The main features of solar wind plasma correlations of importance to space weather strategy

In this work solar wind measurements from several spacecraft were used to investigate the correlations of solar wind plasma parameters. These results provide a test of the concept of predicting space weather by monitoring the condition of the solar wind at a large distance (up to 230R_e, the L1 point) upstream from the Earth.We compared the ion flux and bulk velocity time behavior measured by widely-separated spacecraft: the spacecraft pairs INTERBALL-1 and IMP 8 (separations up to 30R_e), INTERBALL-1 and WIND, and IMP 8 and WIND (both with separations up to 250R_e). The average value of the ion flux correlation coefficient is about 0.73. But in some cases the plasma parameters from two spacecraft are very different in both behavior and value, so correlations are very poor.The technique of multifactorial analysis was used to obtain the physical dependences of the correlations on the spacecraft separation and on different plasma and magnetic field parameters. We found that the correlation values have a weak but significant dependence on the separation perpendicular to the Sun–Earth line (YZ_se-separations up to 90R_e).The most important factors influencing the correlation level are density (or ion flux) variability, the direction of the IMF vector to the Sun–Earth line (cone angle), and the solar wind bulk velocity.     

Global geomagnetic and auroral response to variations in the solar wind dynamic pressure on April 1, 1997

The geomagnetic and auroral response to the variations in the solar wind dynamic pressure (Pd) are investigated in the periods of positive values of the IMF B _z component. It is shown that the growth of Pd results in the intensification of luminosity along the auroral oval and in the poleward expansion of the poleward boundary of luminosity (PBL) in the nightside part of the oval by ～7° in latitude at a velocity of ～0.5 km/s and is accompanied by an enhancement of the DP2-type current system. A decrease in Pd, accompanied by an abrupt reversal of the IMF B _y polarity from positive to negative, results in an enhancement of the westward electrojet and in a poleward shift of PBL and electrojet center. The conclusion has been made that the available three types of auroral response to Pd variations differ in the azimuthal velocity of the luminosity region or particle precipitation along the auroral oval: V ₁ ～ 30–40 km/s, V ₂ ～ 10, and V ₃ ～ 1 km/s.     

Influence of Solar Wind Plasma Parameters on the Intensity of Isolated Magnetospheric Substorms

Parameters of the interplanetary magnetic field and solar wind plasma during periods of 163 isolated substorms have been studied. It is shown that the solar wind velocity V and plasma density N remain approximately constant for at least 3 h before substorm onset Т _o and 1 h after Т _o . On average, the velocity of the solar wind exhibits a stable trend toward anticorrelation with its density over the whole data array. However, the situation is different if the values of V and N are considered with respect to the intensity of substorms observed during that period. With the growth of substorm intensity, quantified as the maximum absolute value of AL index, an increase in both the solar wind plasma velocity and density, at which these substorms appear, is obsreved. It has been found that the magnitude of the solar wind dynamic pressure P is closely related to the magnetosphere energy load defined as averaged values of the Kan–Lee electric field E_KL and Newell parameter dΦ/dt averaged for 1 h interval before Т _o . The growth of the dynamic pressure is accompanied by an increase in the load energy necessary for substorm generation. This interrelation between P and values of EKL and dΦ/dt is absent in other, arbitrarily chosen periods. It is believed that the processes accompanying increasing dynamic pressure of the solar wind result in the formation of magnetosphere conditions that increasingly impede substorm generation. Thus, the larger is P, the more solar wind energy must enter the Earth’s magnetosphere during the period of the growth phase for substorm generation. This energy is later released during the period of the substorm expansion phase and creates even more intense magnetic bays.     

Solar activity dependence of electron and ion temperatures using SROSS C2 RPA data and comparison with IRI model

Electron and ion temperature (T_e and T_i) data observed using RPA on board SROSS C2 satellite are investigated for the variation with local time, season, latitude (0–30°N geographic) over a half of a solar cycle (1995–2000). The nighttime T_e (∼1000 K) is independent of the season and the solar flux whereas T_i exhibits positive correlation with the solar activity during all three seasons. In the early morning hours during summer, T_e is higher by ∼500 K than other seasons in all three levels of solar activity. During winter and equinox in the early morning hours, T_e and T_i are higher during low solar activity, showing a negative correlation with solar flux. During daytime, the T_i increases with the solar flux in winter and summer solstice, but is independent in equinox. IRI underestimates T_e and T_i during the morning period by 50–75% in the equatorial and near-equatorial stations during all levels of solar activities.     

A superposed epoch analysis of geomagnetic storms

A superposed epoch analysis of geomagnetic storms has been undertaken. The storms are categorised via their intensity (as defined by the Dst index). Storms have also been classified here as either storm sudden commencements (SSCs) or storm gradual commencements (SGCs, that is all storms which did not begin with a sudden commencement). The prevailing solar wind conditions defined by the parameters solar wind speed (v_sw), density (_sw) and pressure (P_sw) and the total field and the components of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) during the storms in each category have been investigated by a superposed epoch analysis. The southward component of the IMF, appears to be the controlling parameter for the generation of small SGCs (-100 nT< minimum Dst\leq-50 nT for\geq4 h), but for SSCs of the same intensity solar wind pressure is dominant. However, for large SSCs (minimum Dst\leq-100 nT for \geq4 h) the solar wind speed is the controlling parameter. It is also demonstrated that for larger storms magnetic activity is not solely driven by the accumulation of substorm activity, but substantial energy is directly input via the dayside. Furthermore, there is evidence that SSCs are caused by the passage of a coronal mass ejection, whereas SGCs result from the passage of a high speed/ slow speed coronal stream interface. Storms are also grouped by the sign of B_z during the first hour epoch after the onset. The sign of B_z at t=+1 h is the dominant sign of the B_z for \sim24 h before the onset. The total energy released during storms for which B_z was initially positive is, however, of the same order as for storms where B_z was initially negative.     

An extended structure-function model and its application to the analysis of solar wind intermittency properties

An extended structure-function model is developed by including the new effect in the p-model of Meneveau and Sreenivasan which shows that the averaged energy cascade rate changes with scale, a situation which has been found to prevail in nonfullydeveloped turbulence in the inner solar wind. This model is useful for the small-scale fluctuations in the inner heliosphere, where the turbulence is not fully developed and cannot be explained quantitatively by any of the previous intermittency turbulence models. With two model parameters, the intrinsic index of the energy spectrum <alpha>, and the fragmentation fraction P ₁, the model can fit, for the first time, all the observed scaling exponents of the structure functions, which are calculated for time lags ranging from 81 s to 0.7 h from the Helios solar wind data. From the cases we studied we cannot establish for P ₁ either a clear radial evolution trend, or a solar-wind-speed or stream-structure dependence or a systematic anisotropy for both the flow velocity and magnetic field component fluctuations. Generally, P ₁ has values between 0.7 and 0.8. However, in some cases in low-speed wind P ₁ has somewhat higher values for the magnetic components, especially for the radial component. In high-speed wind, the inferred intrinsic spectral indices (<alpha>) of the velocity and magnetic field components are about equal, while the experimental spectral indices derived from the observed power spectra differ. The magnetic index is somewhat larger than the index of the velocity spectrum. For magnetic fluctuations in both high- and low-speed winds, the intrinsic exponent <alpha> has values which are near 1.5, while the observed spectral exponent has much higher values. In the solar wind with considerable density fluctuations near the interplanetary current sheet near 1 AU, it is found that P ₁ has a comparatively high value of 0.89 for V _x . The impact of these results on the understanding of the nature of solar wind fluctuations is discussed, and the limitations in using structure functions to study intermittency are also described.     

Crustal thickness,VP/VS ratio,and shear wave velocity structures beneath Myanmar and their tectonic implications

The crustal structure in Myanmar can provide valuable information for the eastern margin of the ongoing Indo-Eurasian collision system. We successively performed H–k stacking of the receiver function and joint inversion of the receiver function and surface wave dispersion to invert the crustal thickness (H), shear wave velocity (V_S), and the V_P/V_S ratio (k) beneath nine permanent seismic stations in Myanmar. H was found to increase from 26 ?km in the south and east of the study area to 51 ?km in the north and west, and the V_P/V_S ratio was complex and high. Striking differences in the crust were observed for different tectonic areas. In the Indo-Burma Range, the thick crust (H ?～ ?51 ?km) and lower velocities may be related to the accretionary wedge from the Indian Plate. In the Central Myanmar Basin, the thin crust (H ?= ?26.9–35.5 ?km) and complex V_P/V_S ratio and V_S suggest extensional tectonics. In the Eastern Shan Plateau, the relatively thick crust and normal V_P/V_S ratio are consistent with its location along the western edge of the rigid Sunda Block.     

Peculiarities of the outer radiation belt dynamics during the strong magnetic storm of May 15, 2005

The dynamics of energetic electrons (E _e =0.17–8 MeV) and protons (E _p =1 MeV) of the outer radiation belt during the magnetic storm of May 15, 2005, at high (GOES-10 and LANL-84 geosynchronous satellites) and low (Meteor-3M polar satellite) altitudes is analyzed. The data have been compared to the density, plasma velocity, solar wind, and magnetic field measurements on the ACE satellite and geomagnetic disturbances. During the magnetic storm main phase, the nighttime boundary of the region of trapped radiation and the center of westward electrojet shifted to L ～ 3. Enhancements of only low-energy electrons were observed on May 15, 2005. The belt of relativistic electrons with a maximum at L ～ 4 was formed during the substorm, the amplitude of which reached its maximum at ～0630 UT on May 16. The results are in good agreement with the regularity relating the position of a maximum of the new relativistic electron belt, boundaries of the trapped radiation region, and extreme low-latitude position of westward electrojet center to the Dst variation amplitude.     

Polarization of compressible turbulent fluctuations in the solar wind plasma

Compressible fluctuations in solar wind plasma are analyzed on the basis of the 1995–2010 WIND and Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) spacecraft data. In the low-speed solar wind (V ₀ < 430 km/s), correlations between fluctuations in the magnetic field direction and plasma density, as well as between velocity fluctuations and plasma density, are found. The covariance functions of these parameters calculated as functions of the local magnetic field direction are axially symmetric relative to the axis, which is oriented nearly along the regular magnetic field of the heliosphere (the Parker spiral). Fluctuations in the magnetic field and velocity are polarized in the plane that is orthogonal to the axis of symmetry. Plasma oscillations of these properties can be caused by fast magnetosonic waves propagating from the Sun along the Parker spiral.     

Forcing of the ionosphere from above and below during the Arctic winter of 2005/2006

The present paper focuses on planetary wave type responses of the thermosphere/ionosphere system to forcing from above and below during the Arctic winter of 2005/2006. The forcing from above is described by the sunspot numbers, the solar wind speed, the B_z-component of the IMF and the geomagnetic Kp-index, while the forcing from below, i.e. by upward propagating atmospheric waves, is represented by the SABER/TIMED temperatures. The observed global ionospheric zonally symmetric oscillations with periods of ～9, ～14 and ～24–27 days were approved to be of solar origin. The most persistent ～9-day oscillation is linked to a triad of solar coronal holes distributed roughly 120° apart in solar longitude. The ～18-day westward propagating wave with zonal wavenumber 1, observed in the ionospheric currents (detected by magnetometer data), and in the F-region plasma (foF2 and TEC) could be allocated to a simultaneous 18-day westward propagating planetary wave observed in the stratosphere/mesosphere/lower thermosphere region with large (～70 km) vertical wavelength.     

Global Pi3 geomagnetic pulsations as a response of large variations in the solar wind and IMF during the magnetic storm of August 5, 2011

Spatial-temporal and spectral features of ground geomagnetic pulsations in the frequency range of 1–5 mHz at the initial phase of a strong magnetic storm of the 24th cycle of solar activity (August 5–6, 2011, with a Dst-variation in the storm maximum of ?110 nT) are analyzed. Large opposite in sign amplitudes of variations in IMF parameters (from ?20 to +20 nT) at a high velocity of the solar wind (～650 km/s) accompanied by intense bursts in solar-wind density (up to ～50 cm^?3) were distinctive feature of interplanetary medium conditions causing the storm. Geomagnetic Pi3 pulsations global in longitude and latitude and in-phase in the middle and equatorial latitudes were found. The onset of pulsation generation was caused by a pulse of dynamic pressure of the solar wind (～20 nPa), i.e., by a considerable compression of the magnetosphere. The maximum (2–3 mHz) in the amplitude spectrum of near-equatorial pulsations coincided with the maximum of pulsations in the daytime polar cap. After the next jump of the dynamic pressure of the solar wind (～35 nPa), an additional maximum appeared in the pulsation spectrum in the frequency band of ～3.5–4.5 mHz. Global pulsations suddenly stopped after a sharp decrease in the solar-wind dynamic pressure and corresponding extension of the magnetosphere. The obtained results are compared with the time dynamics of the position and shape of the plasmapause.     

Dynamics of the ionospheric electric currents and auroral luminosity boundaries during strong magnetic storms

The regularities in the southward drift of the ionospheric current centers and luminosity boundaries during strong magnetic storms of November 2003 and 2004 (with Dst ≈ ?400 and ?470 nT, respectively) are studied based on the global geomagnetic observations and TV measurements of auroras. It has been indicated that the eastward and westward electrojets in the dayside and nightside sectors simultaneously shift equatorward to minimal latitudes of Φ _min ^° ～53°–55°. It has been obtained that the Φ _min ^° latitude decreases with increasing negative values of Dst, IMF B _z component, and westward electric field strength in the solar wind. The dependence of the electrojet equatorward shift velocity (V _av) on the rate of IMF B _z variations (ΔB _z /Δt) has been determined. It is assumed that the electrojet dynamics along the meridian is caused by a change in the structure of the magnetosphere and electric fields in the solar wind and the Earth’s magnetosphere.     

Temporal variations of seismicity parameters in the Central Alborz,Iran

Temporal changes of b-value, fractal (correlation) dimensions of epicenters (D _e ) and occurrence time of earthquakes (D _t ) and relations between these parameters were calculated to investigate precursory changes before 28 May 2004, Baladeh-Kojour earthquake (M _w = 6.3) of Central Alborz, Iran. 2086 events with M _N ≥ 1.7 were selected for our analyses. A wide range of variation was seen in these parameters: b-value ～ 0.6–1.11, D _e ～ 0.97–1.64, and D _t ～ 0.13–0.93. The results showed decreases in all fractal parameters several months before the main shock. This decrease, which might have arisen due to clusters of events occurred between 2002–2003, was followed by a systematic increase, corresponding to the increased level of low-magnitude seismicity. It seems that changes in fractal parameters may be precursors of Baladeh-Kojour earthquake which was caused by seismic activation and quiescence. Furthermore, a positive correlation between b-value and D _e was detected before the main shock (D _e = 0.87 + 0.7b) and during aftershock sequences (D _e = 2b ± 0.09), which was further on changed to a negative one (D _e = 2.56–1.32b).     

Variations of daytime and nighttime electron temperature and heat flux in the upper ionosphere,topside ionosphere and lower plasmasphere for low and high solar activity

A database of the electron temperature (T_e) comprising of most of the available LEO satellite measurements is used for studying the solar activity variations of T_e. The T_e data are grouped for two levels of solar activity (low LSA and high HSA), five altitude ranges between 350 and 2000 km, and day and night. By fitting a theoretical expression to the T_e values we obtain variation of T_e along magnetic field lines and heat flux for LSA and HSA. We have found that T_e increases with increase in solar activity at low and mid-latitudes during nighttime at all altitudes studied. During daytime the T_e response to solar activity depends on latitude, altitude, and season. This analysis shows existence of anti-correlation between T_e and solar activity at mid-latitudes below 700 km during the equinox and winter day hours. Heat fluxes show small latitudinal dependence for daytime but substantial for nighttime.     

Equatorial temperature and wind anomaly (ETWA)—a review

We review the observational evidence for describing the characteristics of the equatorial temperature and zonal wind anomaly (ETWA) in the low-latitude thermosphere in solar maximum and minimum periods. In spite of some new results on ETWA in the last decade, including its discovery, there is no satisfactory explanation in our understanding of the phenomenon. The two suggested mechanisms for heating at the crests of the equatorial ionization anomaly (EIA) to form the equatorial temperature anomaly (ETA) are due to (1) the ion-drag on the zonal winds resulting in the transfer of kinetic energy into heat energy and (2) the exothermic chemical reactions involved in the dominant O⁺ion re-combinations. To verify which of the two suggested mechanisms is the most effective in causing ETA, it is necessary to measure simultaneously a few parameters in situ by the satellite-borne instruments. They are (1) the electron density (N_e) and temperature (T_e), (2) the molecular and atomic ion densities (N_ij) and ion temperatures (T_i), (3) the gas temperatures (T) and densities of the gas constituents, (4) the vector winds or at least the zonal (Z) and vertical (V) wind components and (5) the drift velocities of the ionization. These together with the simultaneous ground-based measurements, will resolve identifying not only the dominant mechanism(s) for ETWA, but also the processes responsible for the enigmatic phenomena, such as the equatorial spread-F (ESF), the midnight temperature maximum (MTM) and the possible role of the EIA in their occurrences.     

Three-Dimensional V P and V P /V S Structure in the Longtan Reservoir Area by Local Earthquake Tomography

High-resolution three-dimensional V _P and V _P /V _S images in the Longtan reservoir area were obtained from local earthquake data by using 3,178 events with total 24,153 P-wave and 23,987 S-wave arrivals collected from 23 seismic stations. The tomographic images show that significant V _P heterogeneities can be seen at layers of different depth in the Longtan reservoir area. Low-V _P anomalies both beneath and around the main rivers in the reservoir area may be related to the composition of rocks which are mainly deposit carbonate and arenaceous shale, which contributes to water saturation. We deduced that the high porosity rocks beneath the main rivers may be fully saturated with water. The phenomenon that V _P is relatively high in the area which is 10–20?km away from the rivers indicates that horizontal saturation of water is limited within a small range of area that is about 10–20?km from the main rivers. The characteristic is significant that seismicity in the Longtan reservoir area is coincident with the distribution of the low-V _P area. V _P /V _S tomographic images show that V _P /V _S ranges from 1.8 to 2.05 in shallow layers above 4?km depth beneath the Longtan reservoir, suggesting the properties of the rocks are limestone and shale. At the depth of 7?km, the distribution of V _P /V _S image varies quite remarkably, especially in the dam area. This demonstrates that the range of influence by the saturation of water in the media below the reservoir surface can reach 4–7?km depth in the dam area.     

Variability of the ionosphere

Hourly foF2 data from over 100 ionosonde stations during 1967–89 are examined to quantify F-region ionospheric variability, and to assess to what degree the observed variability may be attributed to various sources, i.e., solar ionizing flux, meteorological influences, and changing solar wind conditions. Our findings are as follows. Under quiet geomagnetic conditions (K_p<1), the 1-σ (σ is the standard deviation) variability of N_max about the mean is approx. ±25–35% at ‘high frequencies’ (periods of a few hours to 1–2 days) and approx. ±15–20% at ‘low frequencies’ (periods approx. 2–30 days), at all latitudes. These values provide a reasonable average estimate of ionospheric variability mainly due to “meteorological influences” at these frequencies. Changes in N_max due to variations in solar photon flux, are, on the average, small in comparison at these frequencies. Under quiet conditions for high-frequency oscillations, N_max is most variable at anomaly peak latitudes. This may reflect the sensitivity of anomaly peak densities to day-to-day variations in F-region winds and electric fields driven by the E-region wind dynamo. Ionospheric variability increases with magnetic activity at all latitudes and for both low and high frequency ranges, and the slopes of all curves increase with latitude. Thus, the responsiveness of the ionosphere to increased magnetic activity increases as one progresses from lower to higher latitudes. For the 25% most disturbed conditions (K_p>4), the average 1-σ variability of N_max about the mean ranges from approx. ±35% (equator) to approx. ±45% (anomaly peak) to approx. ±55% (high-latitudes) for high frequencies, and from approx. ±25% (equator) to approx. ±45% (high-latitudes) at low frequencies. Some estimates are also provided on N_max variability connected with annual, semiannual and 11-year solar cycle variations.     

Response of the radiation belt electron flux to the solar wind velocity: Parameterization by radial distance and energy

The solar wind velocity is the primary driver of the electron flux variability in Earth's radiation belts. The response of the logarithmic flux (“log-flux”) to this driver has been determined at the geosynchronous orbit and at a fixed energy [Baker, D.N., McPherron, R.L., Cayton, T.E., Klebesadel, R.W., 1990. Linear prediction filter analysis of relativistic electron properties at 6.6 RE. Journal of Geophysical Research 95(A9), 15,133–15,140) and as a function of L shell and fixed energy [Vassiliadis, D., Klimas, A.J., Kanekal, S.G., Baker, D.N., Weigel, R.S., 2002. Long-term average, solar-cycle, and seasonal response of magnetospheric energetic electrons to the solar wind speed. Journal of Geophysical Research 107, doi:10.1029/2001JA000506). In this paper we generalize the response model as a function of particle energy (0.8–6.4 MeV) using POLAR HIST measurements. All three response peaks identified earlier figure prominently in the high-altitude POLAR measurements. The positive response around the geosynchronous orbit is peak P₁ (τ=2±1 d; L=5.8±0.5; E=0.8–6.4 MeV), associated with high-speed, low-density streams and the ULF wave activity they produce. Deeper in the magnetosphere, the response is dominated by a positive peak P₀ (0±1 d; 2.9±0.5R_E; 0.8–1.1 MeV), of a shorter duration and producing lower-energy electrons. The P₀ response occurs during the passage of geoeffective structures containing high IMF and high-density parts, such as ICMEs and other mass ejecta. Finally, the negative peak V₁ (0±0.5 d; 5.7±0.5R_E; 0.8–6.4 MeV) is associated with the “D_st effect” or the quasiadiabatic transport produced by ring-current intensifications. As energies increase, the P₁ and V₁ peaks appear at lower L, while the D_st effect becomes more pronounced in the region L<3. The P₀ effectively disappears for E>1.6 MeV because of low statistics, although it is evident in individual events. The continuity of the response across radial and energy scales supports the earlier hypothesis that each of the three modes corresponds to a qualitatively different type of large-scale electron acceleration and transport.     

地球同步轨道高能电子变化

结合小波分析及交叉小波分析方法,研究了地球同步轨道高能电子动态变化的多时间尺度结构,分析了电子通量在不同周期随着太阳风速、地磁指数D_st变化的具体特点.结果发现：（1）电子通量的长期变化受控于太阳风速,在太阳活动低值年,电子通量值高,具有明显的13.4天,27.4天及187天周期;交叉小波分析表明,电子通量的13.4天及27.4天周期受太阳风速周期变化信号的影响,187天周期变化受D_st指数周期变化信号的影响.（2）电子通量半年变化主要归因于太阳风的驱动作用,在每年的第100天及270左右达到两次峰值,峰值大小不对称,与D_st指数的谷值大小呈反比.（3）由于冕洞形成过程中的太阳风高速流影响,电子通量具有13.4及27.4天的周期,峰值水平受控于太阳风速结构.     

Partial pressure and air–sea CO2 flux in the Aegean Sea during February 2006

Data on the distribution of fCO₂ were obtained during a cruise in the Aegean Sea during February 2006. The fCO₂ of surface water (fCO₂^sw) was lower than the atmospheric fCO₂ (fCO₂^atm) throughout the area surveyed and ΔfCO₂ values varied from ?34 to ?61 μatm. The observed under-saturation suggests that surface waters in the Aegean represent a sink for atmospheric CO₂ during the winter of 2006. Higher fCO₂^sw values were recorded in the ‘less warm’ and ‘less saline’ shallow northernmost part of the Aegean Sea implying that the lower seawater temperature and salinity in this area play a crucial role in the spatial distribution of fCO₂^sw.A first estimate of the magnitude of the air–sea CO₂ exchange and the potential role of the Aegean Sea in the transfer of atmospheric CO₂ was also obtained. The air–sea CO₂ fluxes calculated using different gas transfer formulations showed that during February 2006, the Aegean Sea absorbs atmospheric CO₂ at a rate ranging from ?6.2 to ?11.8 mmol m^?2 d^?1 with the shipboard recorded wind speeds and at almost half rate (?3.5 to ?5.5 mmol m^?2 d^?1) with the monthly mean model-derived wind speed. Compared to recent observations from other temperate continental shelves during winter period, the Aegean Sea acts as a moderate to rather strong sink for atmospheric CO₂.Further investigations, including intensive spatial and temporal high-resolution observations, are necessary to elucidate the role of the Aegean Sea in the process of transfer of atmospheric CO₂ into the deep horizons of the Eastern Mediterranean.