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Introduction After an earthquake occurs, the regional stress field will be adjusted, the stress state in the epicenter area is relatively weak and the loaded stress at the crustal medium in the surrounding area will relatively increase due to the energy release of the crustal rupture. When several small and medium earthquakes occur, one or several new stress-concentrated areas will appear due to the effect of every event. The comprehensive effect could be related to the time, space and magni-t… 相似文献
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以伤口愈合理论为基础的地震矩比成像算法,把每次大震的能量按照一定的原则在其周围分配,分析地震矩比R值随时空变化的特征,从而找出地震矩比R值与强震的对应关系.本文以中国地震目录分别作分区、震源深度分析和记录完整性分析,应用调整了参数的地震矩比成像算法,分析了1966年以来中国不同地区7.0级以上地震前,震中及其周围R值对应的异常演化过程,发现通过分析R值异常的时空变化,能够定量化确定未来大震的空间范围和时间迫近程度.结果显示,R值的时空变化能够定量反映大震发生的时空要素,而且R值的变化特征能够反映介质破裂的规律. 相似文献
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目前对强震迁移的研究多是集中在发现迁移现象方面,一些总结迁移规律的尝试则较为主观。本文认为,强震迁移如果具有规律性则其迁移指标应具有某种统计意义,并且对整体数据集的统计分析可避免传统迁移分析方法中的问题。通过对华北地区强震迁移的3个指标(迁移方位、迁移距离、迁移时间)的统计分析,表明研究地区存在较明显的优势迁移方向(西偏南—东偏北方向)、优势迁移距离(100km内以及300~700km范围)和优势迁移时间间隔(1年内以及3~4年内),不同震级范围以及不同活跃期内的迁移特征略有区别。 相似文献
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应用Winding-Number算法,快速确定中国地震地理位置名称(精确到县市区一级),查询过程具有准确性、高效性和误差小等特点.根据实际要求,将地名查询程序应用到F-E分区程序,可得到中国地震地理位置详细名称,顺应地震观测报告的出版要求,为地震基础科学研究提供便利. 相似文献
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Qin Chengzhi 《中国地震研究》2004,18(2):178-187
The migration of strong earthquakes is an important research topic because the migration phenomena reflect partly the seismic mechanism and involve the prediction of tendency of seismic activity. Research on migration of strong earthquakes has mostly focused on finding the phenomena. Some attempts on getting regularity were comparatively subjective. This paper suggests that there should be indices of migration in earthquake dataset and the indexes should have statistical meaning if there is regularity in the migration of strong earthquakes. In this study, three derivative attributes of migration, i.e., migration orientation, migration distance and migration time interval, were statistically analyzed. Results in the North China region show that the migration of strong earthquakes has statistical meaning. There is a dominant migration orientation (W by S to E by N), a dominant distance (≤100km and on the confines of 300~700km), and a dominant time interval (≤1a and on the confines of 3~4a). The results also show that the migration will differ slightly with different magnitude range or earthquake activity phase. 相似文献
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太阳活动与华北强震关系的分析 总被引:8,自引:2,他引:8
统计了太阳黑子活动11年周期和22年周期与华北地区(E108°~124°,N34°~42°)1815年~2002年187年6级以上强震的关系。结果显示,它们之间存在着较好的对应关系,华北地区的强震自1815年第4高潮以来,有84.6%的强震集中在太阳黑子11年变化周期的峰年段(±1年)和谷年段(±1年)内发生;其中尤以双周峰年段、单周谷年段较为集中;而单周下降时段却从未有过强震发生。目前正处于太阳黑子活动第23周单周峰年之后的下降时段,该统计区内强震发生的概率极低。 相似文献
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TheregionalcharacteristicsofseismicactivityinChinaZhen-LiangSHI,JianWANGandXiao-DongZHANG(时振梁,王健,张晓东)(InstituteofGeophysics,S... 相似文献
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Qin Chengzhi ) Zhou Chenghu ) Pei Tao ) Li Quanlin ) )State Key Laboratory of Resources Environmental Information System Institute of Geographic Sciences Natural Resources Research CAS Beijing China )Institute of Geophysics CEA Beijing China 《中国地震研究》2004,(2)
INTRODUCTIONMigrationofstrongearthquakesisaphenomenonwherebystrongearthquakestakeplaceinsuccessionincertainspatiallyregularpatterns (ZhangGuomin ,etal,2 0 0 1 ) .Seismologistsintheworldhavenoticedthisphenomenonforalongtime .Manyinstanceswerediscoveredinthepastdecades ,suchasthemigrationofstrongearthquakesalongtheNorthAnatolianFaultinTurkeysince1 939(Richter,1 958)andthemigrationofaseriesofearthquakes (MS ≥ 6 0 )aftertheMS7 9earthquakeinKwandong ,Japan (Utsu ,1 987) .Theexamplesofre… 相似文献
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Yang Zhu'en Wang Liangmou and Han ZhujunInstitute of Geology State Seismological Bureau Beijing China 《中国地震研究》1998,(1)
The tectonic conditions for strong earthquakes are complicated in various aspects.The genetic conditions for strong earthquakes were studied from the angle of various disciplines.About 20 conditions belonging to different fields have been described by predecessors.In this paper,the authors try to study and evaluate all the tectonic condition factors for strong earthquakes by the methods of fuzzy mathematics and hierarchical analysis.Taking the northern part of North China as an example,the authors make a comprehensive digital analysis of all the quantitative and semi-quantitative tectonic factors.The credibility values of all strong earthquakes with different magnitudes are given after statistical analysis and calculation.Forty-one fault zones in the study region are quantitatively analyzed,and the potential seismogenic fault zones,maximum magnitude,and risk of earthquake occurrence in the near future are assessed.The result of synthetic evaluation,based on all tectonic conditions of different categorie 相似文献
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中国大陆强震时空关联特征及应用 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
根据我国大陆强震成组活动的特征,以强震诱发和成组孕育理论为基础,对我国近30年以来的强震进行At值扫描,并对其作出了系统分析和R值评分,据此对我国地震大形势进行了一定程度的预测。 相似文献
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Introduction Northwestern Beijing covers the mountainous area from 114~116.5E and 39~41N, which is located at the joint place of the basically E-W trending Yanshan, the NE to NNE-trending Shanxi and the NW-trending ZhangjiakouPenglai active tectonic belts (regions). The long history of development and evolution in tectonics have formed the features of basin-range tectonics and multi-sets of fault systems with different ranges. Generally, they can be divided as NNE-NE, NNW-NW and appr… 相似文献
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Based on research result concerning the preparation and activity of strong earthquakes in groups and using the finite element method, a finite element dynamic model for Southwest China is established in this paper. Using this model, the stress adjustment in the whole of the Southwest China region in response to the stress change due to strong earthquake occurrence is studied. The preliminary result shows that many strong earthquakes occurred in areas where the stress heightened after the last strong earthquake. So, the finite element model set up in this paper is useful for judging the regions where strong earthquakes are likely to occur in future. 相似文献
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邢台、渤海、海城和唐山大地震震中区现今应变场的基本特征 总被引:3,自引:2,他引:3
根据近十多年来华北地区GPS网的观测资料,分别计算了邢台、渤海、海城和唐山4次Ms7级以上大地震震中区现今应变场的主应变参数。计算结果表明,由GPS观测得到的邢台、渤海、海城、唐山地震震中区的主压应变轴方向与震前震中及周围地区的主压应力轴方向是一致的或基本上是一致的,这说明震中区的局部应力场经过震后30~40年的调整,震中区局部的应力场已基本上与区域应力场趋于一致。当前,邢台地震区主压应变率很小为-0.352×10-9/yr,主张应变率较大为3.306×10-9/yr,张应变占绝对优势,地壳处于拉张状态;在渤海地震区,主压应变率为2.593×10-9/yr,比主张应变率(2.947×10-9/yr)略小一些,二者比较接近;在海城地震区,主压应变率为1.276×10-9/yr,小于主张应变率(2.940×10-9/yr),地壳以张应变为主;在唐山地震区,主压应变率为4.539×10-9/yr,大于主张应变率(3.477×10-9/yr),压应变占优势。 相似文献
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应用小波变换和最小二乘支持向量机(LSSVM)相结合的方法(小波-LSSVM)预测华南地震区年度最大地震。先用小波变换将地震序列分解成不同尺度水平(频率段)的子序列,再用LSSVM方法分别对各子序列建模预测,最后重构各子序列的预测结果并得到最终预测结果。经与周期图方法和LSSVM预测方法比较研究表明:模型输入量中包含地球自转速率变化的小波-LSSVM方法预测效果很好,可以用于华南地区年度最大地震预测研究,且地球自转变化与华南地震时间序列的低频部分(趋势)和高频部分(短期变化)之间存在很强的、互不相同的非线性关系。 相似文献
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InversionofsourceprocesandrelatedstudiesoftheTaiwanStraitearthquakeus-inggeneticalgorithmHAI-JUNWANG1)(王海军)BANG-HUILIN1)(林邦慧... 相似文献