共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 62 毫秒
1.
5.
针对近来就地震危险性分析中对地震烈度衰减的不确定性校正方法逻辑上缺陷的批评,在严格限定烈度是一有序分类变量、等震线是烈度分区的外包线的基础上,本文提出了一个简单实用的校正方法,并通过实例比较了不同方法得出的结果在数值上的差异。 相似文献
6.
最大熵方法在地震危险性分析中的应用 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
利用最大熵原理推导了了烈度的概率密度函数。烈度越给定值Ij的平均重现期公式和各种超越概率水平对应的烈度的平均重现期公式。作为应用的实例计算了临汾周期4级以上地震在临汾造成的烈度,绘制了未来百年临汾的烈度超越概率曲线,并和我国现行的地震危险性分析的综合概率法的计算结果进行了对比。 相似文献
7.
在严格限定地震烈度是一有序分类变量,等震线是烈度分区的外包线的基础上,建立了一种新的地震烈度衰减关系,给出了计算场地地震烈度发生概率的计算公式。 相似文献
10.
以四川西部和山西南剖为例,根据现有多种地震目录的不同精度,确定不同的震级下限,依据最大似 然模型,求得由不同资料得到的各潜在 震源区的地震活动性参数,并依据通用的地震危险性分析模型,得到了这两个区域的地震烈度区划图。 相似文献
11.
12.
通过对山西境内地震序列的分析计算,得出一个适合山西地区地震活动的概率模型。并以此模型对1989年前后的地震活动进行了计算,给出1989年以来山西地震频繁活动的理论依据,对今后的地震活动进行了预测。 相似文献
13.
14.
The New Seismic Zoning Map of China was prepared from 1987 to 1990 and officially promulgated in 1991.In comparison with the previous two seismic zoning maps prepared in 1957 and 1977,some new methods were applied to upgrade the method currently used for seismic hazard analysis.First,a probabilistic method was used instead of the deterministic analysis was used for previous mapping.Second,by taking advantages of the long history of historical seismic data in China,the nonhomogeneity of seismicity both in space and in time has been fully considered and hence the over-and/or underestimation of seismic hazard could be avoided.Third,the results of middle-and long-term earthquake prediction based on tectonic evidence have been incorporated into seismic hazard analysis.In addition,the attenuation laws for both intensity and peak acceleration of strong motion as the mapping parameters are also presented.Finally,an evaluation of the New Seismic Map and its effect on engineering application,such as aseismic desi 相似文献
15.
16.
17.
18.
Jin Xueshen Jin Yanping Zhao Jun and Dai YinghuaSeismological Bureau of Hebei Province Shijiazhuang China 《中国地震研究》1995,(3)
Based on the site historical earthquake data,a method of seismic risk analysis is presented.Once the frequency of earthquake response intensity and the relative value showed a logarithmic linear,the maximum similarity method would be used to obtain β,λ,and Imax,and also achieve the results of risk analysis on each site.At the same time,the "logic tree" method can be used to calibrate the uncertainty of the risk on each site.Then the final results of risk analysis indicate that this method is feasible,particularly for the sites showing intensity anomaly. 相似文献
19.
阐述河北永清MS 4.3地震构造背景和地震活动特征,依据仪器烈度,通过对地震现场调查点评定烈度,根据极震区震感现象和分布范围,确定极震区影响烈度为Ⅴ度,并圈定地震烈度图分布范围,分析此次地震震害特征。 相似文献