西南地区次级构造块体与分区强震预报

依据西南地区现今构造、活动断裂和历史地震活动特点以及西南地区断裂带间相互作用等，将西南地区划分为次级构造区或次级块体——即将西南地区划分为5个构造次级块体，川青甘块体、川西块体、滇中块体、滇西南块体、川东南块体；针对西南次级构造区或次级块体的现今强震活动特征和历史中强地震特点，将中强地震归属划分为5个地震预测跟踪区，探讨基于西南次级构造区或次级块体的分区强震预报。     

巴颜喀拉块体东部及邻区块体边界断裂变形特征及其强震危险性分析

在对巴颜喀拉块体东部及其邻区活动块体划分的基础上,基于刚性块体运动模型,利用1999—2007年GPS数据反演得到巴颜喀拉块体东部及邻区活动块体边界断裂带的长期滑动速率,并且利用一维弹性位错模型反演了各活动块体边界断裂的闭锁深度。根据反演得到的滑动速率和闭锁深度,结合GIS平台上获取的各边界断裂的几何长度得到各边界断裂的主要地震矩累积,并通过对比各断裂带上历史强震目录估算的地震矩释放分析各边界断裂带上的地震矩亏损量,进而分析各活动块体边界断裂的强震背景,以期为区域强震的中长期地震危险性分析和防震减灾策略的制定提供资料。     

川滇地区活动块体划分与现代构造应力场分区研究综述

总结了30多年来川滇地区活动块体划分与现代构造应力场分区的主要研究认识,对二者之间的联系进行了初步讨论。对于川滇地区活动块体的划分,不同学者给出的宏观格局基本一致,但对其中一些次级块体的划分和边界断裂存在不同的认识。学者们对川滇地区现代构造应力场整体特征的认识较为一致,但对应力场的具体划分存在不同看法。川滇地区活动块体的划分格局基本确定了现代构造应力场的分区,但二者并不完全一致。开展这两方面的深入研究,对进一步认识川滇地区构造变形特征具有重要意义。     

川西及其邻近地区活动构造基本特征与强震复发模型

川西及其邻近地区位于青藏高原东缘川滇、巴颜喀拉和华南三大活动块体的交接部位,发育着多组具有发震能力的活动断裂。由于横向次级活动断裂的存在,川滇块体可进一步划分为滇中和川西北2个次级块体,巴颜喀拉块体可划分出东端的龙门山次级块体。深部探测反映出川滇和巴颜喀拉块体地壳中均存在着低速-高导层(体),它们是上地壳多震的原因之一。地质研究和现今GPS观测表明:各级块体均存在着SE向或SSE向平移运动、顺时针转动和隆升运动,但量值存在着一定差异。文中还给出了各主要活动断裂带的地质或GPS滑动速率,讨论了目前存在的主要科学问题     

基于GPS观测的地壳水平运动划分活动地块的试验

本文分析了板内块体与板块运动的差别,提出以Ｂｕｒｓａ公式作为板内块体的运动学模型,并据此提出了划分板内活动地块的方法。根据华北ＧＰＳ网１９９５、１９９６和１９９９年的３期观测成果,用本文提出的数学模型和方法,将华北北 剖地区划分为８个小块体。本文用地壳水平运动划分的结果与用本区地壳垂直运动划分的结果在是体旧一致或相近的。本文的划分结果与新构造运动也基本一致,本区活动块体的现今运动是新构造的继承和发     

青藏块体东北缘及其周围地区现今时空运动变形特征

依据非连续变形分析(DDA)方法，考虑特定块体边界不同程度的适度侵入，利用3期GPS观测资料(1991、1999、2001年)，建立了青藏块体东北缘及其周围地区的一级块体运动模型和划分较细的、反映较小区域运动变形的较理想块体运动模型。模拟得到了研究区内北西西向大断裂间一级块体的运动变化特征、研究区主应变率场的分布特征及青藏块体北边界断裂的分段非均匀时空运动特征。     

小江断裂带及周边地区震源机制解与区域构造应力场研究

正川滇块体位于青藏高原东南缘,印度板块与欧亚板块的相互碰撞使青藏高原向东移动的过程中又受到了稳定的华南块体的阻挡,最终使得川滇块体向南南东方向移动,造成了川滇块体是我国构造活动最强烈的地区之一,东边界也具有了强烈的左旋剪切变形。自从中国大陆活动地块科学假说的提出,以及活动块体划分及其对中国大陆强震的控制作用研究以来,活动块体边界带受到了研究学者的广泛关注,学者根据活动块体的完整性和统一运动方式的特点,认为     

昭通-鲁甸断裂晚第四纪活动及其构造意义

昭通-鲁甸断裂带主要由昭通-鲁甸、洒渔河和龙树3条右阶斜列的断裂组成。总体走向40°~60°,洒渔河和龙树断裂倾向SE,昭通-鲁甸断裂倾向NW,它们共同构成几何结构复杂的逆冲断裂系。野外考察表明:沿断裂表现为平直的断层槽地、定向排列的断层三角面、断层陡坎等地貌;大桥边、北闸镇、光明村等地断错了晚更新世—全新世地层;龙树河Ⅰ级阶地上发育高0.5~2.0m的断层陡坎。表明其最新活动时代为晚更新世—全新世,运动性质以逆冲运动为主兼有右旋走滑分量。此外,在NE向断裂间穿插发育的一些NW向断裂,同样表现出晚第四纪活动特征。在2014年鲁甸M6.5地震震区产生了NE和NW向地裂缝和地形反坎等地表形变,与NE和NW向断裂展布基本一致,反映了断裂的新活动特征。由于块体远程变形响应与能量交换传递,在川滇块体东侧形成了凉山次级活动块体,昭通-鲁甸断裂带位于凉山次级活动块体SE向运动的前缘部位。它独特的地理位置和复杂的断裂几何结构成为凉山次级块体构造变形的主要承载体之一,吸收、调节块体SE向运动应变,并构成了凉山次级活动块体的南部边界。从区域构造部位和运动特征分析,昭通-鲁甸断裂带之于凉山次级块体,正如龙门山断裂带之于巴颜喀拉块体。昭通-鲁甸断裂带在活动块体边界和区域构造格架划分上具有重要的构造意义,同时也是滇东北地区重要的地震构造。     

新疆地震构造带及其特征

本文根据地震活动特征,块体活动性质、地质构造特征、深部构造和震源力学,将新疆地震构划分为五个强震构造带。分别讨论了各带的地震活动和构造运动特征     

中国活动构造基本特征

最近20年来我国活动构造研究进入了定量研究阶段, 并取得了很大的进展. 总结这些定量研究成果, 编制了1∶400万中国活动构造图, 尽可能详尽地表示了活动断裂、活动褶皱、活动盆地、活动块体、火山和地震等不同类型的活动构造及其运动学参数, 总结了中国活动构造的基本特征. 喜马拉雅和台湾为板块现代活动边界构造带, 活动强烈, 断裂滑动速率大于15 mm/a; 大陆板内地区构造活动以块体运动为特征, 可以划分出不同级别的地壳和岩石圈块体, 其中以青藏、新疆和华北断块区现代构造活动最为强烈; 各区200多条活动构造带的运动学特征表明, 板内构造活动是一种有限制的低速率块体运动, 块体边界构造带的水平滑动速率一般小于10 mm/a, 最大为10~15 mm/a, 因而不支持高速率滑动的逃逸理论.     

Research on the Dividing Method for Present-Day Regional Active Block

INTRODUCTIONThe constant accumulation of large-range ,high-accuracy GPS observation data makes it possibleto studythe crustal movement in a range as large as possible .The demarcation of crustal blocks withdifferent deformation trends in the studied area and the elimination of the abnormal deformationinformation withinthe blocks ,are prerequisites to gain a correct acquisition of all parameters of theblock movement .The methods of dividing active blocks mainlyinclude 2 classes :one is ba…     

祁连山中东段三维构造物理模型及其在地震预报中的应用

利用近年来在祁连山中东段地区取得的丰富、完整、系统、可靠的地表活动构造定量化数据和测震学资料建立了本区新世活动构造的三维构造物理模型,定性或半定量地描述了该区活动的块的运动状态,解释了不同活动块体的运动性质及块体之间的运动转换关系,归纳总结了不同块体内前兆异常及地震活动性特点。     

Experiment of Dividing the Active Blocks Based on Horizontal Crustal Movement Observed by GPS

In this paper, the discrepancy between the movements of intraplate blocks and plates isdiscussed, and the method to divide the intraplate active blocks is presented by selecting Bursaformula as the kinematic model for the intraplate blocks. Based on the data of three GPScampaigns in North-China network in l995, 1996 and l999, respectively, the northern area inNorth China is divided into eight small blocks with the mathematical model and methodpresented in this paper. The divided blocks based on tbe horizontal and vertical crustalmovements in the paper are consistent or approximate with each other in the area as a whole.The divided blocks in the paper is also basically accordant with the neotectonic movement,which indicates that the current movement of active blocks in this area is the succession anddevelopment of neotectonic movement. Moreover, some new activity characteristics in the areahave been revealed by the tectonic units divided with the horizontal crustal movement.     

中国及邻区现代地块运动的数值模拟

本文利用板块几何学的方法研究中国及邻区地块间的相对运动,用数值方法计算了地块运动的角速度及边界断层的滑动速率。计算结果与活断层数据相当吻合,本文还利用地块运动速度讨论了我国现代构造活动     

从块体中心论看中国近期强震成组活动的特征

从块体中心论的角度出发,根据中国活动地块研究的最新成果,对1977—2003年中国大陆强震成组发生的构造和震源机制特征进行了分析。结果表明,这些成组发生的强震大都位于活动地块区(Ⅰ级地块)的边界带上或活动地块区内活动地块(Ⅱ级地块)的边界带上。根据哈佛大学提供的CMT(矩张量)解,同组的强震大都具有相似的震源机制。事实表明活动地块区具有整体活动的特点,而且在动力学与运动学方面存在统一性。这些特征对认识强震成组活动的机理,缩小成组强震预测的空间范围具有现实意义     

华北块体中等地震活动平静特征

采用累计频度方法,对华北活动地块Ms≥5．5地震前中等地震聚集活动区的地震做了时空扫描,并对平静现象进行了定量分析,结果表明：对各Ⅱ级活动地块采用不同的扫描方法．在强震前都表现出明显的增强、平静过程,平静的时间长短与所给定的构造区域有关。本文给出了华北3个Ⅱ级活动地块的发震模式。对各活动地块分别进行了R值检验,表明3个活动地块采用不同的发震模式均具有较高的预报效能。     

Movement and strain conditions of active blocks in the Chinese mainland

The definition of active block is given from the angles of crustal deformation and strain. The movement and strain parameters of active blocks are estimated according to the unified velocity field composed of the velocities at 1598 GPS stations obtained from GPS measurements carried out in the past years in the Chinese mainland and the surrounding areas. The movement and strain conditions of the blocks are analyzed. The active blocks in the Chinese mainland have a consistent E-trending movement component, but its N and S components are not consistent. The blocks in the western part have a consistent N-trending movement and the blocks in the eastern part have a consistent S-trending movement. In the area to the east of 90°E, that is the area from Himalayas block towards NE, the movement direction of the blocks rotates clockwisely and the movement rates of the blocks are different. Generally, the movement rate is large in the west and south and small in the east and north with a difference of 3 to 4 times between the rates in the west and east. The distributions of principal compressive strain directions of the blocks are also different. The principal strain of the blocks located to the west of 90oE is basically in the SN direction, the principal compressive strain of the blocks in the northeastern part of Qingzang plateau is roughly in the NE direction and the direction of principal compressive strain of the blocks in the southeastern part of Qingzang plateau rounds clockwisely the east end of Himalayas structure. In addition, the principal strain and shear strain rates of the blocks are also different. The Himalayas and Tianshan blocks have the largest principal compressive strain and the maximum shear strain rate. Then, Lhasa, Qiangtang, Southwest Yunnan (SW Yunnan), Qilian and Sichuan-Yunan (Chuan-Dian) blocks followed. The strain rate of the blocks in the eastern part is smaller. The estimation based on the stain condition indicates that Himalayas block is still the area with the most intensive tectonic activity and it shortens in the NS direction at the rate of 15.2±1.5 mm/a. Tianshan block ranks the second and it shortens in the NS direction at the rate of 10.1±0.9 mm/a. At present, the two blocks are still uprising. It can be seen from superficial strain that the Chinese mainland is predominated by superficial expansion. Almost the total area in the eastern part of the Chinese mainland is expanded, while in the western part, the superficial compression and expansion are alternatively distributed from the south to the north. In the Chinese mainland, most EW-trending or proximate EW-trending faults have the left-lateral or left-lateral strike-slip relative movements along both sides, and most NS-trending faults have the right-lateral or right-lateral strike-slip relative movements along both sides. According to the data from GPS measurements the left-lateral strike-slip rate is 4.8±1.3 mm/a in the central part of Altun fault and 9.8±2.2 mm/a on Xianshuihe fault. The movement of the fault along the block boundary has provided the condition for block movement, so the movements of the block and its boundary are consistent, but the movement levels of the blocks are different. The statistic results indicate that the relative movement between most blocks is quite significant, which proves that active blocks exist. Himalayas, Tianshan, Qiangtang and SW Yunnan blocks have the most intensive movement; China-Mongolia, China-Korea (China-Korea), Alxa and South China blocks are rather stable. The mutual action of India, Pacific and Philippine Sea plates versus Eurasia plate is the principal driving force to the block movement in the Chinese mainland. Under the NNE-trending intensive press from India plate, the crustal matter of Qingzang plateau moves to the NNE and NE directions, then is hindered by the blocks located in the northern, northeastern and eastern parts. The crustal matter moves towards the Indian Ocean by the southeastern part of the plateau.     

中国大陆特大地震的地震调整作用初步研究

为合理估计汶川8.0级特大地震后中国大陆的地震形势,本文通过对中国大陆特大地震后地震活动的统计分析,初步获得了对中国大陆特大地震调整作用的一些认识:①特大地震发生后1年内,除余震区外,中国大陆其他地区的地震活动以应力调整为主线,发生7级以上地震的可能性较小;②调整作用主要发生在西部的青藏活动地块区;③青藏地块区特大地震对华北地块区的地震调整作用较小.     

Movement and strain conditions of active blocks in the Chinese mainland

The definition of active block is given from the angles of crustal deformation and strain. The movement and strain parameters of active blocks are estimated according to the unified velocity field composed of the velocities at 1598 GPS stations obtained from GPS measurements carried out in the past years in the Chinese mainland and the surrounding areas. The movement and strain conditions of the blocks are analyzed. The active blocks in the Chinese mainland have a consistent E-trending movement component, but its N and S components are not consistent. The blocks in the western part have a consistent N-trending movement and the blocks in the eastern part have a consistent S-trending movement. In the area to the east of 90°E, that is the area from Himalayas block towards NE, the movement direction of the blocks rotates clockwisely and the movement rates of the blocks are different. Generally, the movement rate is large in the west and south and small in the east and north with a difference of 3 to 4 times between the rates in the west and east. The distributions of principal compressive strain directions of the blocks are also different. The principal strain of the blocks located to the west of 90°E is basically in the SN direction, the principal compressive strain of the blocks in the northeastern part of Qingzang plateau is roughly in the NE direction and the direction of principal compressive strain of the blocks in the southeastern part of Qingzang plateau rounds clockwisely the east end of Himalayas structure. In addition, the principal strain and shear strain rates of the blocks are also different. The Himalayas and Tianshan blocks have the largest principal compressive strain and the maximum shear strain rate. Then, Lhasa, Qiangtang, Southwest Yunnan (SW Yunnan), Qilian and Sichuan-Yunan (Chuan-Dian) blocks followed. The strain rate of the blocks in the eastern part is smaller. The estimation based on the stain condition indicates that Himalayas block is still the area with the most intensive tectonic activity and it shortens in the NS direction at the rate of 15.2 ± 1.5 mm/a. Tianshan block ranks the second and it shortens in the NS direction at the rate of 10.1 ± 0.9 mm/a. At present, the two blocks are still uprising. It can be seen from superficial strain that the Chinese mainland is predominated by superficial expansion. Almost the total area in the eastern part of the Chinese mainland is expanded, while in the western part, the superficial compression and expansion are alternatively distributed from the south to the north. In the Chinese mainland, most EW-trending or proximate EW-trending faults have the left-lateral or left-lateral strike-slip relative movements along both sides, and most NS-trending faults have the right-lateral or right-lateral strike-slip relative movements along both sides. According to the data from GPS measurements the left-lateral strike-slip rate is 4.8 ± 1.3 mm/a in the central part of Altun fault and 9.8 ± 2.2 mm/a on Xianshuihe fault. The movement of the fault along the block boundary has provided the condition for block movement, so the movements of the block and its boundary are consistent, but the movement levels of the blocks are different. The statistic results indicate that the relative movement between most blocks is quite significant, which proves that active blocks exist. Himalayas, Tianshan, Qiangtang and SW Yunnan blocks have the most intensive movement; China-Mongolia, China-Korea (China-Korea), Alxa and South China blocks are rather stable. The mutual action of India, Pacific and Philippine Sea plates versus Eurasia plate is the principal driving force to the block movement in the Chinese mainland. Under the NNE-trending intensive press from India plate, the crustal matter of Qingzang plateau moves to the NNE and NE directions, then is hindered by the blocks located in the northern, northeastern and eastern parts. The crustal matter moves towards the Indian Ocean by the southeastern part of the plateau.