中国有机碳气溶胶时空分布与辐射强迫的模拟研究

利用区域气候模式RegCM3模拟研究2000年我国有机碳气溶胶的时空分布特征和辐射效应,得出以下结论:有机碳气溶胶主要分布在我国黄河以南、青藏高原以东的广大区域,且柱含量由南向北递减;柱含量最大值可达3 mg/m2以上,出现在华南、中南、云贵、四川和西藏东南部。另外,柱含量分布有着明显的季节性,冬季最大,春季次之,夏季最小。在此基础上,本文还对有机碳气溶胶的柱含量时空分布变化的原因进行了分析。有机碳气溶胶在大气顶和地表均产生负的辐射强迫,其分布特征与柱含量分布特征基本一致,而且大气顶和地表的辐射强迫都具有明显的季节变化。模拟的大气顶辐射强迫在-0.1～-0.5 W/m2之间,与IPCC估计的有机碳气溶胶的辐射强迫数值-0.41 W/m2相当,说明区域气候模式RegCM3中有关有机碳气溶胶的参数化方案是比较合理的。     

利用ERBE资料分析中国地区云辐射强迫的时空变化

利用１９８５￣１９８８年４年的ＥＲＢＥ资料,分析和揭示了我国大陆地区云辐射强迫变化的一些基本事实。结果发现：云强迫存在很大的区域差异和较强的季节变化,其中川黔地区是全国最大的云强迫负值区,其次是长江中下游地区和华北地区青藏高原为正、负值的过渡区,高原北侧的西北干旱区冬季为较弱的云强迫正值区。此外,云强迫还具有一定的年际变化。     

硫酸盐直接辐射强迫的在线与固定转化率模拟方法的对比研究

以2000年1、4、7、10月为例，利用区域气候模式，比较了模拟硫酸盐气溶胶分布和直接辐射强迫的在线模拟方法与固定SO2到硫酸盐转化率方法，并与全球模式的结果进行了对比检验。结果表明：在线模拟得到的主要结果与全球平均结果符合得很好，但固定转化率方法存在明显偏差；两种方法硫酸盐柱含量的差异在-4-12mg／m^2范围内，占在线模拟柱含量的42％以上，7月份差异最显著，1月份差异最小；大气顶辐射强迫差异在-1.8-0．4W／m^2之间，此差别占在线辐射强迫的26％以上；采用36．7％的固定转化率对冬季过大、夏季偏小，只有春秋季的江南部分地区适合。由于固定转化率方法不能反映温度、辐射、水汽、云水等气象要素的季节性变化对硫酸盐生成率的影响，因而对硫酸盐含量和分布的季节变化模拟存在偏差，这是导致上述差异的重要原因。     

THE RADIATIVE EFFECTS OF ANTHROPOGENIC AEROSOLS OVER CHINA AND THEIR SENSITIVITY TO SOURCE EMISSION

In this paper,the RIEMS 2.0 model,source emission in 2006 and 2010 are used to simulate the distributions and radiative effects of different anthropogenic aerosols over China.The comparison between the results forced by source emissions in 2006 and 2010 also reveals the sensitivity of the radiative effects to source emission.The results are shown as follows:(1) Compared with those in 2006,the annual average surface concentration of sulfate in 2010 decreased over central and eastern China with a range of-5 to 0 μg/m~3;the decrease of annual average aerosol optical depth of sulfate over East China varied from 0.04 to 0.08;the annual average surface concentrations of BC,OC and nitrate increased over central and eastern China with maximums of 10.90,11.52 and 12.50μg/m~3,respectively;the annual aerosol optical depths of BC,OC and nitrate increased over some areas of East China with extremes of 0.006,0.007 and 0.008,respectively.(2)For the regional average results in 2010,the radiative forcings of sulfate,BC,OC,nitrate and their total net radiative forcing at the top of the atmosphere over central and eastern China were-0.64,0.29,-0.41,-0.33 and-1.1 W/m~2,respectively.Compared with those in 2006,the radiative forcings of BC and OC in 2010 were both enhanced,while that of sulfate and the net radiative forcing were both weakened over East China mostly.(3)The reduction of the cooling effect of sulfate in 2010 produced a warmer surface air temperature over central and eastern China;the maximum value was 0.25 K.The cooling effect of nitrate was also slightly weakened.The warming effect of BC was enhanced over most of the areas in China,while the cooling effect of OC was enhanced over the similar area,particularly the area between Yangtze and Huanghe Rivers.The net radiative effect of the four anthropogenic aerosols generated the annual average reduction and the maximum reduction were-0.096 and-0.285 K,respectively,for the surface temperature in 2006,while in 2010 they were-0.063 and-0.256 K,respectively.In summary,the change in source emission lowered the cooling effect of anthropogenic aerosols,mainly because of the enhanced warming effect of BC and weakened cooling effect of scattering aerosols.     

硫酸盐气溶胶直接辐射效应在线与离线模拟方法的比较

利用区域气候模式RegCM 2与大气化学模式连接的模拟系统 ,比较了硫酸盐气溶胶辐射强迫的在线、离线模拟方法的硫酸盐柱含量、大气顶直接辐射强迫及地表温度响应。发现 :在线与离线模拟方法得到的硫酸盐柱含量、有无反馈大气顶直接辐射强迫和地表温度响应在许多地区有很大差异 ,这种差异在较小区域平均的尺度上更显著 ,在全区域平均尺度上也较为明显 ,是不能被忽略的 ;结果显示从硫酸盐含量到辐射强迫和地表温度响应逐渐加大的差异 ,说明硫酸盐气溶胶的辐射强迫与模拟方法有关 ,显示出较大的不确定性。     

THE IMPACT OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON THE RADIATIVE PROPERTY AND RADIATIVE FORCING OF SULFATE AEROSOL

With the data of complex refractive index of sulfate aerosol,the radiative properties of theaerosol under 8 relative humidity conditions are calculated in this paper.By using the concentrationdistribution from two CTM models and LASG GOALS/AGCM,the radiative forcing due tohygroscopic sulfate aerosol is simulated.The results show that:(1)With the increase of relativehumidity,the mass extinction coefficiency factor decreases in the shortwave spectrum;singlescattering albedo keeps unchanged except for a little increase in longwave spectrum,andasymmetry factor increases in whole spectrum.(2)Larger differences occur in radiative forcingsimulated by using two CTM data,and the global mean forcing is—0.268 and—0.816 W/m~2,respectively.(3)When the impact of relative humidity on radiative property is taken into account,the distribution pattern of radiative forcing due to the wet particles is very similar to that of drysulfate,but the forcing value decreases by 60%.     

利用MODIS-GOCART气溶胶资料研究中国东部地区气溶胶直接辐射强迫

利用MODIS-GOCART同化的2001年逐月气溶胶光学厚度资料,在修改区域气候模式RegCM2辐射方案的基础上,连续积分5年获得平均的中国东部地区气溶胶短波和长波直接辐射效应,并通过数值试验研究了气溶胶垂直分布对辐射强迫及其气候响应的影响。结果表明：气溶胶的短波辐射效应能冷却地表、加热大气;长波辐射效应能加热地表、冷却大气;大气顶净辐射强迫年平均为-4．1W／m^2;辐射强迫绝对值在春季最大,夏季次之,冬季最小;模拟区域中最大辐射强迫值主要位于华北、华南地区及四川盆地;气溶胶垂直分布是影响气溶胶辐射强迫的重要因素。总体上气溶胶层越靠近地面,大气顶辐射强迫绝对值越大,地表辐射强迫绝对值越小,大气顶辐射强迫对垂直分布较敏感;气候系统的反馈作用会放大气溶胶垂直分布对辐射气候效应的影响。     

THE IMPACT OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON THE RADIATIVE PROPERTY AND RADIATIVE FORCING OF SULFATE AEROSOL*

With the data of complex refractive index of sulfate aerosol,the radiative properties of the aerosol under 8 relative humidity conditions are calculated in this paper.By using the concentration distribution from two CTM models and LASG GOALS/AGCM,the radiative forcing due to hygroscopic sulfate aerosol is simulated.The results show that:(1)With the increase of relative humidity,the mass extinction coefficiency factor decreases in the shortwave spectrum;single scattering albedo keeps unchanged except for a little increase in longwave spectrum,and asymmetry factor increases in whole spectrum.(2)Larger differences occur in radiative forcingsimulated by using two CTM data,and the global mean forcing is -0.268 and -0.816 W/m²,respectively.(3)When the impact of relative humidity on radiative property is taken into account,the distribution pattern of radiative forcing due to the wet particles is very similar to that of dry sulfate,but the forcing value decreases by 60%.     

气溶胶辐射特性的观测研究

利用一个简化的辐射平衡模式,讨论了气溶胶直接辐射强迫和气溶胶辐射特性以及与地面反射率之间的关系。模式分析表明,增加气溶胶层以后,地气系统对太阳辐射的反射率可能增大,也可能减少,取决于气溶胶的单散射反射率~ω0、不对称度因子g与地面反射率αg之间的配置,但与气溶胶光学厚度δ没有直接的关系。气溶胶光学厚度值仅和反射率变化的幅度成正比。从辐射平衡模式的结果可知,为了定量地研究气溶胶直接辐射强迫作用,需要有系统的有关气溶胶辐射特性的观测资料。从地面和空间对中国地区气溶胶的辐射特性开展了观测研究,包括从地面用太阳光度计测量气溶胶的光学厚度、用浊度计测量气溶胶的散射系数、黑碳仪测量气溶胶的吸收系数,并且利用MODIS资料反演气溶胶的光学厚度。地面太阳光度计观测的气溶胶光学厚度用于检验卫星遥感的气溶胶光学厚度值,对中国东部地区,遥感的结果是可以接受的,主要是由于这一地区存在较低的地表反射率;但对中国北方植被条件不很好的地区,在遥感反演时对地面反射率的估计可能偏低,如做适当的修改还有可能提高遥感反演的精度。从地面直接测量气溶胶的散射系数和吸收系数算出的气溶胶单散射反射率在0.8左右,需要有更多的观测,以便进一步查清这一问题。     

东亚地区云和地表反照率对硫酸盐直接辐射强迫的影响

文中利用区域气候模式深入探讨了东亚地区云及地表反照率对硫酸盐直接辐射强迫的影响 ,同时定量估算了东亚地区云区气溶胶的直接辐射强迫 ,讨论了硫酸盐对地表和大气短波辐射平衡产生的不同影响。研究表明 :云对气溶胶的直接辐射强迫具有很强的减弱作用 ,这种减弱作用不仅取决于云覆盖份数 ,而且取决于云的光学厚度。就区域平均而言 ,文中模拟的东亚地区气溶胶直接辐射强迫为 - 0 .0 97W /m2 ,占总直接辐射强迫的 10 .4%左右。表明云对硫酸盐直接辐射具有很强的减弱作用 ,在估算其总的直接辐射强迫时 ,云区的贡献不可忽视。较高的地表反照率会减弱硫酸盐的直接辐射强迫 ,而较低地表反照率则会增加硫酸盐的辐射强迫。硫酸盐气溶胶对大气辐射平衡影响非常小 ,但对地表辐射平衡产生重要影响 ,影响程度与大气几乎一致。     

中国地区春季沙尘气溶胶短波辐射气候效应数值模拟研究

利用耦合了起沙模型(MEDM)的区域气候模式RegCM3,模拟研究了2000年春季中国地区沙尘气溶胶短波辐射气候效应。结果表明,春季中国沙尘气溶胶垂直负荷的大值区主要位于南疆盆地和阿拉善高原。引入沙尘气溶胶后,中国地区地表均出现负的辐射强迫,地面气温普遍降低,中低层(400 hPa层以下)大气温度则呈上升趋势。沙尘源区及其下游地区总云量及降水主要呈减少趋势,云量与降水的分布特征与空中流场的变化趋势一致性较好。     

中国地区黑碳气溶胶直接辐射效应的数值模拟研究

利用意大利国际理论物理研究中心（ICTP）提供的2000年各月气溶胶资料（包括人类活动和生物质燃烧所产生的气溶胶）,使用并行版本区域气候模式RegCM3,研究了黑碳气溶胶对中国区域气候的影响。结果表明,引入黑碳气溶胶后,冬、夏季中国大部分地区大气顶出现了正辐射强迫,其分布与垂直负荷分布基本相似。在仅考虑黑碳气溶胶的直接辐射效应时,中国大部分地区冬、夏季地面气温呈下降趋势,降温的高值区均位于中国东南部,冬季最大降温幅度约为0．9℃,夏季最大降幅约为2．4℃,夏季降温幅度明显大于冬季。相对于温度变化,黑碳气溶胶引起的降水变化较为复杂,无论是冬季还是夏季,降水量减小的区域均大于增加区。冬季降水量最大减幅约为20mm,夏季降水量最大减幅超过100mm,夏季降水量减幅明显大于冬季。冬、夏季仅西北和华南部分地区降水量有所增加。冬季中国大部分地区痕量降水和弱降水日数呈增加趋势;夏季黄河以北中国北方地区痕量降水和弱降水日数也是以增加为主。     

CHARACTERISTICS OF VARIATION IN SURFACE ALBEDO AND SNOW FORCING OVER THE TIBETAN PLATEAU

The combination of field experiments and satellite observations is the fundamental way tounderstand the characteristics of spatial-temporal variation in surface albedo over the Tibetan(Qinghai-Xizang) Plateau. Under the condition without snow cover, the relatively regular annualvariation cycle of the surface albedo can be expressed by an empirical formula. The effect of snowcover on the surface albedo in winter can be expressed by introducing two variables of snow forcingand sensitivity parameter. The existing satellite retrieved results of surface albedo may provide thedigital grid data for describing the geographical distribution. However, some satellite retrievedsurface albedos available over the Tibetan Plateau are obviously too low in winter. Taking thesatellite derived results in summer as the background field representative of geographicaldistribution and combining the empirical formula of annual cycle based on the surface observations,a dynamic model of surface albedo is developed for the need of modeling the climatic influence ofthe underlying surface forcing of the Tibetan Plateau.     

THE CHARACTERISTICS OF HIGH WIND DISTRIBUTION IN CHINA'S COASTAL REGION AND THEIR CAUSES

This work investigates the distribution of high winds above Beaufort scale 6 in the offshore zones of China using high-resolution satellite measurements.A numerical experiment is carried out in order to find out the effects of Taiwan Island on the formation of strong winds.The analysis indicates that the distribution of high wind occurrence is similar to that of the average wind velocity in winter.High winds tend to be anchored in special topographical regions,such as the Taiwan Strait,the Bashi Channel and the southeast coast of Vietnam.High winds occur much more frequently over the warmer than the colder flank of Kuroshio front as it meanders from Taiwan to Japan.The frequency of high winds decreases drastically in spring.The Taiwan Strait maintains the largest high wind occurrence.Besides,high winds remain frequent in the Bashi Channel,the southeast tip of Taiwan Island and the warmer flank of Kuroshio front.In summer,high winds generally occur infrequently except over a broad region off the southeast coast of Vietnam near 10°N and the frequency there decreases from southwest to northeast.High winds around Taiwan Island present near axisymmetric distribution with larger frequency along southeast-northwest direction and smaller frequency along southwest-northeast direction.The dominant direction of high winds exhibits a counterclockwise circulation surrounding the island.The frequency of high winds increases rapidly in autumn and almost repeats the distribution that appears in winter.The simulation results suggest that the effects of Taiwan Island topography on high winds vary with seasons.In winter,topography is the major cause of high winds in the surrounding oceanic zones.High winds in both Taiwan Strait and the southeast corner of the island disappear and the frequency decreases gradually from south to north when the terrain is removed.However,in summer,high wind frequency derived from two simulations with and without terrain is almost identical.We attribute this phenomenon to the factors which are responsible for the formation of high winds.     

强弱天气尺度强迫下广东短时强降水时空特征分析

利用2010—2019年广东区域自动站逐时雨量定义短时强降水日,采用500 hPa和700 hPa广东区域日平均垂直速度来客观衡量天气尺度强迫,并对年均和强/弱天气尺度强迫下的短时强降水进行时空分布特征分析,结果表明：广东区域的短时强降水主要发生在4—9月,发生频次具有准双峰的日变化;粤西是短时强降水最频发区;茂名山区的短时强降水主要发生在白天,弱天气尺度强迫下占比达80%以上;频发次中心位于珠江三角洲,持续1小时以上的短时强降水占该地发生频次75%。强天气尺度强迫下短时强降水4—6月最多,弱天气尺度强迫下则7月达到峰值。弱天气尺度强迫下,仅历时1小时的短时强降水在粤北河源-梅州北部山区、粤东莲花山脉附近有次中心;历时2小时及以上的相对集中在粤西、珠江三角洲北部和粤东惠州-汕尾一带;3月肇庆-云浮和珠江口附近弱天气尺度个例占比高;7月粤北占比高;早晨07时在粤西阳江沿海有孤立的高频中心。     

亚洲季风模拟试验中青藏高原积雪强迫问题的讨论

青藏高原积雪对亚洲季风和东亚，南亚时旱涝灾害的影响，百余年来一直为中外气候学家所瞩目。近几年来用大气环流模式进行数值试验已成为该研究领域的主要手段，但是由于假设的积雪强迫不同，模拟结果很不一致。作者概据美国宇航局ＳＭＭＲ微波逐候积雪深度１０年的观测结果，提出了一个真实的青藏高原积雪强迫试验方案。     

SIMULATION OF SUMMER CLIMATE IN CHINA DURING 1997 AND 1998 USING A REGIONAL AIR-SEA COUPLED MODEL

Using the regional air-sea coupled climate model RegCM3-POM,a series of numerical experiments are performed to simulate the summer climate in 1997 and 1998 with different coupling time steps.The results show that the coupled model has good performance on the simulation of the summer sea surface temperature(SST) in 1997 and 1998,and the simulation results of CPL1(with the coupling time step at 1 hour) are similar to those of CPL6(with the coupling time step at 6 hours).The coupled model can well simulate SST differences between 1997 and 1998.As for the simulation of the drought in 1997 and the flood in 1998,the results of CPL6 are more accurate.The coupled model can well simulate the drought in 1997 over North China,and compared with the results of the atmosphere model RegCM3,the simulation ability of the coupled model is improved.The coupling model has better ability in the simulation of the circulation in the middle and low levels,and the water vapor transportation in the coupling model is reasonable in both 1997 and 1998.RegCM3(an uncoupled model) cannot correctly simulate the transportation path differences between 1997 and 1998,but the coupled model can simulate the differences well.     

RADIATIVE AND MICROPHYSICAL EFFECTS OF ICE CLOUDS ON A TORRENTIAL RAINFALL EVENT OVER HUNAN, CHINA

The radiative and microphysical effects of ice clouds on a torrential rainfall event over Hunan,China in June 2004 are investigated by analyzing the sensitivity of cloud-resolving model simulations.The model is initialized by zonally-uniform vertical velocity,zonal wind,horizontal temperature and vapor advection from National Centers for Environmental Prediction(NCEP) /National Center for Atmospheric Research(NCAR) reanalysis data.The exclusion of radiative effects of ice clouds increases model domain mean surface rain rates through the increase in the mean net condensation associated with the increase in the mean radiative cooling during the onset phase and the increases in the mean net condensation and the mean hydrometeor loss during the mature phase.The decrease in the mean rain rate corresponds to the decreased mean net condensation and associated mean latent heat release as the enhanced mean radiative cooling by the removal of radiative effects of ice clouds cools the mean local atmosphere during the decay phase.The removal of microphysical effects of ice clouds decreases the mean rain rates through the decrease in the mean net condensation during the onset phase,while the evolution of mean net condensation and the mean hydrometeor changes from decrease to increase during the mature phase.The reduction in the mean rain rate is primarily associated with the mean hydrometeor change in the absence of microphysical effects of ice clouds during the decay phase.     

CHARACTERISTICS OF VARIATION IN SURFACE ALBEDO AND SNOW FORCING OVER THE TIBETAN PLATEAU*

The combination of field experiments and satellite observations is the fundamental way to understand the characteristics of spatial-temporal variation in surface albedo over the Tibetan(Qinghai-Xizang) Plateau. Under the condition without snow cover, the relatively regular annual variation cycle of the surface albedo can be expressed by an empirical formula. The effect of snow cover on the surface albedo in winter can be expressed by introducing two variables of snow forcing and sensitivity parameter. The existing satellite retrieved results of surface albedo may provide the digital grid data for describing the geographical distribution. However, some satellite retrieved surface albedos available over the Tibetan Plateau are obviously too low in winter. Taking the satellite derived results in summer as the background field representative of geographical distribution and combining the empirical formula of annual cycle based on the surface observations,a dynamic model of surface albedo is developed for the need of modeling the climatic influence of the underlying surface forcing of the Tibetan Plateau.