海洋工程设计风速与波高的联合分布

选取我国渤海某处21a的风暴过程后报资料,考虑风暴发生频次的影响,提出泊松二维逻辑分布,并且将其用于海洋石油工程设计中极值风速与波高的联合概率计算,给出了计算海域的风浪设计参数,并与传统的设计标准进行了比较.计算结果表明,新的统计模式适用于受风暴影响海区的海洋工程结构设计,特别是边际油田的开发建设.     

基于危险率分析的风浪联合重现期研究

采用二维逻辑冈贝尔分布,基于工程使用期和危险率,提出海洋工程结构设计过程中海洋环境要素(风速和波高)联合重现期的确定方法,并且以某海区资料为例,介绍基于危险率分析的风浪联合重现期分析过程.通过此例,在考虑工程使用期和危险率的基础上进行联合重现期的计算使海洋工程结构物设计过程中重现期的选取更加合理,安全性以及投资建造成本更加明确.     

固定式海洋平台结构风险设计方法综述

海洋平台的结构设计中主要考虑海洋环境和工作荷载作用,但近年来事故荷载的影响日益引起设计者关注。在此背景下,以固定式导管架平台结构为目标,综述当前针对事故荷载的风险设计方法的应用现状。首先论述在事故极限状态设计中应用风险分析的必要性;随后综述通用规范,如NORSOK、DNV、API等规范系列中对风险分析方法的使用现状,包括风险决策的不同层次、安全标准的各类形式,重在分析各类规范相关规定的异同,探讨各类方法的适用性;最后结合我国现状,论述若针对事故荷载编制基于风险方法的设计规范,目前尚存的问题,以及解决途径。     

海洋立管综合环境条件设计标准研究

首先用有限单元法推导海洋输液立管在外界环境荷载条件下的侧向振动微分方程。对渤海某海区的15次风暴过程作了抽样分析，得到以波高为主时的波高、流速序列和以流速为主时的波高、流速序列，并对其进行了Weibull、Gumbel、Lognormal等适线分析，以确定各序列的最优分布形式及相应的特征值。用重点抽样法进行随机模拟得到联合概率为百年一遇的波高的流速。针对线海固定式平台铰接的海洋输液立管，以最大应力为控制条件确定其联合设计标准，并与其它方法作了比较，得到一些有益的结论。     

海工结构物桩基础竖向稳定性的可靠度分析

应用可靠度理论对渤海海域中海工结构物桩基础的稳定性进行了可靠度分析,阐述了各个设计指标的变化对分项系数及可靠度指标的影响规律,并进一步对各指标的灵敏度进行比较分析。分析结果表明,在各个设计参数中,厚土层的强度指标和设计荷载是两个相对重要的参数,在渤海海域中应用API标准中规定的荷载抗力系数进行设计是适用的。     

THE EQUAL PROBABILISTIC COMBINATION BETWEEN SEA STATE AND RESPONSE OF STRUCTURE

Combination of a fixed design wave height with various wave periods may exert quite different wave loads on ocean structure. The response of structure induced by mild sea state may be larger than that by severe sea state because the frequency of the spectral peak for mild sea state is near to the natural frequency of structure. Thus it is necessary to investigate the worst combination between wave height and period, and also the critical combination between sea state and response for any design criteria. This paper presents a new combinative mode of wave height and period for equal return period. The selections of original design wave height and the critical combination of sea state with response for equal probability are also discussed.     

Reliability analysis of wake-induced collision of flexible risers

Collision between risers is an important design and operational concern, especially in deep water since the probability of collision tends to increase as the riser length increases. Riser collision is due to the joint effects of many processes, i.e. environmental loads, hydrodynamic interference and surface floater motions and the most of them are stochastic processes. This paper provides an approach for estimating the failure probability of riser collision by considering these joint effects and their stochastic nature. Firstly, a procedure for establishing the distribution function of the extreme minimum relative distance between two risers is introduced based on simulation tools and statistical data. Numerical simulation is performed to compute the minimum distance between risers for a given duration. Repeated simulations are applied so that the extreme value distribution can be established. Secondly, reliability analysis is performed by considering the uncertainties of input parameters related to environmental loads and riser system. The collision probability is calculated based on both the First/Second Order Reliability Method and the Monte Carlo simulation techniques.     

冰脊形成过程的离散元模拟及影响因素分析

冰脊对极地船舶及海洋工程结构的冰载荷设计及冰区安全运行具有重要的影响,其几何形态是重要的考虑因素。为研究冰脊的几何形态,本文基于Voronoi切割算法构造扩展多面体海冰单元,并使其相互冻结形成平整冰;采用离散单元法模拟海冰在相对运动时挤压形成冰脊的动力过程,统计分析脊帆高度、龙骨宽度、龙骨深度、龙骨水平倾角等主要几何参数,并确定这些几何参数间的对应关系。将离散元模拟结果同冰脊现场观测资料对比分析以验证扩展多面体离散元方法模拟冰脊形成过程的可行性。在此基础上讨论冰厚、冰速、海冰强度等因素对冰脊形态的影响。本文采用离散元方法对冰脊形成过程及几何特性的数值分析可为深入开展冰脊的形成机理及其对船舶、海洋工程结构物的冰载荷分析提供参考依据。     

滩海工程模拟实验室技术设计

根据相似理论和物理模拟技术，解决滩海油气开发工程技术问题，以此为目标对滩海工程模拟实验室进行整体设计、造流、造潮、测试等各系统的设计及配套设备研制。实验室具有“滩”字特色；模拟滩海工程建筑物于海洋动力环境下的受力，及其置位区泥沙海床变形，具有相当齐备的配套试验条件。对滩海环境动力要素能实施单项和多项合成模拟。     

Calibration of LRFD Format for Steel Jacket Offshore Platforms in China Offshore Area （ 1 ） ： Statistical Parameters of Loads and Resistances

1 .IntroductionThe structural design method has evolvedfromthe workingstress method,damage stage methodtolimit state method.The more recent probabilisticlimit state design method,whichis based onreliabili-tytheory,has beengenerallyacceptedinthe designcode…     

导管架平台拆除过程稳定性及影响因素分析

现有服役海洋平台正逐步走向老龄化,海洋平台拆除成为海洋工程新的经济增长点。针对达到服役年限的导管架平台,基于数值分析方法模拟拆除过程,开展平台在不同拆除阶段和环境载荷等参数下的稳定性及影响规律研究。基于钢结构整体稳定性理论,以导管架平台拆除过程中顶点位移为参考,定义导管架平台拆除作业稳定性指标,提出拆除作业阶段划分方法,通过分析导管架平台在不同影响因素作用下拆除过程稳定性响应,给出拆除作业建议。选取我国南海某4裙12腿进行实例分析,结果表明:主桩腿对导管架平台起决定性承载作用,拆除部分主桩腿后需要引入外部支撑力,以保证拆除作业安全进行;拆除构件越多,来浪方向和环境载荷大小对平台影响越加显著。研究结果可为导管架平台拆除作业提供参考。     

Optimum Environmental Load Design Criterion for Marine Structures Based on Investment and Benefit Analysis

Marine structures operating in natural ocean environment are subjected to various stochasticloads.For design of the marine structures,the most important task is to determine environmental load de-sign criterion.This paper presents a method to determine the optimum environmental load design criteri-on for marine structures.This method is based on the investment and benefit analysis and it can reach thedesign purpose of decreasing total costs during the service life of the structures and increasing economicbenefits.     

海工结构物浅基础稳定性的可靠度分析

应用可靠度理论对渤海某油田软粘土地基工作的沉垫式基础的稳定性进行了可靠度分析，阐述了各个设计指标的变化对分项系数及可靠度指标的影响规律，并将分析结果与该标准中规定的分项系数进行了比较。     

超大型海洋浮式结构物概念设计的关键技术问题

应用超大型海洋浮式结构物进行海洋空间利用和海洋资源开发，是目前海洋工程界的研究热点。概念设计是超大型海洋浮式结构物研究的基础。本文从设计准则、结构型式、建造材料、模块连接器、系泊系统等几个方面对概念设计的关键技术问题作了归纳，对超大型海洋浮式结构物的概念设计有一定的参考价值。     

水平循环荷载作用下桩基p-y曲线模型研究进展

p-y 曲线法常用于水平静力受荷桩的分析,但海洋工程中的桩基除静力外还承受波、流等循环荷载作用,将静力 p-y曲线直接用于循环荷载下桩基的设计研究时,往往会产生误差。本文梳理了水平循环荷载作用下 p-y 曲线模型的研究成果, 按照得到循环 p-y 曲线的不同方式,将其分为总体调整法和参数修正法。在参数修正法中,根据修正时考虑的因素不同,分为考虑荷载特性的修正和考虑桩土相互作用的修正。最后通过对循环荷载作用下 p-y 曲线研究现状的总结对比,评价了不同方法的特点,讨论了当前研究存在的问题并给出了建议。     

Uncertainty and joint probability of sea ice loads

Ｕｎｃｅｒｔａｉｎｔｙａｎｄｊｏｉｎｔｐｒｏｂａｂｉｌｉｔｙｏｆｓｅａｉｃｅｌｏａｄｓ￥ＬｉｕＤｅｆｕ；ＹａｎｇＹｏｎｇｃｈｕｎ；ＷａｎｇＣｈａｏａｎｄＬｉＴｏｎｇｋｕｉ（ＯｃｅａｎＵｎｉｖｅｒｓｉｔｙｏｆＱｉｎｇｄａｏ，Ｑｉｎｇｄａｏ２６６００３，...     

异地海域年极值风暴增水同现规律的探讨

以塘沽和龙口海洋观测站20年极值增水值为样本，基于二维冈贝尔逻辑分布模式，探讨了不同海域风暴潮增水极值的联合分布规律。通过对二维分布的联合概率密度、条件概率密度和同现概率的计算，给出了相应的工程设计参数，供有关部门在防潮规划时参考。     

基于Copula函数的联合概率法在海洋工程中的应用

本文介绍了Copula函数的定义、属性和几种特殊的Copula函数.将Copula函数应用到近海工程中,用其建立了最大有效波高和最大风速的联合分布函数并检验,结果表明:Copula函数能够比较好的模拟实际的联合概率分布。通过Copula方法,可以由边缘分布和一个连接它们的Copula函数来得出联合分布函数,发挥其描述相关性尤其是尾部相关性的优势。该方法在近海工程的工程可靠度、设计标准和失效概率的计算中具有广泛的应用前景。     

Analysis and Research of Ice Loads Acting on Offshore Structures

- Usually, the action of sea ice on offshore engineering structures is one of the controlling loads in cold waters engineering structure design. The reasonable selection of environmental condition and the physical mechanical properties of ice in the region are directly related to the structure design, operation and safety. In this paper, the sea ice force acting on the structure, the physical mechanical properties of ice and the selection of parameters in calculation are discussed. Some suggestions are proposed as to the calculation of various kinds of ice loads acting on the structure.     

Data quality check procedures of an operational coastal ocean monitoring network

Field oceanographic and meteorological data are required for ocean engineering. In response to the requirement of field data, an operational coastal ocean monitoring network was established around Taiwan coast, including nine deep-water data buoys, one shallow-water pile station, 10 coastal weather stations and 10 tide stations. Data quality check procedures are necessary to ensure the accuracy of measurements. This paper presents the data quality check procedures on ocean wave data which includes automatic and manual check procedures. The checking criteria are derived using statistical theory in this paper. In addition, a sea-state-dependent algorithm is presented in this study in order to derive checking criteria of time-continuity check. It is showed to have better performance of picking up suspicious data than using fixed threshold process. This data quality check program is now used on the operational monitoring network.