冬季白令海海冰范围变化及其对大气响应机制研究

白令海是冬季北极海冰变化最明显的区域之一,该区域海冰的季节和长期变化与局地的气候、水文环境和生态系统密切相关,并会影响我国的天气气候过程。为了识别该区冬季海冰的长期变化,基于Hadley中心数据,采用滑动t检验和线性回归分析方法对白令海1960–2020年海冰范围的变化趋势及其空间差异进行分析,并分析了海冰变化对大气环流等大气强迫的影响。结果表明：白令海冬季海冰范围在1960–2020年显著减小,20世纪70年代和2000年前后白令海海冰范围存在显著的均值突变。其过程中伴随着阿留申低压中心低压加强、核心位置向白令海西部偏移以及对应风场分布的变化,这个过程存在一个近20 a周期的振荡。同时,太平洋年代际震荡的相位变化可以通过改变海平面气压来调节经向风,改变进入白令海的热平流,进而影响白令海冬季海冰范围。因此,阿留申低压系统和北太平洋年代际振荡对冬季白令海海冰的变化起到重要的调节作用。     

Preliminary analysis of distribution and variation of perennial monthly mean water masses in the Bohai Sea,the Huanghai Sea and the East China Sea

On the basis of perennial monthly mean temperature and salinity data, the classification of monthly water masses at the surface and the bottom in the Bohai Sea, the Huanghai Sea and the East China Sea, has been made by using the method of fuzzy cluster from the modified characteristic of water masses in the shallow water area. In this paper, the basic features, growth and decline patterns of water masses in relation to fishing grounds in the whole shelves of the Bohai Sea, the Huanghai Sea and the East China Sea are discussed with emphasis.     

渤海南部沿岸水运移及渤黄海水体交换的季节变化

针对渤海及附近海区的曲折岸线变化以及水文资料时空分布不均匀性的特点,使用四维客观分析LOESS方法得到逐月气候态盐度场。结果表明:渤海南部沿岸水扩展和运移受季风影响显著。冬季沿岸水向渤海湾和莱州湾堆积,形成沿山东半岛龙口海岸东向爬行的水舌,该水舌在蓬莱水域向东扩展;夏季沿岸水向渤海中部冲溢,特别是在黄河口附近,其核心区厚度可达8 m,可扩展到119°30′E处,同时莱州湾内的沿岸水向湾内西部收缩。冬季渤海海峡呈现显著"北进南出"水交换态势;夏季渤海海峡定常流方式的水交换特征不明显。     

渤海海冰季节演变的数值模拟

MM5数值产品作为大气强迫,利用冰-海洋耦合模式模拟2003～2004冬季渤海海冰演变过程。与海冰遥感、海洋站监测资料等实测资料相比,初冰日和终冰日和观测数据比较接近,模拟海冰各个发展阶段主要分布特征和MODIS遥感图像相似,但模拟的海冰厚度与辽东湾93平台、202平台的冰厚观测数据相比存在较大出入,说明该模型还有待改善。总体上看,冰-海洋耦合模式基本具备模拟渤海海冰季节演变过程的能力。     

Coastal sea level variability in the Bohai Bay: influence of atmospheric forcing and prediction

The sea level variabilities, especially the atmosphere-driven sea level variabilities, which are diff erent in studies on diverse areas and timescales, need to be further documented in the Bohai Bay. Coastal sea level data and coincident meteorological data collected hourly at two observation stations (E1 and E2) in the Bohai Bay, which is a typical semi-enclosed coastal sea in China, are analyzed for the period from 19 August 2014 to 18 November 2014. The sub-sampled low-pass (<0.8 cpd) sea levels (SLSLs) at E1 and E2 are almost the same as each other, while the winds are not. On the whole, SLSLs at E1 and E2 are dominantly influenced by the across-shore wind;in detail, the dominant wind orientation at E1 is 65° measured clockwise from north, and SLSL at E2 is significantly influenced by the sub-sampled wind (SW) at 55°. Regression of SLSL onto the corresponding SW in dominant orientation and the atmospheric pressure is used to predict SLSL, which make the frequency of occurrences when the predicted total sea level is within 0.15 m from the observed values increase to 66.03% and 58.08% at E1 and E2 from original 36.71% and 34.80% without using it, respectively. The results indicate that for the prediction of the total sea level variability in the coastal shallow waters, the SLSL influenced by the atmospheric forcing, including local wind and atmospheric pressure, can be predicted using the multivariable linear regression model.     

渤、黄、东海水温季节变化特征分析

利用"908"专项所获取的CTD观测资料,系统地阐述了渤、黄、东海温度的分布特征及季节变化。结果显示,冬季,水平方向上,水温分布呈现多舌状:外海温度多暖舌结构,近岸等温线基本平行于岸线,并出现多个指向南方的冷水舌,且暖流区与近岸冷水区间形成了较强的温度峰。夏季,三大海域底层均出现了各具特色的冷水团和冷水块,最为典型的有"渤中冷水"、"辽东湾冷水"、黄海冷水团、青岛冷水团和东海北部底层冷水。春、秋季水温分布呈现过渡季节的特征。春季,跃层开始出现,"渤中冷水"及黄海冷水团等冷水现象开始形成。进入秋季,跃层明显下沉,直至消失,水温分布逐渐呈现垂向均匀状况。同时,分析还表明,三大海域的水温分布存在明显的区域性差异。水温分布的年变幅从北向南、从近岸向外海递减。     

渤、黄海颗粒有机碳空间分布及交换通量的季节性变化

海洋是地球上最大的碳库,对大气中的CO2起着调控作用,在减缓全球变暖过程中起着重要作用。渤、黄海是典型的封闭-半封闭型陆架海,深入探讨渤、黄海颗粒有机碳（POC）变化特征和输运通量,对区域碳循环和海洋碳通量研究具有重要意义。通过2010年春秋两季、2016年夏季和2012年冬季渤、黄海的大面积实测数据,结合MODIS卫星遥感影像反演的叶绿素a（Chl-a）,探讨了渤、黄海POC空间分布、影响因素、碳库及交换通量的季节性差异。结果表明：春季POC浓度最高,平均浓度0.34 mg/L;夏季次之,平均浓度0.30 mg/L;秋季平均浓度0.27 mg/L;冬季最低,平均浓度0.17 mg/L。不同季节POC空间分布基本一致,整体呈现“近岸高、离岸低,表层低、底层高”的特点,高值区主要位于黄河三角洲、山东半岛东侧和苏北浅滩-长江口北附近水域,低值区主要集中在南黄海中部深水区。不同季节影响POC分布的因素不同,春、秋两季受径流输入、沉积物再悬浮和浮游植物共同影响,夏季主要受控于浮游植物初级生产,沉积物再悬浮是影响冬季POC分布的主要原因。渤、黄海POC碳库呈明显的季节性变化,春季碳库最高,渤海与黄海分别为1.32×106 t和6.71×106 t;冬季碳库最低,渤海与黄海分别为7.21×105 t和3.39×106 t。约有6.55×105 t/a POC通过渤海海峡由渤海进入黄海,POC输运主要集中在夏季。     

渤海及黄海北部冰情长期变化趋势分析

统计分析上世纪50年代—2010年渤海及黄海北部海冰资料,对其年代际变化特征进行分析。上世纪50年代—90年代冰情总体呈缓解的趋势,2000年以来冰情略有加重。研究发现太阳活动与渤海及黄海北部冰情变化关系密切,太阳活动可能是渤海及黄海北部冰情长期变化重要影响因素。如果太阳黑子的周期长度比上一个周期长,那么周期内冰情较上一个周期严重。反之亦然。     

基于逐旬滚动主成分回归分析的渤海海冰预测方法研究

利用1960—2013年渤海冰情等级资料和500 h Pa、1000 h Pa NCEP高度场再分析格点资料,采用滑动平均、相关分析、主成分分析等统计方法,找出了与渤海冰情密切相关的大气环流因子,探讨了采用主成分分析对渤海冰情进行定性、定量预测方法。结果表明:在主成分得分散点图上不同冰情年份的落区有一定的规律,根据年份的落点位置可以对冰情等级做出定性预估;采用主成分回归(PCR)方法建立的定量预测模型,具有较好的历史拟合。对2005—2014年的独立样本试报试验,相关系数为0.76,通过了α=0.01的显著性检验。     

渤海浮游植物生物量季节变化的模拟研究

在近海生态系统中,浮游植物生物量的季节变化仍然缺乏全面的机制解释。为研究渤海生态系统中浮游植物生物量季节变化的影响机制,建立了1个包括营养盐(无机氮)、浮游植物、浮游动物、底碎屑4种生物变量的箱式模型,模拟了渤海1983年浮游植物生物量的季节变化,再现了浮游植物生物量一年内的双峰分布。通过对模型参数敏感性的定量和定性分析,讨论了模型对不同生物参数的敏感性,发现模型对浮游植物最大生长率、浮游植物最大死亡率、浮游植物吸收营养盐的半饱和系数最敏感。通过一系列数值试验,进一步讨论了理化因子对渤海浮游植物生物量季节变化的影响,发现理化因子的改变不仅影响浮游植物生物量的大小,也决定了其季节变化的特征。     

渤海冬季海冰反照率变化

渤海海冰对于大尺度气候变化比较敏感,基于CLARA-A1-SAL数据分析了1992~2008年冬季（12、1、2月）渤海海冰区域反照率的时空变化,同时分析了海冰密集度、海冰外延线面积和海水表面温度的变化与海冰反照率的相互关系。渤海海冰区域反照率随时间波动变化且变化趋势不明显,趋势线斜率仅为0.0388%。年际变化在9.93%~14.5%之间,平均值为11.79%。海冰反照率在1999,2000和2005等重冰年的值明显高于其他年份,在1994,1998,2001和2006等轻冰年的值较低。从单个月份反照率来看,12月海冰反照率的增加趋势（趋势线斜率0.0988%）明显高于1月和2月,1月的海冰反照率平均值（12.9%）高于另外两个月份。海冰反照率和海冰密集度呈明显的正相关关系;和海表面温度呈负相关关系（显著性水平90%）。     

渤海海冰微波散射特性研究

Microwave remote sensing has become the primary means for sea-ice research, and has been supported by a great deal of field experiments and theoretical studies regarding sea-ice microwave scattering. However, these studies have been barely carried in the Bohai Sea. The sea-ice microwave scattering mechanism was first developed for the thin sea ice with slight roughness in the Bohai Sea in the winter of 2012, and included the backscattering coefficients which were measured on the different conditions of three bands(L, C and X), two polarizations(HH and VV), and incident angles of 20° to 60°, using a ground-based scatterometer and the synchronous physical parameters of the sea-ice temperature, density, thickness, salinity, and so on. The theoretical model of the sea-ice electromagnetic scattering is obtained based on these physical parameters. The research regarding the sea-ice microwave scattering mechanism is carried out through two means, which includes the comparison between the field microwave scattering data and the simulation results of the theoretical model, as well as the feature analysis of the four components of the sea-ice electromagnetic scattering. It is revealed that the sea-ice microwave scattering data and the theoretical simulation results vary in the same trend with the incident angles. Also, there is a visible variant in the sensitivity of every component to the different bands.For example, the C and X bands are sensitive to the top surface, the X band is sensitive to the scatterers, and the L and C bands are sensitive to the bottom surface, and so on. It is suggested that the features of the sea-ice surfaces and scatterers can be retrieved by the further research in the future. This experiment can provide an experimental and theoretical foundation for research regarding the sea-ice microwave scattering characteristics in the Bohai Sea.     

Deviation of mean sea level from the mean geoid in the transition area between the North Sea and the Baltic Sea

The mean sea level along the coasts of the Skagerrak, the Kattegat, and the Danish Straits—i.e., the transition area between the North Sea and the Baltic Sea—has been computed geodetically. The basis consists of mean sea level data from Denmark, Norway, and Sweden in various more or less inappropriate height systems. These are transformed and unified into a common height system relevant for oceanographic purposes to show the deviation of the mean sea level (1960) from the mean geoid, with Normaal Amsterdams Peil (NAP) as zero. The geodetically determined mean sea surface is compared with oceanographic model results for parts of the area. Among other findings, the outflow of low‐salinity water from the Baltic Sea, as well as its separation from high‐salinity North Sea water along the Kattegat‐Skagerrak front are clearly revealed.     

渤海、黄海沿岸几种经济贝类及其生存环境中的异养细菌

报道渤海、黄海6个重点沿岸海域(吕四、青岛、北戴河、盘锦、大连、庄河)海水和沉积物及经济贝类样品中的异养细菌总数检测结果.结果表明,整个渤海、黄海沿岸海域经济贝类体内异养细菌总数的变化范围为2.0×103～1.6×106cfu/g湿重,平均值为2.7×105cfu/g湿重,其中异养细菌总数最高的样品是在吕四沿岸3号站采集的四角蛤蜊(1.6×106cfu/g湿重),其次分别在北戴河沿岸2号站采集的杂色蛤(1.2×106cfu/g湿重)和毛蚶(1.1×106cfu/g湿重),而异养细菌总数最低样品是在青岛沿岸采集的镜蛤(2.0×103cfu/g湿重)和在大连沿岸采集的太平洋牡蛎、紫贻贝和皱纹盘鲍(≤5.0×103cfu/g湿重).该海区表层海水中异养细菌总数变化范围为2.5×105～1.0×108cfu/dm3,全海域平均值为1.2×107cfu/dm3.表层沉积物中异养细菌数量变化范围为2.8×103～7.5×105cfu/g干重,全海域平均值为1.3×105cfu/g干重.根据上述结果和欧共体委员会(93/51/EEC)指令要求,对各海区贝类卫生质量进行了初步评价.这在国内尚属首次.     

渤海和北极海冰组构及晶体结构特征分析

渤海一年冰的组构和晶体结构表现出的冰的非连续生长速率使得冰层底部具有气泡含量不同的许多分层;静水生长的灰冰具有典型的粒状冰和柱状冰;融化-重冻结冰和重叠冰具有特定的晶体结构.位于北冰洋72°24.037'N,153°33.994'W,长2.2m的冰心样为三年冰,并且发现其内有一种新的晶体类型,定义为碎屑凝聚冰.由位于北冰洋74°58.614'N,160°31.830'W,长4.86m的冰心样的晶体结构分析发现它过去为冰脊,后经融化-冻结改造形成冰丘的证据.     

渤海硝酸盐氮和亚硝酸盐氮季节循环分析

根据1985－1987年期间19个月份的断面调查资料分析，莱州湾、渤海湾是硝酸盐氮浓度较高的海域，辽东湾、渤海湾是亚硝酸盐氮浓度较高的海域。硝酸盐氮浓度冬季最高，夏季最低；亚硝酸盐氮浓度秋季最高，春季最低。硝酸盐氮浓度的季节在莱州湾、渤海湾海域最大；亚硝酸盐氮浓度的季节变化在辽东湾最大。在分析海域，秋季硝酸盐氮浓度表、底层差异最大；夏季平均亚硝酸盐氮浓度表、底层差异最大。海洋生物化学过程是引起渤海硝酸盐氮和亚硝酸盐氮浓度季节变化的主要原因。渤海硝酸盐氮和亚硝酸盐氮基本维持着准平衡态季节循环，底层硝酸盐氮和亚硝酸盐氮准平衡态季节循环比较稳定，表层的季节循环容易受到其他因素的影响发生变异。     

Research on the spectral analysis and test method of period signals in monthly mean sea level

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Seasonal Cycle Analysis of the Nitrate Nitrogen and Nitrite Nitrogen in the Bohai Sea

During 1985～1987,the concentration of nitrate nitrogen was higher in the Laizhou Bay and the Bohai Bay while that of nitrite nitrogen was higher in the Liaodong Bay and the Bohai Bay,The concentration of nitrate nitrogen was highest in winter and lowest in summer while that of nitrite nitrogen was highest in autumn and lowest in spring .the seasonal variation of the concentration of nitrate nitrogen was maximum in the Laizhou Bay and the Bohai Bay while that of the concentration of nitrite nitrogen was maximum in the Liaodong Bay.There was a great difference in the concentration of nitrate nitrogen between the surface and the bottom in autumn and in the concentration of nitrite nitrogen between the surface and the bottom in summer.The main reason for the seasonal variations of the concentration of nitrate nitrogen and nitrite nitrogen was the marine biochemical process.The nitrate nitrogen and nitrite nitrogen in the Bohai Sea basically maintained a quasi-equilibrium state seasonal cycle,The quesi-equilibrium state seasonal cycle of nitrate nitrogen and nitrite nitrogen at the bottom was stable while that at the surface was liable to variations caused by other factors.     

Exchange fluxes of nutrients between sediment and sea water in the Bohai Sea

IrocrIowThere is a linkage in shallow marine systerns between sea-noor biOgaxhemical pmeessesand water column pnductivity (Bereson et al., l998). Benthic fluxes provide a significantsource of nutrients to the overlying water tO supPOrt primary pnduction and play a role in de-.creasing oxygen concentrations (van et al., l999; Cowan and Boynton, l996; Berelson etal., 1998; Friedl et al., l998; Zabel et al., l998). TherefOre, it is imPOrtant to define theediment di8genetic pathways for the …