共查询到19条相似文献,搜索用时 109 毫秒
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针对位于"一带一路"重点区域的北疆地区民众对气候变化的认知与适应行为开展调查研究,分析当地居民对气候变化的感知和适应情况.结果表明:公众对气候变化的感知较为清晰,女性对气候变化及气象灾害的关注和相对感知强度更高.在适应气候变化引起的干旱缺水方面,"修水库"等基础设施建设的认可度最高,除此之外,男性更倾向于"推广喷灌、滴... 相似文献
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张庆阳 《气象科技合作动态》2009,(6):15-20
1印度应对气候变化概况
(1)人口庞大,贫困人口多,发展任务繁重。印度是世界上第二大发展中国家,是世界应对气候变化问题“七十七国集团”的主要成员国。印度独立以来,人口急剧增加,成为严重影响印度社会经济发展的一个基本因素。1947年,印度人口3.34亿,2000年突破10亿,年增长高达1.4%。 相似文献
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阳城冬小麦生产的气象风险及相应对策王兴申(阳城县气象局048100)冬小麦是阳城的主要农作物之一。党的十一届三中全会以后,麦田面积迅速扩大,小麦生产占着举足轻重的位置,这种情况,分析小麦各生育期的气象风险,对传统和现行的耕作管理方法作出评价,提出相应... 相似文献
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Modeling Vulnerability and Resilience to Climate Change: A Case Study of India and Indian States 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2
The vulnerability of India and Indian states to climate change was assessed using the Vulnerability-Resilience Indicator Prototype
(VRIP). The model was adapted from the global/country version to account for Indian dietary practices and data availability
with regard to freshwater resources. Results (scaled to world values) show nine Indian states to be moderately resilient to
climate change, principally because of low sulfur emissions and a relatively large percentage of unmanaged land. Six states
are more vulnerable than India as a whole, attributable largely to sensitivity to sea storm surges. Analyses of results at
the state level (Orissa, and comparisons between Maharashtra and Kerala, and Andhra Pradesh and Himachal Pradesh) demonstrate
the value of VRIP analyses used in conjunction with other socio-economic information to address initial questions about the
sources of vulnerability in particular places. The modeling framework allows analysts and stakeholders to systematically evaluate
individual and sets of indicators and to indicate where the likely vulnerabilities are in the area being assessed. 相似文献
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Climate Change: A Case Study Over India 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
A. K. Sahai 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》1998,61(1-2):9-18
Summary A brief account of various causes of climate change in recent decades and climate change trends in the Indian region is presented.
It is of great importance to determine the influence of human activities on the likely climate change during recent decades.
Local temperature is one of the major climatic elements to record the changes in the atmospheric environment caused by industrialization
and urbanization. It is mentioned in the literature that there is either a cooling tendency or cessation of warming after
the late 1950s at most of the Indian industrial cities. A case study of Nagpur, a centrally located city in India, is done
to understand and the possible cause of cooling. Nagpur is the only city in India for which a long-term record of temperature,
for urban (Mayo Hospital) and relatively suburban (Sonegaon Airport) area, is available. The study of the diurnal asymmetry
in maximum and minimum temperatures indicates that the role of suspended particulate matter dominates over that of increasing
greenhouse gases.
Received April 15, 1998 相似文献
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R. K. Mall Ranjeet Singh Akhilesh Gupta G. Srinivasan L. S. Rathore 《Climatic change》2006,78(2-4):445-478
During the recent decade, with the growing recognition of the possibility of climate change and clear evidence of observed
changes in climate during 20th century, an increasing emphasis on food security and its regional impacts has come to forefront of the scientific community.
In recent times, the crop simulation models have been used extensively to study the impact of climate change on agricultural
production and food security. The output provided by the simulation models can be used to make appropriate crop management
decisions and to provide farmers and others with alternative options for their farming system. It is expected that in the
coming decades with the increased use of computers, the use of simulation models by farmers and professionals as well as policy
and decision makers will increase. In India, substantial work has been done in last decade aimed at understanding the nature
and magnitude of change in yield of different crops due to projected climate change. This paper presents an overview of the
state of the knowledge of possible effect of the climate variability and change on food grain production in India.
An erratum to this article can be found at 相似文献
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山东省气候变化及农业自然灾害对粮食产量的影响 总被引:26,自引:7,他引:19
根据山东省196l~2000年气象与粮食产量资料,利用统计分析方法,分析了气候变化、农业自然灾害对粮食产量的影响。研究表明:①20世纪60年代以来,山东省气候有变暖和变干的趋势,各季节中,变暖趋势最明显的是冬季,变干表现最突出的是夏季;②气温和降水是造成山东省粮食产量波动的主要原因,在“暖干”气候背景下,气温与气候产量为负相关,降水量与气候产量呈较显著的正相关;③农业自然灾害是造成粮食单产产生波动的主要原因之一。 相似文献
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《大气科学进展》1993,(1)
In this paper, the two-layer IAP model with sea surface temperature anomalies in the equatorial central-eastern Pacific is used to investigate potential predictability of global short-term anomalous climate change caused by El Nino via the "switching" experiments. The experimental results show that short-term anomalous climate change in the tropics is mainly caused by instantaneous response of tropical atmosphere to SSTA in the tropics. The effective period of this kind of anomalous climate is shorter and about monthly scale. In the high latitudes, the anomalous climate is mainly caused by the lag response of atmosphere to SSTA in the tropics. The strongest influence appears in the month after a half year when the SSTA in the tropics disappears. Therefore, potential predictability of short-term anomalous climate change may be reached to one year; anomalous climate change in the middle-latitudes is not only affected by instantaneous response to SSTA in the tropics, but also by lag response to that. There 相似文献
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近20年我国气象灾害损失的初步分析 总被引:8,自引:1,他引:7
利用1989—2008年的全国自然灾害灾情资料,采用综合集成评价方法计算出气象灾害损失的综合指数,运用聚类分析法对近20年的气象灾害损失进行定级并分析其随时间的变化。结果显示,20年中前10年气象灾害的损失比较大,后10年损失显著减小;气象灾害导致的人口死亡数在近20年中呈明显的下降趋势;1991、1994、1996、1998年为气象灾害的重灾年。 相似文献
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根据塔里木灌区阿拉尔气象站 1 96 1年 1月~ 1 999年 1 2月的气温及降水资料 ,对塔里木灌区近4 0a的气候变化做了分析 ,分析结果表明 ,近 4 0a塔里木灌区年降水量呈上升趋势 ( 4 .6 0mm/ 1 0a) ,秋季降水量却呈下降趋势 ( -3.4 5mm/ 1 0a) ;年平均气温呈上升趋势 ( 0 .0 6 5℃ / 1 0a) ,冬季变暖的趋势 ( 0 .84 9℃ / 1 0a)远大于夏季变凉的趋势 ( -0 .1 71℃ / 1 0a) ;年极端低温的上升趋势 ( 0 .5 6 9℃ / 1 0a)大于年极端高温的下降趋势 ( -0 .0 95℃ / 1 0a)。可以以 70年代末为界将塔里木灌区气候近 4 0a分为冷、暖两个阶段 ,前为冷期 ,后为暖期 相似文献
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湖北省应对气候变化的方案分析与政策含义 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
应对全球气候变化需要地方采取应对措施。根据湖北省"十一五"规划纲要提出的目标和《中国应对气候变化国家方案》提出的具体任务,通过分析论证气候变化的脆弱性以及经济发展对能源需求的增长,提出了湖北省适应和减缓气候变化的应对方案,并分析了湖北省温室气体排放的3种情景。湖北省作为国家能源和经济格局的组成部分,需要协同国家战略及布局,不仅为湖北省自身,也要为国家的低碳发展做出贡献。 相似文献
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应对全球气候变化需要地方采取应对措施。根据湖北省"十一五"规划纲要提出的目标和《中国应对气候变化国家方案》提出的具体任务,通过分析论证气候变化的脆弱性以及经济发展对能源需求的增长,提出了湖北省适应和减缓气候变化的应对方案,并分析了湖北省温室气体排放的3种情景。湖北省作为国家能源和经济格局的组成部分,需要协同国家战略及布局,不仅为湖北省自身,也要为国家的低碳发展做出贡献。 相似文献