An attempt to reconstruct some features of the May 6, 1976, Friuli earthquake by means of aftershocks

The goal of the present work is to reconstruct some features of the May 6, 1976, Friuli earthquake in different sites of the area involved. The starting data for the elaboration are: seismograms of aftershocks at various sites; very detailed geological knowledge of the sites; accelerographs of the main shocks at Tolmezzo. Only aftershocks having magnitudes 2.5–4 and epicentres located within the most damaged area were considered. Fourier and response spectra for the events considered at the sites were computed. The problem is to establish the differences between, on the one hand, the Fourier and response spectra of the main shock, and on the other hand the aftershocks. Since one of these sites (Peonis) has about the same conditions (topography, geology, epicentral distance for the May 6 shock) as Tolmezzo, similarity in shaking and the shape of the spectra were assumed at the two sites for the main shock. On the basis of the known mean spectral ratios (computed on the aftershocks) between Peonis and the other sites, and the same ratio between the main shock and the aftershocks at Peonis, the spectral features of the May 6 shock at all the other sites were computed.     

Macroseismic fields of the main Friuli shocks of 1976

Isosieismal maps of the main Friuli shock and of three large aftershocks were compiled on the scale 1 : 1 million as a joint effort of seismologists from countries shaken by the earthquakes. All macroseismic fields are irregular and display different damping in different directions. Depths of foci and attenuation coefficients are calculated.     

The Idrija earthquake of March 26, 1511 —a reconstruction of some seismological parameters

Two earthquakes of March 26, 1511 with different positions of foci represent some of the strongest seismic phenomena which occurred in the past in the central part of Europe. In particular, both events were the beginning of an increasing seismic activity in this part of Europe, which was some centuries later again evidenced in a series of strong earthquakes in Friuli.Some characteristics of these shocks and the following aftershocks series show a pattern which is very similar to that of the Friuli earthquakes of 1976. However, the extent of the damage caused by the earthquakes in 1511 and the dimensions of the pleistoseistic region itself provide a basis for determination of some basic and only qualitative data about these shocks.     

A distribution-free analysis of magnitude-intensity relationships: an application to the Mediterranean region

A statistical analysis of the relations between macroseismic intensity and magnitude is presented. The examined data set contains earthquakes characterized by epicentral or maximum intensity ≥ VI which occurred in the Mediterranean region. As a first step, an empirical magnitude-intensity relationship has been determined by using the whole data set. Then, differences between experimental magnitude values and the ones expected on the basis of the empirical relationship have been correlated with some features related both to physical and data sources characteristics. On this basis, a distribution-free statistical approach has been developed to attempt a regionalization of the examined area, able to locally optimize the performances of magnitude-intensity relations. However, the results showed that data relative to larger events (intensity ≥ VII) are not sufficient to perform any reliable zonation of the area. Thus, well-constrained relationships determined for the whole Mediterranean region should be preferred to ill-defined local ones. Concerning smaller earthquakes (intensity VI), the analysis suggests that an efficient zonation could only be obtained if medium-scale variations (lower than 200 Km) are taken into account.     

Preliminary results of a macroseismic survey of the Colfiorito sequence (Central Italy)

Umbria-Marche region (Central Italy) has been interested by a seismic sequence, which caused a large amount of damage within an extensive area (around 5000 km²). The sequence produced eight shocks with magnitude higher than 5.0, the largest of them occurring on September 26, UTC 09:40, M₁ = 5.8. The incidence of many shocks with a magnitude higher than 4.0 contributed to the creation of a damage pattern that was in evolution for more than one month. Such seismic behavior motivated field operators to perform a real-time macroseismic survey to update the data set. One of the major objectives was to differentiate the effects pertaining to each of the largest shocks. In this paper we present the macroseismic survey performed during the sequence, along with some preliminary results inferred. Intensity points of seven of the main shocks are shown, together with the filtered macroseismic fields produced following the application of specific statistical methods. Finally, consideration is given to the comparison of these study results with corresponding tectonic and geological data.     

Distribution of effects in the urban area of Rome During the October 14, 1997 Umbria Marche earthquake

In the last years many studies were carried out in order to assess the correlation between nearsurface geology and seismic response of downtown Rome during local and regional earthquakes. Nevertheless, only historical macroseismic data and theoretical modelling could be used so far to estimate the ground motion in the historical part of the city. The occurrence of the October 14, 1997 Umbria Marche event (M_w = 5.7), located about 115 km far from Rome but largely felt in the city, allowed us to verify our knowledge of the seismic response on the basis of the present urban setting of Rome.A prompt macroseismic survey in the urban area within the ring-road (G.R.A.) was performed. 949 questionnaires were compiled by means of 1842 interviews: such a large amount of macroseismic information, for the first time available in Rome, was related to 669 observation points providing a picture of local intensity variations. The areal distribution of collected intensity points is quite homogeneous.The data analysis points out a preferential distribution of larger effects (65%) in correspondence of Holocene alluvium outcrops. Furthermore, a tight correspondence between remarkable intensities and alluvial sediments is pointed out in suburban areas characterized by the minor hydrographic network of the Tiber River. Macroseismic anomalies were outlined in sectors of the urban area where local hydrogeological conditions can be responsible for a significant deterioration of geomechanical properties.     

On an anisotropic attenuation law of the macroseismic intensity

An anisotropic attenuation law of the macroseismic intensity has been deduced, congruent with an anisotropic modelling of macroseismic fields. The results, obtained by analysing a set of earthquakes in Eastern Sicily and Southern Calabria, show a greater adaptability to the observed data as compared with those deduced using isotropic attenuation laws modified to take the anisotropy into account.     

Estimation of seismic hazard with allowance for noncircular isoseismals of arbitrary orientation

A new mathematical model describing the field of macroseismic intensity has been elaborated. It is based on elliptic isoseismals. The orientation of the main axes of elliptic isoseismals depends on the direction of stretching of the main geological structures on the investigated territory.The new model of a macroseismic field was applied to the territory of Eastern Uzbekistan. Some results of macroseismic investigations of the effect of large regional earthquakes were used as initial data.A noncircular model of a macroseismic field was introduced into the integral of the seismic shakability of Riznichenko and, according to the model, a macroseismic shakability map for the territory of Eastern Uzbekistan was computed in isolines of the long-term mean return period of vibrations for the intensity I 8.Paper presented at the 21st General Assembly of the European Seismological Commission, Sofia, 1988.     

The determination of the epicentre by a vectorial modelling of macroseismic intensity distribution

A vectorial modelling of observed macroseismic intensity aimed at the analytical determination of the epicentre is proposed here. The methodology is based on the determination of a plane system of vectors which characterises the macroseismic intensity distribution. The epicentre of each seismic event considered is determined as the centre of this vector system by an analytical expression which is independent from all possible directions of seismic energy propagation. The analysis of the intensity distribution is carried out by a new model called a macroseismic plane, different from the one known as macroseismic field, formed by a set of small areas built around the observed intensity points; hence its name.With the proposed methodology, some earthquakes in southern Italy and eastern Sicily are analysed calculating their epicentres, also for distributions of observed intensity which are particularly complex.     

Croation macroseismic database

Compilation of the digital Croatian Macroseismic Database is an ongoing project that started in 1995. Final version of the database will contain all the macroseismic data from the archive of the Department of Geophysics (including data for neighboring countries) without time or intensity threshold. The database has two subsets: intensity point database and the digital archive. A total of 426 earthquakes felt in Croatia are currently being analyzed. The job is carried out through several stages, each of them corresponding to digitalization of a different input data format (intensity maps, intensity point lists, questionnaires, etc.). 69 intensity maps of the earthquakes felt in Croatia, published in the Catalogue of Earthquakes in the Balkan Region were digitized first. The coordinates of intensity points were assigned to geographic locations (villages, cities, …) by consulting the database of latitudes and longitudes of all settlements in Croatia (database of settlements). 330 existing intensity lists (intensity and name of the place without coordinates) were entered into the database during the second step. The intensity maps which were not published so far will be scanned and digitized during the third stage of the project. The last stage will be input of primary data to the digital archive and reassessing of intensities according to the EMS macroseismic scale. The main goal of this paper is to describe the way of database compilation. Preliminary felt intensity map and number of intensity points map illustrate possibilities of macroseismic field analyze.     

Unification of Macroseismic Data Collection Procedures: A Pilot Project for Border Earthquakes Assessment

The border area between Italy and Slovenia has been chosen for a proposed project on border earthquake's assessment (BEA). Attempts at the unification of macroseismic practice among the countries have been rare and not very successful, due to the different and often incompatible local traditions for the derivation of intensity data. With the publication of the new EMS-92 scale, the idea was born to try to unify the procedures in data collection on both sides of the border. The pilot project was proposed, consisting mainly of the preparation for eventual strong earthquakes in the future. A special civil engineering form for damage assessment was designed to be used in the damaged area. The path of this idea is presented.     

Hazard mapping based on macroseismic data considering the influence of geological conditions

The object of this study is to consider directly the influence of regional geological conditions on the assessment of seismic hazard. It is assumed that macroseismic data at individual locations contain, in an average way, the influence of geological conditions.A Data Base referring to 199 historical (5) and instrumental (194, in the 1947–1993 period) events with macroseismic information in 1195 locations of Portugal was built. For any given seismic event, whenever macroseismic information was available at a location (town, village, etc.), an EMS-92 intensity value was estimated. To each one of those locations a geological unit, representing the most common type of soil, was assigned, based on the Geological Portuguese Map at a scale 1:500 000; the geological units were grouped into three categories: soft, intermediate and hard soils.The Data Base was used to determine the attenuation laws in terms of macroseismic intensity for the three different geological site conditions, using multiple linear regression analysis. The reasonability of the laws was tested by (i) checking residual distributions and (ii) comparing the map of isoseismals of important earthquakes with the isoseismals generated by the attenuation curves derived for each one of the three different soil classes, taking into consideration the soil class of each site. The main results of attenuation modeling are: high dispersion on macroseismic intensity data; all the models predict intensity values, for short hypocentral distances, lower than the ones observed; and for some important analyzed earthquakes and for the observed range of distances, the models confirm the expectancy that macroseismic intensity increases from hard to soft soil.The approach to obtain the hazard assessment at each location consisted in the use of the attenuation law specifically derived for the class of soil of that particular location. This method, which considers the influence of the regional geology, was illustrated with the mapping of hazard for the country for several return periods. Comparison with previous maps not taking into consideration the regional geological conditions emphasizes the importance of this new parameter. It can be concluded that (i) soil segmentation is clearly the cause for hazard increase in the region to the north of Lisbon, especially at sites with soft and intermediate soils as the ones in lower Tagus valley; the maximum increase on hazard is, in any case, less than one degree; (ii) when geological conditions are disregarded in the attenuation regression analysis, hazard pattern is similar to the one obtained for the case of hard soil everywhere.     

Web-based macroseismic survey in Italy: method validation and results

A new method of macroseismic surveys, based on voluntary collaboration through the Internet, has been running at the Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV) since July 2007. The macroseismic questionnaire is addressed to a single non-specialist; reported effects are statistically analysed to extrapolate a probabilistic estimate of Mercalli Cancani Sieberg and European Macroseismic Scale intensities for that observer. Maps of macroseismic intensity are displayed online in almost real time and are continuously updated when new data are made available. For densely inhabited zones, we have received reports of felt effects for even very small events (M = 2). Six earthquakes are presented here, showing the ability of the method to give fast and interesting results. The effects reported in questionnaires coming from three towns are carefully analysed and assigned intensities are compared with those derived from traditional macroseismic surveys, showing the reliability of our web-based method.     

Atlas of macroseismic maps for French earthquakes with their principal characteristics

The SIRENE macroseismic database has been utilized to draw isoseismal maps for the 140 best-documented French earthquakes, characterized by epicentral intensities of at least V (MSK) and located in all parts of the country. A study of focal depths derived from available local intensity data using an intensity versus distance decay law (Sponheuer) shows that the focal depths of most of the events considered do not exceed about 10 km. Their distribution correlates fairly well with regional dynamic geology features. A relationship is then computed between magnitude, intensity and focal distance, based on 73 instrumenta]ly recorded earthquakes (M _L between 3.3 and 6.3) and on 217 mean radius values (from 2 to 380 km) for isoseismals of intensity VIII to III (MSK). This relationship is applied to historical earthquakes contained in the database SIRENE which are characterised by their intensity only. These results are used in the evaluation as well deterministic as probabilistic of the seismic hazard on the national territory.     

The Friuli earthquake (1976–1977)

The results of seismic studies on the Friuli May 6, 1976 earthquake based on historical and seismological data collected by the OGS are presented. The epicenter and hypocenter distributions reconstructed from the Friuli networks and from Trieste WWSS Station are examined. The earthquakes of Latisana (1975–1976) are interpreted as the foreshocks of the main shock of May 6. Parameters of larger shocks are calculated. At the end a correlation between the hypocenters and the involved geodynamic structure of the region is proposed.     

A macroseismic equation with a convergent solution

We obtained a macroseismic equation with a convergent solution at a hypocentral distance D ∼ 0 (independent of magnitude) for relative shaking intensity. The logarithmic distance dependence of intensity turned out to be piecewise linear no matter whether it is expressed in relative units of intensity degree or in logarithmic ground motion velocity. The macroseismic intensity shows high correlation with motion velocity. Another result is the magnitude dependence of dominant periods of ground motion velocity for large earthquakes.     

Co-seismic ruptures and deformations recorded by speleothems in the epicentral zone of the Basel earthquake

The study of growth anomalies of speleothems in a karstic environment can provide potential evidence for palaeoearthquakes. These data are used to study the recurrence times of major earthquakes in areas where evidence for historic seismicity is lacking. A study has been carried out in the epicentral area of the 1356 Basel earthquake (epicentral intensity = VII–VIII, macroseismic magnitude = 6.2). The Bättlerloch and Dieboldslöchli caves, situated in the area of greatest damage, show growth anomalies of speleothems possibly related to a seismic event (several breaks of speleothems and offsets of the axis of the regrowths). The first U/Th disequilibrum measurements by alpha spectrometry show recent ages (less than several tens of thousands of years and probably historic). ¹⁴C dating by AMS of carbonate laminations taken on both sides of the anomalies confirm the evidence of a seismic event around 1300 AD. More accurate darings by U/Th TIMS are carried out in order to compare the information provided by the two different dating methods.     

Sources of Mw 5+ earthquakes in northeastern Italy and western Slovenia: An updated view based on geological and seismological evidence

We present an overview of the seismogenic sources of northeastern Italy and western Slovenia, included in the last version of the Database of Individual Seismogenic Sources (DISS 3.0.2) and a new definition of the geometry of the Montello Source that will be included in the next release of the database. The seismogenic sources included in DISS are active faults capable of generating M_w > 5.5 earthquakes. We describe the method and the data used for their identification and characterization, discuss some implications for the seismic hazard and underline controversial points and open issues.In the Veneto–Friuli area (NE Italy), destructive earthquakes up to M_w 6.6 are generated by thrust faulting along N-dipping structures of the Eastern Southalpine Chain. Thrusting along the mountain front responds to about 2 mm/a of regional convergence, and it is associated with growing anticlines, tilted and uplifted Quaternary palaeolandsurfaces and forced drainage anomalies. In western Slovenia, dextral strike–slip faulting along the NW–SE trending structures of the Idrija Fault System dominates the seismic release. Activity and style of faulting are defined by recent earthquakes (e.g. the M_s 5.7, 1998 Bovec–Krn Mt. and the M_w 5.2, 2004 Kobarid earthquakes), while the related recent morphotectonic imprint is still a debated matter.We reinterpreted a large set of tectonic data and developed a segmentation model for the outermost Eastern Southalpine Chain thrust front. We also proposed the association of the four major shocks of the 1976 Friuli earthquake sequence with individual segments of three major thrust fronts. Although several sub-parallel active strike–slip strands exist in western Slovenia, we were able to positively identify only two segments of the Idrija Fault System. A comparison of the regional GPS velocity with long-term geological slip-rates of the seismogenic sources included in DISS shows that from a quarter to half of the deformation is absorbed along the external alignment of thrust faults in Veneto and western Friuli. The partitioning of the deformation in western Slovenia among the different strike–slip strands could not be quantified.     

The record of historic earthquakes in lake sediments of Central Switzerland

Deformation structures in lake sediments in Central Switzerland can be attributed to strong historic earthquakes. The type and spatial distribution of the deformation structures reflect the historically documented macroseismic intensities thus providing a useful calibration tool for paleoseismic investigations in prehistoric lake sediments.The Swiss historical earthquake catalogue shows four moderate to strong earthquakes with moment magnitudes of M_w=5.7 to M_w=6.9 and epicentral intensities of I₀=VII to I₀=IX that affected the area of Central Switzerland during the last 1000 years. These are the 1964 Alpnach, 1774 Altdorf, 1601 Unterwalden, and 1356 Basel earthquakes. In order to understand the effect of these earthquakes on lacustrine sediments, four lakes in Central Switzerland (Sarner See, Lungerer See, Baldegger See, and Seelisberg Seeli) were investigated using high-resolution seismic data and sediment cores. The sediments consist of organic- and carbonate-rich clayey to sandy silts that display fine bedding on the centimeter to millimeter scale. The sediments are dated by historic climate and environmental records, ¹³⁷Cs activity, and radiocarbon ages. Deformation structures occur within distinct zones and include large-scale slumps and rockfalls, as well as small-scale features like disturbed and contorted lamination and liquefaction structures. These deformations are attributed to three of the abovementioned earthquakes. The spatial distribution of deformation structures in the different lakes clearly reflects the historical macroseismic dataset: Lake sediments are only affected if they are situated within an area that underwent groundshaking not smaller than intensity VI to VII. We estimate earthquake size by relating the epicentral distance of the farthest liquefaction structure to earthquake magnitude. This relationship is in agreement with earthquake size estimations based on the historical dataset.