Estimation of instantaneous peak flows from maximum mean daily flows using the HBV hydrological model

The record length and quality of instantaneous peak flows (IPFs) have a great influence on flood design, but these high resolution flow data are not always available. The primary aim of this study is to compare different strategies to derive frequency distributions of IPFs using the Hydrologiska Byråns Vattenbalansavdelning (HBV) hydrologic model. The model is operated on a daily and an hourly time step for 18 catchments in the Aller‐Leine basin, Germany. Subsequently, general extreme value (GEV) distributions are fitted to the simulated annual series of daily and hourly extreme flows. The resulting maximum mean daily flow (MDF) quantiles from daily simulations are transferred into IPF quantiles using a multiple regression model, which enables a direct comparison with the simulated hourly quantiles. As long climate records with a high temporal resolution are not available, the hourly simulations require a disaggregation of the daily rainfall. Additionally, two calibrations strategies are applied: (1) a calibration on flow statistics; (2) a calibration on hydrographs. The results show that: (1) the multiple regression model is capable of predicting IPFs with the simulated MDFs; (2) both daily simulations with post‐correction of flows and hourly simulations with pre‐processing of precipitation enable a reasonable estimation of IPFs; (3) the best results are achieved using disaggregated rainfall for hourly modelling with calibration on flow statistics; and (4) if the IPF observations are not sufficient for model calibration on flow statistics, the transfer of MDFs via multiple regressions is a good alternative for estimating IPFs. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

利用VSP资料直达波的包络峰值处瞬时频率提取介质品质因子

本文采用一个具有4个待定参数的函数去逼近震源子波,利用黏弹介质中单程波传播理论推导出了地震子波包络峰值处瞬时频率(EPIF)和品质因子之间的解析关系;同时,为提高瞬时频率的估计精度和抗噪性能,在小波域中发展了一种计算瞬时频率的方法,并在此基础上提出了估算VSP资料Q值的方法,简称小波域包络峰值处瞬时频率法(WEPIF)．合成的VSP数据衰减估计结果表明,与对数谱比法和中心频率偏移法相比较,WEPIF法受到界面反射波影响相对较小、计算结果稳定、精度相对较高．将WEPIF法用于某气田的单炮零偏6级VSP资料Q值估计,结果表明,吸收强弱与储层含气性高低有良好的对应关系．