则木河断裂的第四纪构造活动模式

本文在野外实地调查的基础上,对北西向则木河断裂的第四纪构造活动特征、近代以及现今活动方式进行了探讨,并概括出其第四纪构造活动的模式。结果表明:该断裂带在第四纪早期以拉张性的断陷活动为主,断陷规模、幅度以西昌一带为最大,向南东方向逐渐减小。晚第四纪以来该断裂带主要表现为强烈的左旋水平扭动。同时,在西昌附近,在近东西向断裂活动的影响下,形成了最新的断陷盆地与倾针抬升山地。     

孟连断裂晚第四纪活动特征

孟连断裂是滇西南地区的1条区域性活动断裂。本文通过地形地貌、断裂剖面及地震活动等对断裂的空间展布及晚第四纪活动性进行分析和研究,获得了断裂活动时代和活动速率等参数。研究表明:孟连断裂晚第四纪期间仍在活动,最新活动时代为全新世,运动性质以左旋走滑为主,晚第四纪以来的平均水平滑动速率为3.8—5.1mm/a;该断裂控制着孟连、勐阿等第四纪盆地的发展及演化,沿断层发生了1995年7月12日中缅边境7.3级地震。     

云南玉溪东风水库断裂的第四纪活动

在野外地震地质调查的基础上,根据东风水库断裂在第四纪地质和地形地貌上的表现,并结合测年手段,综合分析和研究了该断裂的第四纪活动,包括时代、性质和速率,发现组成该断裂的各分支之间其第四纪活动存在显著的差异。     

第四纪火山区活动构造的识别和地震危险性评价

在第四纪火山区作活动构造研究时需要仔细地区分岩浆原生构造，火山区非构造变动和真正的活动断裂。第四纪火山区晚更新世晚期以来不再活动的断裂不宜看成危险性断裂。第四纪火山可能发生中强地震，极少可能发生大地震。     

西淋岗第四纪错断面特征及其成因

西淋岗第四纪错断面位于佛山市顺德区陈村镇,有研究者认为这是晚第四纪活动断裂。为了进一步探明该错断面形成的机理,进行了大比例尺地质地貌填图、探槽开挖、浅层地震探测和第四纪地层年代测定等工作。结果表明,该点及其周边地貌上没有最新构造活动的迹象,但符合重力活动的特征。第四纪地层的错断和基岩中的断裂不能配套,不是统一构造应力场的产物。两侧物探反射特征表明,基岩断裂并未错断第四纪地层。根据基础地质条件、工程地质类比和高陡稳定性计算结果判断,该错断面的产生具备重力活动的条件,是重力失衡的结果,而并非由构造作用形成。     

沂沭断裂带第四纪盆地

本文着重阐述沂沭断裂带内第四纪盆地的分布、时代,盆地内部结构以及盆地的沉降幅度、第四纪沉积物厚度与第四纪以来断裂的多期活动及强度之间的关系。     

鄂西北两郧断裂郧西段的第四纪活动与地震危险性

两郧断裂带是鄂西北地区规模最大、影响最强的断裂之一,位于秦岭断块隆起区,长约200 km,走滑运动性质,第四纪分段活动特征明显,曾于1964年发生过郧西4.9级地震。此前对该断裂郧西段的第四纪活动研究较少,直接影响着对鄂西北地区活动构造变形格局和强震危险性的整体认识和评估。本文基于遥感解译、野外地质调查和高密度电法勘探研究,发现断裂沿线发育有串珠状盆地、负向断层长谷、断层垭口和断层崖等构造地貌形态。两陨断裂在早第四纪活动明显,晚第四纪以来活动微弱,滑动速率低,未来中强地震的危险性不容低估。     

第四纪水泉尖山-崛山吴山南麓断裂带活动的迁移及其机制

位于甘肃靖远地区的水泉尖山-崛山吴山南麓断裂带早第四纪前为走向逆断层,第四纪中期出现左旋走滑迹象.研究结果表明,水泉尖山-崛山吴山南麓断裂带断裂活动的横向迁移与海原活动断裂带的形成和强烈活动有着密切的关系.     

第四纪水泉尖山-崛峿山南麓断裂带活动的迁移及其机制

位于甘肃靖远地区的水泉尖山-崛峿山南麓断裂带早第四纪前为走向逆断 层,第四纪中期出现左旋走滑迹象。研究结果表明,水泉尖山-崛峿山南麓断裂带断裂 活动的横向迁移与海原活动断裂带的形成和强烈活动有着密切的关系。     

安宁河断裂带晚第四纪活动的基本特征及强震危险性分析

通过影像解译,结合野外地质调查,利用第四纪地貌填图、样品采集和差分GPS地貌面的测量等研究手段,对安宁河断裂带及其附近地区第四纪地貌特征与断层活动关系进行了研究,分析了安宁河断裂带晚第四纪以来的活动特征,探讨了该断裂上强震的危险性。结果表明,晚第四纪以来,安宁河断裂带有强烈左旋走滑和逆冲的双重运动特征,由此可将其划分为南、北两段,北段最后一次活动时间大约在公元15世纪,南段最后一次活动时间为1536年。安宁河断裂带北段的强震危险性大于南段,且未来地震的强度在7.5级左右。     

A Monte Carlo study of rainfall forecasting with a stochastic model

A procedure for short-term rainfall forecasting in real-time is developed and a study of the role of sampling on forecast ability is conducted. Ground level rainfall fields are forecasted using a stochastic space-time rainfall model in state-space form. Updating of the rainfall field in real-time is accomplished using a distributed parameter Kalman filter to optimally combine measurement information and forecast model estimates. The influence of sampling density on forecast accuracy is evaluated using a series of a simulated rainfall events generated with the same stochastic rainfall model. Sampling was conducted at five different network spatial densities. The results quantify the influence of sampling network density on real-time rainfall field forecasting. Statistical analyses of the rainfall field residuals illustrate improvement in one hour lead time forecasts at higher measurement densities.     

Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration Aims And Scope

正This journal is established by the Institute of Engineering Mechanics(IEM),China Earthquake Administration,to promote scientific exchange between Chinese and foreign scientists and engineers so as to improve the theory and practice of earthquake hazards mitigation,preparedness,and recovery.To accomplish this purpose,the journal aims to attract a balanced number of papers between Chinese and     

Foreword

Destructive earthquakes have caused great damage in China and the United States and collapsing buildings havecaused many deaths and injuries. The field of earthquake engineering studies earthquake hazards, the occurrence ofearthquakes of various magnitudes, the nature of the ground shaking during an earthquake, the vibration of structuresduring earthquakes, the strengthening of existing structures and the design of new structures to be earthquake resistant,and finally, how to cope with earthquake damage and restore a city to normal functioning. Such efforts are in progressin both countries, but unfortunately, the language barrier interferes with the free flow of information between China andthe Untied States. It would be mutually beneficial if some means could be developed to promote the exchangeof information across the Pacific Ocean. This new journal has been established for this purpose and its success willbe an important step in promoting earthquake engineering in China and the United States.     

WORLD ASSOCIATION FOR SEDIMENTATION AND EROSION RESEARCH(WASER)

正President:Giampaolo Di Silvio,Italy Vice Presidents:Ulrich C.E.Zanke,Germany Zhao-yin Wang,China The World Association for Sedimentation and Erosion Research(WASER),inaugurated on Oct.19,2004,is an independent non-governmental,non-profit organization.The mission of WASER is to promote international co-operation on the study     

Enhancing remote sensing research on global change to improve our understanding on Earth system processes

正Global Change includes climate change and other environmental changes caused by the joint interaction among various layers of Earth. From the positive side, global change provides new opportunities to human and other living forms on Earth. In the meantime, it creates tremendous challenges and negative impact. At present, the negative impacts have reached all primary processes of the global ecosystem and every aspect of human society, especially causing degradation of the ecosystem. For instance, intensive deforestation causes decline of biodiversity; global warming causes sea level rise and increases     

SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences SUBJECT INDEX TO VOLUME 57(2014)

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