Comparative analysis of recurrent high-speed solar wind streams influence on the radiation environment of near-earth space in April–July 20101

This paper analyzes variations of flux of relativistic and subrelativistic electrons in the outer radiation belt of the Earth caused by the arrival of recurrent high-speed streams of solar wind during three consecutive solar rotations. The period from April to July 2010 is covered. During this time, an increase in fluxes of relativistic electrons was observed after they had reached a minimum in November 2009–January 2010. Two coronal holes of different polarity, geometry, and location relative to the solar equator were the source of high-speed solar wind streams. The relationship between the efficiency of acceleration of electrons of subrelativistic energies and the amplitude, duration of high-speed streams of solar wind and geomagnetic disturbances, as well as the wave activity in the range of 2–7 mHz, characterized by the ULF index, is confirmed. Significant increases of the flux of relativistic electrons in the outer radiation belt of the Earth were observed during the considered period with an hourly average speed of solar wind streams above 550 km/s and a duration of more than seven days. It is found that the spectrum of electrons in the Earth’s outer radiation belt over the considered period of time was softer during the observation of solar wind streams from the positive polarity coronal hole, even given the amplitude of the solar wind velocity higher than 550 km/s.     

Remote sensing of the heliospheric solar wind using radio astronomy methods and numerical simulations

The ground-based radio astronomy method of interplanetary scintillations (IPS) and spacecraft observations have shown, in the past 25 years, that while coronal holes give rise to stable, reclining high speed solar wind streams during the minimum of the solar activity cycle, the slow speed wind seen more during the solar maximum activity is better associated with the closed field regions, which also give rise to solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CME’s). The latter events increase significantly, as the cycle maximum takes place. We have recently shown that in the case of energetic flares one may be able to track the associated disturbances almost on a one to one basis from a distance of 0.2 to 1 AU using IPS methods. Time dependent 3D MHD models which are constrained by IPS observations are being developed. These models are able to simulate general features of the solar-generated disturbances. Advances in this direction may lead to prediction of heliospheric propagation of these disturbances throughout the solar system.     

Small Solar Wind Transients and Their Connection to the Large-Scale Coronal Structure

It has been realized for some time that the slow solar wind with its embedded heliospheric current sheet often exhibits complex features suggesting at least partially transient origin. In this paper we investigate the structure of the slow solar wind using the observations by the Wind and STEREO spacecraft during two Carrington rotations (2054 and 2055). These occur at the time of minimum solar activity when the interplanetary medium is dominated by recurrent high-speed streams and large-scale interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs) are rare. However, the signatures of transients with small scale-sizes and/or low magnetic field strength (comparable with the typical solar wind value, ～?5 nT) are frequently found in the slow solar wind at these times. These events do not exhibit significant speed gradients across the structure, but instead appear to move with the surrounding flow. Source mapping using models based on GONG magnetograms suggests that these transients come from the vicinity of coronal source surface sector boundaries. In situ they are correspondingly observed in the vicinity of high density structures where the dominant electron heat flux reverses its flow polarity. These weak transients might be indications of dynamical changes at the coronal hole boundaries or at the edges of the helmet streamer belt previously reported in coronagraph observations. Our analysis supports the idea that even at solar minimum, a considerable fraction of the slow solar wind is transient in nature.     

The coronal source of the slow solar wind

Periods of very low solar wind velocity at 1 AU, during the interval from 1977 to 1983, are identified and mapped back to the coronal source surface at 2.5 R . In total 25 such low-velocity events were found. Inferred source locations were characterized with respect to their position relative to the coronal neutral line. The study showed that in 17 out of 25 cases the slow solar wind originated across a coronal neutral line. In the remaining cases the source was either along the neutral line or insides a warp. A prediction of the IMF polarity to be expected at Earth, from the computed coronal magnetic field, was also done. It failed clearly only in four cases out of 25 events. In three cases the prediction was uncertain because of missing data. Possible explanations of why the potential model sometimes predicts a wrong polarity are discussed.     

Observations of Rapid Velocity Variations in the Slow Solar Wind

The technique of interplanetary scintillation (IPS) is the observation of rapid fluctuations of the radio signal from an astronomical compact source as the signal passes through the ever-changing density of the solar wind. Cross-correlation of simultaneous observations of IPS from a single radio source, received at multiple sites of the European Incoherent SCATter (EISCAT) radio antenna network, is used to determine the velocity of the solar wind material passing over the lines of sight of the antennas. Calculated velocities reveal the slow solar wind to contain rapid velocity variations when viewed on a time-scale of several minutes. Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory (STEREO) Heliospheric Imager (HI) observations of white-light intensity have been compared with EISCAT observations of IPS to identify common density structures that may relate to the rapid velocity variations in the slow solar wind. We have surveyed a one-year period, starting in April 2007, of the EISCAT IPS observing campaigns beginning shortly after the commencement of full science operations of the STEREO mission in a bid to identify common density structures in both EISCAT and STEREO HI datasets. We provide a detailed investigation and presentation of joint IPS/HI observations from two specific intervals on 23 April 2007 and 19 May 2007 for which the IPS P-Point (point of closest approach of the line of sight to the Sun) was between 72 and 87 solar radii out from the Sun’s centre. During the 23 April interval, a meso-scale (of the order of 10⁵ km or larger) transient structure was observed by HI-1A to pass over the IPS ray path near the P-Point; the observations of IPS showed a micro-scale structure (of the order of 10² km) within the meso-scale transient. Observations of IPS from the second interval, on 19 May, revealed similar micro-scale velocity changes, however, no transient structures were detected by the HIs during that period. We also pose some fundamental thoughts on the slow solar wind structure itself.     

Solar Wind Forecasting with Coronal Holes

An empirical model for forecasting solar wind speed related geomagnetic events is presented here. The model is based on the estimated location and size of solar coronal holes. This method differs from models that are based on photospheric magnetograms (e.g., Wang–Sheeley model) to estimate the open field line configuration. Rather than requiring the use of a full magnetic synoptic map, the method presented here can be used to forecast solar wind velocities and magnetic polarity from a single coronal hole image, along with a single magnetic full-disk image. The coronal hole parameters used in this study are estimated with Kitt Peak Vacuum Telescope He I 1083 nm spectrograms and photospheric magnetograms. Solar wind and coronal hole data for the period between May 1992 and September 2003 are investigated. The new model is found to be accurate to within 10% of observed solar wind measurements for its best 1-month period, and it has a linear correlation coefficient of ∼0.38 for the full 11 years studied. Using a single estimated coronal hole map, the model can forecast the Earth directed solar wind velocity up to 8.5 days in advance. In addition, this method can be used with any source of coronal hole area and location data.     

Analysis of Solar Wind Events Using Interplanetary Scintillation Remote Sensing 3D Reconstructions and Their Comparison at Mars

Interplanetary Scintillation (IPS) allows observation of the inner heliospheric response to corotating solar structures and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) in scintillation level and velocity. With colleagues at STELab, Nagoya University, Japan, we have developed near-real-time access of STELab IPS data for use in space-weather forecasting. We use a 3D reconstruction technique that produces perspective views from solar corotating plasma and outward-flowing solar wind as observed from Earth by iteratively fitting a kinematic solar wind model to IPS observations. This 3D modeling technique permits reconstruction of the density and velocity structure of CMEs and other interplanetary transients at a relatively coarse resolution: a solar rotational cadence and 10° latitudinal and longitudinal resolution for the corotational model and a one-day cadence and 20° latitudinal and longitudinal heliographic resolution for the time-dependent model. This technique is used to determine solar-wind pressure (“ram” pressure) at Mars. Results are compared with ram-pressure observations derived from Mars Global Surveyor magnetometer data (Crider et al. 2003, J. Geophys. Res. 108(A12), 1461) for the years 1999 through 2004. We identified 47 independent in situ pressure-pulse events above 3.5 nPa in the Mars Global Surveyor data in this time period where sufficient IPS data were available. We detail the large pressure pulse observed at Mars in association with a CME that erupted from the Sun on 27 May 2003, which was a halo CME as viewed from Earth. We also detail the response of a series of West-limb CME events and compare their response observed at Mars about 160° west of the Sun – Earth line by the Mars Global Surveyor with the response derived from the IPS 3D reconstructions.     

Travelling interplanetary disturbances detected using interplanetary scintillation at 327 MHz

Based on the advance predictions of two flare-generated shock fronts, obtained from the Space Environment Centre (SEC, NOAA, Boulder), observations of interplanetary scintillation (IPS) were carried out with the Ooty Radio Telescope (ORT) on a grid of appropriately located sources during the period 31 October to 5 November, 1992. Solar wind velocities were derived by fitting model spectra to the observed spectra and two travelling interplanetary disturbances were detected. Both disturbances were traced back to an active region on the Sun which was located close to a large coronal hole. The roles of flares and coronal holes in producing such disturbances are examined and it is shown that in the present case both the coronal hole and the active region probably played key roles in generating the two IPS disturbances.Currently on a Humboldt Fellowship at the Radioastronomisches Institut, D-53173, Bonn.     

Solar wind speed and its acceleration inferred using the interplanetary scintillation method in carrington rotation 1753

Solar wind speeds (SWSs) estimated by interplanetary scintillation (IPS) observations during Carrington rotation 1753 are projected onto the so-called source-surface of 2.5 solar radii along magnetic field lines in interplanetary space. The following two working hypotheses are examined from different points of view: (1) The SWS is a weighted mean along the line of sight to a radio source; the weight for the SWS depends on the distance from theP-point, the closest approach to the Sun on the line of sight. (2) The weighting function has a very sharp peak at theP-point, so that the SWS shows a real solar wind speed at theP-point. In both the two cases, the SWSs projected onto the source surface are further projected onto the photosphere along magnetic field lines in the corona. Footpoints of these field lines are inferred as photospheric source regions of the solar wind. The intensity of the Hei (1083 nm) absorption line (HEI) in the chromosphere corresponding to these photospheric sources is interpolated from observational data. The weighted mean of the HEI is calculated in case 1. The HEI corresponding to theP-point is used in case 2. The SWS is compared with the HEI in both the two cases. It is found that the correlation between the SWS and the HEI is better in case 2 than in case 1. It is further inferred by correlation analysis between the SWS and the HEI that the solar wind is accelerated within 27 solar radii on average. Although the data examined in this paper were limited to just one solar rotation, these results suggest that the SWS estimated by the IPS technique corresponds to the solar wind speed near theP-point and the weighting function along the line of sight may have a very sharp peak near theP-point.     

The Shape of the Outer Corona during Cycle 21

The Naval Research Laboratory (NRL) Solwind coronagraph recorded the outer corona at elongations 2_5 R to 10 R during the 6 1/2-year interval from March 1979, before solar maximum, to the beginning of solar minimum in September 1985. During the minimum period, when the solar magnetic field was dipole-like, the observed corona consisted of the equatorial streamer belt that is characteristic of solar minimum, and that is interpreted as an edgewise view of a nearly flat current sheet or coronal disk lying near the plane of the heliographic equator. The observed disk was a radial projection from the magnetic neutral line that was computed for the 2.5 R source surface surrounding the Sun. At earlier times, shortly after solar maximum, the observed corona often consisted of a single coronal disk similar to that at solar minimum, but strongly tilted to the heliographic equator. Again this disk projected from a tilted magnetic neutral line that was computed for the 2.5 R source surface. Solar rotation allowed this coronal disk to be viewed in all aspects. In the edgewise view it appeared as a tilted streamer belt. In the broadside view the more flower-like pattern of solar maximum was observed. The latter view was interpreted as a non-uniform distribution of coronal material in the thin coronal disk. There were many intervals during the declining phase of the solar cycle when the computed magnetic neutral line at 2.5 R remained relatively simple but was not the source of an observable coronal disk. This latter result was probably because of the limitations of plane-of-sky observations, combined with short-term changes in the corona. Altogether, a single coronal disk, either flat or somewhat convoluted, was recognizable during only one third of the year lifetime of the coronagraph.     

A Study on the Technique of Observing Interplanetary Scintillation with Simultaneous Dual-Frequency Measurements

Ground-based observation of Interplanetary Scintillation(IPS)is an important ap- proach of monitoring solar wind speed.We describe both the principle and method of ob- serving the solar wind speed by using the normalized cross-spectrum of simultaneous dual- frequency IPS measurement.The effects of the solar wind properties and the angular size of the scintillation source on the measurement of solar wind speed are investigated by numerical analysis.We carry out a comparison of this method with the traditional single station-single frequency method.We outline a new IPS observation system using this method now under construction at the National Astronomical Observatories,CAS(NAOC).     

Interplanetary consequences of transient coronal events observed with yohkoh sxt: A case study of polar coronal transient on 15 may 1992

A large area (5×10¹⁰km²) of a coronal hole disappeared in concert with a transient brightening of a nearby high-latitude coronal arcade in the northern hemisphere on 15 May 1992. This coronal-hole disappearance took place in a time scale of half a day. It is suggested that the large-scale and quick change in coronal-hole geometry induced the eruption of originally closed coronal magnetic structure of the high-latitude arcade. An associated solar wind disturbance with the plasma speed of >700 km/sec was observed by IPS, and geomagnetic sudden commencement was reported on 18 May 1992.     

The iron,silicon and oxygen abundance in the solar wind measured with SOHO/CELIAS/MTOF

From data collected with the MTOF sensor of the CELIAS instrument on board the SOHO spacecraft we derived the elemental abundance ratios for Si/O and Fe/O in the solar wind with high time resolution. Since Si and Fe are elements with a low first ionization potential (FIP) and oxygen is a high FIP element, these abundance ratios are valuable diagnostic tools for the study of the FIP fractionation process. The abundance ratios we find for slow and fast solar wind are commensurate with published values for interstream and coronal hole type solar wind. Between these two extreme cases of solar wind flow we find a continuous decrease of the abundance ratios for increasing solar wind speed, from a high value indicative of solar wind originating from the streamer belt to low values associated with flow from coronal holes.     

The solar wind during the Maunder minimum

It is presently believed that the high speed solar wind originates almost entirely in coronal holes. Theory suggests that the origin of the high speeds is extended energy deposition in proportion to the magnetic field intensity in the holes and at 1.5–3.0 solar radii heliocentric distance. Evidence from the time of the Maunder Minimum, together with the above results, allows a hypothesis to be made for the state of the solar wind at that time. Firstly, carbon-14 data indicate an enhanced cosmic ray intensity, with the conclusion that the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) was smooth and perhaps of low intensity. Secondly, the apparent absence of a corona during eclipses requires low coronal density, suggesting an absence of closed magnetic loops. Thirdly, the absence of sunspots eliminates the possibility of a solar maximum type of corona of low emission intensity and implies a low large-scale photospheric field intensity. Finally, the absence of mid-latitude aurorae implies either that the solar wind speed or the IMF intensity or both, were low and not irregular.A resulting self-consistent hypothesis is that the solar wind was of the simplest variety, analogous to that described in models of the so-called “quiet solar wind”. All closed coronal field regions would have been absent and extended energy deposition in the corona would have been far less important than today. At 1 a.u., the density and speed would have been less than 5 cm^?3 and 300 km^?1s, respectively. At the same time, there would have been a very low level of fluctuation all the way from the microscale up to the contrast between high and low speed solar wind streams. Also, if the IMF is the source of the 22 yr and magnetic sector associated modulations in the present terrestrial climate, these modulations may have been suppressed during the Maunder Minimum. Recently, it has been discovered that the 22 yr modulation in fact was suppressed during the Maunder Minimum (C. Stockton and M. Mitchell, personal communication), in support of the above suggestion.     

行星际闪烁(IPS)单站观测对太阳风速度的诊断

借助于弱散射理论和模式拟合方法，单站行星际闪烁观测可以诊断太阳风速度，本文讨论了太阳风参数和射电源角尺度对闪烁谱的影响，以及太阳风速度的积分效应，结果表明，闪烁谱的特征是与视线上距太阳最近处的太阳风速度直接相关的。     

On Long-Term Periodicities In The Solar-Wind Ion Density and Speed Measurements During The Period 1973–2000

The ultra-low frequency power spectra (from 1 nHz to 10 Hz) for the solar wind ion density (N) and speed (SWS) measurements taken near 1 AU, have been examined during the period 1973–2000. Although the spectrum shows remarkable peaks at the wavelengths 0.5, 0.7, 1.0, 1.3 years, additional significant peaks of 2.6 yr and 5.6 yr for N and 9.6 yr for SWS are also found. Possible causes are discussed. The 9.6-yr period is not related to the period of the solar activity cycle, but there is some indication of an association with the coronal hole variations in the southern hemisphere of the Sun. The averages of solar wind ion density showed a periodic variation with three nearly equal peaks at intervals of 5.1±0.2 yr. The long-term enhancements in SWS reflect nearly stable variations and a continuously-existing feature in the heliosphere. The observed long periodicities in both N and SWS spectra may be strongly related to, or organized by, the observed variations in the coronal hole areas between northern and southern hemispheres of the Sun. The timing of the maximum peaks in solar ion densities and speeds spectrum is predicted.     

Synoptic Maps of Solar Wind: Comparison of IPS Data and the NOAA/SEC Version of the Wang and Sheeley Model

Since the 1970s, the Solar-Terrestrial Environment Laboratory, Japan, has been publishing synoptic maps of solar wind velocity prepared using the technique of interplanetary scintillation. These maps, known as V-maps, are useful to study the global distribution of solar wind in the heliosphere. As the Earth-orbiting satellites are unable to probe regions outside the ecliptic, it is important to exploit the scope of interplanetary scintillation to study the solar wind properties at these regions and their relation with coronal features. It has been shown by Wang and Sheeley that there exists an inverse correlation between rate of magnetic flux expansion and the solar wind velocity. The NOAA/Space Environment Center daily updated version of the Wang and Sheeley model has been used to produce synoptic maps of solar wind velocity and magnetic field polarity for individual Carrington rotations. The predictions of the model at 1 AU have been found to be in good agreement with the observed values of the same. The present work is a comparison of the synoptic maps on the source surface using the interplanetary scintillation measurements from Japan and the NOAA/SEC version of the Wang and Sheeley model. The two results agree near the equatorial regions and the slow solar wind locations are consistent most of the times. However, at higher latitudes within ±60°, the wind velocities differ considerably. In the Wang and Sheeley model the highest speed obtained is 600 km s^–1 whereas in the IPS results velocities as high as 800 km s^–1 have been detected. The paper discusses the possible causes for this discrepancy and suggestion to improve the agreement between the two results.     

Comparisons of interplanetary type III storm footpoints with solar features

The trajectories of 38 type III storms in the interplanetary medium have been deduced from ISEE-3 radio observations and extrapolated back to the Sun to determine the Carrington coordinates of their footpoints. The analysis assumes radial motion of the solar wind, and the trajectories are projected radially back toward the surface for the last few solar radii. To identify the storm sources, the footpoints were compared to a variety of solar features: to the large-scale neutral line at the base of the current sheet, to active regions, to the small-scale neutral lines and Hα filaments which trace out active regions, and to coronal holes. Most of the footpoints were found to lie near active regions, in agreement with metric storm locations. There is a weak correlation with Hα filaments, no apparent association with the current sheet, and an anticorrelation with coronal holes. There is a small excess of storms in the leading half of magnetic sectors.     

Solar Wind Speed and Expansion Rate of the Coronal Magnetic Field in Solar Maximum and Minimum Phases

Relationships between solar wind speed and expansion rate of the coronal magnetic field have been studied mainly by in-ecliptic observations of artificial satellites and some off-ecliptic data by Ulysses. In this paper, we use the solar wind speed estimated by interplanetary scintillation (IPS) observations in the whole heliosphere. Two synoptic maps of SWS estimated by IPS observations are constructed for two Carrington rotations CR 1830 and 1901; CR 1830 starting on the 11th of June, 1990 is in the maximum phase of solar activity cycle and CR 1901 starting on the 29th of September, 1995 is in the minimum phase. Each of the maps consist of 64800 (360×180) data points. Similar synoptic maps of expansion rate of the coronal magnetic field (RBR) calculated by the so-called potential model are also constructed under a radial field assumption for CR 1830 and CR1901. Highly significant correlation (r=–0.66) is found between the SWS and the RBR during CR1901 in the solar minimum phase; that is, high-speed winds emanate from photospheric areas corresponding to low expansion rate of the coronal magnetic field and low speed winds emanate from photospheric areas of high expansion rate. A similar result is found during CR 1830 in solar maximum phase, though the correlation is relatively low (r=–0.29). The correlation is improved when both the data during CR 1830 and CR 1901 are used together; the correlation coefficient becomes –0.67 in this case. These results suggest that the correlation analysis between the SWS and the RBR can be applied to estimate the solar wind speed from the expansion rate of the coronal magnetic field, though the correlation between them may depend on the solar activity cycle. We need further study of correlation analysis for the entire solar cycle to get an accurate empirical equation for the estimation of solar wind speed. If the solar wind speed is estimated successfully by an empirical equation, it can be used as an initial condition of a solar wind model for space weather forecasts.