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Three sites in the UK are taken, representative of low, medium and high hazard levels (by UK standards). For each site, the hazard value at 10−4 annual probability is computed using a generic seismic source model, and a variety of ground motion parameters: peak ground acceleration (PGA), spectral acceleration at 10 Hz and 1 Hz, and intensity. Disaggregation is used to determine the nature of the earthquakes most likely to generate these hazard values. It is found (as might be expected) that the populations are quite different according to which ground motion parameter is used. When PGA is used, the result is a rather flat magnitude distribution with a tendency to low magnitude events (\le 4.5 ML) which are probably not really hazardous. Hazard-consistent scenario earthquakes computed using intensity are found to be in the range 5.8–5.9 ML, which is more in accord with the type of earthquake that one expects to be a worst-case event in the UK. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

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Intensity attenuation is relatively little studied compared with the attenuation of peak ground acceleration, due to the fact that the PGA can be used for engineering design, while intensity cannot. However, intensity has other uses, including the estimation of effects (including damage) of future earthquakes, and hence, at least in a general way, the study of earthquake risk. Knowledge of intensity attenuation is also useful in calibrating hazard models against historical experience. In this study, the attenuation of intensity in the U.K. is thoroughly evaluated from a data set comprising 727 isoseismals from 326 British earthquakes, including both modern and historical events. Best results are obtained by restricting the data set to events contributing at least two isoseismals. The preferred equation is
$ I = 3.31 + 1.28{\rm ML} - 1.22\ln\!R $ I = 3.31 + 1.28{\rm ML} - 1.22\ln\!R   相似文献   

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This paper reviews some of the challenges and objectives in the application of fluvial geomorphology to improved river management in the U.K. It describes the mechanisms by which geomorphology can be applied to solve problems, including the development of design guidance, policy, management approaches, procedures and training. While it is true that geomorphology is being used increasingly, there remain a number of challenges, such as the need to promote a more professional image and to develop appropriate standards. The scientific basis on which decisions relating to the water environment are made needs to be developed further. Perhaps some of the most significant challenges for fluvial geomorphology in U.K. river management during the next decade will concern river and floodplain restoration.  相似文献   

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Cavernous weathering (tafoni development) occurs on coastal slopes in greenschist bedrock at elevations up to 40 m above sea level. The freshly weathered surfaces of the cavern interiors are irregular in morphology, discordant to major rock structure, formed by substantially weakened rock and associated with granular weathering debris. The weathering debris contains soluble elements in proportions similar to those present in seawater, and the penetration of elements associated with sea salts into the weathering surface to estimated depths of at least 0·1–0·2 m is indicated by the presence of chlorine. Scanning electron microscopy and microprobe analyses suggest that rock breakdown occurs principally through limited chemical weathering at grain boundaries. The mechanism for the emplacement of marine salts within sheltered rock surfaces in the tafoni is postulated to be a combination of dry deposition under turbulent atmospheric conditions and wetting by coastal fog.  相似文献   

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The IGS operates an eight-station, 100-km aperture network linked by radio to a central recorder in Edinburgh. It has been an observatory station for eight years supplying a rapid data input service to world agencies. The importance of infrequent local and regional seismic vibrations has been recognized by engineers as well as scientists involved in the study of intra-plate tectonics. In cooperation with other groups the IGS has embarked on a programme of more detailed monitoring within the United Kingdom and is anticipating closer links with other European stations in order to improve knowledge of the seismicity of the North Sea. The latter is particularly important because of the level of economic activity in the area, the sparse historical record, and the recently demonstrated potential for significant local earthquakes.Overseas, the IGS has instrumented the 20-channel array (SAAS) in Brazil, which is operated in collaboration with the University of Brasilia, and is providing technical support for the Turkish-U.K. network (MARNET) to monitor seismicity in the Marmara Sea.  相似文献   

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Chemical and mineralogical data are presented for a suite of 59 sediment samples collected from the P8 and Speedwell cave systems (and mineralogical data are presented for a further six surface sediments) in the Castleton karst catchment, Derbyshire, England. Sediments are grouped according to age and depositional environment and these groups show distinctive mineralogical and chemical characteristics. Clay mineralogy is effective at distinguishing different sediment sources for ancient and modern sediments which are derived from pre-Devensian tills and Devensian solifluction deposits, respectively. Major element chemistry reflects these differences in clay mineral content, while trace elements demonstrate the importance of abrasion of ore minerals in conduits in the aquifer which follow mineral veins, even under natural, pre-mining conditions. Clay minerals are confirmed as the host for uranium in uranium-rich ancient sediments. Consideration of organic carbon and hydrogen concentrations shows that plant material is the dominant source of organic material in the modern sediments. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

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A digital recording system has been operated at the U.K. observatories since 1979. The magnetic elementsH, D, andZ are monitored continuously by a triaxial fluxgate magnetometer operating in the variometer mode. Ordinate values are recorded at 30-sec intervals. Total field and the temperature of the variometer chamber are measured at the start of each 10-min data block.Fluxgate magnetometer baseline values are derived from absolute measurements made by proton vector magnetometer and Kew declinometer in the conventional manner.In this paper the data handling procedures are described and the quality of the data over a period of two years is discussed.  相似文献   

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The paper presents a controversial interpretation of a mid-Ordovician volcano-sedimentary complex. It deals with the cyclic interdependence of intrusive, volcanic, and sedimentary processes, due to the development of a nearshore resurgent cauldron in the Caledonian fold belt of North Wales. Deformed volcanotectonic features include a resurgent dome and apical graben, surrounded by a moat and peripheral crescentic ring-fault, constituting a caldera 20 km in diameter. The resurgent Snowdon caldera developed through three cycles of ash-flow volcanism resulting from the continuous supply of magma into a shallow magma chamber emplaced beneath the floor of a marine basin. Each ash-flow cycle was preceded by the emergence, above sea level, of a geotumour that subsequently collapsed following eruption and evacuation of the magma chamber. Localized unconformities at the base of individual ash-flow cycles are compared with caldera margin and associated collapse features. Deeper-seated effects of caldera collapse are expressed as gaps in the Ordovician sequence due to normal faulting along the structural boundary of the caldera. Major ash-flow fissure vents were located at points of maximum unloading of the magma chamber by distention faults in its roof. Explosive mechanisms were triggered by rapid pressure release due to tectonic erosion.The presence of a resurgent cauldron implies that the Ordovician succession of North Wales is more complete than recorded in the literature, and that Caledonian structures were largely predetermined by Caradocian volcano-tectonics.  相似文献   

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More than 80,000 shoreline bacteriological samples are collected annually in southern California to protect beachgoer health, but sampling frequency varies from daily to monthly among sampling sites. To assess the effectiveness of various sampling frequencies, we used five years of data from 24 Los Angeles area sites that have been monitored daily to simulate five alternative sampling strategies: five weekdays, five days per week including a weekend day, three days per week, weekly, and monthly. For each of these sampling strategies, we included in the simulation the local custom of adaptive sampling, in which a site is resampled the following day if bacterial concentrations exceed the State of California's beach water quality standards. We found that sampling five times per week resulted in observing about 80% of the events in which State standards were exceeded. This frequency dropped to 55%, 25%, and 5% for three times per week, weekly, and monthly sampling, respectively. Adaptive sampling was ineffective because nearly 70% of the water quality exceedences were single-day events, even at the most frequently contaminated sites. This high frequency of single-day events is of concern because the public is typically notified about water quality conditions 24-48 h after samples are collected, meaning that most warnings are out-of-date when they are issued.  相似文献   

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This paper evaluates the utility of the shoreline preservation index (s.p.i.) for estimating the age of late Pleistocene palaeolake shorelines, the relative influence of various factors on shoreline preservation, and whether shoreline preservation varies significantly with shoreline aspect. Sampled shorelines from the 3300 km2 study area, which includes the Skull, Tule and Puddle Valley portions of the Lake Bonneville basin, range in age from approximately 26 to 12 ka. Their total s.p.i. values range from 23 to 69 per cent, average 46 per cent, and do not vary significantly with shoreline aspect. The data from Skull and Tule Valleys, where studied shorelines are of known age, are analysed first in order to determine if there are statistically significant associations between variables representing shoreline preservation, age, degree of geomorphic development and duration of subaerial exposure. Pairwise correlation is then repeated using observations from all three valleys in order to determine how data from the Puddle Valley shorelines, whose hypothesized ages are not supported by radiocarbon analyses, affect the results. Results show that s.p.i. is useful as a relative-age dating tool, that the postulated ages of the Puddle Valley shorelines are ordinally correct, and that geomorphic development is not an important influence on the preservation of these late Pleistocene shorelines. The relative importance of shoreline age and the relative unimportance of duration of subaerial exposure with respect to shoreline preservation suggest that subaqueous processes play a more substantial role in shoreline obliteration than is generally suggested.  相似文献   

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Samples of sediment collected from the Severn floodplain between Worcester and Gloucester following the severe flooding in January and February 1990, were analysed for their grain size distribution. The results show that most sand was deposited within 20 m of the channel bank, but that fine sand may contribute to flood sediment across the width of the floodplain. James' (1985) numerical model of overbank sedimentation attempts to predict the transfer of sediment to the floodplain during flooding. Geometrical and hydraulic data relating to the Severn flood are used as input for a computer program of James' (1985) model. The pattern of sediment concentrations predicted by the model was compared with that obtained from statistical analysis of the flood sediment. The patterns were found to be similar, so James' (1985) model was considered to predict in a relative sense the distribution of flood sediment.  相似文献   

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1. A light and scanning electron microscopic study of the structure of epilithic diatom communities was carried out at two sites on the River Taff, South Wales, an upstream unpolluted site (Site 1) and a downstream polluted site (Site 2). 2. Community structure at the micro-scale revealed that, although communities at both sites were similar in terms of species present (similarity indices ranging between 0.44 and 0.96), they were very different with respect to their physical structure. 3. The traditional approach in studying epilithic diatom communities ignores information relating to community structure. The combination of light and scanning electron microscopy proved to be most useful for studying the epilithic diatom communities. 4. The examination of community succession on stone substrata showed that communities were highly dynamic on a weekly time scale, which suggests that the “age” of a substratum is a very important determinant of the attaching communities. A change from a prostate, two-dimensional community structure to an erect, three-dimensional community structure, and a shift from the dominance of epilithic diatoms to the dominance of epiphytic diatoms were noted. Such a change was more noticed at the polluted downstream site, possibly due to a higher rate of surface pre-conditioning and biofilm production at this site than at the unpolluted upstream site.  相似文献   

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Conclusion We did not have the presumption of thinking that we would be able to exhaust such a vast and complex subject in our discussions. However our attempts at explaining the processes of corrosion and our study of possible remedies should, at relatively short term, enable us to master the problem to a sufficient extent. This aim, if it could be reached, would justify the conception of high-efficiency incineration plants. We can therefore but hope for a continuation of co-operation between constructors, operators, chemists and metallurgists, this co-operation having been successfully demonstrated in our Congress. It is only by appealing to the help and experience of each expert that we shall be able to solve problems of such complexity. Allow me, Ladies and Gentlemen, to thank you for having listened to me. I should moreover like to thank all those who, having taken part in our meetings, have let us benefit from their experience.  相似文献   

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