黄淮海流域蒸发量的变化及其原因分析

利用研究区1956-2000年117个气象台站的小型蒸发皿观测资料,分析了黄淮海流域蒸发量的变化趋势及其可能原因。结果表明,近50年来本区蒸发量减少十分显著,其变化速率一般在-50 mm/10a,平原地区最大变化速率达到-80mm/10a以上。蒸发量下降最明显的季节是春季和夏季,其中春季减少最大区域主要在海河流域的东南部和黄河下游,而夏季的减少主要在淮河流域。造成蒸发量减少的直接气候原因可能是日照时数及太阳辐射的减少,平均风速和气温日较差的降低可能也起着重要的作用。     

Estimation of climatic transition in Riyadh (Saudi Arabia) in global warming perspectives

The present exercise is a study to enquire into the recent climatic transition, if any in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Conventional climatic indicators such as rainfall distribution, temperature regime, relative humidity, sunshine duration, wind velocity and evaporation characteristics were examined over a period of twenty six years of available meteorological data. The analyses showed a remarkable mutual resemblance and unidirectional trend in all the temperature parameters like absolute monthly maximum, absolute monthly minimum, mean monthly maximum, mean monthly minimum and mean monthly temperatures and the mean monthly maximum and mean monthly minimum relative humidities. Similarly, the trends in sunshine duration, wind velocity and pan evaporation were also supportingly in accordance to the general trends of climatic transition. The analysis based on a smaller period climatic data shows a good deal of agreement with the trends of studies on global warming projections made by simulated models on the basis of CO₂ concentration changes in the atmosphere.     

Impacts of climate change and human activities on the aboveground production in alpine grasslands: a case study of the source region of the Yellow River,China

Changes in aboveground net primary productivity (ANPP) in alpine grasslands are the consequence of climate change and human activities, but it is difficult to disentangle their relative contributions. Based on monthly remote-sensed vegetation index and meteorological data during the period 1982–2010, we analysed the long-term variation of annual ANPP in the source region of the Yellow River and quantified the effects of climate and human activities including grazing on ANPP variability, using the Carnegie–Ames–Stanford Approach (CASA) model and the ANPP-based residual trend analysis method. Our results suggested that ANPP increased in 80% of alpine grasslands. Areas with negative changes in ANPP were found mainly in the eastern portion of the region, accounting for 0.3% of alpine grasslands. ANPP was positively correlated with the monthly mean temperature from June to September and the sunshine duration in September at a regional scale. Moreover, ANPP was negatively correlated with the total livestock numbers. Using the residual trend analysis method, we demonstrated that climate and human activities accounted for 76.6 and 23.4%, respectively, of the variability in ANPP for the entire study region in 1982–2010. We concluded that climate change alleviated climatic constraints, in particular temperature limitations and sunshine duration, resulting in a significant increase in ANPP. Overgrazing was supposed to be the primary driver for grassland degradation in the eastern region. Our study has implications for grassland management and its sustainability to minimize the risk of grassland degradation and desertification processes in geo-ecologically and socially important regions such as the study region in China.     

Seasonal variation of solar irradiance and sunshine duration in Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia is a huge area with diverse climatic and topographical features. This diversity in climate is augmented by seasonal weather variations. The study discusses solar irradiance and sunshine duration in terms of seasonal weather systems. Sunshine duration and solar irradiance maps show that the East Mediterranean weather systems (such as Cyprus low) in winter affect the majority of the geographical regions in Saudi Arabia. In spring and autumn, Sudan low becomes more active than Cyprus low, especially in the west and central regions. Sunshine duration in April is 47% compared to 50% in January. Sunshine duration in the southwest region is affected by the rainy and wet summer monsoon which reduces sunshine duration to 33% in summer (July), while it is 43% in winter (January). In addition, the study uses the Angstrom equation to estimate solar irradiance. The absolute relative error between estimated and observed solar irradiance ranges between 2 and 10% in the majority of cases, with a few cases exceeding 13%.     

海河流域ET0演变规律及灵敏度分析

根据国家气象站1956-2000年逐日气象资料,采用Penman-Monteith公式和灵敏指数法,分析了海河流域潜在蒸发蒸腾(ET₀)的演变规律及与气象要素的灵敏关系。结果表明:全流域45年ET₀呈下降趋势,但年际间呈现4个阶段;逐旬呈倒"V"字型,61.6%集中于4月中旬到8月上旬。在空间上,年和旬值呈现上游小下游大。通过ET₀与气象要素演变的比较及灵敏性分析发现,全流域年ET₀演变与年均风速、日照时数以及短波辐射相似,与温度相反。旬ET₀演变与旬平均温度、实际水汽压、日照时数以及短波辐射相似,但对各要素的灵敏系数以短波辐射最大,其它要素则随时空变化,且彼此的灵敏系数相差较大。分析表明在气象要素的综合作用下,造成全流域ET₀降低的主要原因可能在于短波辐射、日照时数的变化。     

Organic Pollutants in Coastal Waters,Sediments, and Biota: A Relevant Driver for Ecosystems During the Anthropocene?

The total number of synthetic organic chemicals introduced to the environment by humans has never been quantified, but it is not lower than thousands. A fraction of these chemicals have toxic effects to coastal organisms and presumably affect ecosystems structure and function. During the last decades, some of the processes affecting the transport, degradation, and fate of a limited number of chemicals have been studied, and the rising concern for environmental risk of organic chemical has lead to the regulation of a few of them by national and international organisms. However, the environmental inventory of organic pollutants is far from being quantified, and current methodologies used in most toxicological tests only allow to determine effects of individual chemicals to organisms. There are major limitations on appropriate methodologies to assess the effects of organic pollutants at population and ecosystem levels and the effects induced by complex mixtures of organic pollutants present in natural environments. The modification of the composition of the biosphere by a myriad of organic pollutants at ultra-trace levels is not yet regarded as another vector of environmental change which is irreversible due to the persistent character of many of these chemicals and due to its global coverage. Here, we claim that the modification of the atmosphere, water, sediments, and biota composition is a factor to be taken into account in coastal ecosystems, and that its pressure on the environment has been exponentially increasing during the last six decades of the anthropocene.     

黄河上游流域蒸散量及其影响因子研究

利用彭曼公式计算了80年代以来黄河上游流域蒸散量,分析了该地区蒸散量、日照时数、气温、空气饱和差等气候因子的变化趋势,着重研究了诸因子对蒸散量的影响。研究发现,黄河上游流域蒸散量呈逐年增大趋势,并以每年3.25 mm的速度递增;而作为主要影响因子的日照时数则以每年3.6小时的速度增加;气温同样表现出逐年升高的趋势,其气候倾向率为0.4℃/10 a;空气饱和差也以每年0.02 hPa的速度递增。因此,可以认为,黄河上游流域日照时数、气温及饱和差的增加,加剧了草地蒸散量的增大,而蒸散量的增大和降水量的减少则直接影响到了黄河上游流量的减少和草地荒漠化的蔓延。     

Estimation of potential evapotranspiration in Al-Hassa oasis,Saudi Arabia

An accurate estimation of the potential evapotranspiration can be achieved ba applying empirical evapotranspiration coefficients which are determined under Al-Hassa prevailing climatic conditions. Correlation coefficient results indicate that most of the climatological variables have a strong relationship with potential evapotranspiration except wind speed and precipition variables which have a weak relationship. Multiple regression results also indicate that there is a significant effect of some of the climatologiecal variables in the potential evatranspiration and there is no significant effect of the others at the significant level of 0.05. The results of the stepwise regression indicate that evaporation class “A” pan, air temperature, sunshine hours, radiation, relative humidity, and wind speed variables have a significant effect at the significant level of 0.05 on the overall mean monthly potential evapotranspiration of the Blaney-Criddle, Pan Evaporation, and Jensen-Haise, therefore, the equation which has developed for estimating potential evapotranspiration in Al-Hassa is based on these six variables (evaporation class “A” pan, air temperature, sunshine hours, radiation, relative humidity, and wind speed).     

藏北高原蒸发皿蒸发量及其影响因素的变化特征

采用气候倾向率方法,对藏北高原1971-2006年6个气象站年、季小型蒸发皿蒸发量及其影响气候因子的变化趋势进行了分析。结果表明:近36年藏北高原年蒸发皿蒸发量各站点均呈现显著的减少趋势,平均减少61.7mm/10a(通过99%显著性检验),以夏季减幅最明显。就地域分布而言,蒸发皿蒸发量的下降主要表现在藏北高原的中西部。蒸发量减少幅度随经度的增加减小,随海拔高度的升高而加大。影响蒸发皿蒸发量的主要气候因子日照时数、平均风速呈现显著下降趋势,平均相对湿度、降水量表现为显著增加,平均气温显著升高,平均最低气温的升温速率(0.54℃/10a)明显比平均最高气温的升温速率(0.17℃/10a)大,导致气温日较差的减小(-0.37℃/10a)。藏北高原平均气温日较差和日照时数的显著减小,以及平均相对湿度的明显增加可能是蒸发皿蒸发量显著下降的主要原因,降水量的增加和平均风速的明显减小在蒸发量减少趋势中的作用也不可忽视。     

近40 a来青藏高原地区总辐射变化特征分析

利用青藏高原及周边22个日射站近40 a的总辐射及日照百分率资料确定了Angstrom-Prescott模型(APM)系数, 结合高原及毗邻地区116个地面站的资料估算了高原地区近40 a的总辐射. 结果表明: 高原主体光照充沛, 年均日照时数可达3000 h以上, 有较好的利用前景; 总辐射40 a平均年总量在高原西部为高值区, 此高值带向东北和东南延伸, 其中北支可抵达内蒙古高原.年代际变化在高原及周边地区不一致, 但从整体上看, 总辐射距平值60、 70年代为正值, 表明这一时期高原总辐射增大; 80、 90年代总辐射距平为负, 这一时期总辐射减小. 火山活动是该时段总辐射减小的一个重要原因; 总辐射随着纬度的增大而减小, 随着海拔、 日照百分率的增大而增大. 纬度、 海拔、 日照3个因子中, 日照是总辐射的一个主要影响因子, 纬度对总辐射影响较大, 海拔对总辐射影响较小; 高原地区总辐射变差系数大值区在高原西部. 就平均状况而言, 高原地区总辐射变差系数仅为0.031, 表明高原地区总辐射波动相对较小, 总辐射较稳定.     

Climatic instability in west equatorial Africa during the Mid- and Late Holocene

Millennial-scale climatic variations have punctuated the Holocene characterised by abrupt changes from warm to cool or wetter to drier conditions. Amongst these climatic events, there is increased evidence for an abrupt multicentennial shift of climatic conditions around 3.8/3.7 kyr BP (4.1 cal. kyr BP) in mid- to low-latitude regions which had a profound impact on landscape and population migration. In the Mediterranean region, subtropical, tropical and equatorial Africa, a number of continental proxies (lake-levels, pollen sequences, stable isotopes) record this abrupt change towards drier conditions. However, regionalism in climatic conditions is reflected in the vegetation records, possibly in relation to orographic conditions and the influence of sea-surface conditions. Hitherto there have been very few marine sequences that record this particular climatic shift at high-resolution. We present here new data from the Congo deep-sea fan containing integrated marine and terrestrial proxies. Around 5–4 cal. kyr BP, shifts in surface conditions off the Congo River mouth are observed, with possible establishment of seasonal coastal upwelling, and lower sea-surface temperatures. In parallel, pollen data indicate fluctuations of herbaceous, afromontane taxa and charred grass cuticles, suggesting more open vegetation in the lowland regions and an increase in cloud forest and/or afromontane vegetation at higher altitudes within the Congolese region.     

Periglacial phenomena and their significance as climatic and edaphic indicators

As formed by frost-action and the presence of intensely frozen ground periglacial phenomena, especially microrelief features, are good examples for geomorphic phenomena as being clearly dependent upon specific climatic conditions. Whereas climate controls and delimits the formation and occurrence of periglacial phenomena at a zonal and regional scale, non-climatic vegetational, topographical and edaphic factors are significant within the climatically defined boundary conditions at a smaller scale. It can be shown that each type of periglacial phenomenon is dependent on specific climatic and edaphic conditions. Data on these conditions are compiled in several tables. On the other hand, because of this dependence on specific environmental conditions periglacial phenomena are at the same time diagnostic indicators for such conditions. As to climate they are indicators for specific climatically defined types of frozen ground and for thermal conditions in terms of mean values, such as mean air temperatures, freezing and thawing indexes. Spatial associations of genetically different types of periglacial phenomena indicate the extent and regional subdivision of the periglacial environment and its climatic limits. The definition of the climate-diagnostic value of present periglacial phenomena is an essential perequisite for the palaeoclimatic interpretation phenomena are sensitive to climatic variations of small amplitude and as such they are also indicators of recent short-term climatic changes. As to edaphic conditions they indicate frost-action potential of the groud and various soil properties which have practical implications. As edaphic indicators periglacial phenomena are of significance for terrain evaluation programmes in the Arctic for practical purposes.     

青藏高原总辐射变化对高原季节冻土冻结深度的影响

利用青藏高原及其毗邻地区22个辐射观测站建站至2000年的总辐射及日照百分率观测资料,确定了Angstrom-Prescott模型参数,以此模型估算了高原及毗邻地区116个站1961年1月至2000年12月份的总辐射.结合高原地区75个气象站的冻土观测资料,探讨了青藏高原地区总辐射变化对高原土壤季节冻结深度的影响.结果显示,冬季总辐射变化对季节冻深有较大影响.冷湖、玉树两个较典型的站点中总辐射与土壤冻结深度的负相关关系显著,与典型站点相似,德令哈、格尔木两站总辐射与季节冻深亦呈负相关.研究区域内,近乎80%的调查站点,总辐射与季节冻结深度之间关系呈现负相关;另外21%的站点呈现正相关关系.多元回归分析结果显示,纬度、海拔、总辐射及气温4个因子与季节冻结深度的相关显著.总辐射是高原土壤季节冻结深度的重要影响因子之一.     

气象极值变化及其导致的农业气象灾害趋势分析——以甘肃省为例

依据甘肃省62个气象站1960-2005年的地面气候资料, 分析农作物生育期(3-10月)内气象要素极值的变化趋势, 并用主成分分析方法研究了该变化对农业气象灾害发生趋势的影响.结果表明: 与温度相关的气象要素极值表现出了同平均气温类似的显著上升趋势,其中降水相关的气象要素极值变化说明甘肃省降水结构发生了改变, 极端性有所减弱;其他相关要素中, 最大风速存在明显下降趋势, 蒸发量呈下降趋势、日照时数呈上升趋势, 但都不够显著.大部分气象极值的变化与农业气象灾害的变化呈正相联系, 只有很少部分气象极值的变化与农业气象灾害的变化呈反相联系.综合分析这些气象极值在甘肃省范围内的变化趋势, 揭示出未来甘肃省干旱灾害倾向于加剧, 而洪涝灾害趋于减轻.     

Is shrinking groundwater resources leading to socioeconomic and environmental degradation in Central Ganga Plain,India?

In India, agriculture is a source of livelihood for over 64 % of the country's population. Indo-Gangetic Plains of North India support good cultivation and provides livelihood to several hundred million people. The climatic change studies have documented changes in precipitation pattern which can alter the flow pattern discharge to the reservoirs and availability of water for agriculture. The reduction in groundwater recharge through reduced rainfall and irregularity in surface water availability has increased dependence on groundwater resources causing its overexploitation. Consequently, pumping from deeper groundwater conditions need more energy and pump efficiency for abstraction which ultimately requires huge capital investment. Moreover, volatile fuel prices make the agricultural society vulnerable to economic losses. The repercussions of water level decline are likely to disseminate an additional economic burden to the groundwater user community. To cope with higher energy demands, increase in fuel consumption has led to environmental degradation through higher carbon emission. Thus, the groundwater depletion is likely to have far-reaching socioeconomic and environmental impacts which are not confined to the Central Gangetic Plain. In the present study, attempts have been made to analyze the effect of groundwater depletion as a commodity in the social framework of the region.     

青藏高原多年冻土区高寒草甸植物种群物候学定量研究

采用青藏高原腹地北麓河多年冻土区高寒草甸14种代表性植物种群2009年和2010年两个生长季的物候观测资料, 进行植物种群物候学特征的定量分析, 划分物候类型并指出影响不同物候期的环境因子主次. 结果表明: 营养期和结实期的物候指数都较大, 分别为32.70和24.39, 其他物候期则相对较小; 整个生长期持续天数较短, 为155 d左右. 14种植物可划分为3种类型和6大类群. 在营养期和整个生长期, 与物候变化最为密切的环境因子为降水量, 其次为日照时数, 温度居第三; 而影响其他物候期的因子均以日照时数为主, 降水量和温度依次居后.     

Contrasting impacts of the 8.2- and 4.2-ka abrupt climatic events on the regional vegetation of the Hulun Lake region in north-eastern China

Studies of the vegetation response to abrupt climatic events may provide valuable insights into assessing the impacts of such events under future global warming scenarios. Here we present a detailed record of regional vegetation change based on high-resolution pollen records for the intervals 9000–7000 and 5000–3000 cal a bp from the Hulun Lake region of north-eastern China. Our aims were to determine the regional expression of the 8.2- and 4.2-ka events in north-eastern China, especially their effects on vegetation composition. The results show that the response of the vegetation of the Hulun Lake region to the climatic cooling of the 8.2-ka event was relatively minor; however, the 4.2-ka event, which resulted in climatic aridification, resulted in pronounced vegetation degradation. We suggest that the specific characteristics of the 8.2- and 4.2-ka events, together with their duration and the regional climatic background on an orbital time scale, were the main factors responsible for the contrasting vegetation responses. The strengthening and northward shift of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) tended to offset the cooling effect of the 8.2-ka event on regional vegetation in the mid–high latitudes of East Asia; in contrast, the decrease in summer insolation in the Northern Hemisphere and the southward shift of the ITCZ may have intensified the drought effect of the 4.2-ka event in East Asia and the associated vegetation degradation. Under future global warming scenarios, both extreme cooling events and extreme drought events may cause a deterioration of the ecological environment; however, the resulting regional vegetation responses may be substantially different.     

近40a来江河源区生态环境变化的气候特征分析

利用月气象资料,对过去40a江河源气候变化特征进行分析,并与全球、全国、青藏高原进行了比较.结果表明:江河源区气温具有增暖趋势,近40a两地年平均气温分别增加约0.8℃和0.7℃,为高原异常变暖区.黄河源区变暖的主要特征是最低气温变暖,日照时数增加;最低、最高气温的显著变暖,以及较黄河源区增加更长的日照时数是长江源区变暖的主要特征.长江源区冬季变暖的作用不是主要的,春季、夏季和秋季的变暖作用比冬季还要大;黄河源区的变暖也并不主要是冬季变暖造成的,秋季变暖的作用与其相当,其它季节的变暖作用也不能忽视.近40a来江河源区降水量略有增加,主要体现在20世纪80年代中后期以来春季与冬季降水量的明显增加,夏季降水量虽然总体上没有明显变化,且局地夏季降水量呈持续减少趋势.与全球、全国以及高原区对比显示,江河源区对全球气候变暖的响应最敏感,变暖首先从长江源和整个高原发端,之后15a.黄河源和全国才进入显著温暖期.黄河源与长江源北部降水量的增加表明,气候变暖有利于高原增加降水量.     

Climatic variations in MIS 11 recorded by stable isotopes and trace elements in a French tufa (La Celle,Seine Valley)

Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 11 palaeoclimate has so far been documented in marine and ice sheet isotopic records. However, excepting some lacustrine pollen records, very little is known about palaeoclimatic conditions in continental areas. This study uses geochemical records in calcareous tufa deposits from rivers as a basis for reconstructing temperate palaeoclimatic conditions. Tufa deposits are now proven to record high‐quality palaeoclimatic information in recent to Holocene deposits. Work on older interglacial tufas is just starting and in this paper we present the first comprehensive results from a MIS 11 tufa. The tufa comes from the Seine Valley (La Celle, northern France). Geochemical data in the tufa calcite are interpreted to record primarily air temperature (δ¹⁸O) and humidity (δ¹³C and Mg/Ca and Sr/Ca). The combined data identify a warm and wet climatic optimum followed by two temperature decreases associated with oscillations in humidity. These marked climatic variations recorded through the La Celle profile are strongly coherent with the palaeoenvironmental reconstructions from malacological data. The abrupt climatic and environmental events recorded could be related to short‐term degradation of vegetation cover in Europe, which is itself controlled by global palaeoclimatic events. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Understanding geomorphic responses to environmental change: a 19 000‐year case study from semi‐arid central Texas,USA

Understanding the impact of past climatic changes on landscape stability is crucial in order to predict and mitigate the effects of future changes. However, in arid and semi‐arid environments, reconstructions are often hampered by a poor understanding of the relationship between sediment deposition and climate. We present here data from central Texas, a region that is sensitive to environmental change but has received relatively little attention. The study integrates a chronology of 29 optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) ages from six sedimentary sites in a range of depositional contexts with a 19 000 a climate record derived from pollen extracted from the adjacent Boriack Bog. By comparing the two records, we aimed to assess the relationship between climate change and geomorphic activity. Data show that extensive aeolian and colluvial deposition occurred during the mid to late Holocene, with sedimentation generally increasing during more arid phases. However, a number of depositional events on slopes were associated with moister episodes, and sediment was also deposited in a summit setting immediately after phases of increased precipitation. Linkages between climate change and geomorphic response were therefore complex, being controlled by both sediment supply and transport energy. The climatic fluctuations identified in the Boriack Bog record highlight the sensitivity of central Texas to environmental change, while disparities in conditions recorded between it and other palaeoenvironmental sites in the southern USA emphasise the need for further work in order to enhance understanding of landscape sedimentary response to climate. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.