渤海海域历史地震和海啸

渤海海域中小地震定量分析结果显示,渤海中存在多个地震密集区. 地震密集多呈NE向分布,但也确有NW向活动存在. 大致以39deg;N为界,渤海南部与北部的地震活动差异悬殊,几乎所有的强震和中小地震密集都集中于南部. 综合史料和中小地震密集特征, 对公元1548年震中位置进行了校订,对1888年地震的震级进行了讨论. 探讨了173年地震事件作为一次地震海啸的可能性. 对1597年地震事件作为一次渤海强震提出了质疑.      

2013年8月河北蔚县小震群遗漏地震检测与发震构造分析

华北地区近年来小震群活动频繁, 在有数字波形记录的中强地震相对缺乏的背景下, 小震群发震构造精细研究可为华北地区地震危险性分析和地震趋势判断提供重要依据. 本文利用匹配滤波技术对2013年8月22—25日河北蔚县小震群遗漏地震事件进行检测, 并通过地震精定位和震源机制求解分析此次震群的发震构造. 计算结果显示, 通过互相关扫描检测到18次被地震台网常规分析遗漏的地震, 约为地震目录给出的13次地震事件的1.38倍. 该震群发震构造有北东向和北西向两组断裂, 震群活动前期以北东向构造活动为主, 后期地震主要发生在北西向构造, 北西向构造在此次震群活动中地震频度和强度均高于北东向构造. 震源机制计算结果显示北西向构造发震机制以正断拉张为主.      

2010年4月14日青海玉树地震破裂过程快速反演

基于远震资料的破裂过程反演方法,通过反演2010年4月14日玉树地震的全球宽频带地震垂直向P波波形记录,先后4次反演得到了玉树地震的破裂过程,并比较和讨论了这4次结果.结果表明,玉树地震的破裂过程具有如下基本特征:①地震主要由两次子事件组成,分别对应于震中附近以及震中东南方向上的两块滑动量集中的破裂区域,其中与第2次子事件对应的震中东南方向上滑动集中的区域破裂贯穿至地表;②最大滑动量和最大滑动速率分别为2.1m和1.1m/s,断层滑动速率较大;③玉树地震总体上是一次单侧破裂事件,破裂从初始破裂点(即仪器测定的震源位置)开始,主要向震中东南方向扩展,由"地震多普勒效应"导致在震中东南方向上产生强烈能量聚焦,是玉树城区遭受严重破坏在震源方面的主要原因.     

晋冀蒙三省交界区中强地震前地震视应变演化分析

选取1970年至1999年晋冀蒙三省交界4次中强地震事件,进行地震视应变演化分析。得出,地震视应变异常与晋冀蒙三省交界区中强以上地震具有较好的对应关系。震前,晋冀蒙三省交界区地震视应变演化模式有:增强-减弱-发震、增强-减弱-迁移-发震、增强-减弱-消失-增强-发震、增强-减弱-维持-发震。"大同窗"必是异常区,其震前地震视应变演化模式有:增强-维持-消失-发震、增强-减弱-发震、增强-维持-减弱-发震。异常区多形成于震前3年,随着时间的推移,有扩散或向特定方向(震源方向)迁移的特征。中强地震多发生在视应变高值异常区、视应变高值异常迁移区、视应变高值异常区迁移的方向。     

河北易县M_L3.8、3.3地震同震形变响应及其震源机制

2010年7月30日河北省易县相继发生ML3.8、3.3地震,震中距离易县地震台仅7 km,震中附近主要以形变观测台站为主.虽然地震震级相对较小,但是12个形变测项均有不同程度的同震响应,这在中小地震的同震响应分析中是较为突出的震例.根据河北台网的地震波形资料对地震进行了重新定位.根据速报震中和重新定位震中分别计算两次地震的震源机制,震源断层初步断定为NEE向断层,断层表现为正断兼右旋走滑.     

2004年7月首都圈地区ML≥2.0地震动态

根据中国地震局地震预测研究所提供的资料 ,2 0 0 4年 7月华北地区 ( 33 0°～ 4 2 0°N ,1 1 1 0°～ 1 2 5 0°E)共发生ML≥ 3 0地震 4次 (见表 1 ) ,2 3日 0 9时 1 7分河北宁晋ML3 6地震是本月显著的事件。本月地震频次略低于上月 ,参考 1 992年以来的月平均地震频次 ,7月处于中等偏低水平 ,地震活动月能量释放处于中等偏低状态。震中分布在新河断裂带、大青山山前断裂带以南及该断裂带向东北的延长线上。表 1　 2 0 0 4年 7月华北地区ML≥ 3 0地震序号发　震　时　刻　　年月日时分秒震中位置φN/°　　　　λE/°震级ML震　中0 …     

河南内乡-镇平ML4.7级地震及其震前 地震活动特征

2000年4月29日河南内乡－镇平ML4．7级地震是一次显著地震事件，地震序列属孤立型，根据震区地震地质背景，等震线分布以及震源机制解的综合分析表明，发震断层为北西向的朱阳关－桐柏断裂，对1992年至今该区2．0级以上地震空间分布的研究认为，震前的地震空间分在由无序到有序的演化过程，即存在一个地震正常活动，地震空间，地震条带，震前震中区平静至发震的发展过程。     

松辽盆地地震构造与地震活动相关性研究

松辽盆地是我国经济发展最重要的区域之一,也是东北地震区MS≥6.0级地震活动的主要场所,研究松辽盆地地震构造和地震活动相关性是地震监测预报和抗震减灾工作重要基础性工作内容.松辽盆地是我国六大活动盆地之一.新构造运动以来以间歇性、差异性升降运动为特点的构造活动水平的差异性,反映了NE向、NNE向或SN向深大断裂.在地震预测中,通常把NW向断裂与NE或NNE向断裂交切部位视为地震多发地段和主要发震模式.我们在重磁数据的基础上确定古老的SN向和EW向断裂,特别是松辽盆地基底地震构造层内的SN向断裂或EW向断层是主要的发震与控震断裂,分析中强地震多沿SN向或EW呈线性分布特点,确定NNE向或NW向断裂与SN向或EW向断裂交切成为发震构造是东北地震区内主要发震模式.根据历史上地震的分布和区域构造体系,东北地区将来地震的发生表现为2000年以来本周期地震活跃时段已经结束,目前处于相对平静时期.在大庆—松原坳陷内细划了124°～125°和126.5°～127.0°经向地震条带,MS≥4.0级地震无一例外的归属两个条带,为预测发震构造和位置提供了可能.这些结论将为东北地区地震预测和防震抗灾提供参考.     

2011年腾冲中强地震序列震源机制和发震构造研究

2011年腾冲地区连续发生了3次中强地震,本文运用全波形模拟的方法研究了这3次中强地震序列的震源机制解,并对地震序列进行了重定位。笔者结合由震源机制解及重定位结果对其发震构造进行了分析,认为3次中强地震及序列均位于同一发震构造,呈北西走向,破裂面倾角陡直,在近水平的北北东向压应力作用下作右旋水平走滑错动,断层较浅仅限于上地壳,活动过程有向深部发展的趋势;震源区附近无明显已知构造与发震构造相对应,发震构造可能为未知隐伏构造。     

2001年12月华北地区ML≥3.0地震动态

根据中国地震局分析预报中心提供的资料 ,2 0 0 1年 1 2月华北地区 ( 3 3 .0°～ 42 .0°N,1 1 1 .0°～1 2 5.0°E)共发生 ML≥ 3 .0地震 6次 (见表 1 ) ,2 8日 0 6时 3 6分滦县 ( 3 9.8°N,1 1 8.7°E) ML 4.2地震是本月显著的事件。本月地震频度低于上月 ,参考 1 992年以来的月平均地震频次 ,1 2月处于中等水平 ,地震活动月能量释放处于中等偏低状态。震中相对集中在黄海、勃海海域。表 1　 2 0 0 1年 12月华北地区 ML≥ 3.0地震序号发　震　时　刻　　年月日时分秒　震中位置φN/°　　　　 λE/°震级ML震　中0 12 0 0 1- 12 - 0…     

On the synchronism in the events within the core and on the surface of the earth: the changes in the organic world and in the polarity of the geomagnetic field in the phanerozoic

The data on geomagnetic reversals are compared with the changes in the organic world and with the lower-mantle plumes. The times of the formation of plumes and the times of their appearance on the Earth’s surface relate to the intervals characterized by the different frequencies of geomagnetic reversals, i.e., there is no interrelation between the formation of plumes and the frequency of the changes in the geomagnetic field polarity. At the same time, a certain synchronism is observed between the frequency of the geomagnetic reversals and the boundaries of the biostratigraphic ages, i.e., the changes in the organic world in the long-period range. A hypothesis is proposed, which explains the change in the sign of the geomagnetic field by the combined effect of the irregular rotation of the internal core relative to the mantle and the changes in the slope angle of the axis of the Earth’s rotation, which, in turn, results in synchronous events on the Earth’s surface: the rates of changes in the organic world.     

Anomalies in the secular variations in the main geomagnetic field in the context of the hierarchic dipole model

The developed dynamic model of the main geomagnetic field (MGF) includes the sources of three levels, which have existed and continuously changed during the 100-year period. The spatial-temporal dynamics of the secular variations in MGF has been considered based on this model. It has been indicated that, at different times, the formation of anomalies (located in similar regions) depended on the total dynamics of different combinations of sources, including a change in the parameters of the dipoles of the secondorder smallness. Anomalies generated by the dynamics of the dipoles of the third-order smallness do not evidently manifest themselves in the total secular variations but are responsible for the specific shapes of isodynamic lines. Based on the stability and continuity of the constructed model, the conclusion is made that long-living turbulent flows of different scales can exist in the liquid core.     

The changes in the electric conductivity of the lithosphere in the source region of the strongest Olyutora earthquake in the Koryak highlands

The results of the magnetotelluric (MT) soundings before and after an earthquake are analyzed. The interpretation is based on the longitudinal and transverse MT curves (along and across the strike of the main tectonic elements, respectively). The MT curves are distorted by the ρ- and coast effect. The distortions due to the coast effect are estimated by the testing three-dimensional (3D) model. It is established that the coast effect distortion at the periods up to 1000 s is small and can be disregarded. The divergence of the longitudinal and transverse MT curves, which points to the presence of the deep faults, is thoroughly studied. The inversion of the MTsounding curves is carried out by the REBOCC program of the numerical two-dimensional modeling. This program implements the procedures of elimination of the ρ-effect and the joint inversion of the longitudinal and transverse MT sounding curves. The obtained geoelectrical cross sections provide an insight into the structure of electrical conductivity of the lithosphere before and after the earthquake. The more intense variations in the electric conductivity are observed in the zone of the deep faults. These variations are related to the changes in the porosity and saturation of the rocks by the highly mineralized fluids.     

Hydrological changes in the Ganges system in Bangladesh in the post-Farakka period

Abstract

The basin area of the Ganges River in Bangladesh is extremely dependent on a regular water supply from upstream to meet requirements for agriculture, fisheries, navigation, salinity control, and domestic and industrial sectors. In 1975, India commissioned a barrage on the Ganges River at Farakka to divert a significant portion of the dry season flow in order to make the Calcutta Port navigable. Statistical analyses of discharge and water level data have been carried out to determine if significant changes have occurred in the hydrology of the Ganges system in Bangladesh in the post-Farakka period. Siltation of the Gorai River (an offtake of the Ganges River) has also been examined using the stage-discharge relationship and regression analysis. The analyses show that the diversion has caused considerable hydrological changes in the Ganges system in Bangladesh. The water supply in the dry season has been reduced substantially, while siltation of the Gorai River has increased significantly.     

Changes in sediment transport in the Kuye River in the Loess Plateau in China

In this paper, the changes in sediment transport over 51 years from 1955 to 2006 in the Kuye River in the Loess Plateau in China are assessed. Key factors affecting sediment yield and sediment transport, such as precipitation depth, discharge, and human activities are studied. To investigate the changes in sediment yield in this watershed, a trend analysis on sediment concentration, precipitation depth, and discharge is conducted. Precipitation depths at 2 Climate Stations （CSs）, as well as discharge and sediment transport at 3 Gauging Stations （GSs） are used to assess the features of sediment transport in the Kuye River. The rtmoff modulus （defined as the annual average discharge per unit area, L/（s·km^2）） and the sediment transport modulus （defined as the annual suspended sediment transport per unit area, t/（yr km^2）） are introduced in this study to assess the changes in runoff and sediment yield for this watershed. The results show that the highest average monthly discharge during the study period in the Kuye River is 66.23 m^3/s in August with an average monthly sediment concentration of 88.9 kg/m^3. However, the highest average monthly sediment concentration during the study period in the Kuye River is 125.34 kg/m^3 and occurs in July, which has an average discharge of 42.6 m^3/s that is much less than the average monthly discharge in August. It is found that both the runoff modulus and sediment transport modulus at Wenjiachuan GS on the Kuye River has a clear downward trend. During the summer season from July to August, the sediment transport modulus at Wenjiachuan GS is much higher than those at Toudaoguai and Longmen GSs on the Yellow River. The easily erodible loess in the Kuye River watershed and the sparse vegetation are responsible for the extremely high sediment yield from the Kuye River watershed. The analyses of the grain size distribution of suspended load in the Kuye River are presented. The average monthly median grain size of suspended load in the Kuye River is largest in February and then decreases until June. In July, the average monthly median grain size of suspended load approaches another peak and decreases until September. Then, the median grain size of suspended load starts to increase until February of the following year. However, the average monthly median grain size of suspended load in the Yellow River at Toudaoguai and Longmen GSs is the smallest between early summer and late fall The median grain size in the Yellow River starts to increase in November and approaches the largest size in January.     

Trends in the characteristics of the annual and semiannual variations observed in the radio wave absorption in the lower ionosphere

The continuous increase in concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is expected to cool higher levels of the atmosphere. There is some direct and indirect experimental evidence of long-term trends in temperature and other parameters in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT). Here we look for long-term trends in the annual and semiannual variations of the radio wave absorption in the lower ionosphere, which corresponds to the MLT region heights. Data from central and southeastern Europe are used. A consistent tendency to a positive trend in the amplitude of the semiannual wave appears to be observed. The reality of a similar tendency in the amplitude of the annual wave is questionable in the sense that the trend in the amplitude of the annual wave is probably induced by the trend in the yearly average values of absorption. The phases of both the annual and semiannual waves display a forward tendency, i.e. shift to an earlier time in the year. A tentative interpretation of these results in terms of changes of the seasonal variation of temperature and wind at MLT heights does not contradict the trends observed in those parameters.     

The electric field produced in the mantle by the dynamo in the core

A rigorous singular perturbation theory is developed to estimate the electric field E produced in the mantle M by the core dynamo when the electrical conductivity σ in M depends only on radius r, and when |r?_rln σ| ? 1 in most of M. It is assumed that σ has only one local minimum in M, either (a) at the Earth's surface ?V, or (b) at a radius b inside the mantle, or (c) at the core-mantle boundary ?K. In all three cases, the region where σ is no more than e times its minimum value constitutes a thin critical layer; in case (a), the radial electric field E_r ≈ 0 there, while in cases (b) and (c), E_r is very large there. Outside the critical layer, E_r ≈ 0 in all three cases. In no case is the tangential electric field E_S small, nearly toroidal, or nearly calculable from the magnetic vector potential A as ??_tA_S. The defects in Muth's (1979) argument which led him to contrary conclusions are identified. Benton (1979) cited Muth's work to argue that the core-fluid velocity u just below ?K can be estimated from measurements on ?V of the magnetic field B and its time derivative $\text{?}{}_{\mathrm{t}}\text{B}$. A simple model for westward drift is discussed which shows that Benton's conclusion is also wrong.In case (a), it is shown that knowledge of σ in M is unnecessary for estimating E_S on ?K with a relative error |r?_r 1nσ|^?1from measurements of E_S on ?V and knowledge of ?_tB in M (calculable from ?_tB on ?V if σ is small). Then, in case (a), u just below ?K can be estimated as $\text{?}\text{r}\text{×}\text{E}{}_{\mathrm{S}}\text{/B}{}_{\mathrm{r}}$. The method is impractical unless the contribution to E_S on ?V from ocean currents can be removed.The perturbation theory appropriate when σ in M is small is considered briefly; smallness of σ and of |r?_r ln σ|^?1 a independent questions. It is found that as σ → 0, B approaches the vacuum field in M but E does not; the explanation lies in the hydromagnetic approximation, which is certainly valid in M but fails as σ → 0. It is also found that the singular perturbation theory for |r?_r ln σ|^?1 is a useful tool in the perturbation calculations for σ when both σ and |r?_r ln σ|^?1 are small.     

Variations in the natural X-ray background in the polar atmosphere

X-ray intensity variations in the surface layer of the atmosphere during precipitation in Apatity and Spitsbergen were analyzed. Based on a comprehensive system of monitoring over the radiation background, X-ray radiation variations were detected. These variations were found to be associated with meteorological processes in the lower atmosphere. X-ray energy spectra were obtained under good weather and precipitation conditions. These spectra have no characteristic lines inherent to radionuclides. Additional studies make it possible to suggest that the growth in X-ray radiation during precipitation is mainly caused by braking radiation of energetic electrons additionally accelerated by electric fields in rain clouds.     

Site response in the Qionghai Basin in the Wenchuan earthquake

Amplification effects of soil site response can significantly impact ground motions, and must be considered in the seismic fortification of buildings/structures to prevent or mitigate this potential seismic hazard. Utilizing acceleration time histories from the main shock of the Wenchuan earthquake recorded at four stations (i.e., one on bedrock and three on soil) in the Qionghai Basin, the site responses from three soil sites are studied by using the traditional spectral ratio method. The bedrock site is selected as a reference site. This study found that peak ground accelerations (PGAs) on the soil sites are much larger than on bedrock, with EW, NS and UD components of 3.96–6.58, 6.27–10.98, and 3.17–6.66 times those of the bedrock site, respectively. The amplification effects of the soil sites on ground motions in the frequency range of 0.1 Hz to 10 Hz are significant, depending on the thickness of the soil layer and the frequency content of the site. A significant amplification occurs with high frequency components of ground motion at shallow soil sites, and low and high frequency components of ground motion at intermediate soil sites.     

浙江省北部及邻区中强地震前地倾斜异常特征及其预测意义

解释并讨论了湖州和宁波台１９９３年以来的地倾斜资料,总结了震前有异常显示的６次地震。发现：①异常在现场记录资料中均有显示,异常形态的识别对预报地震有重要的意义;②能观测到异常全过程的倾斜仪与震中的距离基本符合式ｌｇＤｊ＝０．３０３（ＭＳ＋１．６）给出的监测能力半径,大于这个半径的台有时也能观测到异常,但多为短临异常。如果震前记录到异常的全过程,则利用单台资料可能对地震三要素进行预测。