中国大陆及周缘地震目录完整性统计分析

地震目录资料是进行地震预测、地震危险性分析、地震活动性研究等地震学研究的基础资料.对地震目录资料的完整性可靠性分析是地震学研究的基础工作之一.近几十年来我国积累的大量的仪器地震记录,历史地震也在不断更新,为地震活动性研究提供了更为丰富的样本,因此有必要对新的地震目录进行完整性分析.本文采用了新的统计方法对我国仪器记录地震目录和历史破坏性地震目录进行了完整性分析.结果表明,对于仪器记录地震目录（M≥3.0）我国东部地区1975年后基本完整,西部地区1980年后基本完整.对于历史地震目录（M≥5.0）,东部地区1500年后基本完整,西部地区1950年后基本完整.考虑到华北地震区历史破坏性地震（M≥4³/₄）活动的时间非平稳性,我们采用突变点分析法研究了华北地震区历史破坏性地震目录的时间特征,得到了华北地震区地震活动周期性变化的突变点位置,并揭示了华北地震区历史破坏性地震目录完整起始时间约为公元1500年前后.     

基于网络的数字地震台网数据处理系统设计

基于网络的数字地震台网数据处理系统(EDSP_NET)是根据区域数字地震台网在宽频带数据处理、 数据共享方面的需求开发的。 EDSP_NET运行于Windows平台, 用于汇集、 处理来自数字地震台站的波形数据, 实现台网中心间的数据共享, 监视台站和台网中心处理系统的运行状态。 详细介绍了系统结构和功能, 并简要介绍了系统的三个应用模式。     

On a homogeneous representation of seismic history in large regions

The possibility to obtain a more complete and unbiased long-term history of seismic shakings over large territories than is explicitly reported from inhabited localities is discussed in the paper. An approach proposed for this purpose consists in complementing the spatial distribution of the macroseismic effect of earthquakes by calculated intensities at localities where information on felt shakings is absent. The calculated intensity is obtained on the basis of data on the epicentral intensity and location of epicenters provided by earthquake catalogs. This approach is applied to the analysis of the history of seismic shaking in Spain. The calculated intensities are shown to be comparable in accuracy with the ordinary practice of intensity determinations at national seismological centers.     

GIS as a Tool for Seismological Data Processing

—?A computerized application of an integrated seismological GIS model is presented. An object oriented approach of the GIS topology is introduced and the special functions and features of this system are described. A network topology was selected to simulate the network characteristics of seismological data management and analysis. Each seismological entity is considered as a graphical data object, which is associated to other objects by predefined relationships. The graphical user interface introduced by GIS enables to handle seismological software routines and data in a more intuitive way. Examples of interactive processing of seismic waveforms for detecting, locating and characterizing seismic events using GIS visualization capabilities are presented. The benefits of this system during a passive seismic survey in the framework of the CTBT are highlighted.     

Analysis of Italian Earthquake catalogs in the context of intermediate-term prediction problem

We perform a comparative analysis of regional and global earthquake catalogs currently available for the territory of Italy. We consider: (a) instrumental seismic catalogs provided by the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Roma (INGV) for earthquake forecasting experiment in Italy within the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP); (b) Global Hypocenters’ Data provided by the USGS/NEIC, which is currently used in the real-time earthquake prediction experiment by CN and M8S algorithms in Italy, and (c) seismological Bulletin provided by the International Seismological Centre (ISC). We discuss advantages and shortcomings of these catalogs in the context of intermediate-term middle-range earthquake prediction problem in Italy, including the possibility of the catalog’s combined or integrated use. Magnitude errors in the catalog can distort statistics of success-to-failure scoring and eventually falsify testing results. Therefore, the analysis of systematic and random errors in magnitude presented in Appendixes can be of significance in its own right.     

On the Problem of Deep Earthquakes in Crimea–Black Sea Region

It is a common opinion that only crustal earthquakes can occur in the Crimea–Black Sea region. Since the existence of deep earthquakes in the Crimea–Black Sea region is extremely important for the construction of a geodynamic model for this region, an attempt is made to verify the validity of this widespread view. To do this, the coordinates of all earthquakes recorded by the stations of the Crimean seismological network are reinterpreted with an algorithm developed by one of the authors. The data published in the seismological catalogs and bulletins of the Crimea–Black Sea region for 1970–2012 are used for the analysis. To refine the coordinates of hypocenters of earthquakes in the Crimea–Black Sea region, in addition to the data from stations of the Crimean seismological network, information from seismic stations located around the Black Sea coast are used. In total, the data from 61 seismic stations were used to determine the hypocenter coordinates. The used earthquake catalogs for 1970–2012 contain information on ~2140 events with magnitudes from–1.5 to 5.5. The bulletins provide information on the arrival times of P- and S-waves at seismic stations for 1988 events recorded by three or more stations. The principal innovation of this study is the use of the original author’s hypocenter determination algorithm, which minimizes the functional of distances between the points (X, Y, H) and (x, y, h) corresponding to the theoretical and observed seismic wave travel times from the earthquake source to the recording stations. The determination of the coordinates of earthquake hypocenters is much more stable in this case than the usual minimization of the residual functional for the arrival time of an earthquake wave at a station (the difference between the theoretical and observed values). Since determination of the hypocenter coordinates can be influenced by the chosen velocity column beneath each station, special attention is focused on collecting information on velocity profiles. To evaluate the influence of the upper mantle on the results of calculating the velocity model, two different low-velocity and high-velocity models are used; the results are compared with each other. Both velocity models are set to a depth of 640 km, which is fundamentally important in determining hypocenters for deep earthquakes. Studies of the Crimea–Black Sea region have revealed more than 70 earthquakes with a source depth of more than 60 km. The adequacy of the obtained depth values is confirmed by the results of comparing the initial experimental data from the bulletins with the theoretical travel-time curves for earthquake sources with depths of 50 and 200 km. The sources of deep earthquakes found in the Crimea–Black Sea region significantly change our understanding of the structure and geotectonics of this region.     

川滇地震科学实验场地震目录最小完整性震级分析

地震目录是地震监测预报、地震活动性等研究的重要资料.川滇地震科学实验场地区近几十年来积累了大量的地震记录,为实验场的地震科学研究提供了宝贵的数据.地震台网密度和仪器观测精度是逐步提高的,不同时期地震目录的完整性存在差异,因此进行现代仪器观测记录的地震目录最小完整性震级（M_C,Magnitude of Completeness）分析,对正确研究和认识该地区地震活动规律及其影响因素等具有重要意义.本文采用震级—序号方法、最大曲率法（MAXC,Maximum Curvature）和拟合度检测法（GFT,Goodness-of-Fit Test）分析了川滇地震科学实验场地区1970—2018年地震目录的最小完整性震级M_C值,得到了实验场地区及其内部各地震区（带）M_C值的时间演化特征和空间分布特征.结果表明,实验场地区及其内部各地震区（带）M_C值变化趋势大致为1970—1986年M_L2.0~2.6,1987—1999年M_L2.5~2.6,2000—2008年后M_L1.4~2.1,2009—2018年M_L1.2~1.9;实验场地区M_C值的空间分布大致呈现东北部和西南部较低、西北部和东南部较高的特征,其中云南最南端的澜沧—耿马区和思普区、四川西北部的理塘—木里区以及川藏交界处的金沙江带M_C值普遍较高,云南北部和四川南部的松潘—龙门山带、安宁河带、元谋区、楚雄—建水带和大理—丽江—盐源区M_C值普遍较低;强震会使M_C值出现突然升高、之后逐渐恢复的现象,其中M_C值升高程度与震级有一定相关性,并且强震导致的M_C值升高是M_C值空间和时间分布不均匀的原因之一.     

Estimation of efficiency of the modern and planning optimal network of seismic stations within the Vietnam territory

Efficiency of the modern network of seismological observations in Vietnam is estimated, and an optimal design of planning network, consisted of 14 seismic stations is proposed. At the same sensitivity of network, but with a less number of stations, the new network would enable to determine hypocenter parameters in a more precise at a more uniform distribution of errating band within observation area.     

Changes in earthquake energy class as a factor affecting the parameters of the recurrence relation: The Baikal region

The numerical modeling of actually observed events contained in the Baikal earthquake catalog allowed the production of synthetic catalogs. These catalogs reflect real situations that can give rise to heterogeneities in earthquake catalogs acquired by seismological monitoring. For each of the resulting 65 catalogs we calculated the slope γ and seismic activity (so-called in Russian; it is the seismicity rate or the constant term in the frequency-size relation) A ₁₀ in the recurrence relation. We also investigated the effects of changes in estimates of earthquake energy class on the parameters of the recurrence relation. It was shown that the slope γ is not very sensitive, but that the seismic activity A ₁₀ is sensitive, to changes in earthquake energy class and can be used to test an earthquake catalog for heterogeneity. Formulas were derived to relate the parameters of recurrence relations and the scaling factors of two energy scales, which can yield recurrence parameters for one of the scales, provided we know the ratio of the respective scaling factors and the recurrence parameters based on the other scale.     

网络存储技术在地震数据存储中的应用

随着地震观测和地震科学研究水平的提高,大量宝贵的地震科学数据不断产出.安全有效地存储这些海量地震数据,是目前迫切需要解决的问题.本文简要介绍了网络存储技术的发展和应用,并通过分析地震数据对存储系统的要求,探讨了网络存储技术在地震数据存储中的应用.     

An approach to digitize analog form of accelerograms recorded at Tarbela—Pakistan

Pakistan has a long history of seismological activity. The devastation caused by Kashmir earthquake has been administered all over the world. In Pakistan first seismological network, consisting of analog accelerograms and seismographs, was setup in early 1969 at Tarbela, where the largest water reservoir of the country is located. An approach to convert analog ground motion records into digital form is explained using a simple technique. The digitized data was compared with the original analog record and found in good agreement. The data has been used to plot response spectra. The digitized data will be available for seismic response analysis of structures and seismic risk analysis of the region.     

基于蒙特卡洛方法的地震目录模拟及相符性检验——以汾渭地震带为例

人工地震目录模拟是改进现有地震目录不完备性、弥补大地震记录稀缺,以及完善地震学相关研究的有效途径之一。本文基于地震活动的泊松分布模型、古登堡-里克特震级-频度关系,利用能较逼真描述具有随机性质事物特点及物理实验过程的蒙特卡洛方法,模拟汾渭地震带未来30、50、100年等不同时长的地震目录,并对其进行统计检验。分析表明,模拟地震目录符合设定的地震活动性参数和泊松分布假设特征。依据模拟地震目录,对未来该区域地震趋势进行了分析,以期为地震危险性分析提供参考。     

香港数字化地震监测台网

香港天文台于１９９７年建立了一套设有８个短周期地震台站的地震监测网络。台网运用数字化及实时数据传送和处理等技术,增强地震数据接收及分析的效能和准确性。本文介绍了地震台站的选址和监测系统的特性与功能。     

Effects of magnitude accuracy and complete－ness data on seismic hazard parameters

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Analysis of the spatial distribution between successive earthquakes occurred in various regions in the world

The earthquake spatial distribution is being studied, using earthquake catalogs from different seismic regions (California, Canada, Central Asia, Greece, and Japan). The quality of the available catalogs, taking into account the completeness of the magnitude, is examined. Based on the analysis of the catalogs, it was determined that the probability densities of the inter-event distance distribution collapse into single distribution when the data is rescaled. The collapse of the data provides a clear illustration of earthquake-occurrence self-similarity in space.     

基于IPv6的地震观测网络模型探讨

地震台站的数据共享和安全访问是基于IPv4的地震观测网络系统急需解决的关键技术问题,由于IPv4的地址局限,缺乏安全认证和数据加密措施,现有的地震观测网络系统建立在私有IP地址的行业局域网,只能实现基于台网级的数据共享访问。下一代互联网IPv6协议取代IPv4是必然趋势,本研究以实现台站级数据访问为目标,构建在IPv6网络环境下地震观测网络系统的安全组网模型,同时针对现有观测系统的特点,探讨IPv4地震观测系统过渡到IPv6的系统模型,为下一步IPv6技术在地震行业的推广应用打下基础。     

The system of detailed seismological observations in Kamchatka in 2011

This paper presents the main results from the development of the detailed seismological observation system in Kamchatka and the information on the system as of 2011. We describe the networks of seismological stations, the systems for the acquisition, storage, and processing of seismological observations and their technical, methodological, and software support. We discuss the basic characteristics of the recording channels and the system as a whole. We present the information resources of the Kamchatka seismological data bank that provide for basic research in earth sciences. In 2011, the system of seismological observation in Kamchatka was a specialized network for acquisition (recording), storage, transmission, and processing of seismic and geophysical data that provides support for the effective monitoring of seismic and volcanic activities, as well as tsunami warning.     

Estimating the Efficiency of the New Seismic Network in Vietnam

Earthquakes that occur on the territory of Vietnam and especially in the South China Sea are a major hazard to the Vietnam population and infrastructure because of possible destruction and tsunamis, like those took place there in earlier times according to geological data. Therefore, in the early 2000s, the government of Vietnam decided to modernize and expand the network of seismological observations on the territory of the republic. First, it was planned to modernize the seismic network in Vietnam with 20 broadband seismic stations and then increase that number to 30. This raised the problem of the optimal arrangement of these stations in the country to predict earthquakes and study the structure of the crust and upper mantle of Vietnam. The map of Vietnam clearly shows the impossibility of constructing a single optimal observation network to locate earthquake hypocenters over the entire territory, because it is strongly elongated from north to south. Any seismological observation network for such an entire territory will not be optimal. In this case, we can speak about improving local observation networks for some areas, such as the north, center, and south of the country. This work estimates the efficiency (distribution of the minimum representative magnitudes and the error in determining the coordinates of earthquake hypocenters) for the new network of seismological observations in Vietnam, consisting of 30 stations. To improve the quality of the network in central and southern Vietnam, six more seismic stations are proposed. Such a network will allow more accurate determination of the hypocenter parameters in central and southern Vietnam. During the construction of the optimal network configuration, one of the main problems was the choice of an effective network radius. The formula for determining the optimal radius in the seismic observation network is obtained for the case of a uniform distribution of hypocenters in a certain cylindrical region based on the radius of the base and height of this cylinder. In this work, it follows from the formula that the radius of the optimal network should be no less than the radius of the hypocentral region. In our case, the choice of network radius is confined within the state borders and coastline of Vietnam. These restrictions are taken into account in the calculations to optimize the number of seismic stations and the configuration of their location in the country.     

Rationale for applying short-period sensors with extended frequency response for recording strong earthquakes

The article proves the application of short-period sensors with extended frequency response as a reasonable alternative to broadband seismometers. We assessed uncertainties between magnitudes determined by short-period and broadband sensor data for earthquakes with M > 6 recorded at the Mikhnevo geophysical observatory in 2014. Data analysis consisted of body wave magnitude and surface wave magnitude estimates by standard seismological methods. Magnitude errors corresponded to the magnitude uncertainties in seismological catalogs.