Sediment budget and tectonic evolution of the Meuse catchment in the Ardennes and the Roer Valley Rift System

The Meuse river system is located in the northeastern part of the Paris Basin, the Ardennes, and the Roer Valley Rift System (RVRS). The Meuse river system developed during the uplift of the Ardennes since the Eocene and it was affected by renewed rifting of the RVRS starting in the Late Oligocene. In response to the uplift of the Ardennes, the river system incised and a terrace sequence developed during the Plio–Pleistocene. The sediments generated by erosion in the catchment were transported into the RVRS and further to the north, into the Zuiderzee Basin and the North Sea Basin. Using a digital terrain model, the amount of eroded rock volume versus time for the Meuse catchment has been computed using the Paleogene and older planation surfaces and the fluvial terraces. Comparison of the amount of eroded material with the volume of sediment preserved in the RVRS for the early Middle Pleistocene shows that about 17.5% of the sediment volume transported into the RVRS remained there, the rest being transported further into the Zuiderzee Basin and the North Sea Basin. The Quaternary tectonic uplift of the Ardennes inferred from the incision history of the Meuse river system is characterized by a long-term uplift, on which a Middle Pleistocene acceleration is superimposed. The accelerated uplift is contemporaneous with an uplift event in the RVRS and in the neighbouring Eifel area, and with the onset of the youngest phase of volcanism in the Eifel area. The areal distribution of this uplift is characterized by a dome shape centered around the Eifel area.     

Numerical modeling of the response of alluvial rivers to Quaternary climate change

A numerical model, which simulates the dynamics of alluvial river channels on geological (Quaternary) time scales, is presented. The model includes water flow, channel dimensions, sediment transport and channel planform type. A number of numerical experiments, which investigate the response of an alluvial river to imposed sequences of water and sediment supply, with special emphasis on the time lags between these controlling variables, as well as a downstream discharge increase, are presented. It is found that the influence of the time lags can be substantial, having major implications for the reconstructions of palaeo climate based on river channel behavior documented in the geological record. The model is further applied to both a conceptual warm–cold–warm cycle and a reconstructed evolution of the river Meuse, the Netherlands, during the Late Glacial–Holocene warming. Results show that the model is capable of explaining the response of this river, although better validation against palaeoenvironmental data remains necessary.     

Late Quaternary evolution of fluvial sediment composition: a modeling case study of the River Meuse

This paper addresses the influence of external forcing (changes in tectonics, sea level and climate) on the downstream and long-term (10³–10⁵ years) evolution of sediment composition along a fluvial longitudinal profile. The River Meuse served as a case study for a semi 2-D forward-modelling approach to simulate the downstream sediment transport in the 200- to 0-ka period. This has been related to bulk geochemical properties of the tributary catchments to quantify the bulk composition of the sediment load in the main river. The model was used to test the hypothesis that long-term fluvial dynamics influences sediment composition.The simulation exercise showed that long-term fluvial dynamics can yield systematic temporal changes in fluvial sediment composition, especially in high-relief areas. We tested a scenario of minimal discharges and maximum hillslope erosion during cold glacial periods (weathering-limited sediment supply), alternating with maximal discharges and minimal hillslope erosion during prolonged interstadials or interglacials (transport-limited sediment supply). This scenario largely reproduced the timing and direction of measured changes in the bulk and clay geochemistry of fine-grained sediments, which were deposited in the River Meuse lower reach from 13 to 0 ka. However, it failed to reproduce the measured amplitude of change, which was five to six times larger than the modelled amplitude. This suggests that climate-dependent changes in weathering intensity of rocks and saprolite in the source areas were more important and that aeolian inputs from outside the drainage basin have co-determined the sediment composition.     

Forces at the Kerr singularity

In a classical-like language introduced in a previous paper, the fact that the ring singularity of the Kerr spacetime cannot be left/reached by timelike geodesic which is not bound to the equatorial plane is interpreted as a result of the interplay of the gravitational and – mainly – the centrifugal forces.     

Present and near-future global sea-level changes

Values between 1.0 and 1.5 mm/yr, often quoted in the literature for the present-day rate of eustatic sea-level rise, have been obtained in many cases by averaging records of tide-gauge stations, after having omitted areas of glacio-isostatic or tectonic uplift, though including areas of subsidence. This approach results in an overestimation of the sea-level rise, which is increased by the fact that, for geological reasons and human-induced factors, subsidence is expected to occur more frequently than uplift in oceanic and coastal areas.In the absence of absolutely stable areas in the world, a new approach is proposed, which shows that on the Atlantic coasts of Europe, when land movements are removed, the sea-level rise during the last century has been only 4–6 cm, i.e. two to three times smaller than the estimation claimed by most authors. This value is consitent with current computations of the recent effects on sea level of the thermal expansion of the ocean water (2–5 cm) and of the melting of small glaciers (1.4–5 cm).Estimations of possible sea-level changes during the next century diverge with different authors, varying from a sea-level drop of 7 cm to a sea-level rise of over 3.5 m. There are some problems however with the assumptions made and some feedback phenomena have not yet been taken into account. In addition, the relationship between the atmospheric CO₂ content, temperature and sea level is far from being demonstrated for the recent past.     

Verification of a coupled climate-hydrological model against Holocene palaeohydrological records

We have coupled a climate model (ECBilt-CLIO-VECODE) and a hydrological model (STREAM) offline to simulate palaeodischarge of nineteen rivers (Amazon, Congo, Danube, Ganges, Krishna, Lena, Mackenzie, Mekong, Meuse, Mississippi, Murray–Darling, Nile, Oder, Rhine, Sacramento–San Joaquin, Syr Darya, Volga, Volta, Zambezi) for three time-slices: Early Holocene (9000–8650 BP), Mid-Holocene (6200–5850 BP) and Recent (1750–2000 AD). To evaluate the model's skill in retrodicting broad changes in mean palaeodischarge we have compared the model results with palaeodischarge estimates from multi-proxy records. We have compared the general trends inferred from the proxy data with statistical differences in modelled discharge between the three periods, thereby developing a technique to assess the level of agreement between the model and proxy data. The quality of the proxy data for each basin has been classed as good, reasonable or low. Of the model runs for which the proxy data were good or reasonable, 72% were in good agreement with the proxy data, and 92% were in at least reasonable agreement. We conclude that the coupled climate-hydrological model performs well in simulating mean discharge in the time-slices studied. The discharge trends inferred from the proxy and model data closely follow latitudinal and seasonal variations in insolation over the Holocene. For a number of basins for which agreement was not good we have identified specific mechanisms which could be responsible for the discrepancy, primarily the absence of the Laurentide ice sheet in our model. In order to use the model in an operational sense within water management studies it would be useful to use a higher spatial resolution and a daily time-step.     

Gender-specific out-migration, deforestation and urbanization in the Ecuadorian Amazon

The Ecuadorian Amazon, one of the richest reserves of biodiversity in the world, has faced one of the highest rates of deforestation of any Amazonian nation. Most of this forest elimination has been caused by agricultural colonization that followed the discovery of oil fields in 1967. Since the 1990s, an increasing process of urbanization has also engendered new patterns of population mobility within the Amazon, along with traditional ways by which rural settlers make their living. However, while very significant in its effects on deforestation, urbanization and regional development, population mobility within the Amazon has hardly been studied at all, as well as the distinct migration patterns between men and women. This paper uses a longitudinal dataset of 250 farm households in the Northern Ecuadorian Amazon to understand differentials between men and women migrants to urban and rural destinations and between men and women non-migrants. First, we use hazard analysis based on the Kaplan–Meier (KM) estimator to obtain the cumulative probability that an individual living in the study area in 1990 or at time t, will out-migrated at some time, t+n, before 1999. Results indicate that out-migration to other rural areas in the Amazon, especially pristine areas is considerably greater than out-migration to the growing, but still incipient, Amazonian urban areas. Furthermore, men are more likely to out-migrate to rural areas than women, while the reverse occurs for urban areas. Difference-of-means tests were employed to examine potential factors accounting for differentials between male and female out-migration to urban and rural areas. Among the key results, relative to men younger women are more likely to out-migrate to urban areas; more difficult access from farms to towns and roads constrains women's migration; and access to new lands in the Amazon–an important cause of further deforestation–is more associated with male out-migration. Economic factors such as engagement in on-farm work, increasing resource scarcity–measured by higher population density at the farm and reduction in farm land on forest and crops–and increase in pasture land are more associated with male out-migration to rural areas. On the other hand, increasing resource scarcity, higher population density and weaker migration networks are more associated with female out-migration to urban areas. Thus, a “vicious cycle” is created: Pressure over land leads to deforestation in most or all farm forest areas and reduces the possibilities for further agricultural extensification (deforestation); out-migration, especially male out-migration, occurs to other rural or forest areas in the Amazon (with women being more likely to choose urban destinations); and, giving continuing population growth and pressures in the new settled areas, new pressures promote further out-migration to rural destinations and unabated deforestation.     

Modelling agricultural nitrogen contributions to the Jiulong River estuary and coastal water

The geographical setting of the Jiulong River estuary determines that the estuary receives wastes from both riverine input and adjacent urban sewage. However, the dominant nitrogen (N) source remains unclear. A nutrient mass-balance model and a preliminary LOICZ (Land–Ocean Interactions in the Coastal Zone) biogeochemical model were linked to evaluate agricultural N contributions from the Jiulong River catchment to the estuary and coastal water. Results showed that agricultural N surplus was the largest N source in the catchment, contributing 60.87% of the total Nitrogen (N) and 68.63% of the dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN). Household wastes and other sources followed. Riverine DIN fluxes were about 20.3% of exportable DIN and 14.4% of exportable total N, but approximately 9.7% of DIN inputs, and 7.3% of total N inputs to the Jiulong River catchment. The model system clearly showed that agricultural and anthropogenic activities in the catchment were the major N sources of the estuary and coastal water, and riverine N fluxes from these sources substantially impacted the estuary and coastal water quality and biogeochemical processes.     

TOPO-EUROPE: The geoscience of coupled deep Earth-surface processes

TOPO-EUROPE addresses the 4-D topographic evolution of the orogens and intra-plate regions of Europe through a multidisciplinary approach linking geology, geophysics, geodesy and geotechnology. TOPO-EUROPE integrates monitoring, imaging, reconstruction and modelling of the interplay between processes controlling continental topography and related natural hazards. Until now, research on neotectonics and related topography development of orogens and intra-plate regions has received little attention. TOPO-EUROPE initiates a number of novel studies on the quantification of rates of vertical motions, related tectonically controlled river evolution and land subsidence in carefully selected natural laboratories in Europe. From orogen through platform to continental margin, these natural laboratories include the Alps/Carpathians–Pannonian Basin System, the West and Central European Platform, the Apennines–Aegean–Anatolian region, the Iberian Peninsula, the Scandinavian Continental Margin, the East-European Platform, and the Caucasus–Levant area. TOPO-EUROPE integrates European research facilities and know-how essential to advance the understanding of the role of topography in Environmental Earth System Dynamics. The principal objective of the network is twofold. Namely, to integrate national research programs into a common European network and, furthermore, to integrate activities among TOPO-EUROPE institutes and participants. Key objectives are to provide an interdisciplinary forum to share knowledge and information in the field of the neotectonic and topographic evolution of Europe, to promote and encourage multidisciplinary research on a truly European scale, to increase mobility of scientists and to train young scientists. This paper provides an overview of the state-of-the-art of continental topography research, and of the challenges to TOPO-EUROPE researchers in the targeted natural laboratories.     

Study of temperature and precipitation variations in Italy based on surface instrumental observations

In this paper we present a study concerning the climatic behaviour of two principal observables, temperature and precipitation as obtained from the measurements carried out at 50 Italian meteorological stations, since 1961. Analyses of WMO Climate Normals (CliNo) from 1961 to 1990 have been performed dividing the 50 Italian stations in three different classes: mountain (11 stations), continental (17) and coastal areas (21).The comparison of the CliNo 1961–1990 with the trend of temperature and precipitation for the period 1991–2000 showed a sharp significant increase of summer temperatures over Italy starting from 1980. This phenomenon was particularly evident for mountain stations, where a significant temperature increase has been recorded also during the autumn. Moreover, the analysis of precipitation data permitted to point out that, starting from 1980, mountain stations have been affected by a significant increase of precipitation events during autumn and winter, while for the rest of the Italian territory a reduction of precipitations has been recorded during early spring.     

A preliminary estimate of changing calcrete carbon storage on land since the Last Glacial Maximum

The glacial-to-interglacial shift in land carbon storage is important in understanding the global carbon cycle and history of the climate system. While organic carbon storage on land appears to have been much less than present during the cold, dry glacial maximum, calcrete (soil carbonate) carbon storage would have been greater. Here we attempt a global estimation of this change; we use published figures for present soil carbonate by biome to estimate changing global soil carbonate storage, on the basis of reconstruction of vegetation areas for four timeslices since the Last Glacial Maximum. It appears that there would most likely have been around a 30–45% decrease in calcrete carbon on land accompanying the transition between glacial and interglacial conditions. This represents a change of about 500–400 GtC (outer error limits are estimated at 750–200 GtC) . In order to be weathered into dissolved bicarbonate, this would take up an additional 500–400 GtC (750–200 GtC) in CO₂ from ocean/atmosphere sources. An equivalent amount to the carbonate leaving the caliche reservoir on land may have accumulated in coral reefs and other calcareous marine sediments during the Holocene, liberating an equimolar quantity of CO₂ back into the ocean-atmosphere system as the bicarbonate ion breaks up.     

Spatially-resolved evolutionary synthesis modelling of ARP 299: Preliminary results

We present spatially-resolved evolutionary synthesis modelling of the colliding galaxies NGC 3690 and IC 694, together known as Arp 299. This system is a possible merger and an excellent example of interaction-induced starbursts. Arp 299 is relatively nearby (V=3100 km s^–1), emits most of its energy in the far-IR, and shows signs extended, thermal radiation sources. As such, it presents a good candidate for understanding the relationships between the dynamics of interacting galaxies and the starburst process. We use previously published photometric and spectroscopic data from the ultraviolet, optical, near- and far-infrared, millimeter, and radio spectral regions to constrain synthesis modelling of 1–2 kpc diameter areas at the three canonical regions of interest. The near-IR broadband decomposition method of Joy and Harvey (1987; also Telescoet al., 1985) is used to obtain the extinction to each of the three areas, which allows us to determine the intrinsic stellar spectrum. The synthesis modelling then determines the initial mass function and the star formation rate history of the interaction-induced stellar populations.     

Late Cenozoic fluvial development within the Sea of Azov and Black Sea coastal plains

Late Cenozoic terrestrial deposits are widespread across the northern coastal regions of the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov and represent diverse fluvial, estuarine and deltaic environments. The dating and correlation of these deposits rely on stratigraphically-associated marine index beds, mammalian and molluscan faunas and magnetostratigraphy. In detail the geometries of these sediment bodies are extremely complex, typically varying between localities and representing many cycles of incision and aggradation. However, the overall disposition of the sediments reflects the transition from the uplifting sediment source region to the north and the subsiding depocentre in the interior of the Black Sea to the south. Since the Middle Miocene the area of the Paratethys/Black Sea depocentre has decreased significantly, but since the Middle Pliocene the hinge zone between uplift and subsidence has been located close to the modern coastline. A combination of regional and local differential crustal movements has given rise to the great variety of fluvial sediment bodies, to the erosion–aggradation cycles, different phases and river activity and to the various fluvial landforms that have all been important in landscape development in this region during the past 12 Ma. The fluvial erosion–accumulation cycles (during the upper Serravillian–Messinian, the Zanclean–late Gelasian, and the Pleistocene) and corresponding cycles of relief dissection and planation are reconstructed against a background of local sea-level changes and climatic variations determined from palaeobotanical data. The maximum fluvial incision occurred in the early Zanclean time with alluvial coastal plains, unique in this area, developing in the Gelasian. Increased climatic aridity during the Pleistocene caused a reduction of fluvial activity in comparison with the Late Miocene and Pliocene. The sea-level oscillations and Pleistocene glaciations affected fluvial processes in different ways. The most remarkable events were the substantial reduction of fluvial activity during the Messinian dessication in the Black Sea and drainage of the shelf, with intensive dissection, coeval with the Last Glaciation.     

Critical comments on G. A. Gurzadyan's papers on flare stars

Conclusions The observations of flares of UV Ceti stars give direct evidence for the existence in these eruptive processes of fast electrons.The photometric, colorimetric, and x-ray characteristics of the flares of the red dwarf stars which are regarded by Gurzadyan as observational confirmations of the fast-electron hypothesis are in reality not such confirmations.Independent data — colorimetric, infrared, and x-ray properties of the flares of UV Ceti stars — demonstrate the incorrectness of Gurzadyan's idea, according to which all manifestations of the activity of flare stars are due ultimately to only Compton radiation and nonthermal bremsstrahlung of fast electrons.Crimean Astrophysical Observatory. Translated from Astrofizika, Vol. 16, No. 2, pp. 375–381, April–June, 1980.     

A Synergetic Approach to the Description of Advanced Turbulence

An attempt is made to construct a phenomenological model of turbulence as a self-organization process in an open system. The representation of a turbulized continuum in the form of a thermodynamic complex consisting of two subsystems—the subsystem of averaged motion and the subsystem of turbulent chaos, which is considered, in turn, as a conglomerate of vortex structures of different space–time scales—made it possible to obtain, by methods of nonequilibrium thermodynamics, the defining relationships for the turbulent fluxes and forces that describe most comprehensively the transport and structurization processes in such a continuum. Using two interpretations of the Kolmogorov parameter (as a quantity that describes the rate of dissipation of energy into heat and as the rate of transfer of turbulent energy in the eddy cascade), the defining relationships were found for this quantity, thereby making the thermodynamic approach self-sufficient. An introduction into the model of internal parameters of the medium, which characterize the excitation of macroscopic degrees of freedom, made it possible to describe thermodynamically the Kolmogorov cascade process and to obtain a variety of kinetic equations (of the Fokker–Planck type in the configuration space) for the functions of distribution of small-scale turbulence characteristics, including the unsteady kinetic equation for the distribution of probability of dissipation of turbulent energy. As an example, a detailed derivation of such relationships is given for the case of stationary turbulence, when a tendency toward local isotropy is observed. In view of the wide occurrence of this phenomenon in nature, one might expect that the developed approach to the problem of modeling strong turbulence will find its use in astrophysical and geophysical applications.     

Cenozoic thick-skinned deformation and topography evolution of the Spanish Central System

The Spanish Central System is a Cenozoic pop-up with an E–W to NE–SW orientation that affects all the crust (thick-skinned tectonics). It shows antiform geometry in the upper crust with thickening in the lower crust. Together with the Iberian Chain it constitutes the most prominent mountainous structure of the Pyrenean foreland.The evolutionary patterns concerning the paleotopography of the interior of the Peninsula can be established by an analysis of the following data: gravimetric, topographical, macro and micro tectonic, sedimentological (infilling of the sedimentary basins of the relative foreland), P–T–t path from apatite fission tracks, paleoseismic and instrumental seismicity.Deformation is clearly asymmetric in the Central System as evidenced by the existence of an unique, large (crustal-scale) thrust at its southern border, while in the northern one there is a normal sequence of north verging thrusts, towards the Duero Basin, whose activity ended during the Lower Miocene. This deformation was accomplished under triaxial compression, Oligocene–Lower Miocene in age, marked by NW–SE to NNW–SSE shortening. Locally orientations of paleostresses deviate from that of the regional tensor, following a period of relative tectonic quiescence. During the Upper Miocene–Pliocene, a reactivation of constrictive stress occurred and some structures underwent rejuvenation as a consequence of the action of tectonic stresses similar to those of today (uniaxial extension to strike–slip with NW–SE shortening direction). However, the westernmost areas show continuous activity throughout the whole of the Tertiary, with no apparent pulses. At the present time there is a moderate seismic activity in the Central System related to faults that were active during the Cenozoic, with the same kinematic characteristics.     

The "F str 4077" star HD 177645 as a possible barium dwarf star

The abundances of 12 elements in the atmosphere of the "F str 4077" star HD 177645 have been determined from new spectroscopic observations with the CCD camera and the model atmosphere method. The overabundance of nitrogen found for this star indicates its possible relation to barium dwarfs with anomalies in the chemical composition of their atmospheres due to mass transfer from the more evolved companion in a binary system. As an object related to Ba stars and CH subgiants, HD 177645 with an effective temperature T_eff=7150K may also have anomalies in the chemical composition characteristic of diffusion processes in chemically peculiar stars of the upper main sequence, as may be indicated by the overabundance of sulfur in its atmosphere.Translated fromAstrofizika, Vol. 39, No. 2, pp. 201–209, April–June, 1996.     

Glacier ice mass fluctuations and fault instability in tectonically active Southern Alaska

Across the plate boundary zone in south central Alaska, tectonic strain rates are high in a region that includes large glaciers undergoing wastage (glacier retreat and thinning) and surges. For the coastal region between the Bering and Malaspina Glaciers, the average ice mass thickness changes between 1995 and 2000 range from 1 to 5 m/year. These ice changes caused solid Earth displacements in our study region with predicted values of −10 to 50 mm in the vertical and predicted horizontal displacements of 0–10 mm at variable orientations. Relative to stable North America, observed horizontal rates of tectonic deformation range from 10 to 40 mm/year to the north–northwest and the predicted tectonic uplift rates range from approximately 0 mm/year near the Gulf of Alaska coast to 12 mm/year further inland. The ice mass changes between 1995 and 2000 resulted in discernible changes in the Global Positioning System (GPS) measured station positions of one site (ISLE) located adjacent to the Bagley Ice Valley and at one site, DON, located south of the Bering Glacier terminus. In addition to modifying the surface displacements rates, we evaluated the influence ice changes during the Bering glacier surge cycle had on the background seismic rate. We found an increase in the number of earthquakes (M_L≥2.5) and seismic rate associated with ice thinning and a decrease in the number of earthquakes and seismic rate associated with ice thickening. These results support the hypothesis that ice mass changes can modulate the background seismic rate.During the last century, wastage of the coastal glaciers in the Icy Bay and Malaspina region indicates thinning of hundreds of meters and in areas of major retreat, maximum losses of ice thickness approaching 1 km. Between the 1899 Yakataga and Yakutat earthquakes (M_w=8.1, 8.1) and prior to the 1979 St. Elias earthquake (M_s=7.2), the plate interface below Icy Bay was locked and tectonic strain accumulated. We used estimated ice mass change during the 1899–1979 time period to calculate the change in the fault stability margin (FSM) prior to the 1979 St. Elias earthquake. Our results suggest that a cumulative decrease in the fault stability margin at seismogenic depths, due to ice wastage over 80 years, was large, up to 2 MPa. Ice wastage would promote thrust faulting in events such as the 1979 earthquake and subsequent aftershocks.