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1.
Xavier Fettweis Hubert Gallée Filip Lefebre Jean-Pascal van Ypersele 《Climate Dynamics》2005,24(6):623-640
The 1990 and 1991 ablation seasons over Greenland are simulated with a coupled atmosphere-snow regional climate model with
a 25-km horizontal resolution. The simulated snow water content allows a direct comparison with the satellite-derived melt
signal. The model is forced with 6-hourly ERA-40 reanalysis at its boundaries. An evaluation of the simulated precipitation
and a comparison of the modelled melt zone and the surface albedo with remote sensing observations are presented. Both the
distribution and quantity of the simulated precipitation agree with observations from coastal weather stations, estimates
from other models and the ERA-40 reanalysis. There are overestimations along the steep eastern coast, which are most likely
due to the “topographic barrier effect”. The simulated extent and time evolution of the wet snow zone compare generally well
with satellite-derived data, except during rainfall events on the ice sheet and because of a bias in the passive microwave
retrieved melt signal. Although satellite-based surface albedo retrieval is only valid in the case of clear sky, the interpolation
and the correction of these data enable us to validate the simulated albedo on the scale of the whole Greenland. These two
comparisons highlight a large sensitivity of the remote sensing observations to weather conditions. Our high-resolution climate
model was used to improve the retrieval algorithms by taking more fully into account the atmosphere variability. Finally,
the good agreement of the simulated melting surface with the improved satellite signal allows a detailed estimation of the
melting volume from the simulation. 相似文献
2.
A preindustrial climate experiment was conducted with the third version of the CNRM global atmosphere–ocean–sea ice coupled
model (CNRM-CM3) for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC AR4). This experiment is
used to investigate the main physical processes involved in the variability of the North Atlantic ocean convection and the
induced variability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (MOC). Three ocean convection sites are simulated,
in the Labrador, Irminger and Greenland–Iceland–Norwegian (GIN) Seas in agreement with observations. A mechanism linking the
variability of the Arctic sea ice cover and convection in the GIN Seas is highlighted. Contrary to previous suggested mechanisms,
in CNRM-CM3 the latter is not modulated by the variability of freshwater export through Fram Strait. Instead, the variability
of convection is mainly driven by the variability of the sea ice edge position in the Greenland Sea. In this area, the surface
freshwater balance is dominated by the freshwater input due to the melting of sea ice. The ice edge position is modulated
either by northwestward geostrophic current anomalies or by an intensification of northerly winds. In the model, stronger
than average northerly winds force simultaneous intense convective events in the Irminger and GIN Seas. Convection interacts
with the thermohaline circulation on timescales of 5–10 years, which translates into MOC anomalies propagating southward from
the convection sites. 相似文献
3.
The performance of a snow cover model in capturing the ablation on the Greenland ice sheet is evaluated. This model allows an explicit calculation of the formation of melt water, of the fraction of melt water which re-freezes, and of runoff in the ablation region. The input climate variables to the snowpack model come from two climate models. While the higher resolution general circulation model (ECHAM 4), is closest to observations in its estimate of accumulation, it fails to give accurate results in its predictions of runoff, primarily in the southern half of the ice sheet. The two-dimensional low-resolution climate model (MIT 2D LO) produces estimates of runoff from the Greenland ice sheet within the range of uncertainty of the Inter governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC1) 1995 estimates. Both models reproduce some of the characteristics of the extent of the wet snow zone observed with satellite remote sensing; the MIT model is closer to observations in terms of areal extent and intensity of the melting in the southern half of the ice-sheet in July and August while the ECHAM model reproduces melting in the northern half of the ice sheet well. Changes in runoff from Greenland and Antarctica are often cited as one of the major concerns linked to anthropogenic changes in climate. Because it is based on physical principles and relies on the surface energy balance as input, the snow cover model can respond to the current climatic forcing as well as to future changes in climate on the century time scale without the limitations inherent in empirical parametrizations. For a reference climate scenario similar to the IPCC's IS92a, the model projects that the Greenland ice sheet does not contribute significantly to changes in the level of the ocean over the twenty-first century. Increases in accumulation over the central portion of the ice sheet offset most of the increase in melting and runoff, which takes place along the margins of the ice sheet. The range of uncertainty in the predictions of sea-level rise is estimated by repeating the calculation with the MIT model for seven climate change scenarios. The range is –0.5 to 1.7 cm. 相似文献
4.
Sea ice formed over shallow Arctic shelves often entrains sediments resuspended from the sea floor. Some of this sediment-laden ice advects offshore into the Transpolar Drift Stream and the Beaufort Gyre of the Arctic Basin. Through the processes of seasonal melting at the top surface, and the freezing of clean ice on the bottom surface, these sediments tend, over time, to concentrate at the top of the ice where they can affect the surface albedo, and thus the absorbed solar radiation, when the ice is snow free. Similarly, wind-blown dust can reduce the albedo of snow. The question that is posed by this study is what is the impact of these sediments on the seasonal variation of sea ice, and how does it then affect climate? Experiments were conducted with a coupled energy balance climate-thermodynamic sea ice model to examine the impact of including sediments in the sea ice alone and in the sea ice and overlying snow. The focus of these experiments was the impact of the radiative and not the thermal properties of the sediments. The results suggest that if sea ice contains a significant amount of sediments which are covered by clean snow, there is only a small impact on the climate system. However, if the snow also contains significant sediments the impact on sea ice thickness and surface air temperature is much more significant. 相似文献
5.
Climate sensitivity studies of the Greenland ice sheet using satellite AVHRR,SMMR, SSM/I and in situ data 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Summary The feasibility of using satellite data for climate research over the Greenland ice sheet is discussed. In particular, we demonstrate the usefulness of Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) Local Area Coverage (LAC) and Global Area Coverage (GAC) data for narrow-band albedo retrieval. Our study supports the use of lower resolution AVHRR (GAC) data for process studies over most of the Greenland ice sheet. Based on LAC data time series analysis, we can resolve relative albedo changes on the order of 2–5%. In addition, we examine Scanning Multichannel Microwave Radiometer (SMMR) and Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/I) passive microwave data for snow typing and other signals of climatological significance. Based on relationships between in situ measurements and horizontally polarized 19 and 37 GHz observations, wet snow regions are identified. The wet snow regions increase in aerial percentage from 9% of the total ice surface in June to a maximum of 26% in August 1990. Furthermore, the relationship between brightness temperatures and accumulation rates in the northeastern part of Greenland is described. We found a consistent increase in accumulation rate for the northeastern part of the ice sheet from 1981 to 1986.With 16 Figures 相似文献
6.
The effect of snow on Antarctic sea ice simulations in a coupled atmosphere-sea ice model 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The effect of a snow cover on sea ice accretion and ablation is estimated based on the ‘zero-layer’ version sea ice model
of Semtner, and is examined using a coupled atmosphere-sea ice model including feedbacks and ice dynamics effects. When snow
is disregarded in the coupled model the averaged Antarctic sea ice becomes thicker. When only half of the snowfall predicted
by the atmospheric model is allowed to land on the ice surface sea ice gets thicker in most of the Weddell and Ross Seas but
thinner in East Antarctic in winter, with the average slightly thicker. When twice as much snowfall as predicted by the atmospheric
model is assumed to land on the ice surface sea ice also gets much thicker due to the large increase of snow-ice formation.
These results indicate the importance of the correct simulation of the snow cover over sea ice and snow-ice formation in the
Antarctic. Our results also illustrate the complex feedback effects of the snow cover in global climate models. In this study
we have also tested the use of a mean value of 0.16 Wm-1 K-1 instead of 0.31 for the thermal conductivity of snow in the coupled model, based on the most recent observations in the eastern
Antarctic and Bellingshausen and Amundsen Seas, and have found that the sea ice distribution changes greatly, with the ice
becoming much thinner by about 0.2 m in the Antarctic and about 0.4 m in the Arctic on average. This implies that the magnitude
of the thermal conductivity of snow is of considerable importance for the simulation of the sea ice distribution. An appropriate
value of the thermal conductivity of snow is as crucial as the depth of the snow layer and the snowfall rate in a sea ice
model. The coupled climate models require accurate values of the effective thermal conductivity of snow from observations
for validating the simulated sea ice distribution under the present climate conditions.
Received: 20 November 1997/Accepted: 27 July 1998 相似文献
7.
Past and future polar amplification of climate change: climate model intercomparisons and ice-core constraints 总被引:2,自引:2,他引:2
V. Masson-Delmotte M. Kageyama P. Braconnot S. Charbit G. Krinner C. Ritz E. Guilyardi J. Jouzel A. Abe-Ouchi M. Crucifix R. M. Gladstone C. D. Hewitt A. Kitoh A. N. LeGrande O. Marti U. Merkel T. Motoi R. Ohgaito B. Otto-Bliesner W. R. Peltier I. Ross P. J. Valdes G. Vettoretti S. L. Weber F. Wolk Y. YU 《Climate Dynamics》2006,26(5):513-529
Climate model simulations available from the PMIP1, PMIP2 and CMIP (IPCC-AR4) intercomparison projects for past and future
climate change simulations are examined in terms of polar temperature changes in comparison to global temperature changes
and with respect to pre-industrial reference simulations. For the mid-Holocene (MH, 6,000 years ago), the models are forced
by changes in the Earth’s orbital parameters. The MH PMIP1 atmosphere-only simulations conducted with sea surface temperatures
fixed to modern conditions show no MH consistent response for the poles, whereas the new PMIP2 coupled atmosphere–ocean climate
models systematically simulate a significant MH warming both for Greenland (but smaller than ice-core based estimates) and
Antarctica (consistent with the range of ice-core based range). In both PMIP1 and PMIP2, the MH annual mean changes in global
temperature are negligible, consistent with the MH orbital forcing. The simulated last glacial maximum (LGM, 21,000 years
ago) to pre-industrial change in global mean temperature ranges between 3 and 7°C in PMIP1 and PMIP2 model runs, similar to
the range of temperature change expected from a quadrupling of atmospheric CO2 concentrations in the CMIP simulations. Both LGM and future climate simulations are associated with a polar amplification
of climate change. The range of glacial polar amplification in Greenland is strongly dependent on the ice sheet elevation
changes prescribed to the climate models. All PMIP2 simulations systematically underestimate the reconstructed glacial–interglacial
Greenland temperature change, while some of the simulations do capture the reconstructed glacial–interglacial Antarctic temperature
change. Uncertainties in the prescribed central ice cap elevation cannot account for the temperature change underestimation
by climate models. The variety of climate model sensitivities enables the exploration of the relative changes in polar temperature
with respect to changes in global temperatures. Simulated changes of polar temperatures are strongly related to changes in
simulated global temperatures for both future and LGM climates, confirming that ice-core-based reconstructions provide quantitative
insights on global climate changes.
An erratum to this article can be found at 相似文献
8.
Beraki Asmerom F. Morioka Yushi Engelbrecht Francois A. Nonaka Masami Thatcher Marcus Kobo Nomkwezane Behera Swadhin 《Climate Dynamics》2020,54(11):4775-4792
Climate Dynamics - The study examines the influence of external climate forcings, and atmosphere–ocean–sea–ice coupled interaction on the Southern Hemisphere (SH) atmospheric... 相似文献
9.
Snow cover fraction (SCF) has a significant influence on the surface albedo and thus on the radiation balance and surface
climate. Long-term three dimensional simulations with general circulation models (GCMs) show that the SCF greatly affects
the climate in the Northern Hemisphere. By means of both ground observations and remotely sensed data, several deficiencies
in the SCF simulated by the current ECHAM4 GCM were identified: over mountainous areas a substantial overestimation in the
SCF was found whereas flat areas showed a distinctly underestimated SCF. This work proposes a new parametrization of the SCF
for use in GCMs. Evaluations illustrate that it is beneficial to distinguish between the following three terrains: (1) flat,
non-forested areas, (2) mountainous regions and (3) forests. The modified SCF parametrization for flat, non-forested areas
was derived by using global datasets of ground-based snow depth and remote sensing observations of snow cover data. A 3-dimensional
ECHAM4 simulation showed that this modification raises the SCF by up to approximately 20%, mainly in areas with a relatively
thin snow cover. The comparison between remotely sensed and simulated mean monthly surface albedo revealed a significant overestimation
of the surface albedo in snow-covered mountainous areas. An extension of the current SCF parametrization in ECHAM4 to take
into account mountain effects, based on the French climate model Arpège, yielded a close agreement with satellite-derived
surface albedo. The adoption of the submodel for snow albedo, as used in the Canadian Land Surface Scheme (CLASS), combined
with a newly developed simple snow interception model, demonstrated the ability to capture the main physical processes of
snow-covered canopies, including the albedo. The validation of the new parametrization with Boreal Ecosystem-Atmosphere Study
(BOREAS) field data showed that the modification is appropriate to capture the main features of the albedo over snow-covered
forests during and after heavy snowfall events. Furthermore, the proposed modification has a beneficial impact on the delayed
snow melt in spring, a well-known problem in many current GCMs: The simulated surface albedo over the boreal forests decreases
by approximately 0.1 during winter and spring, which is in better agreement with ground-based observations. This induces a
significant rise in the surface temperature over extended parts of Eurasia and North America in late spring, which subsequently
yields a faster snowmelt and an accelerated retreat of the snow line.
Received: 28 April 2000 / Accepted: 18 December 2000 相似文献
10.
J. Venkata Ratnam Filippo Giorgi Akshara Kaginalkar Stefano Cozzini 《Climate Dynamics》2009,33(1):119-139
A regional coupled atmosphere–ocean model was developed to study the role of air–sea interactions in the simulation of the
Indian summer monsoon. The coupled model includes the regional climate model (RegCM3) as atmospheric component and the regional
ocean modeling system (ROMS) as oceanic component. The two-way coupled model system exchanges sea surface temperature (SST)
from the ocean to the atmospheric model and surface wind stress and energy fluxes from the atmosphere to the ocean model.
The coupled model is run for four years 1997, 1998, 2002 and 2003 and the results are compared with observations and atmosphere-only
model runs employing Reynolds SSTs as lower boundary condition. It is found that the coupled model captures the main features
of the Indian monsoon and simulates a substantially more realistic spatial and temporal distribution of monsoon rainfall compared
to the uncoupled atmosphere-only model. The intraseasonal oscillations are also better simulated in the coupled model compared
to the atmosphere-only model. These improvements are due to a better representation of the feedbacks between the SST and convection
and highlight the importance of air–sea coupling in the simulation of the Indian monsoon. 相似文献
11.
Annual cycles of monthly albedos simulated with a general circulation model (GCM) are compared with surface observations.
The data observed at 35 stations are retrieved from the Global Energy Balance Archive (GEBA) and drawn from the soil moisture
and meteorological observations in the former Soviet Union. The model data are obtained with the ECHAM4 GCM in a ten-year
simulation of the present-day climate at T106 resolution. The model calculated albedo values are modified before they are
compared with the surface observations: They are interpolated to the stations and adjusted to account for altitude differences
and fractional forest area. During the snow-free period, the model underestimates the albedo by up to 0.05 at the stations
(with values between 0.2 and 0.25 measured over short grass) because the albedo for grassland is too low in the model. During
the period with seasonal snow cover, the model underestimates the albedo by up to 0.2 at stations in Russia, Scandinavia and
Canada, which experience severe winters. This underestimation is due to an oversimplified parameterization of the snow covered
grid fraction and an inadequate linear relation between snow albedo and temperature. The derivative of albedo with respect
to the forest fraction implemented in ECHAM is in line with the observations, although a small overestimation of the model’s
gradient has been detected.
Received: 3 July 1998 / Accepted: 24 December 1998 相似文献
12.
In this research, we studied the effects of black carbon (BC) aerosol radiative forcing on seasonal variation in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) using numerical simulations with the NASA finite-volume General Circulation Model (fvGCM) forced with monthly varying three-dimensional aerosol distributions from the Goddard Ozone Chemistry Aerosol Radiation and Transport Model (GOCART). The results show that atmospheric warming due to black carbon aerosols subsequently warm the atmosphere and land surfaces, especially those over Eurasia. As a result, the snow depth in Eurasia was greatly reduced in late winter and spring, and the reduction in snow cover decreased the surface albedo. Our surface energy balance analysis shows that the surface warming due to aerosol absorption causes early snow melting and further increases surface-atmosphere warming through snow/ice albedo feedback. Therefore, BC aerosol forcing may be an important factor affecting the snow/ice albedo in the NH. 相似文献
13.
We assess two parametrisations of sea-ice in a coupled atmosphere–mixed layer ocean–sea-ice model. One parametrisation represents
the thermodynamic properties of sea-ice formation alone (THERM), while the other also includes advection of the ice (DYN).
The inclusion of some sea-ice dynamics improves the model's simulation of the present day sea-ice cover when compared to observations.
Two climate change scenarios are used to investigate the effect of these different parametrisations on the model's climate
sensitivity. The scenarios are the equilibrium response to a doubling of atmospheric CO2 and the response to imposed glacial boundary conditions. DYN produces a smaller temperature response to a doubling of CO2 than THERM. The temperature response of THERM is more similar to DYN in the glacial case than in the 2×CO2 case which implies that the climate sensitivity of THERM and DYN varies with the nature of the forcing. The different responses
can largely be explained by the different distribution of Southern Hemisphere sea-ice cover in the control simulations, with
the inclusion of ice dynamics playing an important part in producing the differences. This emphasises the importance of realistically
simulating the reference climatic state when attempting to simulate a climate change to a prescribed forcing. The simulated
glacial sea-ice cover is consistent with the limited palaeodata in both THERM and DYN, but DYN simulates a more realistic
present day sea-ice cover. We conclude that the inclusion of simple ice dynamics in our model increases our confidence in
the simulation of the anomaly climate.
Received: 24 May 2000 / Accepted: 25 October 2000 相似文献
14.
This paper investigates the possible implications for the earth-system of a melting of the Greenland ice-sheet. Such a melting is a possible result of increased high latitude temperatures due to increasing anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Using an atmosphere-ocean general circulation model (AOGCM), we investigate the effects of the removal of the ice sheet on atmospheric temperatures, circulation, and precipitation. We find that locally over Greenland, there is a warming associated directly with the altitude change in winter, and the altitude and albedo change in summer. Outside of Greenland, the largest signal is a cooling over the Barents sea in winter. We attribute this cooling to a decrease in poleward heat transport in the region due to changes to the time mean circulation and eddies, and interaction with sea-ice. The simulated climate is used to force a vegetation model and an ice-sheet model. We find that the Greenland climate in the absence of an ice sheet supports the growth of trees in southern Greenland, and grass in central Greenland. We find that the ice sheet is likely to regrow following a melting of the Greenland ice sheet, the subsequent rebound of its bedrock, and a return to present day atmospheric CO2 concentrations. This regrowth is due to the high altitude bedrock in eastern Greenland which allows the growth of glaciers which develop into an ice sheet. 相似文献
15.
Qinghua YANG Jiping LIU Matti LEPPRANTA Qizhen SUN Rongbin LI Lin ZHANG Thomas JUNG Ruibo LEI Zhanhai ZHANG Ming LI Jiechen ZHAO Jingjing CHENG 《大气科学进展》2016,33(5):535-543
The snow/sea-ice albedo was measured over coastal landfast sea ice in Prydz Bay, East Antarctica(off Zhongshan Station)during the austral spring and summer of 2010 and 2011. The variation of the observed albedo was a combination of a gradual seasonal transition from spring to summer and abrupt changes resulting from synoptic events, including snowfall, blowing snow, and overcast skies. The measured albedo ranged from 0.94 over thick fresh snow to 0.36 over melting sea ice. It was found that snow thickness was the most important factor influencing the albedo variation, while synoptic events and overcast skies could increase the albedo by about 0.18 and 0.06, respectively. The in-situ measured albedo and related physical parameters(e.g., snow thickness, ice thickness, surface temperature, and air temperature) were then used to evaluate four different snow/ice albedo parameterizations used in a variety of climate models. The parameterized albedos showed substantial discrepancies compared to the observed albedo, particularly during the summer melt period, even though more complex parameterizations yielded more realistic variations than simple ones. A modified parameterization was developed,which further considered synoptic events, cloud cover, and the local landfast sea-ice surface characteristics. The resulting parameterized albedo showed very good agreement with the observed albedo. 相似文献
16.
Jacqueline Flückiger Reto Knutti James W. C. White Hans Renssen 《Climate Dynamics》2008,31(6):633-645
Greenland ice cores, as well as many other paleo-archives from the northern hemisphere, recorded a series of 25 warm interstadial
events, the so-called Dansgaard-Oeschger (D-O) events, during the last glacial period. We use the three-dimensional coupled
global ocean–atmosphere–sea ice model ECBILT-CLIO and force it with freshwater input into the North Atlantic to simulate abrupt
glacial climate events, which we use as analogues for D-O events. We focus our analysis on the Northern Hemisphere. The simulated
events show large differences in the regional and seasonal distribution of the temperature and precipitation changes. While
the temperature changes in high northern latitudes and in the North Atlantic region are dominated by winter changes, the largest
temperature increases in most other land regions are seen in spring. Smallest changes over land are found during the summer
months. Our model simulations also demonstrate that the temperature and precipitation change patterns for different intensifications
of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation are not linear. The extent of the transitions varies, and local non-linearities
influence the amplitude of the annual mean response as well as the response in different seasons. Implications for the interpretation
of paleo-records are discussed. 相似文献
17.
Miren Vizcaíno Uwe Mikolajewicz Matthias Gröger Ernst Maier-Reimer Guy Schurgers Arne M. E. Winguth 《Climate Dynamics》2008,31(6):665-690
Several multi-century and multi-millennia simulations have been performed with a complex Earth System Model (ESM) for different
anthropogenic climate change scenarios in order to study the long-term evolution of sea level and the impact of ice sheet
changes on the climate system. The core of the ESM is a coupled coarse-resolution Atmosphere–Ocean General Circulation Model
(AOGCM). Ocean biogeochemistry, land vegetation and ice sheets are included as components of the ESM. The Greenland Ice Sheet
(GrIS) decays in all simulations, while the Antarctic ice sheet contributes negatively to sea level rise, due to enhanced
storage of water caused by larger snowfall rates. Freshwater flux increases from Greenland are one order of magnitude smaller
than total freshwater flux increases into the North Atlantic basin (the sum of the contribution from changes in precipitation,
evaporation, run-off and Greenland meltwater) and do not play an important role in changes in the strength of the North Atlantic
Meridional Overturning Circulation (NAMOC). The regional climate change associated with weakening/collapse of the NAMOC drastically
reduces the decay rate of the GrIS. The dynamical changes due to GrIS topography modification driven by mass balance changes
act first as a negative feedback for the decay of the ice sheet, but accelerate the decay at a later stage. The increase of
surface temperature due to reduced topographic heights causes a strong acceleration of the decay of the ice sheet in the long
term. Other feedbacks between ice sheet and atmosphere are not important for the mass balance of the GrIS until it is reduced
to 3/4 of the original size. From then, the reduction in the albedo of Greenland strongly accelerates the decay of the ice
sheet. 相似文献
18.
Abstract This study reports on the implementation of an interactive mixed‐layer/thermodynamic‐ice lake model coupled with the Canadian Regional Climate Model (CRCM). For this application the CRCM, which uses a grid mesh of 45 km on a polar stereographic projection, 10 vertical levels, and a timestep of 15 min, is nested with the second generation Canadian General Circulation Model (GCM) simulated output. A numerical simulation of the climate of eastern North America, including the Laurentian Great Lakes, is then performed in order to evaluate the coupled model. The lakes are represented by a “mixed layer” model to simulate the evolution of the surface water temperature, and a thermodynamic ice model to simulate evolution of the ice cover. The mixed‐layer depth is allowed to vary spatially. Lake‐ice leads are parametrized as a function of ice thickness based on observations. Results from a 5‐year integration show that the coupled CRCM/lake model is capable of simulating the seasonal evolution of surface temperature and ice cover in the Great Lakes. When compared with lake climatology, the simulated mean surface water temperature agrees within 0.12°C on average. The seasonal evolution of the lake‐ice cover is realistic but the model tends to underestimate the monthly mean ice concentration on average. The simulated winter lake‐induced precipitation is also shown, and snow accumulation patterns on downwind shores of the lakes are found to be realistic when compared with observations. 相似文献
19.
Climate modification by future ice sheet changes and consequences for ice sheet mass balance 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
The future evolution of global ice sheets under anthropogenic greenhouse forcing and its impact on the climate system, including the regional climate of the ice sheets, are investigated with a comprehensive earth system model consisting of a coupled Atmosphere–Ocean General Circulation Model, a dynamic vegetation model and an ice sheet model. The simulated control climate is realistic enough to permit a direct coupling of the atmosphere and ice sheet components, avoiding the use of anomaly coupling, which represents a strong improvement with respect to previous modelling studies. Glacier ablation is calculated with an energy-balance scheme, a more physical approach than the commonly used degree-day method. Modifications of glacier mask, topographic height and freshwater fluxes by the ice sheets influence the atmosphere and ocean via dynamical and thermodynamical processes. Several simulations under idealized scenarios of greenhouse forcing have been performed, where the atmospheric carbon dioxide stabilizes at two and four times pre-industrial levels. The evolution of the climate system and the ice sheets in the simulations with interactive ice sheets is compared with the simulations with passively coupled ice sheets. For a four-times CO2 scenario forcing, a faster decay rate of the Greenland ice sheet is found in the non-interactive case, where melting rates are higher. This is caused by overestimation of the increase in near-surface temperature that follows the reduction in topographic height. In areas close to retreating margins, melting rates are stronger in the interactive case, due to changes in local albedo. Our results call for careful consideration of the feedbacks operating between ice sheets and climate after substantial decay of the ice sheets. 相似文献
20.
Guy Schurgers Uwe Mikolajewicz Matthias Gröger Ernst Maier-Reimer Miren Vizcaíno Arne Winguth 《Climate Dynamics》2007,29(4):357-373
Transient experiments for the Eemian (128–113 ky BP) were performed with a complex, coupled earth system model, including
atmosphere, ocean, terrestrial biosphere and marine biogeochemistry. In order to investigate the effect of land surface parameters
(background albedo, vegetation and tree fraction and roughness length) on the simulated changes during the Eemian, simulations
with interactive coupling between climate and vegetation were compared with additional experiments in which these feedbacks
were suppressed. The experiments show that the influence of land surface on climate is mainly caused by changes in the albedo.
For the northern hemisphere high latitudes, land surface albedo is changed partially due to the direct albedo effect of the
conversion of grasses into forest, but the indirect effect of forests on snow albedo appears to be the major factor influencing
the total absorption of solar radiation. The Western Sahara region experiences large changes in land surface albedo due to
the appearance of vegetation between 128 and 120 ky BP. These local land surface albedo changes can be as much as 20%, thereby
affecting the local as well as the global energy balance. On a global scale, latent heat loss over land increases more than
10% for 126 ky BP compared to present-day. 相似文献