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1.
拖网选择性引起的鱼类表型性状选择差的初步研究   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5  
本文应用数值模拟的方法,研究了拖网选择性引起的鱼类表型性状(生长速率K、极限体长L∞、初次性成熟年龄Am)的选择差,通过假设不同的白噪音CV、自然死亡系数M、极限体长L∞、种群的样本大小Ss及网目尺寸Ms来估算鱼类表型性状的选择差在最大捕捞死亡系数逐渐加强时的变化情况。模拟结果表明捕捞死亡系数越大,造成的K、L∞、Am选择差也越大,并且Am的选择差增大的速率比K、L∞的小。白噪音越大,自然死亡系数越大,种群受捕捞影响产生的K、L∞、Am的选择差越大;极限体长的大小和种群的样本大小对K、L∞、Am的选择差的影响不大;网目尺寸越大,K、L∞、Am的选择差越小。随着最大捕捞死亡系数的增大,种群的生长速率变大,极限体长变小,初次性成熟年龄提前。表明了捕捞压力造成鱼类生存环境的变化,鱼类种群发生自适应进化响应,表现在表型性状的变化,且捕捞强度越大,环境差异越大,导致的表型性状选择差越大。  相似文献   

2.
鱼类自然死亡率的估算及其影响因子的探讨   总被引:6,自引:1,他引:5  
为探讨鱼类自然死亡率参数,文中讨论了1种通过资源量和渔获量数据估算鱼类自然死亡率(M)的方法。蒙特卡罗模拟分析显示当资源量的白色噪音,即变异系数(CV)水平小于大约10%时自然死亡率的估计值基本上是准确的;捕捞死亡率的变化对自然死亡率估计的影响不大。文中构造了长寿命自然死亡率小和短寿命自然死亡率大的2个鱼类种群,模拟结果表明这种方法更适用于寿命短而自然死亡率大的种群。另外该方法在黄海鲲鱼(Engraulis japonicus)渔业数据上的应用同样得到了良好的结果。  相似文献   

3.
根据已开发鱼类种群的自然死亡率(M)在鱼类资源评估中的重要作用,讨论了1种应用实际种群分析(VPA)(亦即世代分析方法)估算鱼类自然死亡率的方法.文中假设了捕捞努力量(E)已知和未知2种情况,并同时求出了其他种群参数,如可捕系数,补充量等.在蒙特卡罗模拟分析中,假设了4种模拟渔业(管理良好的渔业,掠夺式渔业,恢复性渔业和稳定性渔业)对该方法进行了验证.并将von-Bertalanffy生长方程(VBGF)引入VPA模型来估算鱼类的自然死亡率.当CV等于20%时,在4种模拟渔业中鱼类各龄自然死亡率(Ma)的EP均小于10%.在已知单位捕捞努力量渔获量数据时,计算北大西洋长鳍金枪鱼(Thunnus alalunga)的M等于0.119,这个结果比先前假定的值(0.3)小,但考虑到该鱼种所承受的高的捕捞压力作者认为该估计值是合理的.  相似文献   

4.
根据2011年海州湾及邻近海域的底拖网调查资料,对大泷六线鱼(Hexagrammos otakii)的群体结构、体长-体重关系、生长、死亡和资源利用状况进行初步研究。结果表明:大泷六线鱼渔获群体体长范围为44~292mm,优势体长组为54~74mm,平均体长为88mm;体重范围为0.35~574.3g,优势体重组为10g,平均体重为17.94g;体长-体重关系为W=4.23×10-6 L3.31(R2=0.978 6,n=1 514)。应用FiSATⅡ软件中的ELEFANⅠ方法估算的von Bertalanffy生长方程参数L∞、K和t0分别为328mm、0.36a-1和-0.43a;应用FiSAT软件中变换体长渔获曲线法求得总死亡系数Z为2.06,自然死亡系数M和捕捞死亡系数F分别为0.62和1.44,开发率E为0.70。Beverton-Holt单位补充量渔获量模型分析表明,在现行捕捞死亡系数F=1.44、YW/R取最大值时对应的开捕年龄为1.83a。现阶段大泷六线鱼资源已处于过度开发状态,考虑拐点年龄、临界年龄、繁殖和经济效益等综合因素,建议将海州湾大泷六线鱼最适开捕规格定为体长191mm。  相似文献   

5.
连续Schaefer产量模型在三种模拟渔业评估中的应用   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
剩余产量模型具有形式简单和所需数据少的特点,使其在许多渔业资源评估中已经成为非常有吸引力的工具。本文主要分析了连续Shaefer产量模型在三种模拟渔业中的应用效果。蒙特卡罗模拟分析表明:模型对在高产量和低产量之间波动的渔业三的评估效果好于其他两种模拟渔业。这可能由于渔业三经历了过度捕捞和恢复两个阶段,所以其数据中含有更多的信息,而其他两种渔业仅仅经历了其中的一个阶段。当白色噪音小于10%时,估计的产量接近于观测产量,误差百分比小于5%;当白色噪音大于30%时,误差百分比接近40%。  相似文献   

6.
刺网选择性对鱼类表型性状的选择作用研究   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
本研究从刺网选择性对鱼类表型性状的影响入手,应用数值模拟方法,模拟了一个具有一定体长特征的鱼类种群,利用具有多项选择参数(曲线标准差σ,最适体长l0,选择性因素R0)的刺网曲线对其进行长期捕捞作用,并在去除捕捞的情况下探讨这种影响的稳定性。结果表明,刺网捕捞作业长期作用于鱼类种群,会对种群体长组成产生深远的影响,开发率(E)越大,效果越明显。当刺网最适捕捞体长与初始种群优势体长重合时(l0=15),造成种群体长分布峰值的分化;如果l0>15,则导致种群体长组成向小型化方向偏移;反之则会造成种群体长组成向大型化方向偏移;而且这种影响可能伴随遗传因素,具有不可逆性。  相似文献   

7.
王琨  张崇良  王晶  任一平 《海洋学报》2019,41(12):62-70
传统的渔业资源评估均假设鱼类的生长参数是匀质的,然而近年来越来越多的研究表明海洋鱼类生长存在空间异质性。为探究海州湾鱼类生长参数的空间异质性现象,本研究分析了2013–2018年海州湾及其邻近海域方氏云鳚(Pholis fangi)、尖海龙(Syngnatus acus)、小黄鱼(Larimichthys polyactis)和赤鼻棱鳀(Thryssa kammalensis)的空间分布,使用电子体长频率分析方法结合Bootstrap重抽样方法估算了这4种鱼类的生长参数及其在深、浅水区域中的差异。结果显示,这4种鱼类生长参数均表现出一定的空间异质性,其中尖海龙和小黄鱼生长参数的空间异质性表现较为明显。这种差异可能是由于空间上的理化条件、群落结构以及物种本身洄游分布的差异而产生的。  相似文献   

8.
渔业产量和资源生物量数值模型及相关因子的初步研究   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
对于渔业的中长期预报计算,是渔业种群补充的关键问题。本文在单位补充量产量和单位补充量生物量模型中加入了亲体一补充模型即密度相关过程,并引入了白色噪音以模拟环境变化。结果表明:本研究(1)可以明确地给出渔业种群崩溃的可能性,估计出达到崩溃时的捕捞死亡率;(2)可以估计最大持续产量的绝对值;(3)引入的白色噪音可以模拟环境变化对产量与捕捞死亡率和产量与亲体生物量关系曲线的影响。虽然亲体补充关系仍多是个假设,补充与亲体之间存在的补偿机制需要进一步的研究。  相似文献   

9.
针对非协作磁性目标定位中初始条件难以确定的问题,提出一种基于静态多模型滤波思想的自适应跟踪方法。 首先对磁场观测模型进行分析,设计了一种磁性目标初始参数估算方法,通过该方法得到不同假设条件下的磁性目标状态初值及其误差矩阵,在此基础上起始多个扩展卡尔曼滤波器(Extended Kalman Filter, EKF) 进行求解,根据各个滤波器的求解结果利用最大似然准则选取最佳解作为当前时刻估计结果。 通过仿真实验验证了方法的有效性,结果表明,方法可在目标源及位置等先验信息完全未知条件下准确估计出真实目标状态,对磁性目标实际应用具有参考价值。  相似文献   

10.
陡度是亲体与补充量模型中的关键参数,能反映补充量受亲体量的约束程度,但该参数难以通过渔业资源评估模型直接估计,而随意假设则可能会降低渔业资源评估结果的可靠性。因此,本文提出了利用生物量动态模型(Biomass dynamic model)与Euler-Lotka方程估计陡度经验分布的方法。先利用贝叶斯生物量动态模型估计内禀增长率的分布,在此基础上,利用Euler-Lotka方程估计陡度的经验分布,再以印度洋长鳍金枪鱼(Thunnus alalunga)陡度估计为例,展示了该方法。研究表明:陡度的估计受资源丰度指数、自然死亡系数、性成熟率、生长参数等数据的影响;当使用中国台湾延绳钓渔业在15°S~45°S、55°E~100°E海域的标准化CPUE、4种自然死亡系数与4种性成熟率时,生物量动态模型能较好估计内禀增长率,估计的陡度均值在0.80~0.87之间,与大西洋、北太平洋长鳍金枪鱼陡度值基本一致,估计结果具有合理性;同时,本文陡度估计支持印度洋长鳍金枪鱼资源处于健康状态的判断。研究结果将进一步丰富陡度估计方法,为陡度的合理假设及印度洋长鳍金枪鱼的资源评估提供理论支持。  相似文献   

11.
In order to assess the impact of deep-sea mining on the in situ benthic life, we measured the microbial standing stock and concentration of organic nutrients in the deep-sea sediments of the Central Indian Ocean Basin in the Indian pioneer area. Sediments were collected using box core and grab samples during September 1996. The total bacterial numbers ranged from 10 10 -10 11 cells per g -1 dry weight sediment. There was a marginal decrease in the number of bacteria from surface to 30 cm depth, though the subsurface section registered a higher number than did the surface. The highest numbers were encountered at depths of 4-8 cm. The retrievable number of bacteria were two orders less in comparison with the direct total counts of bacteria. An almost homogeneous distribution of bacteria, total organic carbon, living biomass, and lipids throughout the depth of cores indicates active microbial and benthic processes in the deep sea sediments. On the other hand, a uniform distribution of total counts of bacteria, carbohydrates, and total organic carbon in all the cores indicates their stable nature and suggests that they can serve as useful parameters for long-term monitoring of the area after the benthic disturbance. Further studies on temporal variability in this region would not only verify the observed norms of distribution of these variables but would also help to understand restabilization processes after the simulated benthic disturbance.  相似文献   

12.
海上大直径钢管桩打桩过程中,桩周土体受到强烈扰动而发生强度弱化,掌握桩周土体强度弱化规律对于准确预测打桩过程、保证工程安全具有重要意义。为研究土体强度弱化规律,开展了环剪试验模拟打桩对桩周土体的扰动,测试土体强度随剪切速率的变化规律,建立了描述土体强度弱化规律的拟合公式,引入到打桩分析软件中。研究结果表明:土体的强度折减程度不仅与土体本身的性质有关还受到土体的埋深和剪切速率的影响,埋深越深土体强度折减程度越低,剪切速率越高土体强度折减越高,在打桩分析中可采用这里推荐的线性折减方法来模拟不同深度处土体强度的折减规律。  相似文献   

13.
An acoustic inversion method using a wide-band signal and two near field receivers is proposed and applied to multiple layered seabed models including a manganese sediment. The inversion problem can be formulated into a probabilistic model comprised of signals, a forward model, and additive noise. The forward model simulates wide-band signals, such as chirp signals, and is chosen to be the source-waveletconvolution plane wave modeling method. The wavelet matching technique, using weighted least-squares fitting, estimates the sediment sound-speed and thickness on which determination of the possible numerical ranges for a priori uniform distribution is based. The genetic algorithm is applied to a global optimization problem to find a maximum a posteriori solution for determined a priori search space. Here the object function is defined by an L 2 norm of the difference between measured and modeled signals. Not only the marginal pdf but also its statistics are calculated by numerical evaluation of integrals using the samples selected during importance sampling process of the genetic algorithm.  相似文献   

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Oedometer tests have been carried out on 70 undisturbed surficial clays (at approximately 250 mm below the mudline), mostly collected by free-fall corers from sites widely scattered throughout the deep-sea North Atlantic. Acoustic measurements were also made, initially on contiguous samples and ultimately on the same sample using a geophysically instrumented oedometer which also collected electrical resistivity data. Apart from those quiescent areas below the carbonate compensation depth, such as north of the West Indies where very fine clays exist, most of the samples are silty clays whose geotechnical-geophysical properties are dependent on the type of clay minerals present (and their ability to take in moisture), the sand-size fraction, and the quantity of carbonate present. Thus the pure clays have high compressibilities which decrease on the addition of coarse particles, while the converse is true for the acoustic parameters, these increasing with the sand fraction. Using the notion of the intrinsic compression line for all samples, and comparison to it of the measured compression curves, it is clear that, contrary to some previously held ideas, most deep-sea clays are normally consolidated; the addition of carbonate has the effect of creating an open, stronger sediment skeleton. Interestingly, where information is available, the variation with depth of a sample's acoustic velocity follows the void ratio pressure relationship of the compression curve. This allows the construction of an in-situ sediment compression curve using the in-situ geophysical observations.  相似文献   

17.
A set of 27 marine planktonic bacteria isolated from the polar regions was characterized by 16S rDNA sequencing and physiological and biochemical testing. More than half of these bacteria were positive for caseinase, gelatinase and 13-glucosidase, and could utilize glucose, maltose or malic acid as carbon source for cell growth. Twelve isolates expressed nitrate reduction activities. Except for one antarctic isolate BSwlO175 belonging to Actinobacteria phylum, these isolates were classified as γ-Proteobacteria, suggesting that γ-Proteobacteria dominated in cultivable marine bacterioplankton at both poles. Genus Pseudoalteromonas was the predominant group in the Chukchi Sea and the Bering Sea, and genus ShewaneUa dominated in cultivable bacterioplankton in the Prydz Bay. With sequence similarities above 97%, genus Psychrobacter was found at both poles. These 27 isolates were psychrotolerant, and significant 16S rDNA sequence similarities were found not only between arctic and antarctic marine bacteria ( 〉 99% ), but also between polar marine bacteria and bacteria from other aquatic environments ( ≥ 98.8% ), including temperate ocean, deep sea, pond and lake, suggesting that in the polar oceans less temperature-sensitive bacteria may be cosmopolitan and have a bipolar, even global, distribution at the species level.  相似文献   

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《海洋学报(英文版)》2014,(8):F0003-F0003
<正>Acta Oceanologica Sinica(AOS)is a comprehensive academic journal edited by the Editorial Committee of Acta Oceanologica Sinica and is designed to provide a forum for important research papers of the marine scientific community which reflect the information on a worldwide basis.The journal publishes scholarly papers on marine science and technology,including physics,chemistry,biology,  相似文献   

20.
This article presents a methodology developed to evaluate the instability of submarine slopes that extend over a large area. Special attention was paid to (1) the complex geometry (bathymetry) and the expanse of the slope, (2) the heterogeneity of the sediment, and (3) the distribution of the pore pressure. The safety factor was considered as a spatially varying quantity. The General Formulation (GLE, Fredlund and Krahn 1977), which fully satisfies equilibrium conditions, was used for evaluating the stability of the marine slope. The submarine slope failure, which occurred on 16 October 1979 during the construction of the new Nice airport, was studied in order to test the developed model. Geotechnical parameters were taken from experimental tests carried out by IFREMER on 19 cores extracted at different depths (from 27 m to 1300 m) (Cochonat, Bourillet, and Savoye, 1993; Mulder et al., 1994). Many scenarios were proposed in order to explain the cause of the Nice slope failure (Habib, 1994). In this article, two of those scenarios were tested. Simulation results are presented and discussed.  相似文献   

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