Deformation properties of the lithosphere derived from data on recent crustal movements of the earth

aamuam a¶rt;aa ¶rt;uu ¶rt; m u¶rt;mu, uau n¶rt; uu mua ¶rt;uu a uau u . a auu au mmuu mam ¶rt;au mua ¶rt;uu ¶rt;am m am ¶rt; ¶rt;au ma um.     

Influence of the IMF sector boundaries on cosmic rays and tropospheric vorticity

Summary The effect of the IMF sector boundary crossing (IMF SBC) in the vorticity area index (VAI) — the well-known dip in the VAI after IMF SBC — is found to be independent of the IMF SBC effect in the cosmic ray flux. This finding refutes a recent suggestion by Lundstedt [1] that the IMF SBC effect in VAI is caused by a decrease in cosmic ray flux, but supports the concept of the IMF SBC effects in the ionosphere and atmosphere developed by Latovika [2–4]. Cosmic rays seem to affect the troposphere in another way.

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¶rt;mu nu mau nam aum n ( ) a u¶rt; na¶rt;u aumu () — um uu n — a¶rt; auu m ma nm uu . mm mam nam ¶rt;a n¶rt;u ¶rt;m¶rt;a [1], m m a nuu nma uu , n¶rt;¶rt;uam nu m u u am, aum amu [2–4]. am m uu u m um a mn ¶rt;u a.

     

Magma transport and reservoir formation by a system of propagating cracks

A system of propagating cracks may explain magma transport and the evolution of a volcano. This paper considers only a basaltic magma. The system is controlled by two boundary conditions: the stress field, and the production rate of the magma-filled cracks in the mantle. Numerical solutions of crack propagation for various stress conditions, with a constant production rate high enough to coalesce isolated cracks, were performed, and the results applied to different tectonic conditions. For the hydrostatic stress conditions, most magma-filled cracks beneath a polygenetic volcano become trapped either in the lower crust, because there the density difference between magma and the host rocks () becomes suddenly small, compared with that in the mantle, or trapped in the upper crust, because there is near to zero. Magma traps composed of such cracks may grow into magma reservoirs if the production rate of cracks in the mantle is large. If horizontal stress with a vertical gradient is superimposed on the hydrostatic condition in the crust, that is, tensile stress which increases upward or compressional stress which increases downward, magmafilled cracks, even if the density of magma is higher than that of the crust, may ascend directly without trapping. When the crust undergoes relative tension, magma-filled cracks may become trapped. Then, the lower part of the trap may grow into a magma reservoir, while the upper part may become filled with dikes. When the production rate of cracks is small, an initial magma-filled crack can rise directly to the surface only when the stress with a gradient is superimposed as mentioned above, or when the average density in a crack decreases, owing to, for example, vesiculation of volatile components.     

Geophysical investigations on manned spacecrafts

Summary Review has been made of the first results and perspectives of investigations in geophysics and bordering sciences (geology, geography, agrobiology, etc.) by means of manned orbital space laboratories. Relatively detailed discussion is given to the problems of the interpretation of terrain feature pictures from space. Attentively considered are the technique and results of the photometric processing of atmospheric photographs near the horizon with the purpose of studying atmospheric optical non-homogeneities (in particular, aerosol layers). The possible investigations based on the use of data about the outgoing radiation spectra are mentioned. (, , .) . . ( , ) . .     

Optimization of determining the additional constant of an electronic distance meter

Summary The optimization of the method of determining the addition constant of an EDM is discussed. The advantages of the optimization procedure from the point of view of efficiency and improvement of accuracy are reported.

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nuuu ¶rt; n¶rt;u a¶rt;¶rt;uu n ¶rt;. u nu n u uu u nu u.

     

Spectral theory of electromagnetic induction in a radially and laterally inhomogeneous earth

Summary The partial differential equations of electromagnetic induction in a 3-D Earth of inhomogeneous conductivity are reduced to a system of ordinary differential equations of the 2nd order for the spectral coefficients of the field.

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au am nu¶rt; ¶rt; maum u¶rt;uu u m ¶rt;¶rt; n n¶rt;umu n¶rt; um ¶rt;uua au m n¶rt;a ¶rt; nma uum n.

     

A relationship between phonon conductivity and seismic parameter Φ for silicate minerals

Summary The relationship between the phonon conductivity at room temperature (K _N ) and the seismic parameter () for silicate minerals is suggested. The considerations are based on the Debye model of thermal energy transport phenomena in solids and on the seismic equation of state for silicates and oxides given byAnderson (1967). The semiempirical relationship is the formK _N = 0.43^0.82 where is in km²/s² andK _N in mcal/cm s K, and the empirical relationship isK _N =(0.528±0.006) –(8.18±2.11). The laboratory data on thermal and elastic properties for several silicates were taken fromHorai andSimmons (1970).     

Forecast of abnormally high solar activity in the next century and of its possible negative effects on the earth

Summary Based on the relation between the relative sunspot number R, the number of sunspot groups f ₀ generated per unit time on the Sun as a whole and their average lifetime T ₀ , and on the extrapolation of time behaviour of f ₀ and T ₀ , it is proved that abnormally high solar activity may be expected in the first half of the 21st century. At this time, the maximum annual relative sunspot numbers R_M of the 11-year cycles should reach values of about 300 units. This abnormally high solar activity in the next century can be understood as the antipole of the Maunderean minimum. This forecast is used to discuss some of the possible consequences of this abnormally high solar activity for the processes on the Earth: changes of climate (heat waves and draughts in Central Europe), in the higher layers of the Earth's atmosphere (anomalous propagation of radio waves, increased effect of the density of the upper atmosphere on the orbits of man-made satellites), in seismicity (increased seismic activity in Europe and Southeast Asia), for technical devices (induced electric currents), in the biosphere. etc.

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a mu ¶rt; uau a R nm, unn nm f ₀ uu ¶rt;uu u a ë u u ¶rt; n¶rt;ummu uu ₀ , u a manuu ¶rt;a f ₀ u ₀ , naa, m n nu ¶rt; 21 a u¶rt;am uum amum. aua¶rt;u ua a R m¶rt; 11-mu ua m u ¶rt;muam au 300 ¶rt;uu. m uum amum ¶rt; nuam a amun¶rt; a¶rt; uua. a m na ¶rt;am m n¶rt;mu m uum amumu a n nmau a : a uu uama (aa u a n¶rt;a ¶rt; n), a u u am u (aa anmau a¶rt;u, uu n nmmu u am a ¶rt;uu um m), a um (na ua amum n u -m uu), a muu mma (u¶rt;ua muu mu), a u u ma ¶rt;a.

     

Die Seismizität der Türkei

Summary Using the fromulae given byGutenberg andRichter, the writer has computed the magnitude and energy of 1804 earthquakes which occurred in Turkey during the period 1850–1960. For drawing the Isenerget, the formula =log₁₀ S has been used in accordance with the definitions given byToperczer andTrapp, whereS=e _i/F·p represents the energy in erg/m² h corresponding to the surface element of 0.5° Lat. x 0.5° Long. Also the relationship between the seismicity and the tectonics of Turkey has been studied by drawing the maps of the epicenters, the focus-depths and the frequences of the earthquakes with various intensities.     

Regional trends in European induction data

n ¶rt;a, n¶rt;mau 531 au ¶rt; u aum m u¶rt;uu n mumu ana¶rt;, ¶rt; u -m n, aauum ¶rt;um u u amuaa n¶rt;naa ma ua aama. uu nmam an¶rt;u ¶rt; u aum aam ¶rt;au cuu uP _n ^m , n¶rt;am mn n=1, 2, 3 u 5 (m n). u uua ¶rt;a¶rt;amu uu n¶rt;mauu uum au (a. 1) u u n aumam uu nmu, m n¶rt;mam u¶rt; am uuu ¶rt; u aum (u. 1–4). annuau 2 u 5 mn nm ma am mmmu m (u. 5, 6). ama uuu u m aam amu uu uma.     

Inverse problems of satellite meteorology

Summary The paper presents a review of the possibilities of using meteorological satellites for investigating various atmospheric phenomena and obtaining data on the physical condition of the atmosphere required for realizing the numerical methods of weather forecast, the synoptical analysis and other purposes. To avoid repetition the review does not include the much important material in the field of satellite meteorology which had been dealt with in earlier reviews.

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, , . , .

     

Tidal deformations of viscoelastic body

Summary The tidal deformations of a viscoelastic body are studied using the simple Kelvin-Voigt model. Expressions for the phase lag and amplitude change of the displacement vector are derived. The energy dissipation rate is calculated for the main disturbing bodies and for diurnal and semidiurnal tidal waves.

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am nuu ¶rt;auu n ma ua-ma. ¶rt; au ¶rt; ana¶rt;au a u uu anum¶rt; ma u. aumaa m ¶rt;uunauu uu ¶rt; u a a m u nm .

     

Effect of the additional low-sensitivity channel on the amplitude response of the electromagnetic seismograph

u¶rt;m ¶rt; anum¶rt;-amm aamumu maum a aa nu mummu (). ma¶rt;am aamumu uu mau auma uu am auu a uu aaa aa.     

Supply of energy to the magnetosphere during the main phase of magnetic storms

au u¶rt;um u mu ¶rt; umu u amu, aa aum, u nuu anmuaum n mu , a ma u n¶rt;nu, m amau uu aum mu u( a a) nnua nu u nam nmama aum mu, aa naam uu . au mmuu mu u a auu ¶rt;a aaua a ¶rt;am a mum uumuu naam ¶rt;a na u ama, n¶rt; a¶rt; uu nu aua ¶rt;nuuaum n mu u. mu ¶rt; num uu, a mmmuu namu naamau , ¶rt; m¶rt; u aua nuu anmuaum n, auam mn uu, a m naama .     

Changes in the shape of the circumpolar vortex due to heating from above

Summary Based on model considerations it is shown that, under certain assumptions, zonalization of tropospheric circulation may be expected in the region of the auroral oval as a result of heat released at the time energetic electrons penetrate from the Sun into the lower stratosphere.

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a auu ¶rt; a¶rt;u naa, m nu m n¶rt;nu u¶rt;am auau mn uuu amu aa aa mam ¶rt;u mna nuu mumu m u a u mam.

     

The optimum Bayesian probability procedure and the prediction of strong earthquakes felt in Mexico city

Bayes' theorem has possible application to earthquake prediction because it can be used to represent the dependence of the inter-arrival time (T) of thenext event on magnitude (M) of thepreceding earthquake (Ferraes, 1975;Bufe et al., 1977;Shimazaki andNakata, 1980;Sykes andQuittmeyer, 1981). First, we derive the basic formulas, assuming that the earthquake process behaves as a Poisson process. Under this assumption the likelihood probabilities are determined by the Poisson distribution (Ferraes, 1985) after which we introduce the conjugate family of Gamma prior distributions. Finally, to maximize the posterior Bayesian probabilityP(/M) we use calculus and introduce the analytical condition .Subsequently we estimate the occurrence of the next future large earthquake to be felt in Mexico City. Given the probabilistic model, the prediction is obtained from the data set that include all events withM7.5 felt in Mexico City from 1900 to 1985. These earthquakes occur in the Middle-America trench, along Mexico, but are felt in Mexico City. To see the full significance of the analysis, we give the result using two models: (1) The Poisson-Gamma, and (2) The Poisson-Exponential (a special case of the Gamma).Using the Poisson-Gamma model, the next expected event will occur in the next time interval =2.564 years from the last event (occurred on September 19, 1985) or equivalently, the expected event will occur approximately in April, 1988.Using the Poisson-Exponential model, the next expected damaging earthquake will occur in the next time interval =2.381 years from the last event, or equivalently in January, 1988.It should be noted that very strong agreement exists between the two predicted occurrence times, using both models.     

Automation of measuring the temperature dependence of electrical conductivity of rocks using a PMD-85-1 microcomputer

Summary The new for measuring the electrical conductivity of rocks and minerals developed in the Geophysical Institute is briefly discussed. Unlike the earlier method it uses a PMD-85-1 microcomputer and related equipment (all of CMEA production), which enable the automatic control of the experiment, collection, evaluation, graphic display and storage of the results. This method is verified by measuring the electrical conductivities of granitoids.

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am nua m¶rt; uu mn¶rt;mu n¶rt; u ua ¶rt;a uu umumm . muuu m n¶rt;u¶rt; m¶rt;a unm unmPMD-85-1 u nua¶rt;au nuuu ( nu¶rt;ma ), m nm mm amamu nau numa, , am,au uau u anu mam uu. mm m¶rt; nm n uu mn¶rt;muaumu¶rt;.

     

On the problem of quasi-electrostatic whistler mode waves: A possible interpretation of discrete plasmaspheric emissions

Summary In a number of VLF experiments with low-orbiting Intercosmos satellites, high-intensity, discrete VLF emissions at frequencies above the local LHR were observed predominantly between L=2.3 and 4.0. The frequency of their intensity maximum varies continuously with geomagnetic latitude, and approximately parallels the value of a quarter of the equatorial electron gyrofrequency. An attempt is made to interprete these emissions in terms of quasi-electrostatic whistler-mode waves, generated in the near-equatorial region and propagating downward in the quasi-resonance mode. The generating mechanism is supposed to be the kinetic instability connected with the loss-cone and temperature anisotropy of the distribution function of energetic electrons. Some features of the discrete plasmaspheric emissions are discussed on the basis of theoretical considerations.

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¶rt; num a umu nmua m a¶rt;au umu ¶rt;um -uu a amma, a amm , num ¶rt; L=2,3 u L=4. amma aua umumu mu uu um uuaum um u nuuum aa mmu amuauamm m. ¶rt;numa nnma umnmuam mu uu mua aummamuu um , ¶rt;a nuamua amu u anmau u au-a u. ¶rt;naam, m mu uu ¶rt;am mam umu mumu an¶rt;u u m, aumnu mnam u nm u uu an¶rt;u. n mmu aau ¶rt;am m mu ¶rt;umm na uu.

     

La fonction d'appui dans les formules de la géodésie mathématique

na ma¶rt;uu n ¶rt;a amamu¶rt;uu ¶rt; una, unu¶rt;a au u m unu¶rt;a — u nua na u n u, m. . nmu, ¶rt; amamu uu.     

Instantaneous photochemical rates in the global stratosphere

Starting with the average actual distribution of ozone (Dütsch [15]) and temperature in the stratosphere, we have calculated the solar intensity as a function of wavelength and the instantaneous rates (molecules cm^–3 sec^–1) for each Chapman reaction and for each of several reactions of the oxides of nitrogen. The calculation is similar to that ofBrewer andWilson [5]. These reaction rates were calculated independently in each volume element in spherical polar coordinates defined by R=1 km from zero to 50, =5° latitude, and ø=15° longitude (thus including day and night conditions). Calculations were made for two times: summer-winter (January 15) and spring-fall (March 22). As input data we take observed solar intensities (Ackerman [1]) and observed, critically evaluated. constants for elementary chemical and photochemical reactions; no adjustable parameters are employed. (These are not photochemical equilibrium calculations.) According to the Chapman model, the instantaneous, integrated, world-wide rate of formation of ozone from sunlight is about five times faster than the rate of ozone destruction, and locally (lower tropical stratosphere) the rate of ozone formation exceeds the rate of destruction by a factors as great as 1000. The global rates of increase of ozone are more than 50 times faster thanBrewer andWilson's [5] estimate of the average annual transfer rate of ozone to the troposphere. The rate constants of the Chapman reactions are believed to be well-enough known that it is highly improbable that these discrepancies are, due to erroneous rate constants. It is concluded that something else besides neutral oxygen species is very important in stratospheric ozone photochemistry. The inclusion of a uniform concentration of the oxides of nitrogen (NO_x as, NO and NO₂) averaging 6.6×10^–9 mole fraction gives a balance between global ozone formation and destruction rates. The inclusion of a uniform mole fraction of NO_x at 28×10^–9 also gives a global balance. These calculations support the hypethesis (Crutzen [10],Johnston [24]) that the oxides of nitrogen are the most important factor in the global, natural ozone balance. Several authors have recently evaluated the natural source strength of NO_x in the stratosphere; the projected fleets of supersonic transports would constitute an artificial source of NO_x about equal to the natural value, thus promising more or less to double an active natural stratospheric ingredient.