.     

The effects of changing solar angles,cloud regimes,and air temperatures on the temperatures of contrasting surfaces

A steady-state energy budget and a solar radiation-cloud attenuation model have been linked. This has permitted a systematic examination of the changing relative surface temperatures and differences between surface and air temperatures as functions of varying solar altitudes, selected cloud types, cloud covers, and air temperatures. This analysis was performed for two contrasting surfaces: barren and grassy. The results are presented in a series of three-dimensional graphs. The grassy landscape reacted more conservatively to changing solar altitudes (for all cloud types and amounts) compared with the barren surface. The results are assumed to encompass most of the possible extremes encountered in real landscapes exposed to similar changes in solar angle, air temperatures, and cloud regimes.Dr. O'Rourke is currently a Post-Doctoral Scholar at UCLA.     

A 10-year study of background surface ozone concentrations on the island of Gozo in the Central Mediterranean

A 10-year study of surface ozone mixing ratios in the Central Mediterranean was conducted based on continuous ozone measurements from 1997 to 2006 by a background regional Global Atmospheric Watch (GAW) station on the island of Gozo. The mean annual maximum mixing ratio is of the order of 66 ppbv in April–May with a broad secondary maximum of 64 ppbv in July–September. No long-term increase or decrease in the background level of surface ozone could be observed over the last 10 years. This is contrary to observations made in the Eastern Mediterranean, where a slow decrease in the background ozone mixing ratio was observed over the past 7 years. Despite the very high average annual ozone mixing ratio exceeding 50 ppbv—in fact, the highest average background ozone mixing ratio ever measured in Europe—, the diurnal O _{3 max}/O _{3 min} index of <1.40 indicates that the island of Gozo is a good site for measuring background surface ozone. However, frequent photosmog events from June to September during the past 10 years with ozone mixing ratios exceeding 90 ppbv indicate that the Central Mediterranean is prone to long-range transport of air pollutants from Europe by northerly winds. This was particularly evident during the so-called “August heatwave” of the year 2003 when the overall ozone mixing ratio was 4.6 ppbv higher than the average of all other 9 months of August since 1997. Air mass back-trajectory analysis of the August 2003 photosmog episodes on Gozo confirmed that ozone pollution originated from the European continent. Regression analysis was used to analyse the 10-year data set in order to model the behaviour of the ozone mixing ratio in terms of the meteorological parameters of wind speed, relative humidity, global radiation, temperature, month of year, wind sector, atmospheric pressure, and time of day (predictors). Most of these predictors were found to significantly affect the ozone mixing ratios. From March to November, the monthly average of the AOT40 threshold value for the protection of crops and vegetation against ozone was constantly exceeded on Gozo during the past 10 years.