全新世以来云南洱海流域气候变化与人类活动的湖泊沉积记录

根据云南洱海湖泊沉积岩芯多环境指标的高分辨分析, 在精确定年基础上, 建立了全新世以来洱海流域气候与环境变化的序列. 研究表明, 云南洱海地区约12950~8399 cal. a BP气候由冷湿转为暖湿, 转换时间发生在约10329 cal. a BP. 洱海湖面从约10329 cal. a BP开始扩张主要是由于全新世早期西南季风增强、降雨增多所致. 全新世中期流域气候暖湿, 最温暖期出现在约8399~6371 cal. a BP, 但由于全新世中期湖泊所在盆地内有效湿度降低, 湖面出现下降趋势. 洱海流域人类活动始于约6371 cal. a BP, 初始的人类活动方式主要以砍伐森林为主, 至大约2139 cal. a BP, 由于外来移民大量迁入该地区, 耕作农业得到广泛发展, 随后采矿业(主要为煤矿)也逐步开始.     

全新世以来洞庭湖的演变

本文根据全新世沉积物的岩性、岩相特征和文化遗址的时空分布,结合孢粉资料与历史文献记载,揭示了全新世以来洞庭湖演变的六个阶段:(1)晚更新世末至全新世初为河湖切割平原;(2)中全新世早、中期(8000—5000a B.P.)是湖泊扩展时期;(3)中全新世晚期(5000—3000 a B.P.)四水复合三角洲发育,湖沼洼地零星分布;(4)商周至秦汉(3000—1700 a B.P.)四水分流间洼地湖泊和沼泽广布,汛期河湖水体相连;(5)魏晋至19世纪中叶,洞庭湖逐渐发展至鼎盛阶段;(6)19世纪中叶至今,三角洲迅速推进,湖泊逐渐萎缩。研究认为这种发育演化过程与区域性气候变化、人类活动直接相关。     

全新世以来珠江三角洲的地层层序和演变过程

本文基于对90个拥有全新世14C年代数据的钻孔进行详细的沉积物特征和年代地层分析,讨论了全新世珠江三角洲的地层特征及全新世以来的充填过程.全新世珠江三角洲沉积物覆盖在末次冰期冰盛期形成的风化侵蚀面与底砾层之上.最大海侵面位于松软海相淤泥层位.在受潮汐冲刷区域,最大海侵面表现为侵蚀面.全新世沉积层序自下向上在古河谷为河流相、河漫滩-河口湾相、河口湾-三角洲相,在古河间地为滨海相、河口湾相和三角洲相.全新世沉积层垂向堆积序列绝大部分表现为下粗上细的正向序列,且不具有典型Gilbert三角洲的前积层、顶积层等沉积层序.受控于独特而复杂的地貌边界,古珠江河口湾在高水位体系域的演变模式不同于世界其他大型三角洲,而是一个多源复合、不同尺度河流沉积体独立并行发展,最后复合成的三角洲.全新世以来珠江三角洲的演变可以分为5个阶段：第一阶段12~8kaBP,全新世海侵未达三角洲中部地区,直至约9kaBP以后,南部一些地势较低的地区才开始受海进影响,出现一些海陆交互相沉积;第二阶段8~6kaBP,海面快速上升,珠江三角洲大部分地区接受海进沉积;第三阶段6~4kaBP,全新世海侵达到盛期,古珠江三角洲地区大面积为河口湾,且受系列岛屿的阻隔分为两部分,上部是与河流相接的半封闭的内古海湾;下部是与海洋相接的外古海湾,两部分仅由若干峡口相通,河流沉积物主要在内古海湾中堆积充填;第四阶段4~2kaBP,在复杂边界对河流与海洋动力的重塑和改造作用下,内古海湾各区域的沉积同时进行,独自发展;第五阶段2kaBP至今,该阶段三角洲的演变已不再是单纯的自然过程,而是自然和人类共同塑造的过程.     

梵净山九龙池沉积物氮同位素组成与全新世气候演变过程

湖泊沉积物氮同位素(δ¹⁵N)在古环境、古气候变化方面有着指示气候干湿变化的重要作用,但目前学界对于δ¹⁵N记录作为气候代用指标所指示的气候干湿变化特征仍缺乏深入探索。本文以贵州省梵净山九龙池湖泊沉积物为研究对象,分析并探讨δ¹⁵N所记录的梵净山地区气候干湿变化过程与特征,并结合总有机碳(TOC)、总氮(TN)和碳氮比值(C/N)数据进行对比研究,结果表明:(1)由于九龙池湖泊沉积物有机质受流域输入影响,气候湿润时,陆生植物增多,土壤湿度增大,外源输入对湖泊沉积物有机质影响增大,沉积物δ¹⁵N值偏负;气候干旱时,陆生植物减少,土壤湿度降低,外源输入对湖泊沉积物有机质影响减小,沉积物δ¹⁵N值偏正;(2)九龙池湖泊沉积物δ¹⁵N记录很好地揭示了梵净山地区全新世的气候干湿变化过程,即早期(11.5—9.2 ka B.P.)亚洲夏季风增强,气候从干旱期向湿润期转变,中期(9.2—3.0 ka B.P.)亚洲夏季风强盛,气候整体处于湿润期,晚期(3.0—2.2 k...     

福州盆地全新世沉积物的磁学性质及其对环境变化的响应

福州盆地位于海陆过渡地带,在海陆变迁过程中,沉积物记录了高分辨率的环境信息,是揭示沉积特征对环境变化响应过程及模式的理想区域.本文选择位于福州盆地的FZ5钻孔进行岩石磁学、环境磁学和古地磁学方面的研究,以期阐明该区域沉积物磁学性质对陆源碎屑输入、海平面变化和成岩作用的响应.岩石磁学结果表明钻孔沉积物以低矫顽力的亚铁磁性矿物为主体,但是在不同的环境变化阶段,磁性矿物的类型有较大变化.在9~3 cal. ka BP的海侵过程中,沉积物中以磁铁矿为主体,存在菱铁矿和铁硫化物等还原性矿物.硫化作用使细粒磁铁矿溶解形成胶黄铁矿和黄铁矿,其峰面随碎屑磁性矿物的浓度变化而迁移.但硫化作用没有完全消除磁铁矿携带的特征剩磁和陆源碎屑输入量以及海平面升降对该阶段沉积物磁性的控制.在~3 cal. ka BP以来随着海平面下降、沉积环境向陆相氧化环境转化,虽然早期还原作用仍然存在,但后期氧化作用使磁性矿物向高矫顽力的赤铁矿等矿物转变,氧化作用基本扰乱了磁铁矿携带的剩磁.沉积及其后期成岩作用过程中,发生在约~8.2、~7.7、~7.5、~2.7、~1.5、~0.5 cal. ka BP六次强烈的古氧化界面反映了福州盆地当时异常干旱或湿热的气候事件.     

新疆巴里坤湖全新世气候环境变化与高低纬间气候变化的关联

选择位于新疆东北部的封闭湖泊-巴里坤湖作为研究对象,采用常规14C测年建立了该湖一剖面约9400 cal a BP以来的时间序列,对该剖面沉积自生碳酸盐碳（δ13Ccar）、氧同位素（δ18Ocar）、有机碳（TOC）等多代用指标进行了连续小波变换、奇异谱分析.结果表明,全新世以来巴里坤湖地区的气候变化模式具有明显的阶段性变化：9400～8000 cal a BP期间气温偏低且较干旱;8000～6000 cal a BP期间气候环境温凉湿润;6000～2700 cal a BP期间,气候环境在总体上较为暖干,在向全新世晚期演变过程中呈现出降温、增湿的趋势;2700～800 cal a BP期间气温降低,湿润状况有所改善;800 cal a BP以来气候环境偏干.巴里坤湖全新世气候变化过程与周边区域古气候记录具有较好地一致性.研究发现,全新世以来研究区的气候环境不仅可能受到了北大西洋地区气候变化的影响,同样可能与来自热带低纬过程的海-气相互作用有关,特别是自全新世中期以来,逐渐增强的El Nio/La Nia-South Oscillation（ENSO）活动对研究区的气候环境变化可能具有一定的影响.研究还发现,在全新世期间,新疆东北部地区的气候演变可能并非简单地遵循某种单一的气候变化模式,不同气候系统（如西风、季风）在该地区的强弱对比状况可能对此地区气候环境变化模式有重要影响.     

中全新世以来的川江大洪水初步分析

在忠县中坝文化遗址剖面中发现了10个古洪水沉积层,时代为中全新世以来,之后又被1981年大洪水淹没.11次大洪水洪水位的变化显示洪水位总体呈上升趋势,其间有数个周期性起伏.前者反映中全新世以来河床堆积的影响,后者反映西南季风强度的周期变化.     

太白山三清池湖泊沉积记录的全新世气候变化及周期讨论

通过对太白山三清池湖泊沉积柱芯的低频磁化率(χlf)、频率磁化率(χfd)、总有机碳(TOC)、粒度参数指标的时序序列进行小波分析,探讨太白山全新世气候变化过程及周期波动性.结果显示:中、晚全新世太白山气候变化具有明显的阶段性特征;千年尺度上,χlf、χfd、TOC和平均粒径参数序列反映的主周期分别为1427、1427、1427和1452 a,晚全新世5410 cal a B.P.距今期间存在8次显著的冷暖交替震荡;在百年尺度上,χlf、χfd、TOC和平均粒径参数序列还揭示出分别以492、492、467和467 a为周期的次一级变化,且整体上经历近似10次的短期冷暖波动.此外,以上结果与全球范围内全新世气候周期有着较好的一致性,表明我国东部高海拔地区在千年和百年尺度上,对全新世气候振荡同样具有相似的响应.     

中国全新世气候和农业活动研究新进展

全球气候变化及其可能引发的生态环境后果已成为关注的热点问题．全新世涵盖了未来气候变化的类似特征,农业活动贯穿始终,提供了未来气候变化和人类影响与适应研究的理想“相似型”．基于石笋、冰芯、海洋和湖泊等最新成果,综述了中国全新世气候的变率、变幅、不稳定性特征、突变事件以及驱动机制等研究新进展,介绍了早期农业活动研究的植物指标记录和方法,阐明旱作和稻作农业的起源、扩散与传播,查明早期农业活动的方式与强度,揭示农业活动对环境的影响与适应．通过解读正在开展的大型研究项目,强调提高年代精度和代用指标有效性的重要性,提出未来应加强不同典型区域生态系统和环境要素对增温过程的响应研究,理解人类活动对气候快速变化的适应,为评估未来气候变化效应和人类适应提供科学依据．     

中全新世以来东亚夏季气温对轨道强迫时空响应不一致的模拟研究

基于一个海-气耦合模式FOAM（the Fast Ocean Atmosphere Model）在轨道强迫下对过去6 ka气候变化的瞬变模拟结果,本文分析了中全新世以来东亚地区夏季气温对日射变化的响应特征.研究发现,东亚地区夏季气温对日射响应具有时空不一致性：相对于现代,6 kaB.P.时北半球夏季日射偏强,东亚地区地面气温却未普遍偏高,而是约以35°N为界,北方显著偏暖,南方气温变化不明显甚至有微弱冷却.自6 ka B.P.至今,东亚40°N以北的中、高纬陆地夏季气温大致呈线性降低趋势,以南的低纬陆地夏季气温则呈量级较小的“U”型变化,即气温在约3 kaB.P.附近达最低值,前3 ka为降温趋势,后3 ka为升温趋势.这与一些地质记录反映的气温变化相一致.中全新世以来东亚夏季气温演变的时空不一致性,可能源自因海陆热力惯性不同所引起的气温对日射响应的差异.热容量较小的东亚高纬大陆夏季气温主要响应7月份日射;而热容量较大的海洋对日射的响应通常会滞后约2个月,其夏季气温主要响应5月份日射.受海洋影响,南方陆地夏季气温对日射响应呈现出与海洋相似的特点.在岁差周期上,5、6、7月份日射间的相位差相对于较长轨道时间尺度较不明显,但在相对较短的近6千年时期内,它们相继出现波谷而呈显著趋势差异,从而导致了中全新世以来东亚夏季气温变化的时空差异.正如有学者所指出的,夏季气温变化对应的可能并非同季节日射强迫,考察轨道强迫的气候响应时,如何选择日射标尺至关重要,否则可能混淆“因果”.     

Lake sediment records on climate change and human activities since the Holocene in Erhai catchment,Yunnan Province,China

Climate of Yunnan Plateau is mainly controlledby the system of southwest Asian monsoon, and alsoaffected by westerlies and local climate of the Qing-hai-Tibet Plateau. Since the Cenozoic, a large numberof structural lake basins have formed with the uplift ofthe Qinghai-Tibet Plateau[1]. As the information aboutthe climate and environment change was faithfullydocumented in lake sediments, which have the char-acteristics of continuity, high resolution, abundant in-formation, lake sediments p…     

Holocene palaeohydrology,groundwater and climate change in the lake basins of the Central Kenya Rift

Abstract

The Central Kenya Rift contains small soda lakes such as Nakuru, Elmenteita and Bogoria, freshwater Lake Naivasha, and the partly (spatially) freshwater Lake Baringo. The hydrology of this area is controlled mainly by climate, tectonically controlled morphological and volcanic barriers, faults, and local water-table variations. Much of the area relies on groundwater for human and industrial use, though there are widespread quality issues particularly in relation to fluoride. Despite the huge demand for the resource, little is known about the highly complex groundwater systems; lacking monitoring data, an assessment is developed on the basis of regional geological, hydrogeological and hydrochemical analyses. Significant hydrological changes have taken place in the region over the last 10 000 years as a result of global, regional and local changes, but the impacts on groundwater resources are still largely unknown. The IPCC projects a 10–15% increase of rainfall in the area, but it may not necessarily result in a proportional increase in groundwater recharge. High groundwater recharge periods appear to be anchored on a decadal cycle.     

新疆巴音布鲁克湿地沉积摇蚊记录对气候变化的响应

基于新疆巴音布鲁克高寒湿地中一碟形洼地沉积岩芯210Pb测年、摇蚊、沉积理化指标分析结果,利用冗余分析,结合气象资料,探讨了近60 a来气候变化对摇蚊演替的影响.摇蚊亚化石组合表明,从1990s开始摇蚊优势种从适应性较强的Chironomus plumosus-type向与水生植物关系密切的Dicrotendips nervosus-type、Paratanytarsus penicillatus-type转变.冗余分析结果表明总有机碳含量和粒度是影响摇蚊组合演替的主要环境因子,两者共同解释了摇蚊组合变化的31%.气候变化通过改变湿地水量平衡影响水生植被、土壤侵蚀和水体扰动,进而影响摇蚊种群演替.     

Impacts of climate change and land use change on runoff of forest catchment in northeast China

Hydrological processes change from the impacts of climate variability and human activities. Runoff in the upper reaches of the Hun‐Taizi River basin, which is mainly covered by forests in northeast China, decreased from 1960 to 2006. The data used in this study were based on runoff records from six hydrological stations in the upper reaches of the Hun‐Taizi River basin. Nonparametric Mann–Kendall statistic was used to identify change trends and abrupt change points and consequently analyze the change characteristics in hydrological processes. The abrupt change in the annual runoff in most subcatchments appeared after 1975. Finally, the effects of climate change and land cover change on water resources were identified using regression analysis and a hydrology model. Results of the regression analysis suggest that the correlation coefficients between precipitation and runoff prior to the abrupt change were higher compared with those after the abrupt change. Moreover, using hydrology model analysis, the water yield was found to increase because of the decrease in forest land. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Hydrogeological response to climate change in alpine hillslopes

Climate change threatens water resources in snowmelt‐dependent regions by altering the fraction of snow and rain and spurring an earlier snowmelt season. The bulk of hydrological research has focused on forecasting response in streamflow volumes and timing to a shrinking snowpack; however, the degree to which subsurface storage offsets the loss of snow storage in various alpine geologic settings, i.e. the hydrogeologic buffering capacity, is still largely unknown. We address this research need by assessing the affects of climate change on storage and runoff generation for two distinct hydrogeologic settings present in alpine systems: a low storage granitic and a greater storage volcanic hillslope. We use a physically based integrated hydrologic model fully coupled to a land surface model to run a base scenario and then three progressive warming scenarios, and account for the shifts in each component of the water budget. For hillslopes with greater water retention, the larger storage volcanic hillslope buffered streamflow volumes and timing, but at the cost of greater reductions in groundwater storage relative to the low storage granite hillslope. We found that the results were highly sensitive to the unsaturated zone retention parameters, which in the case of alpine systems can be a mix of matrix or fracture flow. The presence of fractures and thus less retention in the unsaturated zone significantly decreased the reduction in recharge and runoff for the volcanic hillslope in climate warming scenarios. This approach highlights the importance of incorporating physically based subsurface flow in to alpine hydrology models, and our findings provide ways forward to arrive at a conceptual model that is both consistent with geology and hydrologic principles. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Growth characteristics and response to climate change of Larix Miller tree-ring in China

As one of the earliest species used in dendrochronological studies, Larix responds sensitively to climate change. In this study, nine larch species and one variety from eleven sites were collected to study the growth characteristics of tree-ring width using dendrochronological methods. Ten residual tree-ring chronologies were developed to analyze their relationships with regional standardized anomaly series by Pearson’s correlation analysis. The results suggest that most of the chronologies had significantl...     

Hydrological response to future land-use change and climate change in a tropical catchment

Hydrological response to expected future changes in land use and climate in the Samin catchment (278 km²) in Java, Indonesia, was simulated using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool model. We analysed changes between the baseline period 1983–2005 and the future period 2030–2050 under both land-use change and climate change. We used the outputs of a bias-corrected regional climate model and six global climate models to include climate model uncertainty. The results show that land-use change and climate change individually will cause changes in the water balance components, but that more pronounced changes are expected if the drivers are combined, in particular for changes in annual streamflow and surface runoff. The findings of this study will be useful for water resource managers to mitigate future risks associated with land-use and climate changes in the study catchment.     

Counting chronology and climate records with about 1000 annual layers of a Holocene stalagmite from the Water Cave in Liaoning Province, China

One active stalagmite from the Water Cave in Liaoning Province contains growth layers of three sizes. Based on thermal ionization mass spectrometry 230Th dating, we found that middle size layers are annual layers, with each middle layer consisting of one narrow dark layer and a wide bright layer. The small layers within middle layers are sub-annual layers and the large layers are multi-year layers. Based on the layer-counting method, we established a high-resolution time scale for layer thickness. Our results reveal two dramatic century-scale climate cycles over the past 1000 years in this region.     

Response of runoff to climate change in the Wei River basin,China

Abstract

Climate change will likely have severe effects on water shortages, flood disasters and the deterioration of aquatic systems. In this study, the hydrological response to climate change was assessed in the Wei River basin (WRB), China. The statistical downscaling method (SDSM) was used to downscale regional climate change scenarios on the basis of the outputs of three general circulation models (GCMs) and two emissions scenarios. Driven by these scenarios, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) was set up, calibrated and validated to assess the impact of climate change on hydrological processes of the WRB. The results showed that the average annual runoff in the periods 2046–2065 and 2081–2100 would increase by 12.4% and 45%, respectively, relative to the baseline period 1961–2008. Low flows would be much lower, while high flows would be much higher, which means there would be more extreme events of droughts and floods. The results exhibited consistency in the spatial distribution of runoff change under most scenarios, with decreased runoff in the upstream regions, and increases in the mid- and lower reaches of the WRB.

Editor Z.W. Kundzewicz; Associate editor D. Yang